The Deepest Source of Our Troubles

 

On Saturday, I touched on some of the sources of Mitt Romney’s failure on 6 November, noting his almost willful alienation of Hispanic voters and his incompetence in executing a get-out-the-vote effort, but emphasizing, above all else, his decision — most evident in his contentless acceptance speech at the Republican convention — to eschew an appeal to first principles, to treat Barack Obama as a decent fellow with decent principles who is merely out of his depth, and to present himself to the voters as a more competent manager.

Of necessity, in that post, I ignored aspects of the situation unfavorable to Mitt Romney’s candidacy that were completely beyond the Republican nominee’s control. One of the reasons that Romney was unable, despite my hopes, to do in 2012 what Reagan did in 1980 is that, in the intervening 32 years a great many of the American citizens who voted for Ronald Reagan had died and been replaced by Americans educated and morally formed in a very different fashion.

This past Friday, thanks to a kind invitation from Paul Kerry of Brigham Young University, I was a guest on the Glenn Beck Show, which Paul was guest-hosting. Professor Kerry’s aim was to showcase my two recent books — Montesquieu and the Logic of Liberty and Soft Despotism, Democracy’s Drift. He wanted to give me an opportunity to outline in brief the argument that binds the two works together and to show how this argument applies to the world in which we live today.

The program as a whole is available only to those who subscribe to the Blaze Network (it was broadcast on 11/30/2012), but highlights have been posted on www.blaze.com. and Troy Senik kindly embedded them in a post that appeared on Ricochet on Saturday. You may find of particular interest the highlights extracted from segments one and two — wherein I first consider the difficulties associated with sustaining a republic on an extended territory, then outline the means for overcoming these difficulties suggested by Montesquieu, and, finally, explore Tocqueville’s analysis of the contribution that can be made to this effort by civil society before touching on the greatest obstacles to our continued success in sustaining self-government in the United States. This post is meant to restate in brief and then expand upon my televised remarks in such a manner as to cast light not only on the peculiar obstacles that Mitt Romney faced in early November but also on the problems we are likely to face in the future. The cultural crisis that we and our once and future allies in Europe now face is not going to go away in the near future.

Lest I bore you and fail to provoke sound and fury, let me preface my remarks by saying two things: that libertarians should be social conservatives and vice-versa.

My argument with regard to social conservatives is implicit in the criticism that I addressed to the Catholic hierarchy in a series of posts in and after February, 2012, the first and fiercest of which can be found here. It comes down to this: In embracing the administrative entitlements state, as they have, Catholic churchmen and their Protestant counterparts have lent aid and comfort to those who believe that we can establish heaven right here on earth and they have led their flocks to mistake the Machiavellian maneuver of forcefully taking from one citizen to support another for a fulfillment of the Christian duty of charity. Moreoever, their desire to sustain the political alliance devoted to expanding the welfare state caused them to knowingly downplay the enormity of murdering 50 million unborn children, and now their erstwhile allies are rewarding them for their moral obtuseness over many years by making them complicit with mass murder. In sum, they made a pact with the devil, and payment is now due. The proper setting for the practice of Christian charity is a free-market society. The rise of the welfare state and the decline of Christianity go hand in hand. To see this, one need only go to church in Europe.

But why should libertarians be social conservatives? Why shouldn’t they embrace libertinism in the manner of the folks at Reason?

The argument that I make in the first of the two highlighted segments of my presentation on the Glenn Beck show comes down to this. As Montesquieu understood, polities established on extended territories tend to end up as despotisms. They do so for a set of simple reasons. In such a polity, the government is at a great distance from the vast majority of the people it governs. It is out of sight, and, as a consequence, it is largely out of mind. As such, it offers to those in charge a temptation that human beings cannot withstand. They have in their hands Gyges’ ring, and in time it will be used. To this one can add that large polities are subject to frequent emergencies and that this tends to concentrate power in the hands of the central administration.

