Yuuge Rocket Blew Up; All Systems Goooooo!

 

The second launch of Elon Musk’s SpaceX Starship went very well right up until both parts exploded.  Which is fine, as the major testables occurred nicely, albeit “with issues,” as people say.  The whole assembly took off with every engine firing all the way until the innovative MECO, which in this case stands for “Most Engines Cut-Off,” as the enormous booster kept a couple of engines firing even as the Starship on top of it released the clamps and fired its own engines at full power, propelling itself away from the booster and “blowing” the booster back.

“Innovation” in rockets typically starts as a series of loud booms over several years.  From there, the booster was supposed to turn around, come back, and land gently on the surface of the Gulf of Mexico and then sink, not to be recovered.  Instead, the booster turned around (suspiciously quickly to my eyes), and oriented itself apparently correctly, but clearly had issues, including what looked like a major leak (think of a slow explosion out one side), then blew itself up.  Or perhaps it was commanded to blow up.

Recall that on the first launch, which did not even attempt “hot staging,” the stages failed to separate, the whole thing cartwheeled, and then crucially failed to blow itself up for an agonizing minute or so.  Imagine being the folks in the command center earlier this year as your giant dying rocket spins out of control, heading back to Earth somewhere, and you’re all mashing your self-destruct buttons, but the thing perversely remains in one piece.  Harrowing.  Finally, it did like a good rocket and blew itself to confetti, but everybody from Musk to the FAA was not impressed.  Well, problem solved, and on today’s launch, the booster blew itself up in a timely manner.  Who’s a good rocket?

So the second stage, the “Starship” that looks like an idiot’s idea for a cheap space opera paperback illustration, cranked away from the scene, adding more altitude and velocity.  This went on until it got to something like 145-149 kilometers altitude, if I recall, and then odd signs appeared.  Something spread out and then stopped, it looked normal again for a short while, then something major let go, and the thing obviously self-destructed. Who’s a good Starship?

This is all still in the research phase — hoped-for burnback and landing of the cartoonishly large booster were, uh, “not observed.”  Same for the hoped-for high-energy re-entry, maneuver, and landing of the Starship at a point some hundreds of miles north of Hawaii.  I believe just based on the timeline that the whole thing played out once more entirely above the Gulf of Mexico, so it never even got out over the Atlantic proper.

Yet this was a huge success.  Once again, private industry has launched the world’s largest, most powerful, and arguably most ambitious rocket in the history of man, and in its second time flying, it broke new ground in the things that went right.  Live reports said that the trajectory and speed for both components were nominal, meaning “according to plan,” right up until they weren’t.

The scene was breathtaking in its beauty.  Sunrise on the (fetid, bug-infested, swampy wasteland) southern Texas coast, with a gentle onshore breeze.  The massive rocket stood at its launch station, filled with far sub-zero liquid oxygen and fuel, chilling the air around it to such a degree that a downdraft circulated about the vehicle, creating a local patch of fog slowly trailing hundreds of yards downwind.

Aerial and ground shots captured this magnificent work of technology and its interaction with a picturesque location in vibrant colors, microscopic detail, and stark contrasts. The plain-old drone footage is already art quality. I hope they make a million bucks selling pictures of this rocket that blew up minutes after the photos were taken.  Just stunning.

And brave.  This is the onset of a new gilded age for spaceflight.  These are the good old days.  I called my son in Japan and we watched this live together on Elon Musk’s Twitter (alright, just this once “X”) video streaming.  But that’s another story.

What a raucous time to be alive.  There are terrible threats and horrors sufficient to the day.  If you needed something to pick yourself up from the carnage and human filth, you could do worse than to lift your eyes, if not to Heaven, then to a nice proxy that is a little bit lower, a little more fallible (boom!), and which portends if not a blissful eternity, well, a beautiful and productive future for our kids and their friends.

Thank you, Elon Musk.  Who’s a good billionaire?

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  1. Taras Coolidge
    Taras
    @Taras

    Bryan G. Stephens (View Comment):

    DonG (CAGW is a Scam) (View Comment):

    Taras (View Comment):

    That is not a business. There are less than 100 people that will ever squander $70 million for a ride into space. Getting the government to spend $50 billion on a satellite internet system is a business model.

