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The Supreme Court has just heard oral argument in the highly anticipated case of
On a related note, here is an article on the difficulty of drawing districts algorithmically given America’s political geography:
https://www.citylab.com/equity/2013/02/why-computers-alone-cant-eliminate-corruption-redistricting/4790/
Blah blah blah, Ginger. I wish I understood this stuff better. I suppose I’ll keep reading up on it and hope something sticks.
Thanks for the post, anyway!
Interesting article.
It seems that there are two competing interests. Legislatures are told they must gerrymander to ensure that minorities can achieve representation, but are then are told they can’t gerrymander to achieve advantage in legislative districts.
Drawing district lines is about as political as it gets, which is why the courts should stay out of it.
I agree the courts should leave this to the political process (unless some other violation of law or the Constitution occurs).
Couldn’t you argue that allowing this kind of gerrymandering forces, or at least should force, political parties to try to appeal to voters outside their base – to form different coalitions?
If the shoe were on the other foot, and Republicans were challenging Democrat gerrymandering, I’m sure we would hear some argument like this from the left: “Well, if Republicans don’t like how the lines are drawn, they should make an effort to broaden their appeal. It’s not our fault they’ve moved so far to the right that they don’t appeal to voters in certain areas anymore. They can’t go crying to the courts to protect them from everyday politics. They should just try to compete for those voters.” So, I think that should be the response to Democrats – if they are upset that no one is voting for them in rural areas, and so it’s easy for Republicans to gerrymander, then they should moderate and try to appeal to those voters. They shouldn’t look to the courts to protect their leftward drift.
The ‘one man- one vote ” ruling has been a disaster for states like California, granting near control of the legislature to the urban counties.
Previously like the structure of the US Congress, the State Assembly of California was based on a proportional system where each duly registered voter got a proportional vote in the election of his or her State Assemblyman based upon a near equally sized assembly district. But in the California State Senate, much like the Senate of the United States, each county elected just one State Senator, again proportionally but only within the confines of the particular county. This system affected a system of ‘checks and balances” where the urban voter preferences that dominated the State Assembly were balanced by preferences of the smaller counties in the State Senate.
Many complained that the weight of the voters within the small few thousand strong rural counties counted far more than the then 6 million plus strong LA County. However, passing legislature was always meant to a struggle – a process that was supposed winnow out bad laws. Now the desires of the “cow counties” are overwhelmed and virtually ignored by the desires of the corrupt and often illegal alien dominated urban counties, which has led to several decades of truly bad governance in the State.
Did he say that, or did he say “mete?”
I think Donald Trump just gerrymandered America…3d checkmate!
Frank,
I’m going to be the contrarian in this. I am amazed at the number of people who just take self-driving cars for granted. This is an incredibly difficult automation application. I don’t think we’ve seen the mayhem yet when the early models really start killing people. Meanwhile, I find it ludicrous that a computer program couldn’t randomly form districts according to any algorithm that the courts see fit. I can’t possibly understand how the interests of voters should be left to be exploited by political parties. The courts should most certainly involve themselves in this process and employ computers to make the final choices.
The courts have imposed SSM by judicial fiat yet they can’t handle the difficult task of sorting out gerrymandering?? This total hogwash is exactly what’s wrong. Our overlords invade areas of life they have no business in and they avoid responsibility for those things for which they are the natural arbiter.
Regards,
Jim
Thanks for the link to that article.
I have long wished that congressional districts and state legislative districts were drawn along lines that gave high priority to honoring county/parish/township and other local governmental boundaries. I never had any illusions that that an algorithm that did that would be the end of the problem, but did not know that the problem had been looked at as thoroughly as described in the article.
So in the end, it’s a political process. I’ve just now been playing in my head with possibilities that draw from arbitration processes where each side gets to propose a settlement and the arbiter must choose one or the other of the proposals. The idea is to motivate the two sides to propose reasonable settlements.
But if a state legislature allowed each legislator who wanted to to propose a redistricting plan, and there was some voting process, perhaps a multi-step voting process, by which the one that got the most votes won, a legislative majority that maintained strict party discipline would probably result in gerrymandered districts not much different from the ones that are contentious now.
As others have pointed out, the calculation of the efficiency gap basically boils down to “the loser is always gerrymandered out” because all of the votes they lose in close elections also count as “wasted.”
Basically, this argument boils down to “we can’t win elections, so we demand the court save us.”
The court didn’t accept this when Republicans were objecting the Democratic gerrymanders, they shouldn’t start now.
Why do you want to turn a political process over to the judicial branch? The results where this has been tried should be a warning not to do more of it.
There’s something about this debate that bothers me but I have a hard time putting it into words, though I think it’s related to my point above about parties having to compete for every vote, as well as Sabredance’s point. What bothers me is the assumption that voters are that predictable – that when they cast their vote for congress or their state rep they are following the script dictated by their demographic category. They cannot be persuaded by any appeal to principles, reason, etc…I realize that statistically it can certainly look like that, but I like to think most voters do consider their votes with more care than those statistics lead us to believe, which means a candidate from a minority party always has some chance. This debate seems to take it as a foregone conclusion that the gerrymandering will always work just the way the majority party wants it to.