Montesquieu suggests one antidote and hints at another. He expressly recommends federalism. Federal states can for the most part be governed in the manner of small polities. They leave ample space for citizen participation in decisions of local import. They are also able, because of their size, to defend themselves against large polities. Montesquieu’s prime contemporary example was the Netherlands.

The antidote that he hints at is the separation of powers. Where there are representative institutions, elected representatives can look after the interests of the people. If the legislature is divided between two bodies, they can be set as sentinels over one another. If there is a separate executive power, the man occupying that position can be expected to enforce the laws without prejudice, and this means that the legislators will be subject to the laws they pass (which is a sobering thought apt to encourage prudence on their part). They in turn exercise legislative oversight with regard to the conduct of his ministers in office.  Finally, the judicial power (and he has juries first and foremost in mind) protects individual citizens against a tyrannical enforcement of the law on the part of the executive.

All in all the separation of powers — especially that between the legislature and the executive — encourages a healthy conflict within the central government by means of which the two powers guard against one another.

To the British, who were ruled to good effect under such a constitution, Montesquieu attributed no virtue comparable to the passion for the public good required and inculcated in the ancient republics. Instead, he relied on the fact that Britain was a commercial polity — for he believed that the market produces in its participants a simulacrum of virtue. They may not be honest because it is honorable to be honest, but they are honest, nonetheless, because they learn from experience that honesty really is the best policy (and I use this word policy in its 18th-century Machiavellian sense). What I mean is that they are honest on calculation. They learn that, in business, honesty pays — as does frugality, orderliness, caution, and care. Indeed, all of the virtues that constitute civility in its broader meaning appear to be nourished by trade.

Above all, Montesquieu presumes that men in commercial societies will have a long time horizon. Businessmen plan ahead. They do not lose themselves in present pleasures. They habitually forego today’s delights for those of tomorrow. They pursue self-interest, yes, but the self-interest that they pursue is what Tocqueville calls “self-interest rightly understood,” and self-interest rightly understood quite frequently comprehends the long-term public interest. Those who habitually plan ahead are clear-headed about the dependence of their well-being on the well-being of the larger public, and Montesquieu thought that for the most part sufficient.

Montesquieu was, of course, aware that, if a commercial republic like England was wildly successful, it might founder. As I pointed out in the second segment of my presentation on the Glenn Beck Show, the children of very successful businessmen are not educated by experience in the market in the fashion of their parents, and their grandchildren are quite likely to be uneducated to an even greater degree. They are, in fact, likely to surrender to the temptation of self-indulgence. They are apt to forget future imperatives for the delights of the present and to live for the moment. Montesquieu did not foresee a society like our own — where general prosperity has had a propensity to produce a relaxation of the moral discipline encouraged by the market — but he provides the tools for its analysis.

Tocqueville was less confident than was Montesquieu. He lived in an age in which socialism had already reared its ugly head, and he discerned in his fellow Frenchmen a taste for servility. He feared that there might be a general descent into presentmindedness, and he anticipated Friedrich Nietzsche’s vision of the last man — who would be so satisfied with his little pleasure in the morning and his little pleasure in the evening that he would think of nothing else.

In America, he found institutions, mores, and manners antithetical to what he took to be democracy’s natural drift. Vigorous local self-government drew the inhabitants of New England townships out of their homes and into the public square. Initially, they made this move in self-defense, but the experience of participating soon became a pleasure all its own, and it induced individuals to abandon what he called “individualism” and to devote themselves to public concerns. In the process, these Americans learned to think ahead, they developed a powerful sense of their own capacity to cope with the vicissitudes of life, and they learned to cooperate with their neighbors and even with strangers in forming private associations for public purposes.