    Somebody posted this on Reddit:

    “$13 per kilogram? That’d be revolutionary if that’s true. I know not to underestimate Elon but I’ll believe that when I see it. If the average person weighs 62 kg, it’d be just $806 to transport just their body weight alone, not including other factors of course, but that’s still really cheap for space flight. Looks like we could be looking at space tourism real soon.”

    In other words, even if Musk is off by a factor of 100, that $806 becomes $80,600, easily within the reach of the upper middle class.

    The price of $1000/pound is a one-way price. It is a very small group of people that will pay a million dollars for a one-way trip to LEO.

    It will get cheaper.

    Space Tourism will be a thing someday

    Don, where did you get that figure of $1000 a pound?  And why did you multiply it by 1000 to get the cost of a trip to LEO?

    In any case, there are currently about 23 million millionaires just in the United States, with over 80 thousand at the 30+ million level.

    • #61
  2. Taras Coolidge
    Taras
    @Taras

    OccupantCDN (View Comment):

    Taras (View Comment):

    DonG (CAGW is a Scam) (View Comment):

    OccupantCDN (View Comment):

    There is no space tourism business. The space business is about sending government payloads up.

    There will be.

    Eventually. There have been a few tourists that have gone to space. I think at a cost of $70 million or so…

    That is not a business. There are less than 100 people that will ever squander $70 million for a ride into space. Getting the government to spend $50 billion on a satellite internet system is a business model.

    Somebody posted this on Reddit:

    “$13 per kilogram? That’d be revolutionary if that’s true. I know not to underestimate Elon but I’ll believe that when I see it. If the average person weighs 62 kg, it’d be just $806 to transport just their body weight alone, not including other factors of course, but that’s still really cheap for space flight. Looks like we could be looking at space tourism real soon.”

    In other words, even if Musk is off by a factor of 100, that $806 becomes $80,600, easily within the reach of the upper middle class.

    Thats fine if you’re sending a corpse to space. But the weights of the Air, Water and food you need to stay alive – along with the equipment to maintain the pressure temperature is quite profound. When factored against the weight of the astronaut.

    The smallest vehicle ever used to launch a man (person, but lets face it, they were all men) was the Mercury capsules… Weighing in at 2500 lbs… Flight conditions, would not be acceptable to most tourists…

    That $806 becomes $14 300.

    That’s like assuming that every passenger on an airliner sits in his own airplane. 

    • #62
  3. OccupantCDN Coolidge
    OccupantCDN
    @OccupantCDN

    Bryan G. Stephens (View Comment):

    DonG (CAGW is a Scam) (View Comment):

    Taras (View Comment):

    That is not a business. There are less than 100 people that will ever squander $70 million for a ride into space. Getting the government to spend $50 billion on a satellite internet system is a business model.

    Somebody posted this on Reddit:

    “$13 per kilogram? That’d be revolutionary if that’s true. I know not to underestimate Elon but I’ll believe that when I see it. If the average person weighs 62 kg, it’d be just $806 to transport just their body weight alone, not including other factors of course, but that’s still really cheap for space flight. Looks like we could be looking at space tourism real soon.”

    In other words, even if Musk is off by a factor of 100, that $806 becomes $80,600, easily within the reach of the upper middle class.

    The price of $1000/pound is a one-way price. It is a very small group of people that will pay a million dollars for a one-way trip to LEO.

    It will get cheaper.

    Space Tourism will be a thing someday

    This is why I like the idea of a space lottery… You get the more average people the opportunity to fly in low earth orbit, your flying these missions for the lottery, keeping operational tempo up. Thus lowering costs with each flight.

    Say the lottery is giving away 6 or 8 seats a year – between space station crew relieve flights, cargo flights and satellite launches you could be flying 50 70 times a year – just like SpaceX is now… Maybe a manned flight once a month or so…

    • #63
  4. OccupantCDN Coolidge
    OccupantCDN
    @OccupantCDN

    Taras (View Comment):

    OccupantCDN (View Comment):

    Taras (View Comment):

    DonG (CAGW is a Scam) (View Comment):

    OccupantCDN (View Comment):

    There is no space tourism business. The space business is about sending government payloads up.

