Contributor Post Created with Sketch. Hillary’s Primary Nightmare Scenario

 

joe_biden_elizabeth_warrenWhen news leaked today that Vice President Joe Biden quietly met with Senator Elizabeth Warren, you could hear official Washington’s sharp intake of collective breath. As much fun as the Biden speculation had been, he was still signaling that no decision had been made, and that it was unlikely he’d make a decision until the fall. This meeting has electrified the political media tonight.

A Biden-Warren entente presents a scenario that Biden should view as a power move that would leave Hillary Clinton’s already damaged campaign bleeding out on the deck. If I were Biden’s team, I’d cut a deal right now with Elizabeth Warren promising her two things; the Vice Presidency and full control over Biden’s economic agenda.

It’s a match made in policy and political heaven; for Biden, the complexities of the economy aren’t really his forte. Weddings, funerals, ribbon cuttings, cute animals, fondling White House visitors, and affable parody videos? Biden’s your man. Substantive policy, detail work, and intellectual rigor? Not so much. Warren’s entire economic and political philosophy is a nightmarish farrago of every post-modern socialist and regulatory-state fantasy, but at least she’s interested in having a firm grip on the controls of the economy as she crashes it into the ground at Mach 3.

Say what you will about Joe Biden’s lack of intellectual horsepower (and there’s a lot to say, but mostly in one- or two-syllable words, spoken slowly while making eye contact with him), but he’s a classic backslapping, bluff, hail-fellow-well-met kind of pol. Hillary can’t even simulate his ability to connect with people, even if he is a bit handsy. His survival and success in Washington has been that sheer likability, not his intellect or his impact in the policy domain. The base of his party likes him well enough.

Naming Warren as his VP pick right out of the box does three things for the Democrats that they can’t otherwise achieve.

First, it’s the equivalent of taking Hillary behind the barn one last time and putting her out of her misery. The predicates for her campaign (first woman President, most accomplished candidate in the field, and the sense of inevitability) are falling apart. The email server story is driving it, but the sense that she’s replaying 2008 all over again is growing among Democrats. She’s flailing, her dismal polling on both her overall image and her trustworthiness is hardening into a range from which she’ll have a lot of trouble recovering. She’s losing head-to-heads with the GOP field in battleground states, and the panic is rising.

Second, it gives the Democratic Party its socialist dream date without having to choose a 70-year-old socialist with a shock of untamed white hair, the sartorial style of a New England community college professor circa 1979, and a grating Brooklyn bellow. Bernie Sanders is the Democratic Party’s id coming out to play, and he reflects the market space that Warren left when she declined to enter the race earlier. There are the Democrats for whom Barack Obama simply hasn’t been ambitious enough in nationalizing the economy, expanding the regulatory state, and generally nannying into every aspect of our private and business lives.

Finally, it completely resets the overall campaign narrative for the Democratic Party. Right now, this would be – as the Clinton team hoped from the beginning – a stunt-casting personality fight between Hillary-as-first-woman-President and her Republican rival. Clinton would have produced the usual panoply of policy word-vomit from her focus groups, but largely run on the First Woman President narrative, not on what she’d actually do. The right words and phrases would be there, but the core progressive base of the Democratic Party and its angry labor constituency would have never believed Hillary’s heart was in it. With Warren, they would.

Biden and Warren can be beaten, surely. He’s still the Ruprecht the Monkey Boy of the Democratic Party, and Warren is a far-left (ok, far-far-far-left) Massachusetts fabulist with a calm affect that disguises a woman I can easily imagine purging the ideologically impure from the 34th Party Congress for insufficient diligence to the Five-Year Beet Harvest Plan.

It would be a wildly different scenario on the Democratic side than anyone imagined even six months ago, but it’s one for which we’d be smart to have a contingency plan.

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  1. Jules PA Member

    Rick Wilson: it’s the equivalent of taking Hillary behind the barn one last time and putting her out of her misery.

    and putting us out of our misery.

    Rick Wilson: it gives the Democratic Party its socialist dream date

    What’s the Republican Party dream date?

    Rick Wilson: it completely resets the overall campaign narrative for the Democratic Party.

    What’s the Republican Party narrative?