Tocqueville’s Americans were also religious. This anchored them morally and gave them a sense of place in a world otherwise in flux. It also directed their attention to the future. Just read today’s Gospel:

Beware that your hearts do not become drowsy from carousing and drunkenness and the anxieties of daily life, and that day catch you by surprise like a trap. For that day will assault everyone who lives on the face of the earth. Be vigilant at all times and pray that you have the strength to escape the tribulations that are imminent and to stand before the Son of Man.

Closely connected with religion was family, and the Americans were devoted to family. Chastity was the norm; adultery was rare and divorce almost unheard of. Families, too, caused men to think ahead. America was the home of self-interest rightly understood. It was the place where women and men planned prudently for their future and that of their offspring.

In short, Tocqueville’s view was that the commercial mentality singled out by Montesquieu (and, before him, by the Jansenist Pierre Nicole and the Epicurean Bernard Mandeville) was reinforced in America by local political experience, by activities in associations, by religion, and by family.

I could say much — and have said much in the two books mentioned above — about the decline of local self-government and of associational life. I could say something as well about American religion and the rise of the drug culture. But I have tried the patience of my readers already — so I will narrow my perspective and come to the point.

The deepest source of our present discontents is the sexual revolution. Our abandonment of chastity as a norm has had dire political consequences. Take a close look at this chart, which I have lifted from a recent study by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention:

BastardyRate.gif

Focus your attention on the bottom line in green running across it. That line represents the bastardy rate — i.e., the percentage of children born out of wedlock each year. As you will see, in 1940 (before I was born) and in 1950 (shortly after I was born), something on the order of 3% of American children were born out of wedlock. By 1960, the number was up to about 5%. Then, it went up by leaps and bounds. In 1980, it was 18.4%. In 2007, it was 39.6%. Today it is somewhere in the neighborhood of 40%. As the editors at Pravda-on-the-Hudson proudly trumpet, bastardy is “the new normal.” In 2009, 53% of all children born to women under 30 were born out of wedlock.

Now think about this. How available was contraception in 1940, 1950, and 1960? Condoms existed, of course, but they were outlawed in many states, and the pill was not approved by the FDA until 1960. Abortions could be had — but not legally — and they were , in fact, exceptionally rare. This should give you pause for thought. Since Roe v. Wade in 1973, more than 50 million unborn children have been killed.

So, what did women do in 1940, 1950, and 1960? For the most part, they exercised an iron self-control. They forced interested men to respect their needs and concerns, and men complied. Now young women do not have it together well enough even to be able to take a pill every morning or a shot every month. As contraception and abortion have become available, as they have become a frequent resort, the proportion of out-of-wedlock births has soared. If the trend continues, bastardy will be the norm, and the family will be regarded as a relic from an earlier, benighted age.

The heart of the matter is this. As a people — thanks in part to our astonishing prosperity, thanks in part to technological change, and thanks in part to the ordinary human propensity for self-indulgence — we have abandoned the notion that impulse-control is a thing both good and necessary, and we have abandoned it in a sphere that is fundamental. We are creatures of habit. In the absence of sexual self-control, there is apt to be very little self-control of any kind. The young lady who is sexually self-indulgent is not apt to be disciplined enough to take a little white pill every day or to present herself at a clinic once a month. That there are a great many exceptions to this rule we all know. But the statistical pattern is nonetheless clear.

All of this began in the 1960s, and it has grown and grown and grown. We now live in a society educated by televisions series like Sex and the City and its successors, and it is in no way surprising that single mothers are almost as common as married mothers — and they now feel entitled to our respect and support. The most astonishing aspect of the November, 2012 election was that the Democratic Party took as one of its slogans: “Sluts vote!” And, by golly, they did.

