Your Big Prediction for 2014

 

At the end of today’s Ricochet podcast, James asked all of us what our big predictions for 2014 were. Mine: Republicans will take control of the Senate.

Will it happen? I don’t know, but the fact that President Obama is appointing Senator Max Baucus our Ambassador to China— and thereby putting an incumbent Democrat in a Montana seat that otherwise would have been vacant come next November—tells me that the White House doesn’t find the notion implausible. 

How about you? What’s your big prediction for 2014?

Image of Mayan humiliation via Shutterstock

Published in General
Like this post? Want to comment? Join Ricochet’s community of conservatives and be part of the conversation. Join Ricochet for Free.

There are 60 comments.

Become a member to join the conversation. Or sign in if you're already a member.
  1. Profile Photo Inactive
    @BrentB67

    Republicans are introduced to political realty, again, and fail to learn anything:

    1. Obama isn’t on the 2014 ballot so his record disapproval rating means nothing.

    2. Obamacare is the epic fail Ted Cruz and others said it would be, but because Paul Ryan is too busy growing the budget his talent on healthcare policy is wasted.

    3. Republicans propose no alternative and reap no benefits from Obamacare’s implosion.

    4. Republican’s pass some form of amnesty tied to E-verify and finish off whoever was left to reliably vote for them. 

    5. The same consultants/pollsters that predicted President Romney in 2012 are back whispering republicans pick up seats in the Senate and hold the House.

    6. The republican platform in 2014 = “It will be worse if the democrats take this back.”

    6. Conservatives/Activists/Tea Parties are so dispirited by republican cowardice and Boehner’s pouting since 2010 many don’t bother to vote in 2014.

    7. Republicans pick up LA and NC Senate seats from well run state campaigns.

    8 Conservative/Right wing apathy results in republicans losing the House. 

    • #31
  2. Profile Photo Inactive
    @BrentB67
    Mike LaRoche: Despite GOP gains in the House in the 2014 election, John Boehner is ousted as Speaker. · 1 hour ago

    And I will buy you dinner at Nick & Sam’s or Perry’s if this happens. 

    • #32
  3. Profile Photo Inactive
    @Neolibertarian
    BrentB67: Neolibertarian. If gasoline goes to $5 it will touch $2.5 first. · 7 hours ago

    Yes, I see what you mean now.

    And I agree. Actually, I’m afraid $2.99 (where it’s been hovering at gas stations near me) is a sign of just how anemic the US/World economy has become (not just a function of the Bakken).

    $2.50 would FORCE Russia into an invasion of Georgia, just to boost prices.

    Iran would also be pressured into attempting some stunt to boost spot sweet crude prices.

    Both are nearly single export economies. Prices go up or they die.

    A return to $1 gasoline forced Saddam to invade Kuwait, after all. And he knew, he either invaded Kuwait or he was done, anyway.

    • #33
  4. Profile Photo Contributor
    @FrankSoto
    BrentB67: Republicans are introduced to political realty, again, and fail to learn anything:

    1. Obama isn’t on the 2014 ballot so his record disapproval rating means nothing.

    The presidents approval rating is an import metric in predicting a party’s success in mid term elections.  If the president is unpopular, his party gets crushed.

    • #34
  5. Profile Photo Inactive
    @Casey

    By the end of 2014, I will have read all of my 2013 National Reviews.

    • #35
  6. Profile Photo Member
    @CuriousKevmo

    Republicans gain 5 seats in the Senate creating what is effectively a 50-50 split.  Joe Manchin switches parties, giving the R’s a slight majority.

    • #36
  7. Profile Photo Inactive
    @MikeLaRoche
    BrentB67

    Mike LaRoche: Despite GOP gains in the House in the 2014 election, John Boehner is ousted as Speaker. · 1 hour ago

    And I will buy you dinner at Nick & Sam’s or Perry’s if this happens.  · 49 minutes ago

    Deal.

    • #37
  8. Profile Photo Inactive
    @MikeLaRoche
    1967mustangman

    Mike LaRoche: The Seattle Seahawks win the Super Bowl and the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Championship. · 16 minutes ago

    Nonsense! This will be the year that Paul Allen’s misery ends as the Blazers finally win their second championship.   · 1 hour ago

    Better hope there isn’t another Memorial Day Miracle!

