Recommended by Ricochet Members Created with Sketch. Happiness Abounds; Confidence Soars!

 

Well I certainly am not tired of Winning yet. I think the changes going on in American sentiment are directly related to the last election. People are starting to believe in the greatness of America again, and they are feeling confident and happy. I know I have been smiling a lot more over the last year than I did in the previous eight!

So now we see this good feeling showing up in the surveys. Here is a nice story from Bloomberg:

Consumer Sentiment in U.S. Unexpectedly Surges to 13-Year High

U.S. consumer sentiment unexpectedly surged to a 13-year high as Americans’ perceptions of the economy and their own finances rebounded following several major hurricanes, a University of Michigan survey showed Friday.

When you’re talking about a decade and a half since we felt this good, you have to accept that things really are turning around!

Sentiment index rose to 101.1 (est. 95), highest since Jan. 2004, from 95.1 in September

Current conditions gauge, which measures Americans’ perceptions of their finances, jumped to 116.4, highest since Nov. 2000, from 111.7

Expectations measure increased to 91.3, highest since Jan. 2004, from 84.4

Some takeaways:

The jump in sentiment, which was greater than any analyst had projected, may reflect several trends: falling gasoline prices following a hurricane-related spike; repeated record highs for the stock market; a 16-year low in unemployment; and post-storm recovery efforts driving a rebound in economic growth.

The advance in the main gauge spanned age and income subgroups as well as partisan views, according to the report. Almost six out of every 10 consumers thought the economy had recently improved in early October, the university said.

There was a little bit of “extra information” at the end that I thought was worth showing here, too:

83 percent of respondents saw buying conditions for household durables as favorable, most in more than a decade; positive vehicle-buying attitudes at 75 percent, highest since 2004

Consumers saw inflation rate in the next year at 2.3 percent after 2.7 percent the prior month

Inflation rate over next five to 10 years seen at 2.4 percent after 2.5 percent in September

I know for myself, I see businesses everywhere that are flourishing. Help wanted signs are popping up all over the place too.

We will keep winning, and then we’re going to really win in 2018!

There are 63 comments.

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  1. Hypatia Inactive

    Love it!

    If you watch the MSM, you’re like someone locked in a dark room who’s being told the sun has been extinguished. Weeping, wailing, afraid–whyncha look out the window?!?  In reality, it’s a beautiful day.

    • #1
    • October 13, 2017, at 9:03 PM PDT
    • 15 likes
  2. JcTPatriot Inactive
    JcTPatriot

    Hypatia (View Comment):
    Love it!

    If you watch the MSM, you’re like someone locked in a dark room who’s being told the sun has been extinguished. Weeping, wailing, afraid–whyncha look out the window?!? In reality, it’s a beautiful day.

    It’s a beautiful YEAR, my friend. In one week, we will have completed 9 full months of the Trump Presidency. None of the terrible things forecasted by the Left, or the MSM, but I repeat myself, have happened. Every doom-and-gloom prediction has turned out to be false. Women are not being – well, I don’t know exactly what the Women’s March people were saying would happen, but it was supposed to be terrible, and it hasn’t happened. Gays are not being rounded up and sent to gulags like Maddow said. All these terrible things just haven’t happened.

    Things are – actually and truly – much better than they were a year ago. Much better, by any standard you choose. Imagine how much better their lives would be if they would only open their eyes and look around!

    • #2
    • October 13, 2017, at 9:35 PM PDT
    • 10 likes
  3. The Reticulator Member

    I’m not happy about that inflation rate.

    • #3
    • October 13, 2017, at 10:17 PM PDT
    • Like
  4. Randy Webster Member

    I just checked. The inflation rate is 2.2%, 0.2% more than the target rate. So it’s slow motion government theft rather than just hitting you over the head with a billy club and taking your money. Why slow motion theft (2% inflation) is better than no theft (0% inflation), no one has ever been able to explain to me.

    • #4
    • October 14, 2017, at 2:44 AM PDT
    • 5 likes
  5. Hypatia Inactive

    Remember pious Jimmy Carter and “stagflation”?

    • #5
    • October 14, 2017, at 4:26 AM PDT
    • 4 likes
  6. Randy Webster Member

    Hypatia (View Comment):
    Remember pious Jimmy Carter and “stagflation”?

    I was trying to earn a living then.

    • #6
    • October 14, 2017, at 4:40 AM PDT
    • 3 likes
  7. Larry Koler Inactive

    The Reticulator (View Comment):
    I’m not happy about that inflation rate.

    Inflation is a response to growth. It’s important to not worry about it so much that the government thinks it has to “fix” things. We have to settle into a healthy feedback loop on the economy and let things stabilize.