SlutsVote.jpgWhy, then, you may ask — if you even remember the question I posed some paragraphs back — should libertarians be social conservatives? The answer is simple. Single mothers and their offspring are bound for the most part to become wards of the state. For a man and a woman who are married to rear offspring is a chore. It may be fulfilling, but it is demanding and hard. It requires sacrifice and discipline. For a single person to do so and to do it well requires a species of heroism. For a single person to do so at all requires help — and that is where we are. For we now take it for granted that we are to pay for the mistakes that the single mother (and her sexual partner) made. We now, in fact, presume that she is entitled to our help — and we now have a political party in power built on that premise.We are to pay for her groceries through WIC (Women, Infants, Children), for her medical care through Medicaid, for the contraceptives that she does not have the discipline to use properly and for the morning-after pill should she slip up and need an abortion. Her right to be promiscuous trumps our right to the fruits of our own labor.

What I would say to libertarians is this: Liberty requires a responsible citizenry, and the sexual revolution (very much like the drug culture, which was and is its Doppelgänger) promotes irresponsibility of every kind. It promotes dependence, and it fosters an ethos in which those who exercise the virtues fostered by the market are punished for doing so and in which those who live for present pleasure are rewarded.

There are many reasons why Mitt Romney lost in 2012. Some, as I suggested in an earlier post, were his fault. Some of them were not. One of the latter is that the demographic deck was stacked against him in a fashion that it was not stacked against Ronald Reagan in 2008. If we do not find a way to reverse the sexual revolution, we are doomed. The future of liberty is contingent on the success of the social conservatives. The libertinism that some libertarians ostentatiously embrace provides the growth in the administrative entitlements state with its impetus. If to be a libertarian is to favor political liberty, then libertarians must embrace social conservatism. If to be a libertarian is to embrace sex, drugs, and rock and roll, then libertarians are the proponents — whether witting or not — of the soft despotism that threatens to engulf us.

As I said in my post on Saturday, the last thing that we need to do is to take the advice proffered to us by Mike Murphy that, to succeed, the Republican Party must surrender to the Zeitgeist. If the Republican Party does that, it should be abandoned.

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  1. Profile Photo Inactive
    @MTabor

    I’ll counter as a Conservative: I don’t care what any of you think about what I should do with my naughty bits. I’m not interested in hearing a professor, a pundit, or a political hobbyist tell me about when, how, or why I should use my genitalia.

    Losing strategy: Telling people how you think they ought to live every detail of their lives.

    Winning (or at least, less of a losing) strategy: Sticking to why we as individuals should bear the burden of the consequences of our actions, and how accepting those responsibilities makes us heroic.

    • #31
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    @Sumomitch

    Democratic republics can only survive to the extent that their electorate is self-governing. Once the principle of individual self control (whether rooted in classical stoicism or religious virtue) is lost, democracies become powerful mobs, seeking to enslave and expropriate the virtuous minority.   

    Whether such self control can ever survive prosperity, for any but the top 20% of the IQ curve, is not at all clear to me from Western history. For most humans, (absent an official culture of virtue), if the consequences of self indulgence (sex, drugs, drink, food or laziness) are not death, but a social safety net, the path of least resistance seems inexorably toward greater dependence. It is understandable that a wealthy society would provide such a safety net. But the consequences are there to see.

    It has taken less than 50 years for the Great Society programs to have the demographic effects. My sense is that the disintegration of US society was somewhat slower compared to western Europe, perhaps because of the greater religiosity of the US population in 1965. However, the US is now disintegrating faster, perhaps because there is no underlying US culture, once the religious basis of virtue vanishes.

    • #32
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    @RobertHam
    De_Maistre: But how does one reverse a sexual revolution?

    I really only see three options:

    1) From the ground up. That would essentially require a religious revival or infiltration of cultural institutions that educate the next generation.

    2) From the top down. That would require actually winning an election and using the force of government to engage in our own brand of social engineering.

    3) In the aftermath of a collapse. If there is an economic collapse, people would tend to gravitate towards faith and stable social structures. There is no room for indulgence in a society burdened by scarcity. · 1 hour ago

    Outstanding post by Prof Rahe with thoughtful comments as well. 

    I would argue that for anything to change from the ground up, the discussion will have to include Government schools where we have outlawed God, banned prayer, and done very little to encourage independent thought – let alone  teach the very basics of reading, writing and arithmetic.   