That is exactly right. The liberal plaintiffs in this case would have had a better case if they had challenged Democratic gerrymandering. As it is this strikes me as special pleading based on a well-grounded hope that the courts will be more liberal than the legislature of most of the states.
I had a somewhat different response to the article, though I did read it quickly. It seemed to me that they were pointing out that you can’t have an algorithm that produced neutral districts based on county/parish/township and other local governmental boundaries if you also include other demands such as guaranteed racial representation on a state basis. And that the more variables you add to achieve fairness, the more complex and difficult the process becomes. But they never addressed, or if they did I missed it, why an algorithm couldn’t be developed that divided a state into equal districts based as much as possible on existing communities. There’s probably still a fair bit of room for political games around the edges in terms of defining what constitutes a community.
But, I think this will probably be decided on a 5-4 vote calling it a political issue that is outside the Court’s expertise, mostly because the Court wouldn’t want to see the flood of litigation that would hit them every ten years after each census as parties litigate over the shape of the political map.
The article gave very little attention to the issue of existing political boundaries within a state, but did mention them as a factor. From the article I gather that there is no reason why an algorithm couldn’t be developed to give high priority to honoring those boundaries. And I wouldn’t be surprised if such algorithms have already been developed, given the number of people who have devised such algorithms. The problem is that it doesn’t keep it from being a political issue. We still have (or need) a political process to decide on which algorithm, and we still have (or need) a political process by which to accept the results, and we still have (or need) a political process by which to make revisions. That is going to be no less contentious than what we have right now.
As to deciding which political community boundaries need to be included, you have everything from counties or parishes (something every state has) to municipalities and down to school districts and lake homeowner associations. I’d propose that the boundaries of any district with its own taxing power be included. But there would still be the issue of how you weight those districts, and how you weight other considerations deemed by the courts to be important.
What we really would need to concentrate on is the political process by which these things are done. No algorithm can substitute for that, which is the point the article made.
Should concentration of votes not be the price to pay for the Left “owning” concentrated urban areas? Why should Milwaukee and Madison determine the make up of the legislative branch in Wisconsin? Ditto NYC for New York or Chicago for Illinois? I understand the desire for increased democracy–after all, it is the “American way” for the people’s voice to be heard during an election–but how fair is it to grant power to people stacked upon each other like fleas on a stray in a tightly concentrated geographic area?
The political processes are what decides how fair that is.
Robert,
Funny, if you really believed in the American Constitution and principles upon which it was founded you wouldn’t shy away from this issue. In fact, this is a totally fundamental issue that should be given the greatest concern. Concern that the founders would have given issues. To leave this issue to party hack bureaucrats is a crime in itself.
I suggest we spend a little less time on figuring out how many imaginary genders there are and a little more time on exactly this kind of issue.
Regards,
Jim
Agreed which is why I see no problem with gerrymandering as district design is the purview of the states.
Unless you’re a southern state, in which case it’s the purview of the DOJ.
Gentlemen,
I’ll try one more time. I worked hard on a congressional campaign for a very conservative Republican. The district was in Democratic hands though it was only rated +5 Democrat. It was a very tough uphill battle as the opponent was very able but we bested him by 3% and took the win.
The state legislature supposedly controlled by a Republican majority promptly gerrymandered and what had been a +5 Democratic district was now a +17 Democratic district an insurmountable difference. We have listened to nonsense about Russian hacking of the election now for 10 months. The total quantity of Russian influenced social media would be like a teaspoon full compared to the ocean. On top of that most of it was poorly written English and on top of that half of it would have helped Clinton anyway.
Meanwhile, in every single election in this country gerrymandering is thwarting the will of the people in serious incontestable ways. Yet, there isn’t the slightest inclination to do a thing about it. Sorry, but I’m not buying it. Dr. Epstein, Dr. Yoo, and every other professional legal mind in the country should work just a little harder and develop some guidelines at the very least. We could use the computer programs to identify dangerous cases of gerrymandering going on. At least people would realize what’s at stake and hold those pulling the nonsense accountable.
Regards,
Jim
It’s thwarting the will of some of the people and facilitating the will of others. The ways it is done and the remedies for it are all contestable.
I believe “competitive” districts are actively designed to unrepresented half the population on any given vote. This isn’t a direct democracy, we are choosing a representative.
The liberal districts, are properly constructed, and the people there are adequately represented.
Districts should be of uniform population, with the greatest internal homogeneity so as to ensure that the people are adequately represented.
Everything else is just politics, and trying to get the courts to change a factions fortunes.
Perhaps vote weight should be reflected in taxation proportion? So while people in urban areas have votes which don’t count as much as people in the country, the upside is that people in cities pay lower tax rates.
I think that would make everybody happier. No? It’s also an elegant way of addressing the whole taxation/representation thing.