Current Status of the House Elections

 

In the Land of Confusion podcast that we taped Friday night, I gave a brief update on the election results in the House of Representatives. At that time, five races remained undetermined, according to RealClearPolitics. Two of those have now been called, one for each party. Here is the current status of the House as detailed by RCP (here):

The Democrats lead 222-210, with three races undecided. Thus far, this is a gain of 10 for the Republicans and a loss of 9 for the Democrats. Of the three undecided races, two were previously held by a Democrat and one was previously held by a Republican.

Republicans have a majority of the state delegations in 26 states, Democrats have a majority in 20, and 3 are tied. One remains to be determined — Iowa — which will either result in a Republican majority or a tie.

The three open races are:

1. California District 25: Republican incumbent Mike Garcia leads Democratic challenger Christy Smith, 50.1%-49.9%. The current vote totals per RCP are Garcia 169,060, Smith 168,660, a margin of just 400 votes. This is a rematch of a special election on May 12, 2020, which Garcia won pretty handily (54.9%-45.1%).

2. Iowa District 2: Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks leads Democrat Rita Hart, 196,862-196,815, a margin of just 47 votes. In rounded percentage terms, this is 50.0%-50.0%. The incumbent is a Democrat who did not seek re-election.

3. New York District 22: Republican challenger Claudia Tenney leads Democratic incumbent Anthony Brindisi 49.0%-48.9%, with a margin of 300 votes, 154,730-154,430.

If the current vote count holds, Republicans will win all three seats and end with an overall gain of 13 House seats. The Democrats will have a House majority of 15 at the most, 9 at the least.

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  1. Hoyacon Member
    Hoyacon
    @Hoyacon

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    JuliaBlaschke (View Comment):

    Gumby Mark (R-Meth Lab of Demo… (View Comment):

    Gary Robbins (View Comment):

    Hoyacon (View Comment):

    This is probably out there somewhere, but I’m wondering when the last time a party “lost” the Presidential election, and gained this many House seats.

    The American people, with surgical precision, removed Trump, while supporting Republicans in down ballot races. Just imagine how well we would have done with a less destructive candidate at the head of ticket?

    Would we have attracted 10.84 million more voters than in 2016, including groundbreaking results in the black and particularly Hispanic communities, with another candidate?

    After a year of wokey woke, looting and rioting, Democrat governors going full Stalin over Covid, the Squad and Nancy and her ice cream elitism and hair salon capers, I think there was a build up of anger that would have put a non Trump Republican into the White House. Especially if you take away the “Trump is so awful I am voting for Joe Biden” vote. A large part of Biden’s vote was simply a vote to get rid of Trump.

    Just as much of Biden’s vote was really a “I can’t stand Trump” vote, much of Trump’s vote was a “The Left is causing me to doo-doo in my pants” vote.

    Hopefully the latter group, however large, stayed home and voted by mail.

    • #31
  2. JuliaBlaschke Lincoln
    JuliaBlaschke
    @JuliaBlaschke

    Taras (View Comment):
    You really don’t grasp how snide and disparaging it is to dismiss people’s concerns as infantile, as “doo-doo in my pants”!?

    Well not wanting to speak for HW, I didn’t find it dismissive. I found it illustrative, as the actions of the left really do make me feel anxious and nauseous, conditions which led me to reluctantly voting for Trump. 

    • #32
  3. iWe Coolidge
    iWe
    @iWe

    HeavyWater (View Comment):
    If Trump had dialed by his personality just a tad, he might have squeaked out a victory. But it is what it is.

    I do not believe this for a second. As of 2 AM election night, Trump won. The votes after that were manufactured, and even had Trump had more voters, there are plenty more liberal ballots on the printing presses where the other ones came from.

    • #33
  4. HeavyWater Inactive
    HeavyWater
    @HeavyWater

    Taras (View Comment):

    You really don’t grasp how snide and disparaging it is to dismiss people’s concerns as infantile, as “doo-doo in my pants”!?

    I wanted to say “s*^t in my pants” but I thought that might violate Ricochet’s rules.  I try to avoid profanity.

    All summer as I watched the rioting in the cities around America and listened to Leftist talk about defunding the police while they also talk about confiscating everyone’s firearms, I was very much on the brink of “doo-dooing in my pants.”  

    There was no intent to be disparaging.  Just trying to keep it “clean.”

    • #34
  5. Taras Coolidge
    Taras
    @Taras

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    Taras (View Comment):

    You really don’t grasp how snide and disparaging it is to dismiss people’s concerns as infantile, as “doo-doo in my pants”!?

    I wanted to say “s*^t in my pants” but I thought that might violate Ricochet’s rules. I try to avoid profanity.

    All summer as I watched the rioting in the cities around America and listened to Leftist talk about defunding the police while they also talk about confiscating everyone’s firearms, I was very much on the brink of “doo-dooing in my pants.”

    There was no intent to be disparaging. Just trying to keep it “clean.”

    Losing control of one’s bowels out of absolute terror, regardless of the specific words used, carries a strong implication of cowardice and lack of self-control.

    • #35
  6. HeavyWater Inactive
    HeavyWater
    @HeavyWater

    Taras (View Comment):

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    Taras (View Comment):

    You really don’t grasp how snide and disparaging it is to dismiss people’s concerns as infantile, as “doo-doo in my pants”!?

    I wanted to say “s*^t in my pants” but I thought that might violate Ricochet’s rules. I try to avoid profanity.

    All summer as I watched the rioting in the cities around America and listened to Leftist talk about defunding the police while they also talk about confiscating everyone’s firearms, I was very much on the brink of “doo-dooing in my pants.”

    There was no intent to be disparaging. Just trying to keep it “clean.”

    Losing control of one’s bowels out of absolute terror, regardless of the specific words used, carries a strong implication of cowardice and lack of self-control.

    It’s a figure of speech.

    • #36
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