    An emphasis on “green living” and social engineering at the expense of an understanding of the ideas supporting the founding of this (once?) great country has given us an electorate conditioned to trivial nonsense.

    • #33
  4. Profile Photo Member
    @

    the only way to solve these problems is to allow people of various moral beliefs to segregate themselves.

    cdor: Progressives will counter, what about the children? I ask, how many children that I didn’t make must I be forced to support? Biologically women can have multiple children with multiple sex partners. More and more they are doing exactly that. And yet, what about the children? Well, what about the women? This is organized chaos meant to uproot the civil society. And it is working. · 18 minutes ago

    • #34
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    @Ralphie

      Lord Kames of Scotland (18th century) divided societial organization into 4 groups. Commerce requires a polite behavior and a polite society is a civilized one, not like the clans. (also, blessed are the peacemakers, and I believe in the west the gun was called a peacemaker, and some people say an armed society is a polite society)   Edward Banfield (20th century) divided classes not by wealth, but by how forward looking and planning groups were.  The lowest classes prepare the least, that is they crave immediate reward, and the highest classes are the ones with names on public buildings.   He notes that encouraging more education generally makes the lower classes less successful and advocated abolishing the minimum wage and getting students out of school by the 10th grade. They could get jobs and experience the immediate reward of a paycheck.  I think it is possible we are degenerating into civil/clan splits, we already have the first third world city of Detroit. Ala, Ivan Illitch, the “Hell with Good Intentions”,  I wonder how many peace corps workers are planning on visiting there?

    • #35
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    @ScarletPimpernel
    Paul A. Rahe

     

    Government may not be able to enforce morality, but it can certainly encourage or discourage it. When I was in high school, when a girl became pregnant, she had to drop out until the baby was born. One of the regulations brought in by the Great Society ruled that out, and now they flaunt their baby bumps. · 28 minutes ago

    And government shapes mores and moral ideas in other ways.  The change from a democratic republic to an administrative/ entitlements state is  changing the character of the American citizenry, and weakening our capacity for self-government.

    • #36
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    @ConservativeWanderer
    Scarlet Pimpernel

    Paul A. Rahe

    Government may not be able to enforce morality, but it can certainly encourage or discourage it. When I was in high school, when a girl became pregnant, she had to drop out until the baby was born. One of the regulations brought in by the Great Society ruled that out, and now they flaunt their baby bumps. · 28 minutes ago

    And government shapes mores and moral ideas in other ways.  The change from a democratic republic to an administrative/ entitlements state is  changing the character of the American citizenry, and weakening our capacity for self-government. · 2 minutes ago

    A vicious cycle worthy of the name.

    • #37
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    @JimIxtian
    De_Maistre: But how does one reverse a sexual revolution?

    I really only see three options:

    1) From the ground up. That would essentially require a religious revival or infiltration of cultural institutions that educate the next generation.

    The solution is really simple. Take away the one thing that most women crave even if they do spend their 20’s pursuing career and the Sex & the City lifestyle-Marriage. Don’t marry them. Call it a ‘Marriage Strike’ if you will or adopt a MGTOW(Men Go Their Own Way) policy and deny women the social legitimacy and status they derive from marriage.

    Women are the gatekeepers of sex, Men the gatekeepers of commitment. Since women have stopped honoring their commitments, men must stop honoring theirs and let the chips fall where they may.

    Think of it all as a male version of Lysistrata.

    De_Maistre:  3) In the aftermath of a collapse. If there is an economic collapse, people would tend to gravitate towards faith and stable social structures.

    Unfortunately no. The architects of Cultural Marxism, specifically Feminism are hoping for collapse to lay the foundation for people to accept political and economic Marxism.  

