Cruz Bests Trump in Latest Poll: Can We Believe It?

 

So, here it is — in the first national poll taken entirely after the most recent Republican debate — Ted Cruz leads Donald Trump 28% to 26%, and Marco Rubio comes in third at 17%.

I would like to believe it. It is a consummation devoutly to be wished. But is it plausible? Trump has been ahead now in 31 consecutive national polls.

This poll, conducted by NBC News and The Wall Street Journal could be an outlier. They do exist. It could also be an indication that Trump was badly wounded in the most recent debate when he blamed 9/11 on George W. Bush, claimed that the Bush administration had advance warning of the attacks, and Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio went after him with a meat cleaver.

I do not know. But hope springs eternal. If The Donald were to depart the scene in a huff, we could have a serious debate between Cruz and Rubio — the two most attractive figures who remain in the race.

Even if it is an outlier, this poll might have an impact on the South Carolina race. As I said, hope springs eternal.

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  1. Rightfromthestart Coolidge
    Rightfromthestart
    @Rightfromthestart

    Paul A. Rahe:

    Rightfromthestart:Why the h— do Republicans have open primaries? What is the matter with them?

    The notion was that, if you could get them to vote in your primary, they might vote for your candidate in the general election.

    That’s assuming the Democrats won’t infiltrate and intentionally produce the worst candidate. As usual the Republicans are playing country club golf while the Democrats are fighting a gang war.

    • #31
  2. Joseph Stanko Coolidge
    Joseph Stanko
    @JosephStanko

    J. D. Fitzpatrick:I notice that

    1. You’re new around here

    Profile says Sash has been here almost a year now.  Are we turning into such an exclusive club that anyone who joined after 2010 is forever a noob unworthy of taking seriously?  No wonder we can’t get past Rob’s 10,000 member goal…

    • #32
  3. J. D. Fitzpatrick Member
    J. D. Fitzpatrick
    @JDFitzpatrick

    Joseph Stanko:

    J. D. Fitzpatrick:I notice that

    1. You’re new around here

    Profile says Sash has been here almost a year now. Are we turning into such an exclusive club that anyone who joined after 2010 is forever a noob unworthy of taking seriously? No wonder we can’t get past Rob’s 10,000 member goal…

    That was not my objection.

    Glad have joined the redacted club.

    • #33
  4. Duane Oyen Member
    Duane Oyen
    @DuaneOyen

    Bigfoot:

    E. Kent Golding:

    Bigfoot:I hope it is real. If only Trump would flame out and crash and burn…..Likely the only viable candidates remaining are Rubio and Cruz. I trust Rubio only slightly more than Hillary…….Time will tell

    I can understand not trusting either Rubio or Cruz, but comparing them to Hillary is a low blow. I can see Rubio or Cruz lying when it benefits them, but Hillary lies as a point of honor and a point of style. Hillary lies when there is no apparent benefit or reason.

    Not so much what Rubio says, but what he may do, what judges he may nominate and so on

    What part of 96% ACU rating does the Right not understand?  A minor difference over immigration, and our side goes completely crazy.

    • #34
  5. J. D. Fitzpatrick Member
    J. D. Fitzpatrick
    @JDFitzpatrick

    Sash:

    Neither Cruz or Trump has the ability to do anything but destroy.

    Rubio is an optimistic future.

    That is the right and only choice.

    No-one else supporting Rubio is making simplistic statements like these, or, as you said in another thread, “Rubio learns, Cruz lies.” If you want to get the most from your membership, try making arguments.

    • #35
  6. The Reticulator Member
    The Reticulator
    @TheReticulator

    Duane Oyen: What part of 96% ACU rating does the Right not understand? A minor difference over immigration, and our side goes completely crazy.

    We’re not voting for an ACU rating. We’re voting for President.

    • #36
  7. Bigfoot Inactive
    Bigfoot
    @Bigfoot

    Duane Oyen:

    Bigfoot:

    E. Kent Golding:

    Bigfoot:I hope it is real. If only Trump would flame out and crash and burn…..Likely the only viable candidates remaining are Rubio and Cruz. I trust Rubio only slightly more than Hillary…….Time will tell

    I can understand not trusting either Rubio or Cruz, but comparing them to Hillary is a low blow. I can see Rubio or Cruz lying when it benefits them, but Hillary lies as a point of honor and a point of style. Hillary lies when there is no apparent benefit or reason.

    Not so much what Rubio says, but what he may do, what judges he may nominate and so on

    What part of 96% ACU rating does the Right not understand? A minor difference over immigration, and our side goes completely crazy.

    Ranchers having equipment destroyed, breeding stock slaughtered, homes broken into, schools stressed to the limit, services overloaded – not such a minor difference for many of us.

    • #37
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