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“The world has been chilling sharply for about twenty years. If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but eleven degrees colder in the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us into an ice age.”
— Kenneth Watt, Ecologist, Earth Day 1970
Science is settled. All those people talking about global warming are science deniers! Glaciers are coming for us… slowly.
Climate predictions and climate science are in an extremely primitive state. The modeling systems in common use are still ignoring major factors, such as solar activity and cloud formation, and cannot retrodict (predict the past) with accuracy. They often make use of poorly justified correction factors, which tend to always point toward global warming or whatever the cause du jour is.
This is not really a conspiracy, outside of stuff like Climategate (hide the decline, anyone?). All it takes to skew science is to have a lot of clout at the granting agencies. Scientists live and die by grants, so the evidence presented will be interpreted so as to get published and support their next grant proposal.
The way to get around this is to look at the actual papers, and the evidence and methodology presented. While you can do a lot with statistics, people should be able to replicate your results and look over your method. A proper challenge to scientific orthodoxy starts there, like the talented folks posting at WattsUpWithThat or Climate Audit.Published in