    • #38
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    @Tartsonawire

    Great article, which makes an excellent and very valid point, which I agree with.  My only problem is that, towards the end of the article, you seemed to single out single moms.  Just remember that it takes two to tango.  I know that, that wasn’t the point you were going for.  I just felt it deserved a little emphasis.

    • #39
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    @liberaljim

    “In embracing the administrative entitlements state”  Doing this accepts the idea that what the poor most need is material in nature, when in fact what is needed is the self discipline and values that usually result in material wealth.  When the major churches have embraced the entitlement state they have accepted and begun to preach the gospel of materialism.    

    While I agree with everything you have said I would suggest the problem is far more spiritual than political and the solution will perhaps not be found until there is a reformation in our churches.

    It might be good to note the will blubbered Cardinal  did not scream until his ox was gored and if it had not been he in all likelihood would still be silent.   

    • #40
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    @Nobody

    Prof. Rahe’s post is why I wish Ricochet had a “print-version” button.

    So I can create a neat-looking PDF for archiving.

    I’m glad when he posts. He really classes up the joint. I wish Drew Klavan would post here more often, too.

    • #41
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    @GeorgeSavage

    Dennis Prager, in his book Still the Best Hope, argues convincingly that our core problem is the substitution of Judeo-Christian values with Leftist values.  Moral relativism leaves us powerless to judge any behavior or lifestyle as inferior to any other, and so the family–and with it the civil society–is left to crumble.  And the State fills the vacuum, which for the party of government is a Good Thing.

    Prager also develops the case for the universality of Judeo-Christian values as distinct from the underlying religions, pointing out that non-Jews and non-Christians can and do embrace ethical monotheism, which is the key concept.

    • #42
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    @Ansonia

    Re: comment 33

    Men are already not marrying them. Can you suggest anything even more Lysistrata like that the men might try?

    • #43
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    @JimIxtian
    Ansonia: Men are already not marrying them. Can you think of anything even more Lysistrata like that the men might try?

    Those trends are primarily hitting the poor and working class, not so much the middle and upper classes. Yet. A Lysistrata -style strategy by men would seriously panic those middle & upper class women and the increasingly costly marriage industrial complex that market to them. They’re so separated from the conditions of the poor and working class they haven’t been affected as much as the poor and working classes. It’s ironic that SWPL-Liberals may advocate all sorts of libertine behavior, but they still act like good little conservatives by getting married and staying married. Plus, SWPL-Liberals have money to paper over mistakes like drug addiction, bastardy, etc. whereas the poor and working class does not. See Charles Murray for the stats.

    • #44
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    @BrianSkinn
    Crow’s Nest: Additionally, completely off topic, somehow Prof. Rahe manages to write posts that wildly overshoot the normal ~700ish word rule and gets people to read them! · 2 hours ago

    If only we could just get everybody everywhere to read them and seriously consider them…

    • #45
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    @tommeyer

    To second Barbara at #39, Rahe’s piece has one central flaw: it discusses the effects of the Sexual Revolution with hardly a mention of the (near-simultaneous) creation of the Welfare State. This is missing half of the story.As an illustration, Rahe asks why many young women today lack the self discipline to take a daily pill when their grandmothers were capable of much greater self control and discipline. To the extent he answers this question, he lays the blame on modern contraceptives and the liberties they allow. I’d posit, however, that the culprit is less the Pill and more the knowledge that any child conceived can be provided for at state cost. Why bother to be careful about contraceptives when the negative effects are so thoroughly cushioned?To put this another way, my guess — and it is only that — is that the Sexual Revolution absent the Welfare State would have had significantly fewer negative effects in terms of illegitimacy. Conversely, the Welfare State absent the Sexual Revolution would have had substantially similar effects.

    • #46
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    @BarbaraKidder

    With all the sound reasoning in Dr. Rahe’s essay and the excellent comments that have followed, more than anything,  it is the welfare state that  will be our undoing.

    For as long as most Americans remember, we have had a federal government that has stepped in to save people from the folly of their own poor choices or ‘bad luck’.