    • #7
    • October 14, 2017, at 7:00 AM PDT
    • Like
  8. The Reticulator Member

    Larry Koler (View Comment):

    The Reticulator (View Comment):
    I’m not happy about that inflation rate.

    Inflation is a response to growth. It’s important to not worry about it so much that the government thinks it has to “fix” things. We have to settle into a healthy feedback loop on the economy and let things stabilize.

    It’s the wrong response, and due to govt trying to fix things.

    • #8
    • October 14, 2017, at 7:04 AM PDT
    • Like
  9. The Reticulator Member

    The Reticulator (View Comment):

    Larry Koler (View Comment):

    The Reticulator (View Comment):
    I’m not happy about that inflation rate.

    Inflation is a response to growth. It’s important to not worry about it so much that the government thinks it has to “fix” things. We have to settle into a healthy feedback loop on the economy and let things stabilize.

    It’s the wrong response, and due to govt trying to fix things.

    For example, I’m opposed to the inflation deliberately caused by the fed’s bond-buying program – something it had no business doing.

    • #9
    • October 14, 2017, at 7:12 AM PDT
    • 3 likes
  10. Bryan G. Stephens Thatcher
    Bryan G. Stephens Joined in the first year of Ricochet Ricochet Charter Member

    I’ll take the growth. I too don’t think fixed inflation is a given, but this is what we have.

    • #10
    • October 14, 2017, at 7:13 AM PDT
    • 1 like
  11. Larry Koler Inactive

    I’m a little confused guys: Inflation is a normal thing. It’s the shadow behind growth.

    • #11
    • October 14, 2017, at 7:31 AM PDT
    • 6 likes
  12. Larry Koler Inactive

    The Reticulator (View Comment):

    Larry Koler (View Comment):

    The Reticulator (View Comment):
    I’m not happy about that inflation rate.

    Inflation is a response to growth. It’s important to not worry about it so much that the government thinks it has to “fix” things. We have to settle into a healthy feedback loop on the economy and let things stabilize.

    It’s the wrong response, and due to govt trying to fix things.

    I’m not sure this is true. Inflation has other causes, too.

    • #12
    • October 14, 2017, at 7:44 AM PDT
    • 2 likes
  13. The Reticulator Member

    Here is a screenshot from a Business Insider article.


    It suggests to me that inflation is correlated more with the growth of government than the growth of the economy.

    • #13
    • October 14, 2017, at 7:57 AM PDT
    • 4 likes
  14. Larry Koler Inactive

    The Reticulator (View Comment):
    Here is a screenshot from a Business Insider article.


    It suggests to me that inflation is correlated more with the growth of government than the growth of the economy.

    Government can make it worse that’s for sure. My point is that it is never zero — that’s all.

    • #14
    • October 14, 2017, at 7:59 AM PDT
    • 4 likes
  15. The Reticulator Member

    Larry Koler (View Comment):
    Government can make it worse that’s for sure. My point is that it is never zero — that’s all.

    If we had 0.2 percent inflation, I wouldn’t consider it worth complaining about.

    • #15
    • October 14, 2017, at 8:04 AM PDT
    • 3 likes
  16. JcTPatriot Inactive
    JcTPatriot

    Larry Koler (View Comment):
    I’m a little confused guys: Inflation is a normal thing. It’s the shadow behind growth.

    Exactly, Larry. Inflation actually helps business, which needs all the help it can get after 8 years of Obummer.

    I say 2.2% is actually good, because if business can’t get a little price growth, they will decrease the size of the package or the size of the product. That’s still inflation. If a business has to cover the rising cost of insurance, regulations, fuel, etcetera, how else do they do it?

    • #16
    • October 14, 2017, at 8:10 AM PDT
    • 2 likes
  17. Mike H Coolidge

    Optimism is good news, we just have to be wary of what happens after everyone gets happy and optimistic…

    • #17
    • October 14, 2017, at 8:30 AM PDT
    • 9 likes
  18. John Hanson Thatcher

    So buy when despondent and sell when euphoric, such a simple rule! :-(

    • #18
    • October 14, 2017, at 9:20 AM PDT
    • 12 likes
  19. Phil Turmel Coolidge

    John Hanson (View Comment):
    So buy when despondent and sell when euphoric, such a simple rule! :-(

    You don’t mean clothes or shoes or knick-knacks, I presume. Just to be clear to a certain subset of the audience…. (-:

    • #19
    • October 14, 2017, at 9:42 AM PDT
    • 2 likes
  20. Randy Webster Member

    You’ve met me, Phil. You should know I’m only partly a dumbass.

    • #20
    • October 14, 2017, at 9:46 AM PDT
    • 3 likes
  21. The Reticulator Member

    JcTPatriot (View Comment):
    If a business has to cover the rising cost of insurance, regulations, fuel, etcetera, how else do they do it?

