The Good and the Bad News for Trump from Last Night

 

A Democrat-controlled House will prove to be a headache for the Trump administration, as David French explained last night on Twitter:

As returns were still coming in, House Democrats began leaking to reporters that their first plan of attack would be to subpoena President Trump’s tax returns. The House Democrats elected are of a more radical class, and these aren’t folks who will step easily into the fray; they’re jumping in with both feet. And that can work to President Trump’s advantage.

President Trump operates best when he’s on the defensive and playing victim. Under constant siege from House Democrats, especially if their investigations are overreach, President Trump will have ready-made talking points for 2020 about being the subject of a witchhunt by Democrats stymying his efforts to Make America Great Again.

In a strange twist of fate, the Democrats winning the House could seal President Trump’s reelection campaign if House Democrats overplay their hand, which, as we saw in the Senate with now Justice Kavanaugh, is standard in the Trump-era.

But Ben Shapiro has some bad news for the Trump reelection campaign:

If the reelection took place last night, the Rust Belt may not have delivered for Trump in the same way it did in 2016.

With the end of the 2018 midterms, the 2020 campaign has begun. A great deal depends on how extreme a candidate Democrats put forward, but the tea leaves regarding Trump’s reelection campaign are just as murky this morning as they were last night.

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  1. Miffed White Male Member
    Miffed White Male
    @MiffedWhiteMale

    RufusRJones (View Comment):

    Mollie Hemingway in The Federalist, today.

    Judiciary Committee ranking member Rep. Jerrold Nadler, D-N.Y., revealed plans for House Democrats to investigate and impeach Justice Brett Kavanaugh for alleged perjury and investigate and impeach President Donald Trump for alleged treasonous collusion with Russia.

    Technically, Kavenaugh can’t be impeached even if it can be proven that every word he spoke during his hearings was 100%, knowingly false.

    According to the Constitution, judges serve “during good behavior”.  As long as he doesn’t do anything once in office, he can’t be removed.

     

    • #61
  2. Western Chauvinist Member
    Western Chauvinist
    @WesternChauvinist

    Miffed White Male (View Comment):

    RufusRJones (View Comment):

    Mollie Hemingway in The Federalist, today.

    Judiciary Committee ranking member Rep. Jerrold Nadler, D-N.Y., revealed plans for House Democrats to investigate and impeach Justice Brett Kavanaugh for alleged perjury and investigate and impeach President Donald Trump for alleged treasonous collusion with Russia.

    Technically, Kavenaugh can’t be impeached even if it can be proven that every word he spoke during his hearings was 100%, knowingly false.

    According to the Constitution, judges serve “during good behavior”. As long as he doesn’t do anything once in office, he can’t be removed.

    Which doesn’t mean the Dems won’t try. Fidelity to the Constitution/law is not their strong suit.

     

    • #62
  3. DrewInWisconsin Member
    DrewInWisconsin
    @DrewInWisconsin

    Western Chauvinist (View Comment):

    Fidelity to the Constitution/law is not their strong suit.

    Knowledge of the Constitution isn’t their strong suit.

    • #63
  4. James Gawron Inactive
    James Gawron
    @JamesGawron

    DrewInWisconsin (View Comment):

    Ben Shapiro:

    Dems won in WI, MI, and PA. If Trump loses those states, he loses re-election.

    RyanFalcone (View Comment):
    The wavering of Mi, Wi and PA is tough to swallow.

    The only “wavering” in WI was the gubernatorial election. And in a state controlled by the Teachers’ Unions, it’s not too surprising that State Superintendent of Schools Tony Evers did well. It’s very surprising he (allegedly) won. (That last minute “discovery” of 47,000 uncounted ballots in Milwaukee remains suspicious. But we are the original “Deep State” here. And as Hugh Hewitt says, “If it’s not close, they can’t cheat.” Walker couldn’t get past the margin of fraud.)

