Hoover Elections Podcast, with David Brady and Douglas Rivers: “How Trump Does It”

 

Hoover Institution
How Trump Does It
Hoover Institution How Trump Does It

hoover institution podcastThere’s been a lot of armchair punditry in recent weeks about why exactly Donald Trump has captured so much support in the early days of the race for the Republican presidential nomination. What most of it lacks is any actual research to back it up. That’s not the case with Hoover fellows David Brady and Douglas Rivers, the latter of whom is the chief scientist for the polling firm YouGov PLC. They’ve just finished up an extensive round of polling aimed at deciphering who potential Trump voters are, why they’re drawn to The Donald, and what it means for the rest of the GOP field — and what they’ve discovered seems to violate every rule of thumb about how the Republican primary electorate usually behaves. Listen in below to hear them describe the results.

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  1. Online Park Member
    Online Park
    @OnlinePark

    That was really enlightening for me.

    • #1
  2. John Penfold Member
    John Penfold
    @IWalton

    I don’t know whether to be optimistic or not with this.  Can Ricochet publish a summary of the numbers.    It seems it would  be wise for Candidates to avoid alienating Trump supporters, we don’t want them to stay home and they wouldn’t respond to conservative arguments anyway.  Moreover  they love his political incorrectness and bombast, so just ignore him if they can and if not do as Carly did.

    • #2
  3. Troy Senik, Ed. Contributor
    Troy Senik, Ed.
    @TroySenik

    John Penfold:I don’t know whether to be optimistic or not with this. Can Ricochet publish a summary of the numbers.

    See here.

    • #3
  4. EThompson Inactive
    EThompson
    @EThompson

    That The Donald is tapping into the populist, “the system is rigged” political claptrap peddled by progressives for decades is a delicious irony.

    • #4
  5. Boymoose Inactive
    Boymoose
    @Boymoose

    If I heard right.  Trump took half of Ted Cruz’s support.  I assume Cruz supporters would be conservative.  But according to theses polls “Trump voters are not particular conservative”?

    Interesting.  Or did I miss something.

    • #5
  6. Ontheleftcoast Inactive
    Ontheleftcoast
    @Ontheleftcoast

    The Republican Party has been trying to pick up moderates and independents for years. Look like it’s working, but not with the Party’s candidate.

    • #6
  7. Ralphie Inactive
    Ralphie
    @Ralphie

    Boymoose:If I heard right. Trump took half of Ted Cruz’s support. I assume Cruz supporters would be conservative. But according to theses polls “Trump voters are not particular conservative”?

    Interesting. Or did I miss something.

    It is interesting. I could make a guess that what they share is outspokeness, and Trump’s bombastic personality creates a more cathartic reaction in some, possibly because of his outsideness.  I am curious if Trey Gowdy were to announce his candidacy if he would draw the same sector.  Most conservative/republicans I know like him a lot because he is sharp and direct, but some are frustrated he hasn’t put Hillary in jail by now.  I think it is the more rash/impulsive that love Trump.

    • #7
  8. Boymoose Inactive
    Boymoose
    @Boymoose

    Ralphie:

    Boymoose:If I heard right. Trump took half of Ted Cruz’s support. I assume Cruz supporters would be conservative. But according to theses polls “Trump voters are not particular conservative”?

    Interesting. Or did I miss something.

    It is interesting. I could make a guess that what they share is outspokeness, and Trump’s bombastic personality creates a more cathartic reaction in some, possibly because of his outsideness. I am curious if Trey Gowdy were to announce his candidacy if he would draw the same sector. Most conservative/republicans I know like him a lot because he is sharp and direct, but some are frustrated he hasn’t put Hillary in jail by now. I think it is the more rash/impulsive that love Trump.

    Im usually on the bombastic side but Im sitting this trump thing out.  Maybe Im evolving? ;-) and maybe not ….

    • #8
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