    There will be.

    Eventually. There have been a few tourists that have gone to space. I think at a cost of $70 million or so…

    That is not a business. There are less than 100 people that will ever squander $70 million for a ride into space. Getting the government to spend $50 billion on a satellite internet system is a business model.

    Somebody posted this on Reddit:

    “$13 per kilogram? That’d be revolutionary if that’s true. I know not to underestimate Elon but I’ll believe that when I see it. If the average person weighs 62 kg, it’d be just $806 to transport just their body weight alone, not including other factors of course, but that’s still really cheap for space flight. Looks like we could be looking at space tourism real soon.”

    In other words, even if Musk is off by a factor of 100, that $806 becomes $80,600, easily within the reach of the upper middle class.

    Thats fine if you’re sending a corpse to space. But the weights of the Air, Water and food you need to stay alive – along with the equipment to maintain the pressure temperature is quite profound. When factored against the weight of the astronaut.

    The smallest vehicle ever used to launch a man (person, but lets face it, they were all men) was the Mercury capsules… Weighing in at 2500 lbs… Flight conditions, would not be acceptable to most tourists…

    That $806 becomes $14 300.

    That’s like assuming that every passenger on an airliner sits in his own airplane.

    Not at all. I was just pointing out that the weight of a passenger is a marginal consideration when compared to the weights, volume and power requirements of all the supplies and equipment needed to keep him alive in space… All of that mass has to be paid for too….

    • #64
  5. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    OccupantCDN (View Comment):

    Taras (View Comment):

    OccupantCDN (View Comment):

    Taras (View Comment):

    DonG (CAGW is a Scam) (View Comment):

    OccupantCDN (View Comment):

    There is no space tourism business. The space business is about sending government payloads up.

    There will be.

    Eventually. There have been a few tourists that have gone to space. I think at a cost of $70 million or so…

    That is not a business. There are less than 100 people that will ever squander $70 million for a ride into space. Getting the government to spend $50 billion on a satellite internet system is a business model.

    Somebody posted this on Reddit:

    “$13 per kilogram? That’d be revolutionary if that’s true. I know not to underestimate Elon but I’ll believe that when I see it. If the average person weighs 62 kg, it’d be just $806 to transport just their body weight alone, not including other factors of course, but that’s still really cheap for space flight. Looks like we could be looking at space tourism real soon.”

    In other words, even if Musk is off by a factor of 100, that $806 becomes $80,600, easily within the reach of the upper middle class.

    Thats fine if you’re sending a corpse to space. But the weights of the Air, Water and food you need to stay alive – along with the equipment to maintain the pressure temperature is quite profound. When factored against the weight of the astronaut.

    The smallest vehicle ever used to launch a man (person, but lets face it, they were all men) was the Mercury capsules… Weighing in at 2500 lbs… Flight conditions, would not be acceptable to most tourists…

    That $806 becomes $14 300.

    That’s like assuming that every passenger on an airliner sits in his own airplane.

    Not at all. I was just pointing out that the weight of a passenger is a marginal consideration when compared to the weights, volume and power requirements of all the supplies and equipment needed to keep him alive in space… All of that mass has to be paid for too….

    That’s true if the price given is only for “dead weight,” not “breathing/drinking/eating/peeing/pooping weight.”

    • #65
  6. Percival Thatcher
    Percival
    @Percival

    kedavis (View Comment):

    OccupantCDN (View Comment):

    Taras (View Comment):

    OccupantCDN (View Comment):

    Taras (View Comment):

    DonG (CAGW is a Scam) (View Comment):

    OccupantCDN (View Comment):

    There is no space tourism business. The space business is about sending government payloads up.

    There will be.

    Eventually. There have been a few tourists that have gone to space. I think at a cost of $70 million or so…

    That is not a business. There are less than 100 people that will ever squander $70 million for a ride into space. Getting the government to spend $50 billion on a satellite internet system is a business model.