    Other than that, everything else in this state remains as it was prior to the election. Both houses of our legislature remain controlled by Republicans (hopefully checking Evers’ attempts to return to budget deficits and high unemployment. We still have the same number of GOP Representatives and Senators as we had before. As hard as it is for me to swallow the idea of Tony Evers as our governor (:: vomit ::) I can’t agree that the results from here looked particularly bad for President Trump in 2020. The red areas remained Red. The blue areas remained Blue. Paul Ryan’s district stayed Red. There was a slight blue-ward shift in rural counties in the southwest, but otherwise, the electoral maps for Governor 2018 and President 2016 are, county-by-county, almost the same. Also, the electoral maps for Scott Walker’s re-election in 2014 is, again, almost the same.

    The difference this time appears to be turnout. (And isn’t that the key?) Everyone I talked to yesterday and today mentioned just how packed the polling places were. Walker got 35,000 more votes in 2018 than he did in 2014. But Tony Evers got more than 200,00 votes more than did Walker’s opponent in 2014. And still, if you take away the mysteriously-appearing-at-1:00 am uncounted 47,000 Milwaukee votes, Evers and Walker were in a virtual tie all evening.

    In short, I think nothing’s really changed here. We’re as reddish-purple as ever. But I wouldn’t mind if Illinois annexed Milwaukee and Madison.

    Drew,

    What wonderful world. False accusations of wrongdoing have become the stock & trade of the left. Meanwhile, a fraud so obvious, stealing an election for real, is just let go. Why isn’t there an investigation? I’m sure there was absolutely no reason that the votes in Milwaukee shouldn’t have been turned in before 1 am. This is the oldest trick in the book and the dirtiest.

    Regards,

    Jim

    • #64
  5. Seawriter Contributor
    Seawriter
    @Seawriter

    Folks, there is impeachment and conviction.

    Impeachment is done in the house and sends a bill of impeachment to the Senate for trial.  If any Federal official except the President is impeached, the trial is presided over by the Vice President. If the President is impeached the trial is presided over by the Chief Justice. It takes a 2/3rds vote by the Senate to convict.

    My question: If Brett Kavenaugh is impeached how long do you think it would take before he is acquitted by this Senate? My bet the majority of the trial would be taken up examining the accusers to expose their bad faith. Complete with referrals to the Justice Department for perjury if they lie under oath. Including referrals against Representatives. (There could be no conviction, but as the saying goes you can beat the rap – but you cannot beat the ride.) This goes doubly since the Senate sets up the rules for an impeachment trial.

    With the President it may take a little longer to get an acquittal, since the Chief Justice will be running things, but it won’t take much longer. Certainly one of the things that can be done is take a vote to end the trial via a directed verdict of not guilty – which since the Republicans hold the majority, would pass.

    It would be a clown show that would make the Kavanaugh hearings look dignified.

    • #65
  6. Mister D Inactive
    Mister D
    @MisterD

    DrewInWisconsin (View Comment):

    Ben Shapiro:

    Dems won in WI, MI, and PA. If Trump loses those states, he loses re-election.

    RyanFalcone (View Comment):
    The wavering of Mi, Wi and PA is tough to swallow.

    The only “wavering” in WI was the gubernatorial election. And in a state controlled by the Teachers’ Unions, it’s not too surprising that State Superintendent of Schools Tony Evers did well. It’s very surprising he (allegedly) won. (That last minute “discovery” of 47,000 uncounted ballots in Milwaukee remains suspicious. But we are the original “Deep State” here. And as Hugh Hewitt says, “If it’s not close, they can’t cheat.” Walker couldn’t get past the margin of fraud.)