    • #38
  9. Profile Photo Listener
    @FricosisGuy

    The Fed will do a better job that we imagine withdrawing the taper and the economy will do surprisingly well.

    Under pressure from its donor class, the GOP and a moderate Dem (say Manchin) will offer insurance companies a lifeline — call it Son of TARP — as part of a Obamacare “replace” proposal. It will not be “filibusterable” because it’s a budget bill, enough Dems will go along that it passes, and Obama will sign begrudgingly (at least publicly). Privately, he’ll be ecstatic. Obamacare will be locked in.

    Strangely enough, the air goes out of the GOP Senate surge and it does not retake the Senate.

    And no one was ever going to challenge Boehner in the first place.

    • #39
  10. Profile Photo Member
    @

    pain.jpg

    Nuff said

    • #40
  11. Profile Photo Inactive
    @jkumpire

    1. The US Government under the constitution will come to an end to be replaced by a bureaucratic/socialist/authoritarian state rules by executive decree. This will happen even if the Republicans win the House and Senate majorities in the election. The President will ignore the other two branches of government overtly, and no one will do anything about it. 

    2. The US government will replace Obamacare and transition to a single-payer health system, mostly by executive decree.

    3. Iran and North Korea will get a working nuclear bomb. 

    4. The US will slip into recession and the EU will fall apart due to the Euro. Italy and Greece will withdraw from the Euro first.

    5. There will be a major Islamic terrorist attack in the US or Europe.

    6. Assad will fall in Syria.

    • #41
  12. Profile Photo Inactive
    @BrentB67
    jkumpire: 1. The US Government under the constitution will come to an end to be replaced by a bureaucratic/socialist/authoritarian state rules by executive decree. This will happen even if the Republicans win the House and Senate majorities in the election. The President will ignore the other two branches of government overtly, and no one will do anything about it. 

    2. The US government will replace Obamacare and transition to a single-payer health system, mostly by executive decree.

    3. Iran and North Korea will get a working nuclear bomb. 

    4. The US will slip into recession and the EU will fall apart due to the Euro. Italy and Greece will withdraw from the Euro first.

    5. There will be a major Islamic terrorist attack in the US or Europe.

    6. Assad will fall in Syria. · 1 minute ago

    And they accuse me of pessimism. Though it is hard to argue with some things on this list.

    • #42
  13. Profile Photo Contributor
    @SonofSpengler
    Neolibertarian: The East China Sea becomes a brief war zone next summer. China easily establishes hegemony and Japan is humiliated. China uses the Senkaku Islands to threaten Taiwan.

    This strengthens the new wave of Chinese nationalism Beijing has been attempting stoke since 2008.

    Obama and Kerry announce substantive agreements with China which end the crisis.. The agreement includes official recognition of China’s rights to the Senkakus.

    Russia knows that time is running out on the Obama Free For All Zone. It occupies Georgia again, and “allows” it to join the Federation.

    Gasoline in the US reaches $5 a gallon.

    People who formally had health insurance begin to die from not seeking treatment.

    The recession of 2007-2009 was small potatoes.

    Chicago declares bankruptcy. There’s a mass exodus out of New York City due to de Blasio’s ludicrous policies. This causes New York to seek  bankruptcy protections. Chain reaction bankruptcies  ripple through northern cities all across the US.

    Illinois defaults on its bonds.

    DJIA falls to 8000.

    Then things start to get bad.

    Neolibertarian, it’s as if you were inhabiting my head.

    • #43
  14. Profile Photo Member
    @ScottR

    Obama delays the employer mandate another year.

    Lebron rejoins the Cavaliers.

    • #44
  15. Profile Photo Inactive
    @WhiskeySam

    The South will rise again!

    • #45
  16. Profile Photo Inactive
    @skipsul

    1.  The Cleveland Indians will, again, fail to take the pennant.

    2.  The Reds will, again, fail to take the pennant.

    3.  After a down year, my business will have a better 2014.

    4.  The media will begin open calls for Obama to run for a 3rd term.

    5.  Hollywood will begin open calls for Obama to become a dictator.

    6.  Chris Matthews “Leg Tingle” will require amputation.

    7.  As more people are kicked onto Medicaid, and thus forfeiting their assets to the fed (Medicaid is actually a loan), the media will blame the Republicans for… something.

