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In Iran / Syria last week:
- President Trump withdrew from the Iran deal.
- Iran responded by firing missiles into Israel.
- Israel responded by destroying much of Iran’s military assets in Syria.
- Russia responded by announcing that on second thought they would not be sending arms to Iranian forces in Syria. That is, they were reducing their support for Iran in Syria.
- Saudi Arabia’s proxy Bahrain explicitly affirmed the rights of all states, including Israel, to defend themselves. A remarkable comment from a country that doesn’t recognize the state of Israel.
A few days earlier Bahrain and UAE were Tweeting their happiness to be in Jerusalem to participate in an international bike race. This is new.
With Hamas on Monday:
- Hamas sent tens of thousands to riot and attempt to breach the Israeli border, with the express stated goal of trying to kill Israeli civilians on the other side.
- Israel fought back.
- The United States government stood firmly with Israel.
- Much of Western media revealed their depravity, but no one who mattered was particularly moved.
- Egypt ordered Hamas to stop.
Hamas’ efforts can only succeed if they convince the Israeli left or the US to stop Israel from winning. That’s not happening.
We’re learning a few things about President Trump:
- He deals with the bosses, not their proxies. In this case, Russia, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia.
- His goal is we win, you lose. When you’re ready to sue for surrender, we can talk. We’ll even let you save face.
- He stands with his allies.
- He enjoys standing up to the “international community” and “the experts.”
- He apologizes to no one.
Those traits may be over the top when dealing with McCain and Morning Mika but they are mostly fantastic when dealing with Iran and Hamas.
Meanwhile the Saudi Arabian crown prince has been semi-publicly calling on the Palestinians to take whatever deal they’re offered.
The New York Times (a former newspaper) is calling on Palestinian Authority President Abbas to step down following nasty comments about Jews and the Holocaust.
The Times’ willingness to suddenly stop lying about Abbas should encourage us on other issues too. It’s like when they suddenly realized that Russia was flawed. One day maybe they’ll realize the same about Marxism. But I digress. The Times calling for Abbas to be replaced is further indication that a deal is being forged with some other “Palestinian leaders.”
Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Israel, and the United States seem to have mostly worked out the contours of a peace deal which they and some Palestinian leaders will sign. It won’t be a final status Messianic Utopian all-is-solved deal. But it will likely include an official end to hostilities between Israel and some of her Arab neighbors, even if not immediate full normalization. It will bring greater freedom and prosperity, though not much democracy, to Palestinians and other Arabs across the region. It’s apparently not many months away.
Of course it could still all go to hell. But right now it’s looking awfully promising.