    Other than that, everything else in this state remains as it was prior to the election. Both houses of our legislature remain controlled by Republicans (hopefully checking Evers’ attempts to return to budget deficits and high unemployment. We still have the same number of GOP Representatives and Senators as we had before. As hard as it is for me to swallow the idea of Tony Evers as our governor (:: vomit ::) I can’t agree that the results from here looked particularly bad for President Trump in 2020. The red areas remained Red. The blue areas remained Blue. Paul Ryan’s district stayed Red. There was a slight blue-ward shift in rural counties in the southwest, but otherwise, the electoral maps for Governor 2018 and President 2016 are, county-by-county, almost the same. Also, the electoral maps for Scott Walker’s re-election in 2014 is, again, almost the same.

    The difference this time appears to be turnout. (And isn’t that the key?) Everyone I talked to yesterday and today mentioned just how packed the polling places were. Walker got 35,000 more votes in 2018 than he did in 2014. But Tony Evers got more than 200,00 votes more than did Walker’s opponent in 2014. And still, if you take away the mysteriously-appearing-at-1:00 am uncounted 47,000 Milwaukee votes, Evers and Walker were in a virtual tie all evening.

    In short, I think nothing’s really changed here. We’re as reddish-purple as ever. But I wouldn’t mind if Illinois annexed Milwaukee and Madison.

    One of my concerns from 2016 was the number of “missing” Her votes in states like Michigan. I still think that a big factor in Trump’s victory was that dems were caught napping. They assumed Her would win, many didn’t like Her after the primaries (and all the other stuff) so they were content to not vote in the presidential, or vote Green. Now they take Trump seriously I don’t think you can expect that to happen again, and the more Trump is Trump, the harder it will be for him to tap new voters.

    • #66
  7. Acook Coolidge
    Acook
    @Acook

    Western Chauvinist (View Comment):

    Acook (View Comment):

    Nobody has mentioned what happened in Colorado yesterday. Sickening. I think everybody was prepared for openly gay Democrat Jared Polis to win governor, but the Republicans fielded outstanding candidates for Attorney General and Secretary of State (an incumbent), and they both lost to weak, inexperienced candidates. Sad. Democrats won statewide offices down the line and both houses of the legislature. I have even heard that one county sheriff who was an incumbent and an exceptionally good sheriff lost. Our conversion to a deep blue state is complete, fueled mainly by the Denver/Boulder liberals, since much of the rural areas of the state remain conservative, but the population of Denver/Boulder is getting hard to beat. We had an anti-fracking measure on the ballot that fortunately failed, thanks to some of the rural areas voting 85-15 against it, which is what it takes to overcome Denver voting for it. But I hear some of the oil and gas companies are already looking to move out, since everyone figures Polis will work against fracking one way or another. This is all very depressing. My little corner here is somewhat conservative, so I see sad faces today.

    Terrible. Where are you @acook? I’m in the Springs. Polis with a D legislature? We’re in for a world of hurt. We’ll need to get out before Colorado becomes California of the Rockies because our daughters need serious healthcare. I’ve been here since 1983. Mr. C longer than that. Sad, and not sure where we’ll go.

    We are in Castle Rock. We’ve been here since ‘68, college, met at DU, seen lots of changes. Talking with a friend last night, we don’t want to go farther north, don’t want to be Texans, it’s too hard to buy beer in Utah, quite a conundrum! Tennessee maybe?

    • #67
  8. Western Chauvinist Member
    Western Chauvinist
    @WesternChauvinist

    Acook (View Comment):

    Western Chauvinist (View Comment):

    Acook (View Comment):

    Nobody has mentioned what happened in Colorado yesterday. Sickening. I think everybody was prepared for openly gay Democrat Jared Polis to win governor, but the Republicans fielded outstanding candidates for Attorney General and Secretary of State (an incumbent), and they both lost to weak, inexperienced candidates. Sad. Democrats won statewide offices down the line and both houses of the legislature. I have even heard that one county sheriff who was an incumbent and an exceptionally good sheriff lost. Our conversion to a deep blue state is complete, fueled mainly by the Denver/Boulder liberals, since much of the rural areas of the state remain conservative, but the population of Denver/Boulder is getting hard to beat. We had an anti-fracking measure on the ballot that fortunately failed, thanks to some of the rural areas voting 85-15 against it, which is what it takes to overcome Denver voting for it. But I hear some of the oil and gas companies are already looking to move out, since everyone figures Polis will work against fracking one way or another. This is all very depressing. My little corner here is somewhat conservative, so I see sad faces today.