    8.  In October, as it becomes apparent that the Dems will lose the Senate, Obama will invade Syria.  The Dems will retain the Senate and gain seats in the House.

    9.  In December, Obama announces currency controls and a Cyprus-Style “haircut” on all US savings.

    10.  In December, Obama announces the he is nationalizing the airlines and restricting travel without NSA pre-clearance.

    11.  After this, Obama announces he has declared all major ISPs as “too big to fail” under Dodd Frank, and awarding their assets to Comcast / NBC.

    12.  Comcast CEO is appointed national internet Czar.

    • #46
  17. Profile Photo Inactive
    @MikeLaRoche
    Whiskey Sam: The South will rise again! · 22 minutes ago

    Yee-haw!!!

    • #47
  18. Profile Photo Member
    @

    Here’s a real one:

    http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2013/12/19/Cruz-House-Republicans-pushing-amnesty-ensuring-Harry-Reid-Dems-keep-Senate

    • #48
  19. Profile Photo Inactive
    @Neolibertarian

    The East China Sea becomes a brief war zone next summer. China easily establishes hegemony and Japan is humiliated. China uses the Senkaku Islands to threaten Taiwan.

    This strengthens the new wave of Chinese nationalism Beijing has been attempting stoke since 2008.

    Obama and Kerry announce substantive agreements with China which end the crisis.. The agreement includes official recognition of China’s rights to the Senkakus.

    Russia knows that time is running out on the Obama Free For All Zone. It occupies Georgia again, and “allows” it to join the Federation.

    Gasoline in the US reaches $5 a gallon.

    People who formally had health insurance begin to die from not seeking treatment.

    The recession of 2007-2009 was small potatoes.

    Chicago declares bankruptcy. There’s a mass exodus out of New York City due to de Blasio’s ludicrous policies. This causes New York to seek  bankruptcy protections. Chain reaction bankruptcies  ripple through northern cities all across the US.

    Illinois defaults on its bonds.

    DJIA falls to 8000.

    The press suddenly realizes there’s an unemployment epidemic going on in the US…since 2008.

    Who knew?

    Then things start to get bad.

    :-)

    • #49
  20. Profile Photo Inactive
    @BrentB67

    Neolibertarian. If gasoline goes to $5 it will touch $2.5 first.

    • #50
  21. Profile Photo Inactive
    @jkumpire

    I am sorry, but I need to amend one of my predictions, because it is coming true already:

    As many of you know late Thursday night HHS and the Administration started the ‘fire sale’ on catastrophic coverage for so many who were cancelled and can’t get insurance through he exchanges.  They have already sewed the seeds of the collapse of the private health insurance market with this illegal rule-making.

    By the time the one year hardship provision expires supposedly Obamacare is fixed, people can get insurance easily,  several walking dead Democrats in the Senate will survive by more lies about the program, and the insurance companies who crawled into bed with the Administration in 2009/2010 will be so close to bankrupt or so co-opted by the Administration they will easily be nationalized.

    Obama will fix the crisis by a decree nationalizing the system and the Republicans will be powerless to stop him.

      Sorry about the error.

    • #51
  22. Profile Photo Inactive
    @BrentB67
    Neolibertarian

    BrentB67: Neolibertarian. If gasoline goes to $5 it will touch $2.5 first. · 7 hours ago

    Yes, I see what you mean now.

    And I agree. Actually, I’m afraid $2.99 (where it’s been hovering at gas stations near me) is a sign of just how anemic the US/World economy has become (not just a function of the Bakken).

    ….

    Geo political risk is real, relevant, and persistent. We have to contend with it daily.

    From a pure supply/demand perspective there is tremendous imbalance, arguably historic imbalances developing upstream. The only outlet for those imbalances is refined product export(s), specifically ultra low sulfur diesel fuel and blend stock gasoline.

    The imbalances are manifesting themselves in very odd ways in energy markets.

    Absent a geo political disruption (Iran tests a nuke, etc.) I think we can see gasoline lower and will certainly see WTI crude oil lower.

