The Latest Numbers from Arizona (Wednesday Edition)

 

A whopping 10,764 votes were counted statewide today, resulting in almost zero movement in the ballot count. Let’s go to the big board…

Governor

Candidate Percentage Vote Total
Kari Lake (R) 49.7% 1,264,758
√ Katie Hobbs (D) 50.3% 1,281,958

U.S. Senator (race called for Sen. Kelly, Friday, Nov. 11)

Candidate Percentage Vote Total
Blake Masters (R) 46.5% 1,190,643
√ Mark Kelly (D) 51.4% 1,315,771

Secretary of State (race called for Adrian Fontes, Friday, Nov. 11)

Candidate Percentage Vote Total
Mark Finchem (R) 47.6% 1,194,712
√ Adrian Fontes (D) 52.4% 1,314,698

Attorney General

Candidate Percentage Vote Total
Abe Hamadeh (R) 50.0% 1,248,226
Kris Mayes (D) 50.0% 1,248,937

Treasurer (race called for Kimberly Yee, Saturday, Nov. 12)

Candidate Percentage Vote Total
√ Kimberly Yee (R) 55.7% 1,282,208
Martin Quezada (D) 44.3% 1,101,734

Superintendent of Public Instruction

Candidate Percentage Vote Total
Tom Horne (R) 50.2% 1,250,100
Kathy Hoffman (D) 49.8% 1,241,382

None of the percentages shifted after Wednesday’s vote tallies. Tom Horne (R) has strengthened his lead over the incumbent Superintendent of Public Instruction by a whopping 142 votes and is now leading by 8,718.

In the AG race, Kris Mayes (D) leads Abe Hamadeh (R) by a mere 711 votes, a 60-vote improvement for the Republican.

As of tonight, 17,280 ballots are yet to be counted statewide. Hamadeh needs 52 percent of those to win that race.

Previous Arizona Election Posts:

The Tuesday Wrap-up

The Monday Wrap-up

The Sunday Wrap-up

The Saturday Wrap-up

The Friday Wrap-up

Published in Elections
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  1. Bishop Wash Member
    Bishop Wash
    @BishopWash

    Congratulations to Abortion Mouse for winning with 108% of precincts reporting

    • #1
  2. The Cloaked Gaijin Member
    The Cloaked Gaijin
    @TheCloakedGaijin

    Arizona looks a lot like the way California looked about 25 or 30 years ago.

    A few people in Arizona will vote for a statewide Republican to a meaningless office just to appear fair and balanced.  In my state the only thing the state treasurer does is determine if the state money is kept in a bank inside the state or outside the state for a higher interest rate.

    I think California’s last statewide Republicans were Schwarzenegger who was elected under very special circumstances and who is essentially a Democrat today and Bruce McPherson who was appointed and served as Secretary of State of California for less than two years and who apparently hasn’t been a Republican since 2012, before Trump even arrived on the scene.

    Democrat Malia Cohen won the California state controller race over Ricochet favorite Lahnee Chen. 

    Los Angeles just elected a Democrat for mayor even though the opponent wasn’t really a Republican and was endorsed by the Kardashian family, Snoop Dogg, Cenk Uygur, Gwyneth Paltrow, Maria Shriver, George Lopez, Katy Perry, Elon Musk, Chris Pratt, Bill Bratton, etc.

    In 30 years will Doug Ducey be remembered as the Pete Wilson of Arizona?  I hope not.  Maybe a Hispanic Republican who was a former Democrat can come save the day?

    • #2
  3. Zed11 Inactive
    Zed11
    @Zed11

    The Cloaked Gaijin (View Comment):

    Arizona looks a lot like the way California looked about 25 or 30 years ago.

    A few people in Arizona will vote for a statewide Republican to a meaningless office just to appear fair and balanced. In my state the only thing the state treasurer does is determine if the state money is kept in a bank inside the state or outside the state for a higher interest rate.

    I think California’s last statewide Republicans were Schwarzenegger who was elected under very special circumstances and who is essentially a Democrat today and Bruce McPherson who was appointed and served as Secretary of State of California for less than two years and who apparently hasn’t been a Republican since 2012, before Trump even arrived on the scene.

    Democrat Malia Cohen won the California state controller race over Ricochet favorite Lahnee Chen.

    Los Angeles just elected a Democrat for mayor even though the opponent wasn’t really a Republican and was endorsed by the Kardashian family, Snoop Dogg, Cenk Uygur, Gwyneth Paltrow, Maria Shriver, George Lopez, Katy Perry, Elon Musk, Chris Pratt, Bill Bratton, etc.