    Terrible. Where are you @acook? I’m in the Springs. Polis with a D legislature? We’re in for a world of hurt. We’ll need to get out before Colorado becomes California of the Rockies because our daughters need serious healthcare. I’ve been here since 1983. Mr. C longer than that. Sad, and not sure where we’ll go.

    We are in Castle Rock. We’ve been here since ‘68, college, met at DU, seen lots of changes. Talking with a friend last night, we don’t want to go farther north, don’t want to be Texans, it’s too hard to buy beer in Utah, quite a conundrum! Tennessee maybe?

    I have lots of conservative family back in Ohio. I think we should all agree on a state and turn it redder. Give us a little buffer from the leftist hoard for a while.

    • #68
  9. Stad Coolidge
    Stad
    @Stad

    Western Chauvinist (View Comment):
    Think of the people now heading up the leadership and committees in the House: Pelosi, Nadler, Waters, Schiff… OMG, America. What were you thinking??!

    I think the operative phrase is, “Why weren’t you voting?”

    • #69
  10. Stad Coolidge
    Stad
    @Stad

    RufusRJones (View Comment):

    Gumby Mark (View Comment):

    RufusRJones (View Comment):

    LOL

    Top Democrats couldn’t even keep the freak flag in check for 18 hours. They’re already scheming to sic the FBI on Brett Kavanaugh for having the audacity to exist.

    Should I send a letter to my new Congresswoman, the commie-moron-half a crimewave at all times-anti-semite Ilhan Omar, to tell her to hurry up on this impeachment of Kavanagh?

    Isn’t that the gal who married her brother to get him into the country?

    Yes. The level of legal chaos surrounding this chick is mind boggling, and the state controlled media does jack about it.

    When she isn’t being an anti-semite, she’s spewing out hackneyed socialites tripe. It’s unreal.

    Good thing she’s a cute Muslim.

    Unbelievable . . .

    • #70
  11. Stad Coolidge
    Stad
    @Stad

    Western Chauvinist (View Comment):

    Miffed White Male (View Comment):

    RufusRJones (View Comment):

    Mollie Hemingway in The Federalist, today.

    Judiciary Committee ranking member Rep. Jerrold Nadler, D-N.Y., revealed plans for House Democrats to investigate and impeach Justice Brett Kavanaugh for alleged perjury and investigate and impeach President Donald Trump for alleged treasonous collusion with Russia.

    Technically, Kavenaugh can’t be impeached even if it can be proven that every word he spoke during his hearings was 100%, knowingly false.

    According to the Constitution, judges serve “during good behavior”. As long as he doesn’t do anything once in office, he can’t be removed.

    Which doesn’t mean the Dems won’t try. Fidelity to the Constitution/law is not their strong suit.

     

    I almost hope the House Democrats try something like impeachment of Kavanaugh of Trump.  Not only will the effort fail in the Senate, but I think our fellow Ricochetti (forgot who) who theorized in a post the House needed a “Kavanaugh event” to show how bad House Democrats were is correct.

    If the House Dems move for impeachment, it will likely come back to haunt them in 2020.

    • #71
  12. RufusRJones Member
    RufusRJones
    @RufusRJones

    Just to be clear on this Omar marrying her brother thing:  Scott Johnson from powerline blog did a bunch of good work on this. He’s a lawyer. And then there’s a journalist in New York, that has done some more lately. I think that is on PJ media. She has never responded directly to any of allegations these guys make. Now that the election is over, she really doesn’t have an excuse. I don’t know how the immigration authorities can ignore it, but maybe they can.

    • #72
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