    Consequently, the fear of failure and death do not influence most people to make prudent decisions or prepare for misfortunes. They know that our government provides a big, wide safety net!

    The rest of us have been conditioned to believe that it would be cruel and inhumane to allow folks to ‘fall through the cracks’.  No one would dare to campaign to repeal the law that requires hospitals to treat everyone, to eliminate food stamps, etc.

    Only when the government cushion is totally gone will people begin to get serious about their own survival!

    We can dismantle the welfare state or we can watch it go bust;  it will come to an end either way.

    I fear that the hook has a barb and will be impossible to get out!

    • #47
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    @Ansonia

    Re : comment 38

    I have to read Murray’s book one of these days. But I know what you’re saying is true. It should be pointed out to poor and working class people, as often as possible, that the elite maintain their family status, in part, by condoning and incentivizing behavior that guarantees the poor won’t create the kind of families that could raise many self controlled, hard working, canny brats to compete with their children.

    • #48
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    @TheMugwump

    Nobody ever won a war by planning for the last one.  Every pundit who suggests we need to analyse our recent defeat so we can win the next election is building a Maginot Line.  Elections only matter when a republic is healthy.  The American Republic is finished.

    Now, allow me to offer you a silver thread.  The republic is finished, but the nation is not.  Governments routinely and regularly fall in most places around the world, but people survive.  If you want to spend your time constructively, start thinking long term.  When I say long term I mean generational.

    And who the hell cares anymore about Sandra Fluke’s sexual habits?  The wench will probably die of some unspeakable social disease when the medicine runs out.  Virtue is not its own reward, but I’m damn sure that vice is its own punishment.  Be virtuous and live; indulge in vice and die early.  It’s just nature’s way of culling the herd.

    Virtue will return when the behaviors associated with virtue become necessary for survival.  I really don’t understand the leftist infatuation with Mother Earth.  She’s a bitch.  

    • #49
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    @Pseudodionysius

    the Sexual Revolution absent the Welfare State would have had significantly fewer negative effects in terms of illegitimacy.

    The two are joined at the hip. Exhibit A: Julia. There’s a reason Planned Parenthood is so dependent on government funding.

    • #50
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    @Valiuth

    After reading you Prof. Rahe I really want to agree with you, but then again I am still feeling down about your previous predictions (I really wanted to believe you were right and I did, I should no better than to be optimistic. I am a conservative after all.)

    A thought about the birthrate from a biological perspective.  Biology teaches us that no population can grow indefinitely. At some point as the population exhausts its base of nutrients and growth rates flatten out, and the population experiences negative population growth. The US population unlike that of other western countries is still growing beyond the replacement rate. This though is mostly due to emigration.

    I fear that as societies become more richer and more advanced they hit some sort of yet, unknown limiting factor to population growth. It is the steep changes in age distribution and growth rates that  undermine the fiscal solvency of our current safety net (SS and Medicare), or at the very least intensify the problem. These future financial problems themselves create great societal pressures. I fear we may not be just running in to a failure of morals….(continued).

    • #51
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    @Valiuth

    …I fear we are reaching the very limits of our current ability to maintain society going at the levels of affluence that we currently enjoy. It may be we are living in a bubble that will have to burst first. In times of hardship virtue is rewarded. 

    As Rob Long pointed out in a Podcast today’s poor are embracing all the vices of the old nobility. Yet, the poor can afford this less than any one else. Affluence has reduced the marginal cost of detrimental behavior. The cure will have to be to let the cost rise again, which will happen with economic collapse. A Great Depression a World War may be what is needed. Not because it will give us stimulus spending but because it will clarify our priorities. Not something to look forward to, sadly. 

    • #52
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    @tommeyer

    Life of Julia is a great example of what life is like when the two are conjoined. I don’t see why either requires the other.

    • #53
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    @

    Excellent post, professor.

