Playing Chinese Checkers

 

Two conservative voices on Hong Kong yesterday, starting with Friend of Ricochet, Annika Rothstein:

Then Josh Hammer, Editor-at-Large at The Daily Wire:

No one (to my knowledge) is suggesting boots on the ground in Hong Kong, but it really shouldn’t be too much to ask POTUS to provide meaningful rhetorical and moral support to democratic protesters (literally) standing athwart Chinese Communist Party tyranny. There are likely other substantive measures we can take, too, that are short of boots on the ground. I hope to elaborate later this week.
This leads to the inevitable question? What is “meaningful rhetoric” without the will to back it up? I believe that’s called “drawing a red line” like Mr. Obama did in Syria. We know how that turned out.
So, what are the “substantive measures?” Is the crowd that has invested almost four years into the arguments that tariffs and Orange Man bad ignorant of basic economics now going to suggest that we slap economic sanctions against China? American jobs and American prosperity is not worth economic gamesmanship but Hong Kong is? And possibly American military lives?
Published in Foreign Policy
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  1. Bryan G. Stephens Thatcher
    Bryan G. Stephens
    @BryanGStephens

    Stad (View Comment):

    Not to pick and choose, but Taiwan has a much stronger argument for our support than Hong Kong. My guess is Chinese tanks will eventually do to the Hong Kong protests as they did in Tiananmen Square: wipe any resistance off the map.

    Yep

    • #31
  2. Ed G. Member
    Ed G.
    @EdG

    Front Seat Cat (View Comment):

    What about the rest of the world – our allies? THE UN? Are they standing up for Hong Kong? Remember the strong, behind the scenes collaboration between Thatcher, Pope John Paul II and Reagan against communism? They had courage and appeasement was not in their veins. Like ISIS, if it’s ignored, it spreads it poisonous tentacles further and further. The Soviets had a plan to roll through Western Europe and Poland was ground zero.

    Which allies are in a position to matter in such a cold war with China? Which are willing? Hell, is our own country willing to use our “stick” in the same way and extent it was back then?

    Besides, since Reagan our willingness and ability (and support) to use our stick has been diminishing inversely proportional to the volume of our talking. I’m for moral clarity too, but good words without resolve to use our stick is worse than saying nothing at all IMO. 

    Anyway, I think that President Trump is already on the way to treating China on a more antagonistic basis than we’ve been doing for the last several decades. 

    • #32
  3. Ed G. Member
    Ed G.
    @EdG

    Mark Camp (View Comment):

    Steve C. (View Comment):

    In 1953, East Germans in Berlin took to the streets to revolt against the the East German government and their Soviet puppet masters.

    The East Germans were crushed by the Red Army.

    President Eisenhower did nothing.

    In 1956, the Hungarian people revolted against the communist government and took over.

    The Hungarian revolt was crushed under the treads of Red Army tanks.

    President Eisenhower did nothing.

    In 1968, the hardline Communist government of Czechoslovakia was replaced in a soft coup.

    The Prague Spring ended with an intervention by Warsaw Pact forces.

    President Johnson did nothing.

    In 1989, the Red Chinese massacred hundreds of their own citizens. Peaceful protesters in Tiananmen Square.

    President Bush did nothing.

    Sometimes doing nothing, as distasteful as it may be, is the only realistic alternative.

    The question is not about whether a man who is powerless should exert power he doesn’t have. It is about whether he should speak out in protest against the persecution of his innocent, powerless brothers, in spite of his own powerlessness against evil. Only a cynic defines virtue as respect for evil as long as it is powerful. A brave man speaks even if it means his own death.

    True. However, a nation is not a man, and a president of a nation must be prudent so as to ensure that his nation doesn’t risk death for moral clarity. Even a brave man should be prudent – living to fight another day is often the wiser course for the man and for the cause of good.

    • #33
  4. Mark Camp Member
    Mark Camp
    @MarkCamp

    EJHill (View Comment):

    Remember when the United States had a bipartisan policy not to sell debt or send our manufacturing base to a Communist country?

    You are getting ahead of yourself.  The United States Government isn’t quite yet the same as the United States.  The manufacturing base owned by the people of the United States still isn’t completely the property of the United States Government, neither according to our courts, nor in practice.

    Be patient, Grasshopper.  You’re winning.  You just haven’t won yet.

