I don’t know about you, folks, but this one takes me completely and utterly by surprise. From the Wall Street Journal:
Poll: Gingrich, Romney in Dead Heat in N.H.
In the shock poll of the day, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich has pulled into a statistical tie with Mitt Romney in the former Massachusetts governor’s backyard, New Hampshire.
The poll of likely Republican primary voters by Magellan Strategies for the online New Hampshire Journal shows Mr. Romney with 29% in the Granite State, within the poll’s 3.6-percentage-point margin of error over Mr. Gingrich’s 27%. Texas Rep. Ron Paul has 16% support, with former pizza company executive Herman Cain at 10%.
Troy Senik, you’ve been predicting a boom for Newt, but did even you expect Newt to pose a threat to Romney in New Hampshire?