    [edited.]

    • #1
    • August 22, 2015, at 9:00 PM PDT
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  2. Rick Wilson Contributor
    Rick Wilson

    Jules PA:

    Rick Wilson: it’s the equivalent of taking Hillary behind the barn one last time and putting her out of her misery.

    and putting us out of our misery.

    Well, yeah. Everyone wins.

    • #2
    • August 22, 2015, at 9:01 PM PDT
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  3. Jules PA Member

    Will Biden get “handsy” with Warren? :)

    • #3
    • August 22, 2015, at 9:03 PM PDT
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  4. Lash LaRoche Inactive

    The Hillary campaign should bring this song back:

    • #4
    • August 22, 2015, at 9:05 PM PDT
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  5. Rick Wilson Contributor
    Rick Wilson

    Jules PA:Will Biden get “handsy” with Warren? :)

    Full Al Gore on the convention stage. Ewwww.

    (Fun fact: I was there at the 2000 DNC Convention in LA as part of the campaign troublemaking spin team. I saw Al/Tipper tongue judo and I wanted to wander into the desert and gouge my eyes out.

    • #5
    • August 22, 2015, at 9:06 PM PDT
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  6. Rick Wilson Contributor
    Rick Wilson

    Mike LaRoche:The Hillary campaign should bring this song back:

    I had that out of my memory. Sadly, now it’s back. Damn you! ;)

    • #6
    • August 22, 2015, at 9:08 PM PDT
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  7. Jules PA Member

    Mike LaRoche:The Hillary campaign should bring this song back:

    That song and music is horrendous. She should have been put in jail for that cheese. Ugh.

    • #7
    • August 22, 2015, at 9:08 PM PDT
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  8. Jules PA Member

    Rick Wilson:

    Jules PA:Will Biden get “handsy” with Warren? :)

    Full Al Gore on the convention stage. Ewwww.

    (Fun fact: I was there at the 2000 DNC Convention in LA as part of the campaign troublemaking spin team. I saw Al/Tipper tongue judo and I wanted to wander into the desert and gouge my eyes out.

    Sad to say, that Judo with Biden-Warren might garner them votes. :(

    • #8
    • August 22, 2015, at 9:09 PM PDT
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  9. Jules PA Member

    Rick Wilson:

    Mike LaRoche:The Hillary campaign should bring this song back:

    I had that out of my memory. Sadly, now it’s back. Damn you! ;)

    • #9
    • August 22, 2015, at 9:11 PM PDT
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  10. blank generation member Inactive

    Jules PA:

    Rick Wilson:

    Mike LaRoche:The Hillary campaign should bring this song back:

    I had that out of my memory. Sadly, now it’s back. Damn you! ;)

    Tests OK with me. I’m rocking out.

    • #10
    • August 22, 2015, at 9:15 PM PDT
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  11. DrewInWisconsin, Man of Consta… Coolidge

    Monica Crowley predicted this development a few days ago.

    Once Mr. Biden joins the race, he will enjoy the full backing of Mr. Obama. With Mrs. Clinton gone, however, Mr. Obama and Mr. Biden will have to make it up to Democratic women and the radical left, which is currently flirting with socialist Sen. Bernie Sanders.

    There is only one person who kills both birds with one stone: Sen. Elizabeth Warren.

    The Democratic ticket will be Joe Biden-Elizabeth Warren. That’s what Mr. Obama wants. And what Mr. Obama wants, Mr. Obama gets.

    This is “Game of Thrones.” And Mr. Obama is winning.

    • #11
    • August 22, 2015, at 9:16 PM PDT
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  12. Jules PA Member

    DrewInWisconsin:Monica Crowley predicted this development a few days ago.

    Once Mr. Biden joins the race, he will enjoy the full backing of Mr. Obama. With Mrs. Clinton gone, however, Mr. Obama and Mr. Biden will have to make it up to Democratic women and the radical left, which is currently flirting with socialist Sen. Bernie Sanders.

    There is only one person who kills both birds with one stone: Sen. Elizabeth Warren.

    The Democratic ticket will be Joe Biden-Elizabeth Warren. That’s what Mr. Obama wants. And what Mr. Obama wants, Mr. Obama gets.