    • #34
  5. JimGoneWild Coolidge
    JimGoneWild
    @JimGoneWild

    Options:

    -Trump could fly to HK and stand with the residents

    -Trump could talk about HK and China every day. Throw light on it every chance he gets.

    -Cut China out of all E-7 to E-22 conferences. 

    -Ratchet up tariffs on China.

    -Send China ambassador home.

    -Kick all China students out of the USA. Many are spies anyway.

    -Point out over and over again, to US voters, that this, the state of HK, is the face of Socialism.

    • #35
  6. EJHill Podcaster
    EJHill
    @EJHill

    JimGoneWild:

    -Trump could fly to HK and stand with the residents

    Are you going to fly Air Force One in there with how many US fighter escorts violating Chinese air space?

    -Ratchet up tariffs on China.

    That’s called “Thursday” at the Trump White House. Pretty sure he was going to do that anyway.

    • #36
  7. Percival Thatcher
    Percival
    @Percival

    • #37
  8. Western Chauvinist Member
    Western Chauvinist
    @WesternChauvinist

    Percival (View Comment):

    Now we’re talkin’!

    • #38
  9. Jon1979 Inactive
    Jon1979
    @Jon1979

    What bee there is in Trump’s bonnet about China is linked to trade and tariffs more than it is to any sense of overtly working to preserve the freedoms on Hong Kong. So the only way to handle this is probably to tie the Hong Kong situation to the overall China trade policy with the U.S. and the world.

    The fact that Hong Kong acts as a conduit for much business in and out of China is a cudgel the U.S. could hold over China’s head — make the already rough relations between the two counties even rougher if China opts to go the full Tiananmen Square route in Hong Kong, while selling it to Trump as a way for him to get more overall support for his trade positions with the Chinese. If China’s economy really is on a downhill slide right now, Xi and the rest of the leadership might not want to have even more onerous trade restrictions imposed by Trump and tied to human rights violations in Hong Kong. That would give the president a moral high ground he doesn’t have right now with a lot of people, when the fight is simply over economic issues (though if the leadership wanted to, they probably could simply cave to Trump on trade now, go in and silence dissent in Hong Kong and then a few months from now start going back to what they were doing in the first place that got them into the trade battle with the president. Trump’s nature of personalizing everything would likely make him do a victory lap over the deal, and let slide anything Xi did to the protestors in the immediate aftermath).

    • #39
  10. Zafar Member
    Zafar
    @Zafar

    Control is a bigger deal for the CCP than the trade deal (which is pretty big). Think Tiananmen.

    • #40
  11. Hang On Member
    Hang On
    @HangOn

    What a bunch of sentimentalists.

    Trump has tied the trade deal to the fate of Hong Kong. <sarcasm> But of course, he’s doing nothing. </sarcasm>

    The other thing he could do is to get ready for a couple of million refugees if things go sour, which they probably will. Finally we will get asylum seekers who are worth having.

    • #41
  12. Western Chauvinist Member
    Western Chauvinist
    @WesternChauvinist

    Hang On (View Comment):
    The other thing he could do is to get ready for a couple of million refugees if things go sour, which they probably will. Finally we will get asylum seekers who are worth having.

    Yes.

    • #42
  13. Clifford A. Brown Member
    Clifford A. Brown
    @CliffordBrown

    Front Seat Cat (View Comment):

    China has been gaining power on the backs of the free world while strengthening their strangling communist choke hold, while smiling for photo ops with our president and other world leaders. They have built islands in the Pacific to claim a strategic advantage, stolen intellectual collateral worldwide and have no qualms about it, manipulated their currency, shut down any kind of worship among Christians, demolishing churches and using cameras and scanners to control the population to keep them in line. While past presidents have tried to extend fair trade policies and advocate for human rights, they’ve been ignored, probably laughed at, while tightening the noose and gaining more power.

    Hong Kong is only as free and an ally as long as she can remain free from China. I hope Trump will stand up for freedom.

    Hong Kong is not an ally. It is a Chinese coastal city with an unenforceable temporary special status. It only has kept an appearance of independence so long as it has been in the Chinese Communist Party’s interest.

    • #43
  14. Clifford A. Brown Member
    Clifford A. Brown
    @CliffordBrown

    Bryan G. Stephens (View Comment):

    James Lileks (View Comment):
    OTOH, it would give false comfort, inasmuch as it suggested that moral support might mean actual support. I think we could have helped the Iranian insurrection, but there’s little we can do here.

