Ricochet is the best place on the internet to discuss the issues of the day, either through commenting on posts or writing your own for our active and dynamic community in a fully moderated environment. In addition, the Ricochet Audio Network offers over 50 original podcasts with new episodes released every day.
I’m looking at the results of a CNN/ORC poll released a few hours ago and finding some of the results truly bewildering. Go have a close look at those numbers, then come back and tell me what’s going on back home, because I’m confused. I’m not surprised at all that Trump has (by far) the highest name recognition. Nor am I surprised that this translates into “approval.” It’s the rest of it I don’t get.
Should I be as surprised as I am that 43 percent responded that they’d never heard of Carly Fiorina? Their view of her was neither “favorable” nor “unfavorable.” It was “never heard of her.” More than half the country (give or take a sampling error of about five percent) has never heard of Scott Walker. No name recognition at all.
Does that sound right to you? I wonder how many of the candidates — Trump apart — are better known outside of the US than in it? I suspect that in many countries, quite a number of them would be. I’d be curious to see the polls.
This baffles me, too: Republicans (not all voters surveyed) were asked, “Do you think Republicans have a better chance of winning the presidency in 2016 if Donald Trump is the party’s nominee, or do they have a better chance of winning with someone else as the party’s nominee?” They answered:
Better chance with D. Trump 38%
Better chance with someone else 58%
No opinion 4%
(Sampling Error +/-4.5)
I don’t know how much overlap there is among the group of people who think Trump would vastly outperform all the other candidates in every other domain about which they were asked and the group that overwhelmingly doesn’t think he can be elected, but clearly, there’s a lot of overlap.
Go back to Fiorina, again. Look at “never heard of her” by age bracket: 18-34, 61%. 35-49, 46%. 50-63, 33%. 65+, 28%. I’m singling out Fiorina because I can understand voters feeling that all these guys are sort of a blur, or getting confused about who’s who, but find it hard to imagine that so few Americans even know the name of the only woman in the bunch.
And what’s up with the 18-34 age bracket? Why are people in that bracket so much less likely to recognize these names?
If you were to step outside, walk down the street, and ask people the questions these pollsters asked, do you think people around you would reply the same way? If so, why? If not, why not?