    In 30 years will Doug Ducey be remembered as the Pete Wilson of Arizona? I hope not. Maybe a Hispanic Republican who was a former Democrat can come save the day?

    Some people (cough cough) have called California a failed state. Maybe Arizona should stop trying to be like California.

    • #3
  4. db25db Lincoln
    db25db
    @db25db

    Jon, take a day off and I’ll take care of tomorrow’s recap.

    11/17 – 7 votes were tallied.

    4 to Abe Hamedah

    3 to Kris Mayes

    Narrowing Kris lead to 710.

    The end.

    • #4
  5. Gary Robbins Member
    Gary Robbins
    @GaryRobbins

    The Cloaked Gaijin (View Comment):

    Arizona looks a lot like the way California looked about 25 or 30 years ago.

    A few people in Arizona will vote for a statewide Republican to a meaningless office just to appear fair and balanced. In my state the only thing the state treasurer does is determine if the state money is kept in a bank inside the state or outside the state for a higher interest rate.

    I think California’s last statewide Republicans were Schwarzenegger who was elected under very special circumstances and who is essentially a Democrat today and Bruce McPherson who was appointed and served as Secretary of State of California for less than two years and who apparently hasn’t been a Republican since 2012, before Trump even arrived on the scene.

    Democrat Malia Cohen won the California state controller race over Ricochet favorite Lahnee Chen.

    Los Angeles just elected a Democrat for mayor even though the opponent wasn’t really a Republican and was endorsed by the Kardashian family, Snoop Dogg, Cenk Uygur, Gwyneth Paltrow, Maria Shriver, George Lopez, Katy Perry, Elon Musk, Chris Pratt, Bill Bratton, etc.

    In 30 years will Doug Ducey be remembered as the Pete Wilson of Arizona? I hope not. Maybe a Hispanic Republican who was a former Democrat can come save the day?

    I strongly disagree.  The only reason why the Democrats won the Senate, Governor, Secretary of State and Attorney General races is because the Republicans in those races, had barely won a plurality in their primary races, after being endorsed by Trump.  And the only reason they were endorsed by Trump is that they had to declare themselves to be “Biden Election Deniers.”  I, for one, would not vote for a “Biden Election Denier.”  And there was a cadre of other Republicans and Independents who would not vote for a “Biden Election Denier.”  The Democrats won by a paper thin margin.

    If any of those Republican Candidates were not “Biden Election Deniers,” those Republicans would have won by the same margin as Kimberly Yee who has 55.7% of the votes for State Treasurer.  (Being the State Treasurer is not a small insignificant office.  Two term Governor Doug Ducey was the State Treasurer before he was elected as Governor.)  At one point, Kimberly Yee’s margin of victory was greater than the combined margin of victory of the four Democrats, in the Senate, Governor, Secretary of State and Attorney General Races.

    I would have voted for Republican Karrin Taylor Robson for Governor in a heartbeat over Katie Hobbs for Governor, because Karrin Taylor Robson is not a “Biden Election Denier.”  But I voted for Katie Hobbs over Kari Lake.

    I would have voted for Jim Lamon in a heartbeat over Mark Kelly for Senate, because Jim Lamon was not a “Biden Election Denier.”  But I voted for Mark Kelly over Blake Masters.

    I would have voted for Beau Lane in a heartbeat over Adrian Fontes for Secretary of State, because Beau Lane was not a “Biden Election Denier.”  But I voted for Adrian Fontes over Mark Finchem.

    I would have voted for Rodney Glassman in a heartbeat over Kris Mayes for Attorney General, because Rodney Glassman was not a “Biden Election Denier.”  But I voted for Kris Mayes over Abe Hamadeh.

    Robson, Lamon, Lane and Glassman were barely beat in their primaries, and they were only beat in a multiple candidate field, when Trump came into Arizona and started endorsing primary candidates who would repeat his “Biden Election Denying” lies.

    I can and will forgive a candidate who voted for Trump in 2016 and 2020.  Heck, my mother and brother voted for Trump in 2016 and 2020.  Even Liz Cheney, Chris Christie and Glenn Youngkin voted for Trump in 2016 and 2020 and Mike Pence was his running mate.  I would support any of them them if Ron DeSantis doesn’t run in 2024.  Who I will support is whoever is most likely to beat Trump.

    What I will not forgive is a client who repeats and promotes the lie of being a “Biden Election Denier.”  I will not vote for them.  And I will work as hard as I can to drive “Biden Election Deniers” from the Republican Party, and if they win the Republican primary, I will vote for the Democrat in the general election.