    Somebody posted this on Reddit:

    “$13 per kilogram? That’d be revolutionary if that’s true. I know not to underestimate Elon but I’ll believe that when I see it. If the average person weighs 62 kg, it’d be just $806 to transport just their body weight alone, not including other factors of course, but that’s still really cheap for space flight. Looks like we could be looking at space tourism real soon.”

    In other words, even if Musk is off by a factor of 100, that $806 becomes $80,600, easily within the reach of the upper middle class.

    Thats fine if you’re sending a corpse to space. But the weights of the Air, Water and food you need to stay alive – along with the equipment to maintain the pressure temperature is quite profound. When factored against the weight of the astronaut.

    The smallest vehicle ever used to launch a man (person, but lets face it, they were all men) was the Mercury capsules… Weighing in at 2500 lbs… Flight conditions, would not be acceptable to most tourists…

    That $806 becomes $14 300.

    That’s like assuming that every passenger on an airliner sits in his own airplane.

    Not at all. I was just pointing out that the weight of a passenger is a marginal consideration when compared to the weights, volume and power requirements of all the supplies and equipment needed to keep him alive in space… All of that mass has to be paid for too….

    That’s true if the price given is only for “dead weight,” not “breathing/drinking/eating/peeing/pooping weight.”

    Nuts. The tourists aren’t colonizing Mars. You go up, take a few orbits and a few photos, then come back down. Maybe there’s a Tang break. The tourists get the photos and a mission patch. Easy-peasy.

    • #66
  7. BDB Inactive
    BDB
    @BDB

    Face it.  Much of space tourism will be vigorous investigation of the 125-mile-high club.

    • #67
  8. OccupantCDN Coolidge
    OccupantCDN
    @OccupantCDN

    Percival (View Comment):
    Nuts. The tourists aren’t colonizing Mars. You go up, take a few orbits and a few photos, then come back down. Maybe there’s a Tang break. The tourists get the photos and a mission patch. Easy-peasy.

    Would there be a huge market for that, you think? A Mercury or Gemini style craft… You go up do a space walk for a bit – maybe spend the night on orbit and splash down the next day .

    The Titan ii GLV had about 450 000 lbs of thrust on the first stage … Are there enough people to pay, say $3 to $5 million to do a mission like this… Keep in mind this is you going to space – no professionals – just you… So the flight costs would also include training…

    • #68
  9. Percival Thatcher
    Percival
    @Percival

    OccupantCDN (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):
    Nuts. The tourists aren’t colonizing Mars. You go up, take a few orbits and a few photos, then come back down. Maybe there’s a Tang break. The tourists get the photos and a mission patch. Easy-peasy.

    Would there be a huge market for that, you think? A Mercury or Gemini style craft… You go up do a space walk for a bit – maybe spend the night on orbit and splash down the next day .

    The Titan ii GLV had about 450 000 lbs of thrust on the first stage … Are there enough people to pay, say $3 to $5 million to do a mission like this… Keep in mind this is you going to space – no professionals – just you… So the flight costs would also include training…

    Disney actually managed to sell the Galactic Starcruiser “experience” for something like $6k a throw. There’s one born every minute, son.

    As far as the personnel goes, eventually it’ll be like driving a bus.

    This will take a while.

    • #69
  10. OccupantCDN Coolidge
    OccupantCDN
    @OccupantCDN

    Percival (View Comment):

    OccupantCDN (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):
    Nuts. The tourists aren’t colonizing Mars. You go up, take a few orbits and a few photos, then come back down. Maybe there’s a Tang break. The tourists get the photos and a mission patch. Easy-peasy.

    Would there be a huge market for that, you think? A Mercury or Gemini style craft… You go up do a space walk for a bit – maybe spend the night on orbit and splash down the next day .

    The Titan ii GLV had about 450 000 lbs of thrust on the first stage … Are there enough people to pay, say $3 to $5 million to do a mission like this… Keep in mind this is you going to space – no professionals – just you… So the flight costs would also include training…

    Disney actually managed to sell the Galactic Starcruiser “experience” for something like $6k a throw. There’s one born every minute, son.

