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The Ricochet vote seems pretty well locked-up for the summer — Scott Walker still leads with a large margin — but I’ve included some new graphics that provide some interesting insights into where members go if their first choice falls through.
Let’s start with our standard tracking graph. Walker remains at the head of the field, with Perry and Fiorina following. I didn’t include Fiorina here (12.2%) because I wanted to maintain the structure of the graph tracking progress over recent months. If her support remains elevated in a month’s time then I’ll change up the list.
Among the Ricochetti, the first-choice results for July are as follows:
And the second-choice results are:
Here’s how the field looks among those who selected the leader, Gov. Scott Walker, as their first-choice:
I then decided to see how that second-preferred-candidate field looks for each first-choice candidate. Below, is a table that shows the top two vote-getters for 2nd choice for each candidate who scored well for first-choice. For example, the first line shows that — among those who picked Walker as their first choice — Fiorina was second-preferred candidate and Rubio was third.
As you can see, most people are either starting with Walker or ending up there. You can see Fiorina is hanging back there as an alternative in case the front of the field falls through.