    I voted for only one Democrat where the Republican was not an explicit “Biden Election Denier.”  I voted for was Kathy Hoffman for Superintendent of Public Instruction.  But that is only because Republican Tom Horne was a former Attorney General whose four years as Attorney General was marked by scandal.  As a lawyer, I keep track of the Attorney General.  Do you really want to go over Tom Horne’s multiple ethical scrapes?

    There were other two race where I voted for the Democrat, in both of them, the Republican had been endorsed by Trump after they came out as “Biden Election Deniers.”  First, I voted for Tom O’Halloran, a former Republican Legislator, for the U.S. House of Representatives, whose opponent was Eli Crane, who was a “Biden Election Denier” and was endorsed by Trump in the primary.  (Even if Eli Crane were not a “Biden Election Denier” I would have voted for Tom O’Halleran; I have known him for years and consider him a personal friend.

    Second, I don’t recall the name of the Democrat, but I voted against Wendy Rogers for the Arizona State Senate.  Rogers is not only is a “Biden Election Denier,” she was twice censured by the Republican State Senate, for frankly racist statements she made.

    Finally, for the State House of Representatives, I voted for Republican David Cook.

    Trump is toxic.  Being a “Biden Election Denier” is disqualifying.

    • #5
  6. Gary Robbins Member
    Gary Robbins
    @GaryRobbins

    There are only a few ballots out there to be counted.  It looks like there are only 17,280 ballots to be counted.  All of the counties except one have 98% of their ballot counted.  All of the ballots in republican stronghold Yavapai County are all counted.  Very little is going to change in the vote totals.

    https://apps.arizona.vote/info/bps/2022-general-election/33/0

    • #6
  7. colleenb Member
    colleenb
    @colleenb

    Thanks for the update Jon. I hope the count is completed sometime before you retire. By the way, where do retired Arizonans move? Heh.

    • #7
  8. The Cloaked Gaijin Member
    The Cloaked Gaijin
    @TheCloakedGaijin

    Gary Robbins (View Comment):

    The Cloaked Gaijin (View Comment):

    Arizona looks a lot like the way California looked about 25 or 30 years ago.

    I strongly disagree. The only reason why the Democrats won the Senate, Governor, Secretary of State and Attorney General races is because the Republicans in those races, had barely won a plurality in their primary races, after being endorsed by Trump.

    #1.  Then why was Martha McSally constantly defeated? 

    2020: Lost 48.8% to 51.2% to Mark Kelly
    2018:  Lost 47.6% to 50.0% to Kyrsten Sinema
    2012: Lost 25.1% to 35.1% to Jesse Kelly

    Kari Lake did better than that!

    “Congresswoman Martha McSally has told The Range she won’t be endorsing Donald Trump in this year’s presidential race…”

    #2.  Why was Jeff Flake so unpopular?

    “(Jeff Flake) is known as a vocal critic of former President Donald Trump… 

    Throughout his Senate career, Flake suffered from consistently low approval ratings. In April 2013, less than three months after taking office, he had 32% approval and 51% disapproval ratings. By mid-2017, he dropped to 18% approval and 62% disapproval ratings…”

    Pro-Trump?  Anti-Trump?  What else is there?

    Georgia also doesn’t think that they are a Democrat state yet.  We shall see.

    • #8
  9. iWe Coolidge
    iWe
    @iWe

    Democracy is dead in most states. Arizona violated many basic precepts of fair elections, and the results are simply illegitimate.  Nobody should have to wait in line for hours to vote. And then turn people who are in line away. 

    One day. Purple Fingers. ID. Traceable (to the precinct) Ballots.

    • #9
  10. Gary Robbins Member
    Gary Robbins
    @GaryRobbins

    iWe (View Comment):

    Democracy is dead in most states. Arizona violated many basic precepts of fair elections, and the results are simply illegitimate. Nobody should have to wait in line for hours to vote. And then turn people who are in line away.

    One day. Purple Fingers. ID. Traceable (to the precinct) Ballots.

    No.  Please explain exactly how you think Arizona “violated many basic precepts of fair elections, and the results are simply illegitimate.”  Them’s fighting words!

    This issue was litigated on Election Day.  The Court found that no one was denied the right to vote.

    There are two ways to vote at the polls in Arizona.  You can file out a paper ballot.  Or you can use a machine which types out your choices.  Either way, you take the paper ballot and put it in the ballot box.  What I understand is that in Maricopa County in the general election the ink was too faint in the machines.  Big deal.  Just file out the paper ballot, or go to a different polling place if you have a desperate need to use the machine.