    This is “Game of Thrones.” And Mr. Obama is winning.

    Didn’t someone loose an important appendage in GoT?

    • #12
    • August 22, 2015, at 9:20 PM PDT
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  13. blank generation member Inactive

    I think someone made a documentary about the Hill:

    • #13
    • August 22, 2015, at 9:26 PM PDT
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  14. Drusus Coolidge

    This is nightmarishly plausible. And while Rome prepares to burn, we dance in time to Trump’s fiddle. We really are the loser party.

    • #14
    • August 22, 2015, at 9:36 PM PDT
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  15. Daniel Sattelberger Inactive

    Jules PA:

    DrewInWisconsin:Monica Crowley predicted this development a few days ago.

    Once Mr. Biden joins the race, he will enjoy the full backing of Mr. Obama. With Mrs. Clinton gone, however, Mr. Obama and Mr. Biden will have to make it up to Democratic women and the radical left, which is currently flirting with socialist Sen. Bernie Sanders.

    There is only one person who kills both birds with one stone: Sen. Elizabeth Warren.

    The Democratic ticket will be Joe Biden-Elizabeth Warren. That’s what Mr. Obama wants. And what Mr. Obama wants, Mr. Obama gets.

    This is “Game of Thrones.” And Mr. Obama is winning.

    Didn’t someone loose an important appendage in GoT?

    Several did.

    • #15
    • August 22, 2015, at 9:39 PM PDT
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  16. EThompson Inactive

    Drusus:This is nightmarishly plausible. And while Rome prepares to burn, we dance in time to Trump’s fiddle. We really are the loser party.

    It is indeed and a Biden-Warren ticket would win.

    In the meantime, perhaps we need to get over the Donald disdain. If he can convince me he could beat a Democratic ticket I’d vote for him in a NY minute.

    • #16
    • August 22, 2015, at 9:46 PM PDT
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  17. LunaticRex Inactive

    I’ve been expecting Joe would get in. This Warren thing is new to me as of today. And a great idea from their point of view. Yeah, I think the GOP is going to need a plan for this.

    • #17
    • August 22, 2015, at 10:00 PM PDT
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  18. DocJay Inactive

    Rick, does your contingency plan involve pushing a candidate that can win? I’d like that because I love my country a bunch more than my wallet.

    • #18
    • August 22, 2015, at 10:47 PM PDT
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  19. Petty Boozswha Inactive

    Biden’s bumper sticker:

    “You’re in warm, capable hands.”

    • #19
    • August 22, 2015, at 11:09 PM PDT
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  20. DocJay Inactive

    Given the fact that you said this…“I think he rightly believes most of the candidates will find themselves as the anti-Obama, the cure, the rollback,” Mr. Wilson said. “He’s going to position himself as the guy with bigger ideas and a broader vision.”…..I’d like to hear how you’re going to not run against Obama when his hand picked candidates are suddenly going to be the opponents?
    Really, I’d like you to explain how your man with the most off putting last name in politics is going to win after you outlast and out spend candidates who would do better for America than Jeb. They’d win at least, mostly by running against Obama.

    • #20
    • August 22, 2015, at 11:33 PM PDT
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  21. Dr. Strangelove Thatcher
    Dr. StrangeloveJoined in the first year of Ricochet Ricochet Charter Member

    Things are starting to get….interesting.

    • #21
    • August 22, 2015, at 11:45 PM PDT
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  22. mezzrow Member
    mezzrowJoined in the first year of Ricochet Ricochet Charter Member

    Jules PA:

    Rick Wilson:

    Jules PA:Will Biden get “handsy” with Warren? :)

    Full Al Gore on the convention stage. Ewwww.

    (Fun fact: I was there at the 2000 DNC Convention in LA as part of the campaign troublemaking spin team. I saw Al/Tipper tongue judo and I wanted to wander into the desert and gouge my eyes out.

    Sad to say, that Judo with Biden-Warren might garner them votes. :(

    ew.

    • #22
    • August 23, 2015, at 4:00 AM PDT
    • Like
  23. Pencilvania Inactive

    If Biden gets the nomination, do you think Hillary and Bill will quietly suck it up and take the hit for the team? Or does the administration expect Hillary to be under house arrest by then? (Can you imagine the size of that ankle monitor?) I think there could be attractive sideshow there.

