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Agree on the general admiration of Trende as a neutral and usually good thinker; and agree that he got this one very wrong.
These candidates matter. They both plain stink and it’s primarily side effects of their presidency people want.
Of course Trump can win. Scotus , not Hillary, and whatever pablum the natives need. Their ya go.
They left out that HRC will be the first womyn POTUS. The historic aspect of her candidacy will cause her to rally and pull a larger percentage of her womyn minority support base, a minority base that actually outnumbers the majority. In addition a large number of men will want to vote for her to prove how open minded they are. In the end HRC walks away with this election in a landslide. I am not sure why people do not understand this.
I feel like I have read this comment from you several hundred times, FJJG….
My only response is: if so many people will vote for Hillary just because she is a woman, why did she have such a hard time closing the deal against an old white man among liberal voters?
The woman card will have some value, but this primary has shown that it’s not an ace when Hillary holds it.
Yeah. I’ve met a few people—women of a certain age, mostly—who care that she’s a woman…of a certain age…but most of the people I know who are planning to vote for Hillary are doing so because a.) they generally agree with general Democratic positions, kind of and b.) they find her somewhat less terrifying than Trump.
Hard time closing the deal? Against Sanders? Was there ever any doubt that she is the Democrat nominee? I never had one. Their whole primary process has been a yawn. The Dems are just getting their base good and wound up for its attack on the GOP. I notice there are only minor incidents with the Dems protesting each other but where ever DJT shows up a very energetic Dem protestors are there first. The Dems are just letting Sanders run the radical side and he is having fun doing it. A last hurrah of an old socialist and all that.
Yes, I have brought this topic up a couple of times. Nobody seems to want to talk about it. Everybody seems content beating on Trump or making excuses for him. Oddly the same points about Trump over and over ………
That’s funny – I’m planning to vote for Trump because a.) I generally agree with general Republican positions, kind of and b.) I find him somewhat less terrifying than Hillary.
We really can all get along!
I would hypothesize that a candidate’s gender is much more of a factor when the candidate is a Democrat.
That is, more people will vote for a Democratic Party candidate ‘just because she’s a woman’ then would vote for a Republican Party candidate ‘just because she’s a woman’.
Condi Rice’s gender wouldn’t be sufficient for her to beat a random Democratic Party male candidate, but Hillary’s gender might be enough for her to beat a random Republican Party male candidate.
Republican voters wouldn’t hold a female candidate’s gender against her. They simply wouldn’t consider it a top-10 reason to vote for her, let alone the #1 reason.
Democrats, on the other hand, are seemingly willing to forgive anything of a female candidate.
That’s interesting! H’mmm, yeah, maybe the Dems will forgive anything of a Dem. woman—but oh my, are they savage on GOP women!!
Look at Gov. Palin, remorselessly satirized as an airhead just cuz she’s pretty! Look, while we can still glimpse the episode in history’s rear view mirror, at their cruel, sexist, bullying treatment of Harriet Meirs (Bush’s counsel whose name he floated for SCOTUS). Look how it’s OK to make fun of Ann Coulter’s slenderness, call her a stick insect–even to suggest that she has a penis! ((Anomalous that the Left finds that so hilarious; you’d think to them, with their ruthless privileging of the allegedly transgendered, that would be a compliment, but no–it’s guffawed at like public toilet graffiti) .
Months ago I heard a black female “contributor” , Jemu somebody, call Trump a “douche bag” on a Sunday morning broadcast. She was not bleeped. No one even reacted. It was never mentioned by anyone.
So, I mean, if you’re a Dem, and you’re holding both the race card and the gender card–the sky’s the limit!
But those cards are both bottom of the deck if you’re a Republican. Remember the sexist, mean-spirited savaging of poor Mrs. Ben Carson.
ive said before, though–if it’s Trump v Clinton, I’m counting on sexism to save the day for the GOP.
As someone who has actually got people elected to office my general feelings are similar to Trendes. The only thing I disagree with his analysis is that I think Trumps appeal to blacks and natural celebrity will probably double on election day.
After Obama no one who isn’t going to vote Democratic is going to be in a general rush to vote for a ‘woman.’ They already went one better. Now its old hat.