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I know, I promised that COVID-19: Case Closed would be my last COVID-19 post. But I am well and truly fed up and must express it somehow. Today’s trigger is actually from two sources: (1) PowerLine blog’s CORONAVIRUS IN ONE STATE (101) post where Scott Johnson’s formulation of “Governor Walz’s continuing pacification program” was pitch perfect, and (2) a report about the “gold standard” PCR test for SARS-CoV-2 delivering false positive results for reasons that are both simple to understand and maddeningly simple to resolve if someone could be bothered to do so.
That COVID-19 is now a “pacification project” and not a health emergency is beyond question. We will always have disease — it is why we have invested so heavily in medical research, training, and care. Mother Nature is a bitch who keeps trying to “cull the herd” with a focus on promoting reproduction and little else. Mankind has used its intelligence to make ourselves more at risk from each other than from Mother Nature. Nevertheless Mother Nature keeps coming at us and always will.
So “until there’s a cure” is not a public health policy. But it has been extremely useful to the Progressive Project to test how much the People will “up with put.” Turns out it’s more than we should and far more than we would if the public were given good information.
The case count is suspect. The death count is suspect. The hospitalization count is suspect. But even with the errors, the general trends are obvious: The disease is not the threat to societal viability, but the response to the disease by people in authority is.
The Progressive Project is using fear to control us for its objectives. In the current political moment it has a two-pronged attack: fear of disease and fear of violence. At the moment, the progressive shock troops burning and looting seems to have backfired so the Progressives are pulling back on their public support. But what about fear of disease? There is as yet no let up.
And yet the “tells” are all out there that we will not all die and (this is even more important) government policy is not going to deliver a positive health outcome for you. Across the globe, the disease does what it does without regard to government policies. Total societal outcomes (think economics, mental health, and harms from other diseases) do vary based on government policy, but not SARS-CoV-2. And the report cited above explains that “confirmed” cases are way overstated because the PCR test outcome is sensitive to the “cycle threshold” employed by a particular testing laboratory.
At issue is the method by which many COVID-19 tests detect a patient’s viral load within a given sample. Polymerase chain reaction tests, which have been widely deployed to determine if individuals are infected with the disease, function by amplifying DNA samples to the point that an antigen can be detected and classified.
The “cycle threshold” is the number of amplification cycles a PCR test goes through before a target pathogen is detected. A lower cycle threshold means that a higher amount of the virus was present in the sample; a higher threshold means the machine had to work harder to detect the virus in the sample, indicating a lower viral load and more likely a non-infectious patient. (emphasis added)
According to a rundown of PCR tests compiled by the Foundation for Innovative New Diagnostics, many manufacturers of PCR tests set the cycle threshold cutoff for a positive sample at up to around 40 cycles, a level numerous public health officials believe is guaranteed to return what are effectively false positive results that have detected fragments of the virus.
A spokeswoman for LabCorp — one of the largest clinical laboratory groups in the world — said the company “does not include the CT value in result reporting.”
So not only do we have the problem of distinguishing between patients who are ill from SARS-CoV-2 and those ill with SARS-CoV-2, we are not distinguishing between tested individuals who have enough virus to make them contagious and those who do not, and we don’t know the cycle threshold used in all the positive results.
Holy mother of [redacted].
And our public health establishment seems studiously incurious and unquestioning. Why? Because it is useful. Useful to keep us in fear; useful to keep us under control.
The COVID-19 pacification project continues apace, indeed. As Attorney General Barr point out the other day –
You know, putting a national lockdown, stay-at-home orders, is like house arrest. It’s — you know, other than slavery, which was a different kind of restraint, this is the greatest intrusion on civil liberties in American history.
[Note: Links to all my COVID-19 posts can be found here.]Published in