    What evidence, if any, do you have to attack the 2022 General Election?

    Please justify your attack on Arizona, or withdraw it.

    • #10
  11. Gary Robbins Member
    Gary Robbins
    @GaryRobbins

    iWe (View Comment):

    Democracy is dead in most states. Arizona violated many basic precepts of fair elections, and the results are simply illegitimate. Nobody should have to wait in line for hours to vote. And then turn people who are in line away.

    One day. Purple Fingers. ID. Traceable (to the precinct) Ballots.

    If what you say is true, then Kari Lake and others who lost need to file an immediate lawsuit.  However, I have seen absolutely nothing that would reverse the apparent results of the election.  Good luck with that.

    • #11
  12. iWe Coolidge
    iWe
    @iWe

    Gary Robbins (View Comment):

    What evidence, if any, do you have to attack the 2022 General Election?

    Please justify your attack on Arizona, or withdraw it.

    Are you serious?

    In what modern state does it take 10 days to COUNT VOTES? Completely rife with opportunities to fudge the results. 

    The people in charge of the election are political actors: the secretary of state was running for Governor!

    Thousands of people have reported problems voting. See https://saveaznow.com/

    One example.

    Another:

    It took Shannon over 2 hours to vote on Election Day. Her first ballot showed faded ink & was rejected 8 times. Shannon asked to spoil her ballot & was able to vote with a new ballot. Lines were around the block. How many people didn’t have two hours to spend at the polls?

    And now they are extending the “curing” process in Blue counties, but blocking it in Red. Complete partisan hacking.

    Arizona is a complete joke. The laughing stock of the world. Government incompetence that exceeds most nations on the planet, which is saying something. 

    Admit it: Arizona’s elections are a joke. The results are hacked.  The election does not reflect the will of the people.

    • #12
  13. iWe Coolidge
    iWe
    @iWe

    Gary Robbins (View Comment):
    I have seen absolutely nothing that would reverse the apparent results of the election. 

    Then you are not looking. The SecState race is maybe 200 votes away from a different result. If, as reported, thousands of people could not vote in a timely manner in Maricopa County, then you are willfully blind.

    • #13
  14. iWe Coolidge
    iWe
    @iWe

    https://citizenfreepress.com/breaking/voter-suppression-in-maricopa-county-heres-proof/

     

    • #14
  15. Gary Robbins Member
    Gary Robbins
    @GaryRobbins

    .

    • #15
  16. Gary Robbins Member
    Gary Robbins
    @GaryRobbins

    iWe (View Comment):

    Gary Robbins (View Comment):

    What evidence, if any, do you have to attack the 2022 General Election?

    Please justify your attack on Arizona, or withdraw it.

    Are you serious?

    In what modern state does it take 10 days to COUNT VOTES? Completely rife with opportunities to fudge the results.

    The people in charge of the election are political actors: the secretary of state was running for Governor!

    Thousands of people have reported problems voting. See https://saveaznow.com/

    One example.

    Another:

    It took Shannon over 2 hours to vote on Election Day. Her first ballot showed faded ink & was rejected 8 times. Shannon asked to spoil her ballot & was able to vote with a new ballot. Lines were around the block. How many people didn’t have two hours to spend at the polls?

    And now they are extending the “curing” process in Blue counties, but blocking it in Red. Complete partisan hacking.

    Arizona is a complete joke. The laughing stock of the world. Government incompetence that exceeds most nations on the planet, which is saying something.

    Admit it: Arizona’s elections are a joke. The results are hacked. The election does not reflect the will of the people.

    iWe (View Comment):

    Gary Robbins (View Comment):
    I have seen absolutely nothing that would reverse the apparent results of the election.

    Then you are not looking. The SecState race is maybe 200 votes away from a different result. If, as reported, thousands of people could not vote in a timely manner in Maricopa County, then you are willfully blind.

    iWe (View Comment):

    https://citizenfreepress.com/breaking/voter-suppression-in-maricopa-county-heres-proof/

     

    I think that you are quoting from some interesting conspiracy websites here.  The bottom line is that Kari Lake needs to now organize what she has and to show that the Court should throw out over 16,ooo votes.  Al Gore was trying to throw out about 1,000 votes, and did not succeed.  I don’t see Kari winning, but I am sure that the Legal Beagles at the Secretary of State’s Office, and the County Recorders will have their side of the story.  It appears to me that the County Recorders in three of the four largest voting counties, namely Maricopa, Pinal and Yavapai Counties are all Republicans, while the County Recorder in Pima County is likely a Democrat.  

