Your friend Jim George thinks you'd be a great addition to Ricochet, so we'd like to offer you a special deal: You can become a member for no initial charge for one month!
Ricochet is a community of like-minded people who enjoy writing about and discussing politics (usually of the center-right nature), culture, sports, history, and just about every other topic under the sun in a fully moderated environment. We’re so sure you’ll like Ricochet, we’ll let you join and get your first month for free. Kick the tires: read the always eclectic member feed, write some posts, join discussions, participate in a live chat or two, and listen to a few of our over 50 (free) podcasts on every conceivable topic, hosted by some of the biggest names on the right, for 30 days on us. We’re confident you’re gonna love it.
Good story.
That’s how I buy lottery tickets – 2 tickets twice a week is $4. For my $4, I get a lot of fun dreaming about what I would do (and how I would handle it.) Very cheap entertainment.
Great post. My nickname is Lucky but never won the lottery. Of course you need to play to win.
Well done.
Thank you.
That’s an excellent final sentence. Nicely done.
You can’t win if you don’t play.
You won’t win if you do play.
Except…
My ex-brother-in-law* won $1,000,000 ($680,000 after taxes) in the Powerball a couple years ago. It was the one where three or four tickets split something like a billion dollar prize. If he’d had the last number he’d have had an equal share.
He did a nice job of managing it. Took a year off, bought a fixer-upper house and remodeled it, bought a new truck and equipment for his landscaping business. I think his one extravagance was a fancy-freaky motorcycle. And he got a couple dogs.
*My Sister-in-law (they were divorced a few years earlier) was *pissed*!
Nice. My wife and I buy them when we are on the road. One or two each time we fill up the gas tank. We get hours of enjoyment talking about how we would spend the money. Sometimes we don’t even check the results.
I bet.
Thank you. This was an exercise in taking a break from writing my books. I had no idea where it was going. Was the old guy looking for someone to take over his foundation? Was he going to give away the money? I really didn’t know as I was writing it. Divine inspiration is what it is so very often. It was a story that wanted to be told and was looking for a channel.
@arahant Did you ever see the movie The Cooler?
Never even heard of it. I just read the one-line synopsis, and it already sounds like fun.
I just saw it a couple weeks ago. It’s good. Alec Baldwin may be a human toothache, but he’s a hell of an actor. And anything with William Macy is watchable.
Some significant sex scenes in it, so don’t watch it with the kids.
In real life, you might want to avoid getting into limos with strange old men. Just sayin.
The closest thing I’ve got to kids are these:
And they don’t tend to watch movies with us.
Trust me, friend, this is nothing like real life.
I agree. Just watched the trailer, too. It does look like fun.
I’m not yet convinced that you are real life.
Good story though.
I’ll save you the math. (Not that you couldn’t do it if you wanted to.) I ran the numbers for my wife when the Powerball rules changed a couple years ago. The break even point, where you would expect to win $2 for the cost of a $2 ticket, is when the jackpot is $490M. Now that doesn’t count the odds of splitting the jackpot, because I don’t have the data on expected ticket sales, but under the current structure the odds of splitting are modest for any realistic number (less than 100M) of tickets sold. Buying a second ticket nearly halves your expected ROI, so when the jackpot reaches $500M or so, you can spend $2 on a ticket and feel pretty good about the math.
So what do you do for fun then?
Him? He gets into limos with strange old men. Wants to keep the three blondes and a redhead to himself. And the aforementioned old man.
Don’t bother. Combinatorics is one of my favorite branches of math.
Cinnamon schnapps?
What a great story. Thank you.
Try it. You’ll hate it.
Not all dollars are equal.
These days, when you wouldn’t cross the street to pick up a dollar bill, we can discount the ‘cost’ of a ticket to essentially zero; it has zero impact on your life. Similarly, winning several million (assuming you can keep it anonymous, which you probably can, if you plan ahead a bit — not before you win, of course, planning doesn’t take much time) can change your life completely, an infinite impact.
So: zero outlay, infinite return. The math works out perfectly. As long as you aren’t allergic to division by zero.
I buy lottery tickets occassionally, too, and also for the daydreams. It doesn’t hurt that Georgia’s constitution mandates the money must be spent on pre-K or post-high-school education and nothing else. I’m not real regular about it — maybe $60 a year. Always with really big jackpots, as I can compute the break-even point, too.
According to official inflation calculators, a dollar is worth about four percent of what it used to be. That is negligible if one has a fair number of them passing through one’s pockets and accounts. However, if one is barely scraping by, I would not suggest playing the lottery with any expectation of even breaking even. Actually, that’s true for everyone, no matter how much money they have. As I said, if one is using it as a form of entertainment with reasonable limits, it can be inexpensive entertainment. $1 and one ticket can spur a thousand dreams. But if you’re in it for the money, you’d better be a state official earning your salary by running or auditing the things.
The size of the payout does not change the odds of the game. The number of players/tickets sold may change two things: the size of the jackpot (which does not change the other prizes or odds of winning per number combination on a ticket) and the number of players on average likely to be on a given number combination that wins. The odds are determined by how the numbers are selected. If my brain is functioning correctly and looking at the rules of Powerball at the moment, the odds of any given combination is 69*68*67*66*65*26/120=292,201,338. Having more players or more tickets purchased does not change one’s chance of winning with any given combination. It only changes the overall chances that someone will win.
Oh, and since the tickets are $2 for Powerball, to ensure a win, you would need to spend $584,402,676 to cover every combination. However, you cannot be guaranteed that others will not also get the jackpot winning number, so you will have to split the prize.