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From the UK’s Intensive Care National Audit and Research Centre (ICNARC): Report on 775 patients critically ill with COVID-19
The report looks at 165 COVID-19 patients whose status was resolved — they died or were discharged — out of a population of 775 COVID-19 patients who were admitted to intensive care by reporting hospitals.
Of these 165 resolved patients, 52% were discharged alive and 48% died in the hospital.
Of the 165 resolved patients, 60% of them required advanced respiratory care (ventilators or similar).
Of the 60% requiring advanced respiratory care, 34% survived and were discharged, 66% died.
Of the 40% not requiring advanced respiratory care, 80% survived and were discharged, 20% died.
Half of the patients who survived were in intensive care for between 2 and 7 days, with a median of 3 days.
Half of the patients who died were in intensive care for between 2 and 6 days, with a median of 2 days.
Since this report includes only resolved cases, it is biased toward cases that resolve quickly; the remaining cases in ICU may not resolve in the same proportions of favorable and negative outcomes.
Favorable outcome by age distribution for the 165 individuals whose cases were resolved are:
16-49 years 76% survived
50-69 years 60% survived
70+ years 27% survived
The report contains an interesting graph that appears to cover the larger population of 774 cases admitted to critical care, and to show the status of those cases over a span of approximately four weeks. I’m not sure how to interpret the assumptions implicit in the graphic, but it appears to show that: after one week, approximately 20% have recovered and ~ 12% have died; after two weeks, those numbers are roughly 40% and 30%, respectively; after three weeks, approximately 58% and 38%, respectively; and that those remaining in critical care past three weeks show slow change moving forward.Published in