    I will look forward to reviewing Kari Lake’s complaint if and when one is filed.  She has a stiff uphill climb.

    • #16
  17. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    colleenb (View Comment):

    Thanks for the update Jon. I hope the count is completed sometime before you retire. By the way, where do retired Arizonans move? Heh.

    Florida?

    • #17
  18. The Cloaked Gaijin Member
    The Cloaked Gaijin
    @TheCloakedGaijin

    James Woods posted this on twitter:

    You probably only have to destroy elections in a few key areas to cause a different result.

    • #18
  19. Gary Robbins Member
    Gary Robbins
    @GaryRobbins

    Our Jim Geraghty of The Three Martini Lunch has weighed in.  He says at https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/even-if-all-of-the-remaining-uncounted-votes-are-for-kari-lake-katie-hobbs-would-still-win/:

    Updating this post from yesterday, in Arizona’s governor’s race, Democrat Katie Hobbs now leads Republican Kari Lake by 16,780 votes. The state estimates that there are 10,663 potential votes left to count, a combination of early votes yet to be counted, provisional ballots left to be validated, and other regularly-cast Election Day ballots yet to be counted.

    In other words, even if all of the remaining votes were for Kari Lake, Hobbs would still win the election by about 6,000 votes.

    The message from the Lake campaign is that that the issues with the voting machines in Maricopa County disenfranchised tens of thousands of Arizonans who would have voted for Lake and put her over the top. In their minds, the election is invalid, and Arizona should “redo” the election.

     

    • #19
  20. Gary Robbins Member
    Gary Robbins
    @GaryRobbins

    The Cloaked Gaijin (View Comment):

    James Woods posted this on twitter:

    You probably only have to destroy elections in a few key areas to cause a different result.

    Yes, there were long lines at some precincts.  That needs to be corrected.  But remember, the Maricopa County Recorder is a Republican, and the Board of Supervisors has a 4-1 Republican majority.  I recall reading about a 4 hour wait in black precincts in Georgia in 2018.  There is no statement as to how long the wait was, and what precinct this was.

    • #20
  21. Gary Robbins Member
    Gary Robbins
    @GaryRobbins

    Is there any surprise that that Kari Lake, a “Biden Election Denier” is herself a “Hobbs Election Denier”?

    One headline I read was “Election Denier Denies Election.”

    The fact of the matter is that Kari Lake was defeated by her own hubris.  She campaigns with Steve Bannon.  She praises Paul Gosar.  She campaigns with Wendy Rogers and Mike Lindell, the Pillow Guy.  She tells McCain supports to “Get the Hell Out.”  She brags at CPAC after her primary victory that she put a stake through the John McCain Machine, and made the gesture of thrusting a stake.  

    Arizona dodged a bullet.  A demagogue was defeated.  Thank goodness.  

    • #21
  22. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    Gary Robbins (View Comment):

    Our Jim Geraghty of The Three Martini Lunch has weighed in. He says at https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/even-if-all-of-the-remaining-uncounted-votes-are-for-kari-lake-katie-hobbs-would-still-win/:

    Updating this post from yesterday, in Arizona’s governor’s race, Democrat Katie Hobbs now leads Republican Kari Lake by 16,780 votes. The state estimates that there are 10,663 potential votes left to count, a combination of early votes yet to be counted, provisional ballots left to be validated, and other regularly-cast Election Day ballots yet to be counted.

    In other words, even if all of the remaining votes were for Kari Lake, Hobbs would still win the election by about 6,000 votes.

    The message from the Lake campaign is that that the issues with the voting machines in Maricopa County disenfranchised tens of thousands of Arizonans who would have voted for Lake and put her over the top. In their minds, the election is invalid, and Arizona should “redo” the election.

     

    You continue to ignore the “garbage in” part of “garbage in, garbage out.”

    • #22
  23. The Cynthonian Member
    The Cynthonian
    @TheCynthonian

    This is a rather interesting development:   https://www.azag.gov/sites/default/files/2022-11/221119%20Letter%20to%20Maricopa%20County%20re%202022%20General%20Election%20Administration.pdf

    • #23
  24. Gary Robbins Member
    Gary Robbins
    @GaryRobbins

    The last 5,000 ballots have been processed.  There were 2.5 million votes.  Democrat Kris Mayes won the Attorney General race by 510 votes out of 2.5 million votes for a 50.01% victory.  Her opponent had 49.99% of the vote.

    • #24
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