    As far as the personnel goes, eventually it’ll be like driving a bus.

    This will take a while.

    Yes, but at 6k a throw, the star cruiser lost 300 million dollars.

    Not a large enough market to make a go of it… The primary mistake they made was making it Quasi- prequel era Star Wars… Not enough 30 – 40 year olds have enough nostalgia (or cash) to relive their Star Wars Prequel fantasies … They should have been original trilogy Star Wars … Many more 50 year olds have the nostalgia and  the cash to dump $6k at a Disney property…

    • #70
  11. Percival Thatcher
    Percival
    @Percival

    OccupantCDN (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):

    OccupantCDN (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):
    Nuts. The tourists aren’t colonizing Mars. You go up, take a few orbits and a few photos, then come back down. Maybe there’s a Tang break. The tourists get the photos and a mission patch. Easy-peasy.

    Would there be a huge market for that, you think? A Mercury or Gemini style craft… You go up do a space walk for a bit – maybe spend the night on orbit and splash down the next day .

    The Titan ii GLV had about 450 000 lbs of thrust on the first stage … Are there enough people to pay, say $3 to $5 million to do a mission like this… Keep in mind this is you going to space – no professionals – just you… So the flight costs would also include training…

    Disney actually managed to sell the Galactic Starcruiser “experience” for something like $6k a throw. There’s one born every minute, son.

    As far as the personnel goes, eventually it’ll be like driving a bus.

    This will take a while.

    Yes, but at 6k a throw, the star cruiser lost 300 million dollars.

    Not a large enough market to make a go of it… The primary mistake they made was making it Quasi- prequel era Star Wars… Not enough 30 – 40 year olds have enough nostalgia (or cash) to relive their Star Wars Prequel fantasies … They should have been original trilogy Star Wars … Many more 50 year olds have the nostalgia and the cash to dump $6k at a Disney property…

    I thought it was the Disney trilogy that they were pushing with that.

    • #71
  12. OccupantCDN Coolidge
    OccupantCDN
    @OccupantCDN

    Percival (View Comment):

    OccupantCDN (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):

    OccupantCDN (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):
    Nuts. The tourists aren’t colonizing Mars. You go up, take a few orbits and a few photos, then come back down. Maybe there’s a Tang break. The tourists get the photos and a mission patch. Easy-peasy.

    Would there be a huge market for that, you think? A Mercury or Gemini style craft… You go up do a space walk for a bit – maybe spend the night on orbit and splash down the next day .

    The Titan ii GLV had about 450 000 lbs of thrust on the first stage … Are there enough people to pay, say $3 to $5 million to do a mission like this… Keep in mind this is you going to space – no professionals – just you… So the flight costs would also include training…

    Disney actually managed to sell the Galactic Starcruiser “experience” for something like $6k a throw. There’s one born every minute, son.

    As far as the personnel goes, eventually it’ll be like driving a bus.

    This will take a while.

    Yes, but at 6k a throw, the star cruiser lost 300 million dollars.

    Not a large enough market to make a go of it… The primary mistake they made was making it Quasi- prequel era Star Wars… Not enough 30 – 40 year olds have enough nostalgia (or cash) to relive their Star Wars Prequel fantasies … They should have been original trilogy Star Wars … Many more 50 year olds have the nostalgia and the cash to dump $6k at a Disney property…

    I thought it was the Disney trilogy that they were pushing with that.

    That could be. It sounds like something Disney would do…Anything but the original trilogy…

    The point I was making is that they targeted a younger audience, that’s less attached to Star Wars and has less money to spend. (because of their age) Rather than going after the fans of the Original Trilogy who are now in their 50s, thus have lots of disposable income, and have a much greater attachment to the franchise… A huge error.

    Its also why classic music (that gets radio airplay) is 20-25 years old. Because the 16 – 20 year old kids who grew up on these bands are now driving to work everyday, and listening for their music.  Classic radio has mostly dropped 60s music from the rotation – but have added 90s… Cream is out, but Nirvana is in…

    • #72
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