    I believe that it is the values that are key and if the Republican party deserts them, they should be abandoned. I urge you to continue with posting your insights.

    I think the manifestations of society (welfare state, sexual promiscuity, bastardy, and so on) derive from values, not the other way around. I think this was part of the genius of Andrew Breitbart – the battle is about culture and culture is a derivative of values.

    We have gone from life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness to death, libertinism and the pursuit of pleasure. Change the values and you change society. It is a fool’s errand to assault society without addressing values. 

    • #54
  25. Profile Photo Member
    @CaptSpaulding

    The many fine thoughts here (which bear repeated reading) put me in mind of a deceptively simple but powerful one that struck me like a thunderbolt years ago. It sums up the thrust of what many are saying in one form or another. I can no longer recall its source, but it is on the order of this: Freedom is not the capacity to do what you will; freedom is the capacity to do the right thing.

    • #55
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    @TeeJaw

    I don’t understand; if abortion is such a hot political issue and conservatives are losing it, why does Planned Parenthood have to hide the fact it is an abortion clinic that does thousands of abortions every year?  

    • #56
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    @MontyManley

    (continued from previous post)

    As women are finding out, men with no direction or purpose in life are not particularly appealing except as sexual objects — and that attraction tends to pall fairly quickly. A handsome and strong young man might make a fine bedmate but a lousy father, but by the time a young modern woman realizes this the die has already been cast: the child of the union is already in the world, but with no father worth the name. So instead the State must be husband and father.

    Absent an actual man, a woman is thus left with a “husband” who places no demands upon her and renders no judgements on her behavior, but also provides no real support or emotional sustenance.

    And men? Men unanchored from the family simply stall. It is not a perpetual childhood so much as a stunted and circumscribed adult life – one where connections are brief and devoid of both past and future. A man alone thinks of no one but himself because there is no one else to think about. No legacy to build, no future, no aim but comfort.

    (continued)

    • #57
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    @PaulARahe
    Tom Meyer: To second Barbara at #39, Rahe’s piece has one central flaw: it discusses the effects of the Sexual Revolution with hardly a mention of the (near-simultaneous) creation of the Welfare State. This is missing half of the story.As an illustration, Rahe asks why many young women today lack the self discipline to take a daily pill when their grandmothers were capable of much greater self control and discipline. To the extent he answers this question, he lays the blame on modern contraceptives and the liberties they allow. I’d posit, however, that the culprit is less the Pill and more the knowledge that any child conceived can be provided for at state cost. Why bother to be careful about contraceptives when the negative effects are so thoroughly cushioned?To put this another way, my guess — and it is only that — is that the Sexual Revolution absent the Welfare State would have had significantly fewer negative effects in terms of illegitimacy. Conversely, the Welfare State absent the Sexual Revolution would have had substantially similar effects. · 3 hours ago

    The existence of the welfare state explains why so few of these women give their children . . .

    • #58
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    @MontyManley

    (continued from previous post)

    What advantage comes to a man by investing the time and effort and wealth into building a family? I’ve often said that women should rejoice that most men still believe in love, because without it there isn’t much reason for men to marry any more. It’s an enormous emotional and financial burden with little worldly recompense. Certainly the culture disdains husbands and fathers: TV shows, novels, and movies depict men as genial buffoons, clueless naifs, or villains. (When did Atticus Finch stop being a cultural role model? Right around the same time the sexual revolution started. It’s not a coincidence.)

    The liberal project to erase the line between the sexes and between the stages of life (child and adult) has been given a powerful motive force by the sexual revolution. It has left an incredible amount of wreckage in its wake, not least of which is the diminution of the entire concept of what it means to be a man.

    • #59
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    @PaulARahe

    Continued from #61 above:

    . . . up for adoption. It does not explain the pregnancies themselves. They are a consequence of a general collapse in self-discipline, and the welfare state has grown to accommodate this fact. WIC and Medicaid are recent.

    • #60
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