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I Don’t Care What Anybody Says. I Intend to Start Gloating Right Now.
If so, cue all of the explanations about how turnout was low and this isn’t a categorical rejection of the Obama agenda. NPR has been focus group testing them for a week.
1.) I want more.
2.) But I am keeping my expectations low. I’ve been hurt before.
Please don’t jinx this with premature gloating.
With the recent cold weather and this political forecast, we’ve got some mulled wine we’ll be making to enjoy while we watch the returns come in. My elder daughter will be voting for the first time tomorrow, and I’ll take her with me to the poll on my way to work. Maybe she’ll stay up with us and watch the results.
But, yes, as Glenn Reynolds likes to paraphrase Han Solo, “Nice polls—don’t get cocky, kid!”
They think they have to say “greater than 99%” because they don’t want to be seen saying “100%”.
I’m not gloating until the 6th Democratic senatorial candidate concedes.
You can gloat if we win either North Carolina or New Hampshire.
At the risk of increasing Peter’s tendency to gloat, Nate Silver gives Republicans over a 75% chance of taking the Senate as of 5:15 pm Nov 3. I do not know if there will be further model updates. See: http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/senate-forecast/
They’ve been updating every couple hours today. I won’t be surprised if there’s a final update tomorrow morning.
So what’s the likelihood of Republicans winning the Senate tomorrow and then losing it again in 2 years?
Furthermore what is the likelihood of actually getting constructive legislation signed into law in the next two years?
And will Senate Republicans risk the ire of the media and actually block leftist court nominees?
And will the Senate launch investigations into the IRS, the VA, Fast& Furious,etc?
So we are excited why, exactly?
Without looking at anything, I’ll say even money.
Practically none, unless it’s immensely populist legislation.
Way more than a Democratic Senate would.
Even if they do, I doubt it will matter much politically, and they run the risk of looking petty over the long term. If we care about such things.
Personally, I’m content… not excited. I don’t understand the people who think this is a big deal. It’s good news, nothing more.
From The Death of Nelson, William Beatty, 1807.
I would love to see twelve to fourteen of the adversary’s Senate seats in our possession, but I will settle for seven, with none of our own seats taken. I still think we will take nine.
Seawriter
Because despite all that, the horse might sing.
Seawriter
Thank you, Seawriter. Charming, and true.
I must say I’ve enjoyed all the unskewed polls talk from Democrats this cycle, how the polls aren’t really reflecting voters. This is their 2012.
What are the odds the Republicans will get anything accomplished if they do take the Senate? Besides make restaurant and tee time reservations, jockey for office and committee assignments, cut special deals for their big dollar donors, reach across the aisle and cram through amnesty?
Please God they win, but I have very little confidence they will deliver meaningful results for the majority of the people who voted for them. I hope they prove me wrong.
Hey, I thought your name was “Billy”, not “Eeyore.”
I’m really digging the 99.4% chance of Abbott/Patrick winning here tomorrow. I head for the polls to make it a reality in about ten hours.
I’m betting on a 50/50 Senate split. People are nuts thinking we’ll win 8. The same choirs singing of 53 senate seats tomorrow are the same who sang of an assured Romney landslide.
52 is the likely worst case scenario. It’s not like 2012. The polls are actually in our favor this time around.
I suppose you might as well enjoy it while you can.
Why don’t we teach the whole world to sing while we’re at it?
To avoid serious injury seek immediate medical attention for an election lasting longer than four months.
Almost a certainty.
What is this “constructive legislation” of which you speak?
There’s no such thing as a “leftist court nominee” you racist, bigoted, homophobe!
That’s CRAZY TALK!!!
Yeah, that’s what I’d like to know. What evidence do we have to think that this time ’round the Republicans will gird up their loins and find the moral and intellectual fortitude to do the right thing? From where I stand, it looks like a whole lot of nothin’. Call me when something actually changes.
(Drops sombrero)
(Dances around it)
Hahaha…that’s pretty funny!
Tomorrow I slake my thirst for tears. Schadenfreude is the order of the day. By Thursday I fully expect the MSM pieces on the Death of Progressivism, with attending phrases like “the now discredited theories of Think Progress”. Anyone want to lay odds?
Intending to ‘like’ all the moaning of my liberal friends on Facebook.
It is worth it just to get Harry Reid out of the majority leader spot. Worst man in DC.