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  1. Totus Porcus Inactive
    Totus Porcus
    @TotusPorcus

    If so, cue all of the explanations about how turnout was low and this isn’t a categorical rejection of the Obama agenda.  NPR has been focus group testing them for a week.

    • #1
  2. Sabrdance Member
    Sabrdance
    @Sabrdance

    1.) I want more.

    2.) But I am keeping my expectations low.  I’ve been hurt before.

    • #2
  3. user_183043 Member
    user_183043
    @FrankMonaldo

    Please don’t jinx this with premature gloating.

    • #3
  4. Tim H. Inactive
    Tim H.
    @TimH

    With the recent cold weather and this political forecast, we’ve got some mulled wine we’ll be making to enjoy while we watch the returns come in.  My elder daughter will be voting for the first time tomorrow, and I’ll take her with me to the poll on my way to work.  Maybe she’ll stay up with us and watch the results.

    But, yes, as Glenn Reynolds likes to paraphrase Han Solo, “Nice polls—don’t get cocky, kid!”

    • #4
  5. user_75648 Thatcher
    user_75648
    @JohnHendrix

    They think they have to say “greater than 99%” because they don’t want to be seen saying “100%”.

    • #5
  6. Percival Thatcher
    Percival
    @Percival

    I’m not gloating until the 6th Democratic senatorial candidate concedes.

    • #6
  7. Mike H Coolidge
    Mike H
    @MikeH

    You can gloat if we win either North Carolina or New Hampshire.

    • #7
  8. user_183043 Member
    user_183043
    @FrankMonaldo

    At the risk of increasing Peter’s tendency to gloat, Nate Silver gives Republicans over a 75% chance of taking the Senate as of 5:15 pm Nov 3. I do not know if there will be further model updates. See: http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/senate-forecast/

    • #8
  9. Mike H Coolidge
    Mike H
    @MikeH

    Frank Monaldo:At the risk of increasing Peter’s tendency to gloat, Nate Silver gives Republicans over a 75% chance of taking the Senate as of 5:15 pm Nov 3

    They’ve been updating every couple hours today. I won’t be surprised if there’s a final update tomorrow morning.

    • #9
  10. billy Inactive
    billy
    @billy

    So what’s the likelihood of Republicans winning the Senate tomorrow  and  then losing it again in 2 years?

    Furthermore what is the likelihood of actually getting constructive legislation signed into law in the next two years?

    And will Senate Republicans risk the ire of the media and actually block leftist court nominees?

    And will the Senate launch investigations into the IRS, the VA, Fast& Furious,etc?

    So we are excited why, exactly?

    • #10
  11. Mike H Coolidge
    Mike H
    @MikeH

    billy:So what’s the likelihood of Republicans winning the Senate tomorrow and then losing it again in 2 years?

    Without looking at anything, I’ll say even money.

    Furthermore what is the likelihood of actually getting constructive legislation signed into law in the next two years?

    Practically none, unless it’s immensely populist legislation.

    And will Senate Republicans risk the ire of the media and actually block leftist court nominees?

    Way more than a Democratic Senate would.

    And will the Senate launch investigations into the IRS, the VA, Fast& Furious,etc?

    Even if they do, I doubt it will matter much politically, and they run the risk of looking petty over the long term. If we care about such things.

    So we are excited why, exactly?

    Personally, I’m content… not excited. I don’t understand the people who think this is a big deal. It’s good news, nothing more.

    • #11
  12. Seawriter Contributor
    Seawriter
    @Seawriter

    Lord NELSON said: “Well, HARDY, how goes the battle? How goes the day with us?”—”Very well, my Lord,” replied Captain HARDY: “we have got twelve or fourteen of the Enemy’s ships in our possession; but five of their van have tacked, and shew an intention of bearing down upon the Victory. I have therefore called two or three of our fresh ships round us, and have no doubt of giving them a drubbing.” “I hope,” said HIS LORDSHIP, “none of our ships have struck, HARDY.”—”No, my Lord,” replied Captain HARDY; “there is no fear of that.”

    From The Death of Nelson, William Beatty, 1807.

    I would love to see twelve to fourteen of the adversary’s Senate seats in our possession, but I will settle for seven, with none of our own seats taken. I still think we will take nine.

    Seawriter

    • #12
  13. Seawriter Contributor
    Seawriter
    @Seawriter

    billy: So we are excited why, exactly?

    Because despite all that, the horse might sing.

    Nasrudin was caught in the act and sentenced to die. Hauled up before the king, he was asked by the Royal Presence: “Is there any reason at all why I shouldn’t have your head off right now?” To which he replied: “Oh, King, live forever! Know that I, the mullah Nasrudin, am the greatest teacher in your kingdom, and it would surely be a waste to kill such a great teacher. So skilled am I that I could even teach your favorite horse to sing, given a year to work on it.” The king was amused, and said: “Very well then, you move into the stable immediately, and if the horse isn’t singing a year from now, we’ll think of something interesting to do with you.”

    As he was returning to his cell to pick up his spare rags, his cellmate remonstrated with him: “Now that was really stupid. You know you can’t teach that horse to sing, no matter how long you try.” Nasrudin’s response: “Not at all. I have a year now that I didn’t have before. And a lot of things can happen in a year. The king might die. The horse might die. I might die.

    “And, who knows? Maybe the horse will sing.”