    Yes. It is sad and horrible. The UK should not have sold the people of HK out.

    How did their defense of Singapore go? The U.K. had no power to stop the PLA after WWII. That is why PM Thatcher signed a face saving agreement with the PRC.

    • #44
  15. Clifford A. Brown Member
    Clifford A. Brown
    @CliffordBrown

    Mark Camp (View Comment):

    A man of honor would not be silent in the face of such barbaric behavior.

    But men of honor* are Out of Stock, and we’re all complacently coasting on the results of past sacrifices by past honorable leaders and followers, thinking our life of ease and peace will last forever in a country without honor, and without any production of, or even production plans for, future men–men and women, if you like–of honor.

     

    * * * * * * * *

    * Maggie Thatcher was a one of this group…it’s not a reference to the male sex.

    Except it was Prime Minister Thatcher’s government  that signed the merely face saving deal handing over Hong Kong to the Chinese Communists. 

    • #45
  16. Bryan G. Stephens Thatcher
    Bryan G. Stephens
    @BryanGStephens

    Clifford A. Brown (View Comment):

    Bryan G. Stephens (View Comment):

    James Lileks (View Comment):
    OTOH, it would give false comfort, inasmuch as it suggested that moral support might mean actual support. I think we could have helped the Iranian insurrection, but there’s little we can do here.

    Yes. It is sad and horrible. The UK should not have sold the people of HK out.

    How did their defense of Singapore go? The U.K. had no power to stop the PLA after WWII. That is why PM Thatcher signed a face saving agreement with the PRC.

     Did the UK own Singapore and lose a fight with the Chinese over it?

    • #46
  17. Zafar Member
    Zafar
    @Zafar

    Singapore was part of the British Empire.  It was occupied by the Japanese during WWII.

    Singapore became a separate independent country in 1965, when the local Chinese totally took it. (They’re the majority.)

    • #47
  18. Bryan G. Stephens Thatcher
    Bryan G. Stephens
    @BryanGStephens

    Zafar (View Comment):

    Singapore was part of the British Empire. It was occupied by the Japanese during WWII.

    Singapore became a separate independent country in 1965, when the local Chinese totally took it. (They’re the majority.)

    That does not seem like the same thing to me, at all. 

    • #48
  19. Zafar Member
    Zafar
    @Zafar

    Bryan G. Stephens (View Comment):

    Zafar (View Comment):

    Singapore was part of the British Empire. It was occupied by the Japanese during WWII.

    Singapore became a separate independent country in 1965, when the local Chinese totally took it. (They’re the majority.)

    That does not seem like the same thing to me, at all.

    That’s the closest it gets.  Lost it to the Japanese, but then they got it back for a bit.  Now I think that Singas is in China’s orbit, but no hot war type thing.   

    • #49
  20. Hang On Member
    Hang On
    @HangOn

    Zafar (View Comment):

    Bryan G. Stephens (View Comment):

    Zafar (View Comment):

    Singapore was part of the British Empire. It was occupied by the Japanese during WWII.

    Singapore became a separate independent country in 1965, when the local Chinese totally took it. (They’re the majority.)

    That does not seem like the same thing to me, at all.

    That’s the closest it gets. Lost it to the Japanese, but then they got it back for a bit. Now I think that Singas is in China’s orbit, but no hot war type thing.

    Depends on what you mean and it’s pretty questionable. US Navy uses Changi in Singapore all the time and Singapore uses US air bases. 

    • #50
  21. The Cloaked Gaijin Member
    The Cloaked Gaijin
    @TheCloakedGaijin

    EJHill:

    Two conservative voices on Hong Kong yesterday, starting with Friend of Ricochet, Annika Rothstein:

    Trying to force the Chinese Communists bad guys to “lose face in a public manner” might not be the best idea either.

    Tough situation.

    Trump will get blamed by the Left forces of the West no matter what he does.

    • #51
  22. Steve C. Member
    Steve C.
    @user_531302

    The Cloaked Gaijin (View Comment):
    Trump will get blamed by the Left forces of the West no matter what he does.

    Unemployment falls to lowest level in decades.

    Women and minorities hit hardest.

    • #52
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