    One. Rising prices are not necessarily the same thing as inflation.

    Two. How did they manage between the civil war and wwi, which was a time of huge growth and little or no inflation?

    • #21
    • October 14, 2017, at 10:17 AM PDT
    • 2 likes
  22. Rodin Member

    B-b-b-b-b-but Black Lives Matters! The Resistance! War on Women! Tweeting! Collusion!….

    • #22
    • October 14, 2017, at 10:55 AM PDT
    • 5 likes
  23. Profile Photo Member

    Let’s put it in perspective. This chart covers January 1913 – September 2017:

    • #23
    • October 14, 2017, at 11:10 AM PDT
    • 4 likes
  24. Randy Webster Member

    What’s the perspective? That there’s been inflation almost every year since the Fed was created to control it?

    • #24
    • October 14, 2017, at 11:39 AM PDT
    • 2 likes
  25. JcTPatriot Inactive
    JcTPatriot

    The Reticulator (View Comment):

    JcTPatriot (View Comment):
    If a business has to cover the rising cost of insurance, regulations, fuel, etcetera, how else do they do it?

    One. Rising prices are not necessarily the same thing as inflation.

    Two. How did they manage between the civil war and wwi, which was a time of huge growth and little or no inflation?

    Ok then, I guess you convinced me. I’ll be grumpy that the thing that cost me a dollar last year now costs me a dollar and two cents. But I’m blaming Putin!

    • #25
    • October 14, 2017, at 2:14 PM PDT
    • 4 likes
  26. Randy Webster Member

    JcTPatriot (View Comment):

    The Reticulator (View Comment):

    JcTPatriot (View Comment):
    If a business has to cover the rising cost of insurance, regulations, fuel, etcetera, how else do they do it?

    One. Rising prices are not necessarily the same thing as inflation.

    Two. How did they manage between the civil war and wwi, which was a time of huge growth and little or no inflation?

    Ok then, I guess you convinced me. I’ll be grumpy that the thing that cost me a dollar last year now costs me a dollar and two cents. But I’m blaming Putin!

    How about I made it through 7 years of school (college at a very expensive school, and law school at Tennessee) owing $3k? I did it by working in the summers. No one can do that now.

    • #26
    • October 14, 2017, at 2:21 PM PDT
    • 2 likes
  27. Robert McReynolds Inactive

    Larry Koler (View Comment):
    I’m a little confused guys: Inflation is a normal thing. It’s the shadow behind growth.

    It’s not necessarily a normal thing. One of the greatest periods of economic expansion in American history was also accompanied by deflation. This time period also brought us a 25% increase in wages and many technological innovations that allowed for a shorter work day/week and greater production. This period was the late-Victorian era between 1876 and 1910 according to Prof. Jackson Lears. The Left begrudgingly has to point this out because it is pretty much the up-ender of all their Keyensian BS. There were hardly any labor unions, particularly in the early decades of this period, no income tax, and no central bank and the U.S. was leaps and bounds more free during this time.

    • #27
    • October 15, 2017, at 6:36 AM PDT
    • 4 likes
  28. I Walton Member

    The Reticulator (View Comment):
    I’m not happy about that inflation rate.

    If the economy really does take off because of new investment, we have to watch inflation carefully. The money base has ballooned but the supply has been restrained by stagnation. The monetary base could explode into money. We’ll have to be ready to cut spending and allow interest rates to climb again don’t you think?

    • #28
    • October 15, 2017, at 6:37 AM PDT
    • 2 likes
  29. Robert McReynolds Inactive

    Thomas Anger (View Comment):
    Let’s put it in perspective. This chart covers January 1913 – September 2017:

    There is actually a lot in this graph. You can chart when the US ended a major military excursion, when the economy had a tremendous downturn, and when the people began to think they were coming out of it. But over the course of the chart the trend line has been virtually the same, just above zero percent.

    • #29
    • October 15, 2017, at 6:39 AM PDT
    • 2 likes
  30. Robert McReynolds Inactive

    Larry Koler (View Comment):

    The Reticulator (View Comment):

    Larry Koler (View Comment):

    The Reticulator (View Comment):
    I’m not happy about that inflation rate.

    Inflation is a response to growth. It’s important to not worry about it so much that the government thinks it has to “fix” things. We have to settle into a healthy feedback loop on the economy and let things stabilize.

    It’s the wrong response, and due to govt trying to fix things.

    I’m not sure this is true. Inflation has other causes, too.

    I would say the number one cause of inflation since the FED has been manipulation of money supply and detaching that money supply from a fixed source of value, gold for instance. If you can “pump” any amount of currency into the market with no constraints on how much or how that currency is valued, then your inflation from “other causes” become negligible.

    • #30
    • October 15, 2017, at 6:42 AM PDT
    • 3 likes

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