    Seawriter

    • #13
  14. Sandy Member
    Sandy
    @Sandy

    Seawriter:

    billy: So we are excited why, exactly?

    Because despite all that, the horse might sing.

    As he was returning to his cell to pick up his spare rags, his cellmate remonstrated with him: “Now that was really stupid. You know you can’t teach that horse to sing, no matter how long you try.” Nasrudin’s response: “Not at all. I have a year now that I didn’t have before. And a lot of things can happen in a year. The king might die. The horse might die. I might die.

    “And, who knows? Maybe the horse will sing.”

    Seawriter

    Thank you, Seawriter.  Charming, and true.

    • #14
  15. Douglas Inactive
    Douglas
    @Douglas

    I must say I’ve enjoyed all the unskewed polls talk from Democrats this cycle, how the polls aren’t really reflecting voters. This is their 2012.

    • #15
  16. Son of Spengler Contributor
    Son of Spengler
    @SonofSpengler

    • #16
  17. Nick Stuart Inactive
    Nick Stuart
    @NickStuart

    What are the odds the Republicans will get anything accomplished if they do take the Senate? Besides make restaurant and tee time reservations, jockey for office and committee assignments, cut special deals for their big dollar donors, reach across the aisle and cram through amnesty?

    Please God they win, but I have very little confidence they will deliver meaningful results for the majority of the people who voted for them. I hope they prove me wrong.

    • #17
  18. Majestyk Contributor
    Majestyk
    @Majestyk

    billy:So what’s the likelihood of Republicans winning the Senate tomorrow and then losing it again in 2 years?

    Furthermore what is the likelihood of actually getting constructive legislation signed into law in the next two years?

    And will Senate Republicans risk the ire of the media and actually block leftist court nominees?

    And will the Senate launch investigations into the IRS, the VA, Fast& Furious,etc?

    So we are excited why, exactly?

    Hey, I thought your name was “Billy”, not “Eeyore.”

    • #18
  19. Hartmann von Aue Member
    Hartmann von Aue
    @HartmannvonAue

    I’m really digging the 99.4% chance of Abbott/Patrick winning here tomorrow. I head for the polls to make it a reality in about ten hours.

    • #19
  20. Byron Horatio Inactive
    Byron Horatio
    @ByronHoratio

    I’m betting on a 50/50 Senate split. People are nuts thinking we’ll win 8. The same choirs singing of 53 senate seats tomorrow are the same who sang of an assured Romney landslide.

    • #20
  21. Mike H Coolidge
    Mike H
    @MikeH

    Byron Horatio:I’m betting on a 50/50 Senate split.People are nuts thinking we’ll win 8.The same choirs singing of 53 senate seats tomorrow are the same who sang of an assured Romney landslide.

    52 is the likely worst case scenario. It’s not like 2012. The polls are actually in our favor this time around.

    • #21
  22. Black Prince Inactive
    Black Prince
    @BlackPrince

    Peter Robinson:I Don’t Care What Anybody Says. I Intend to Start Gloating Right Now.

    I suppose you might as well enjoy it while you can.

    • #22
  23. Black Prince Inactive
    Black Prince
    @BlackPrince

    Seawriter:

    “And, who knows? Maybe the horse will sing.”

    Why don’t we teach the whole world to sing while we’re at it?

    • #23
  24. user_278007 Inactive
    user_278007
    @RichardFulmer

    To avoid serious injury seek immediate medical attention for an election lasting longer than four months.

    • #24
  25. Black Prince Inactive
    Black Prince
    @BlackPrince

    billy:So what’s the likelihood of Republicans winning the Senate tomorrow and then losing it again in 2 years?

    Almost a certainty.

    Furthermore what is the likelihood of actually getting constructive legislation signed into law in the next two years?

    What is this “constructive legislation” of which you speak?

    And will Senate Republicans risk the ire of the media and actually block leftist court nominees?

    There’s no such thing as a “leftist court nominee” you racist, bigoted, homophobe!

    And will the Senate launch investigations into the IRS, the VA, Fast& Furious,etc?

    That’s CRAZY TALK!!!

    So we are excited why, exactly?

    Yeah, that’s what I’d like to know. What evidence do we have to think that this time ’round the Republicans will gird up their loins and find the moral and intellectual fortitude to do the right thing? From where I stand, it looks like a whole lot of nothin’. Call me when something actually changes.

    • #25
  26. aaronl@hotmail.com Inactive
    aaronl@hotmail.com
    @TheLopez

    (Drops sombrero)

    (Dances around it)

    • #26
  27. Black Prince Inactive
    Black Prince
    @BlackPrince

    Richard Fulmer:To avoid serious injury seek immediate medical attention for an election lasting longer than four months.

    Hahaha…that’s pretty funny!

    • #27
  28. user_339092 Member
    user_339092
    @PaulDougherty

    Tomorrow I slake my thirst for tears. Schadenfreude is the order of the day. By Thursday I fully expect the MSM pieces on the Death of Progressivism, with attending phrases like “the now discredited theories of Think Progress”. Anyone want to lay odds?

    • #28
  29. otherdeanplace@yahoo.com Member
    otherdeanplace@yahoo.com
    @EustaceCScrubb

    Intending to ‘like’ all the moaning of my liberal friends on Facebook.

    • #29
  30. Z in MT Member
    Z in MT
    @ZinMT

    It is worth it just to get Harry Reid out of the majority leader spot. Worst man in DC.

    • #30
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