Farewell, Spartacus: Where the Dem Race Stands Now

 

After months of barely hanging on, Sen. Cory Booker (NJ) has finally suspended his campaign to become the Democratic presidential nominee.

“It was a difficult decision to make, but I got in this race to win, and I’ve always said I wouldn’t continue if there was no longer a path to victory,” Booker said in an email to supporters.

In a tweet, Booker added: “To my team, supporters, and everyone who gave me a shot—thank you. I am so proud of what we built, and I feel nothing but faith in what we can accomplish together.”

The president reacted with his usual magnanimity:

The next Democratic primary debate is Tuesday night in Des Moines and will feature just six candidates who have met the party’s official threshold:

  • Joe Biden
  • Pete Buttigieg
  • Amy Klobuchar
  • Bernie Sanders
  • Tom Steyer
  • Elizabeth Warren

Booker did not qualify for this debate, leading to his actions Monday. Six active candidates not making the cut were:

  • Michael Bennet
  • Mike Bloomberg
  • John Delaney
  • Tulsi Gabbard
  • Deval Patrick
  • Andrew Yang

And then, there is the long list of candidates who have already dropped out of the primary race:

  • Steve Bullock
  • Bill de Blasio
  • Julián Castro
  • Kirsten Gillibrand
  • Mike Gravel
  • Kamala Harris
  • John Hickenlooper
  • Jay Inslee
  • Wayne Messam
  • Seth Moulton
  • Richard Ojeda
  • Beto O’Rourke
  • Tim Ryan
  • Joe Sestak
  • Eric Swalwell
  • and Marianne Williamson, who suspended her campaign on Friday.

That’s right, there were 28 (!) candidates at the start and now only a dozen remain. The Iowa Caucuses are scheduled for Feb 3, making Tuesday’s debate the last before the voters begin to weigh in.

There are 12 comments.

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  1. Jon1979 Lincoln
    Jon1979
    @Jon1979

    I think he’s using the Kamala Harris-Julian Castro metric, in that getting out now before any votes are tallied preserves his viability as a possible VP nominee. Once you start racking up those 1-2 percent or less vote totals in your home state or region, it lowers your marketability to the eventual nominee of being able to attract any new voters to the ticket.

    • #1
  2. Arahant Member
    Arahant
    @Arahant

    It really is interesting that there were 28 relatively big name candidates. (I’m betting that if one looked at the filings, one would find a hundred more nobodies.) We shall see what happens next.

    • #2
  3. Old Bathos Moderator
    Old Bathos
    @OldBathos

    Has anybody heard what T-Bone thinks about all this?

    • #3
  4. Jon1979 Lincoln
    Jon1979
    @Jon1979

    Old Bathos (View Comment):

    Has anybody heard what T-Bone thinks about all this?

    T-Bone is still in the race at least until Super Tuesday….

    • #4
  5. Western Chauvinist Member
    Western Chauvinist
    @WesternChauvinist

    The Dem primary just got significantly less entertaining. 

    • #5
  6. TBA Coolidge
    TBA
    @RobtGilsdorf

    It’s width is starting to look like its depth. 

    • #6
  7. J Ro Member
    J Ro
    @JRo

    Jon Gabriel, Ed.:

     

    That’s right, there were 28 (!) candidates at the start and now only a dozen remain. The Iowa Caucuses are scheduled for Feb 3, making Tuesday’s debate the last before the voters begin to weigh in.

    I still couldn’t identify 17 of the 28 candidates by their faces.

    • #7
  8. Arahant Member
    Arahant
    @Arahant

    J Ro (View Comment):
    I still couldn’t identify 17 of the 28 candidates by their faces.

    To quote Bernie Sanders out of context, “And that’s a good thing!”

    • #8
  9. Songwriter Inactive
    Songwriter
    @user_19450

    Here in Central Texas, we are being inundated with TV ads for Bloomberg. He was just here in the state, campaigning. But if he is not even making the cut for the Iowa debate, why is he campaigning like Waco, Texas is a do-or-die political battleground? Maybe he’s not as smart as his campaign ads say he is. What am I missing?

    • #9
  10. WI Con Member
    WI Con
    @WICon

    Jon1979 (View Comment):

    Old Bathos (View Comment):

    Has anybody heard what T-Bone thinks about all this?

    T-Bone is still in the race at least until Super Tuesday….

    He’s meeting Corp Pop there.

    • #10
  11. Old Bathos Moderator
    Old Bathos
    @OldBathos

    Songwriter (View Comment):

    Here in Central Texas, we are being inundated with TV ads for Bloomberg. He was just here in the state, campaigning. But if he is not even making the cut for the Iowa debate, why is he campaigning like Waco, Texas is a do-or-die political battleground? Maybe he’s not as smart as his campaign ads say he is. What am I missing?

    Bloomberg ads are everywhere. Normal campaigns have to conserve resources by carefully selecting ad targets. Bloomberg is apparently opting for a carpet-bombing strategy to raise his floor of support and create buzz. 

    If Bloomberg actually gets any delegates to the convention, the per-delegate cost will be astronomical. I guess he figures if he establishes a presence and a vaguely positive image and name-awareness, that if and when the nutballs ahead of him implode, he will be the next one up. His biggest problem is that Steyer has an overlapping strategy.

    • #11
  12. Jon1979 Lincoln
    Jon1979
    @Jon1979

    Songwriter (View Comment):

    Here in Central Texas, we are being inundated with TV ads for Bloomberg. He was just here in the state, campaigning. But if he is not even making the cut for the Iowa debate, why is he campaigning like Waco, Texas is a do-or-die political battleground? Maybe he’s not as smart as his campaign ads say he is. What am I missing?

    I think the idea is that Texas has a lot of delegates, but is a fairly conservative state, even on the Democratic side, with the Latino population which votes that way, as opposed to the Bernie/Liz/Mayor Pete types in the Austin/Dallas/Houston inner city liberal hubs. Bloomberg’s problem is he’s probably better known to people outside NYC for his most progressive crusades of banning guns and sodas, not his strict anti-crime policies or support for charter schools, so it’s really going to take a ton of advertising to lure those people over (Beto did do well in the Latino areas in 2018. But Beto also didn’t run on the same hard-core progressive issues in ’18 against Cruz he ran on during his train wreck of a presidential run).

    • #12

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