    • #52
  23. Profile Photo Inactive
    @BrianMcMenomy
    1967mustangman

    Mike LaRoche: The Seattle Seahawks win the Super Bowl and the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Championship. · 16 minutes ago

    Nonsense! This will be the year that Paul Allen’s misery ends as the Blazers finally win their second championship.   · 6 hours ago

    One right out of 2, I’m afraid.  Yes, of course the Seahawks will win the Super Bowl, but I’m afraid that the NBA Championship will go to… (and this really sucks as someone who saw this team’s star in another uniform, once upon a time)…the Oklahoma City Thunder. 

    And no, I didn’t enjoy saying that; I grew up on “Rip City”, Bill Walton, Maurice Lucas and the rest.  The Blazers have appeared just a bit too much out of nowhere (although their Western Conference final against the Thunder should be a doozy).  There is next season, however…

    • #53
  24. Profile Photo Inactive
    @Licurgus

    Full scale riots in the USA with unstopable live and recorded footage via the web. American spring.

    • #54
  25. Profile Photo Inactive
    @EThompson
    EThompson: Mitt will convince Ann to take one more stab at it in 2016 and hire Lee Atwater’s ghost to run his campaign.

    DocJay: Some members of this administration are brought up on charges or resign in disgrace over corruption.  Well, a guy can dream can’t he.

    Yes.

    • #55
  26. Profile Photo Inactive
    @ScottAbel

    Peyton-Manning-Thumbs-Up-Broncos.gif

    DEAL WITH IT

    • #56
  27. Profile Photo Inactive
    @Neolibertarian

    Duck Dynasty 2014 season opener (probably on A&E with Phil ) pulls in 30 million viewers.

    • #57
  28. Profile Photo Inactive
    @ScottAbel
    Neolibertarian: The East China Sea becomes a brief war zone next summer. China easily establishes hegemony and Japan is humiliated. China uses the Senkaku Islands to threaten Taiwan.

    This strengthens the new wave of Chinese nationalism Beijing has been attempting stoke since 2008.

    Obama and Kerry announce substantive agreements with China which end the crisis.. The agreement includes official recognition of China’s rights to the Senkakus.

    Russia knows that time is running out on the Obama Free For All Zone. It occupies Georgia again, and “allows” it to join the Federation.

    Gasoline in the US reaches $5 a gallon.

    People who formally had health insurance begin to die from not seeking treatment.

    The recession of 2007-2009 was small potatoes.

    Chicago declares bankruptcy. There’s a mass exodus out of New York City due to de Blasio’s ludicrous policies. This causes New York to seek  bankruptcy protections. Chain reaction bankruptcies  ripple through northern cities all across the US.

    Illinois defaults on its bonds.

    DJIA falls to 8000.

    The press suddenly realizes there’s an unemployment epidemic going on in the US…since 2008.

    Is this a memo from zombie Tom Clancy?

    • #58
  29. Profile Photo Inactive
    @SalvatorePadula

    Scotland will vote against independence from the UK, disappointing diehard Braveheart fans and (secretly) the Conservative Party.

    • #59
  30. Profile Photo Member
    @HartmannvonAue

    1. The coalition between the CDU/CSU and the SPD will collapse leading to new elections in Germany. Either the AfD (Alternative fuer Deutschland) or a resurgent FDP will gain ground. So will the Greens, at the cost to the SPD. The CDU/CSU and one of the other two conservative parties will form a new coalition government without any of the left parties leaving the left in a strong minority position. 

    2. Israel will attack Iran. Or it will be attacked by Iran. Either way, the unstable situation finally explodes.

    3. China….well, see Neolibertarian’s predictions above.

    4. A&E goes bankrupt owing to the boycott and a series of lawsuits brought by the Robertson family and ends the year in receivership. Meanwhile, the Robertsons achieve higher ratings than ever on their new network. 

    5. Republicans pick up majorityship in the senate and expand their lead in the House, thanks in no small part to the ongoing Obamacare disaster and unexpectedly smart campaigning on the pro-life issue in key states (LA, MO, IN, AK). 

    6. Most of these predictions prove wrong. 

    • #60
Become a member to join the conversation. Or sign in if you're already a member.