It’s Party Time in Alabama

 

Today is the big special US Senate election in Alabama. The winner will take the seat currently held by Luther Strange, who was appointed to replace Jeff Sessions, who stepped down to become Attorney General. (Follow all that?)

As of this writing, the RealClearPolitics average shows Moore with a 2.2 point lead. However, that average includes an Emerson poll showing Moore up by nine points, a Fox News poll showing Jones up by 10, and a Monmouth poll showing a tie.

Why the wide variance? Because nobody is sure what the turnout will look like. Special elections have low turnout to begin with. (The Alabama Secretary of State is predicting 20-25 percent.) This is a special election … in an off-year … a month after Election Day … and less than two weeks before Christmas. And if that weren’t already a screwy turnout model, add an already controversial candidate who was then accused of sexual abuse. Plus voter fatigue. Plus several write-in candidates.

We’ll find out soon enough. Polls close at 7 pm local time, which is 8 pm ET. But the party starts before that. That’s right, we’re talking about a Ricochet live chat open to our members. If you’re not a member, well, that sounds like a good reason to join today.

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There are 11 comments.

  1. Coolidge

    Predicting a 56% win….

    • #1
    • December 12, 2017 at 3:23 am
    • 1 like
  2. Member

    Time for Alabama to disappoint half the country.

    • #2
    • December 12, 2017 at 5:36 am
    • 1 like
  3. Member

    Kyle Kirker (View Comment):
    Predicting a 56% win….

    That’s my hunch too.

    • #3
    • December 12, 2017 at 5:42 am
    • Like
  4. Member

    Valiuth (View Comment):
    Time for Alabama to disappoint half the country.

    Actually I won’t be disappointed if he wins and I won’t be disappointed if he loses. There’s a positive to take in either course. I still don’t know which way I would vote if I were in Alabama. Well, more accurately, I would never vote for the lefty. It would be whether I would vote for Moore or an alternate.

    • #4
    • December 12, 2017 at 5:45 am
    • 1 like
  5. Member

    Manny (View Comment):

    Valiuth (View Comment):
    Time for Alabama to disappoint half the country.

    Actually I won’t be disappointed if he wins and I won’t be disappointed if he loses. There’s a positive to take in either course. I still don’t know which way I would vote if I were in Alabama. Well, more accurately, I would never vote for the lefty. It would be whether I would vote for Moore or an alternate.

    I just hope if he wins he takes it as a sign that he can do and say what ever he wants. I wan’t to see him spike the tax bill or something just to stick it to McConnell and watch the reactions from everyone as Dems are forced to cheer him and Trump has to attack him on twitter. That would be great fun to see. Totally worth the price of admission.

    • #5
    • December 12, 2017 at 5:55 am
    • 1 like
  6. Inactive

    To paraphrase Jonah Goldberg: I predict the Democrats will go 5-0 in moral victories.

    • #6
    • December 12, 2017 at 8:16 am
    • 3 likes
  7. Thatcher

    Hope Moore loses.

    • #7
    • December 12, 2017 at 8:39 am
    • 3 likes
  8. Member

    I’m going out on a limb and predicting the lawyer will win tonight.

    • #8
    • December 12, 2017 at 11:59 am
    • Like
  9. Member

    livingthehighlife (View Comment):
    I’m going out on a limb and predicting the lawyer will win tonight.

    Hmmm. Risky.

    • #9
    • December 12, 2017 at 12:31 pm
    • Like
  10. Member

    Well, where is everyone? I logged on just for the party. ;-)

    • #10
    • December 12, 2017 at 6:20 pm
    • Like
  11. Thatcher

    The Daily Shot: It’s Party Time in Alabama

    I’m not partying. We’re dangerously close to losing the ability to pass Trump’s agenda. We’ve given even more power to fence-sitters like McCain, Collins, and Corker.

    Worst of all, it’s likely the next two Supreme Court justices will be more like a Breyer, not a Gorsuch.

    It’s party time all right – party time for the Party that wants to ruin this country. Way to go, Alabama, way to go.

    • #11
    • December 13, 2017 at 5:29 am
    • Like