    I think putting Carly Fiorina in the VP slot would combat the Biden-Warren act beautifully. Carly’s a master communicator and smart. I can see her smacking down Warren in a debate just like she tucked Katie Couric into her cute little recyclables bin. Carly has none of the insufferable nag vibe that Warren exudes.

    • #23
    • August 23, 2015, at 5:30 AM PDT
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  24. Ball Diamond Ball Inactive

    This headline is horrifying for a person who chunks everything into acronyms on the fly.

    • #24
    • August 23, 2015, at 6:02 AM PDT
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  25. Matt Bartle Member
    Matt BartleJoined in the first year of Ricochet Ricochet Charter Member

    Drusus:This is nightmarishly plausible. And while Rome prepares to burn, we dance in time to Trump’s fiddle. We really are the loser party.

    Now wait just a minute!

    We’re the stupid party. Everyone knows that.

    • #25
    • August 23, 2015, at 6:19 AM PDT
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  26. Matt Bartle Member
    Matt BartleJoined in the first year of Ricochet Ricochet Charter Member

    That said, a Biden / Warren victory in 2016 would not surprise me a bit. It would sicken me, but it wouldn’t surprise me.

    • #26
    • August 23, 2015, at 6:20 AM PDT
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  27. Stad Thatcher

    Rick Wilson: If I were Biden’s team, I’d cut a deal right now with Elizabeth Warren promising her two things; the Vice Presidency and full control over Biden’s economic agenda.

    Here’s the deal Biden will make:

    Biden: Liz, here’s my offer. I’ll make you Veep, and I’ll only serve one term, clearing the way for you to run for President in 2020. What do you say?

    Warren: I’ll take the deal, with one other provision.

    Biden: What’s that?

    Warren: Take your [expletive deleted]ing hand off my [body part deleted]!

    • #27
    • August 23, 2015, at 6:30 AM PDT
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  28. HeartofFLA Inactive

    The Biden-Warren team worries me. I think the GOP could handle a Clinton nomination (barely) but mostly because she is imploding all on her own.

    But people will over-look the affable, almost incompetent Biden sitting as president as long as Warren is second-chair. Will she pull the puppet strings or will Obama? Doesn’t matter if the bottom-line is that this team wins the race.

    I’ve never thought the GOP were great strategists but if they don’t do whatever it takes to pull this win off, its game over and not just for this contest but for the future.

    • #28
    • August 23, 2015, at 6:44 AM PDT
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  29. Seawriter Contributor

    What is with conservatives? For the last year I have been hearing Hillary! (TM) is unbeatable, despite her obvious flaws as a candidate. Now those manifest (and many) flaws are sabotaging her campaign, just like they did in 2008.

    Except the Democrats, instead of offering us an unknown, young, and affable Barack Obama (as they did in 2008) seem to be substituting America’s Creepy Uncle and Phauxcohontes. So what seems to be the reaction of conservatives? They’re unbeatable! Run away! Run away!

    The Republicans worst candidates – and I include Jeb Bush and Donald Trump – are better than these two. The best? Walker, Cruz, Perry, Jindal, and Fiorina? The only reason the 2016 race would be a contest will be the desperate efforts of the mainstream media to put their thumbs on the scales.

    And for those pointing out the flaws of the Republican candidates, I would remind you about the old story about the two campers trapped in a tent by a grizzly. When one puts on his shoes the other one says, “you can’t outrun a bear.” The first one responds, “I don’t have to outrun the bear, I just have to outrun you.” Similarly, all the Republican ticket has to do is outrun two geriatric (and badly flawed) Democrats.

    Seawriter

    • #29
    • August 23, 2015, at 6:56 AM PDT
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  30. Ball Diamond Ball Inactive

    I’m with SeaWriter (™ 1995 SeaWriter Productions inc) on this one.

    They want to swap the nag with the hidden socialist agenda for the idiot with Obamas leftovers and the liar with a viciously public socialist agenda?

    /popcorn

    • #30
    • August 23, 2015, at 7:05 AM PDT
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