Ricochet is the best place on the internet to discuss the issues of the day, either through commenting on posts or writing your own for our active and dynamic community in a fully moderated environment. In addition, the Ricochet Audio Network offers over 50 original podcasts with new episodes released every day.
The Latest Numbers from Arizona
Arizona is famously slow in counting votes. And since the debacle of 2020, state election officials have changed nothing. (I wrote about it here for the Arizona Republic.)
Adding to the confusion is that votes are counted in a specific order. The ballots tabulated so far were mailed in or dropped off before election day, and the ballots filed on election day itself. These tend to support the Democratic candidates. The last returns from these two categories were announced Friday night.
As of Friday night, some in the last category are added to the mix: the so-called “late earlies.” These are mail-in ballots dropped off at polling places on election day. These tend to support the Republican candidates, and the ballots are slower to count since election officials must verify the signature on the outer envelope before opening and counting. Observers for Democrats and Republicans are present throughout this process.
More of these “late earlies” were filed this year since Maricopa County, which holds 62 percent of the state’s residents, had tabulation machine errors. Also, after the mess in 2020, many Republicans and independents don’t trust the post office or drop-boxes to deliver their ballot properly. (Yours truly fits into this category; in my case, due to simple procrastination.)
As of about 8:30 p.m. local time, here are the latest numbers from Arizona. At this stage of the count, Democratic candidates are dominating. This is expected to change somewhat after Saturday’s numbers are released:
Governor
Candidate | Percentage | Vote Total |
---|---|---|
Kari Lake (R) | 49.3% | 1,068,908 |
Katie Hobbs (D) | 50.7% | 1,100,005 |
U.S. Senator (race called for Sen. Kelly at 8:15 p.m., Friday, Nov. 11)
Candidate | Percentage | Vote Total |
---|---|---|
Blake Masters (R) | 46.1% | 1,005,001 |
√ Mark Kelly (D) | 51.8% | 1,128,917 |
Secretary of State (race called for Adrian Fontes at 8:25 p.m., Friday, Nov. 11)
Candidate | Percentage | Vote Total |
---|---|---|
Mark Finchem (R) | 47.2% | 1,011,019 |
√ Adrian Fontes (D) | 52.8% | 1,129,144 |
Attorney General
Candidate | Percentage | Vote Total |
---|---|---|
Abe Hamadeh (R) | 49.6% | 1,055,522 |
Kris Mayes (D) | 50.4% | 1,074,673 |
Treasurer
Candidate | Percentage | Vote Total |
---|---|---|
Kimberly Yee (R) | 55.3% | 1,173,483 |
Martin Quezada (D) | 44.7% | 947,604 |
Superintendent of Public Instruction
Candidate | Percentage | Vote Total |
---|---|---|
Tom Horne (R) | 49.8% | 1,059,486 |
Kathy Hoffman (D) | 50.2% | 1,066,151 |
I plan to update these numbers at the end of each day until the various races are called. Which will hopefully happen this year…
So, where do we stand at 8:30 p.m. Friday? I expect the close races (1-2%) to eventually move into the GOP column. That means Kari Lake will be Arizona’s next Governor, Abe Hamadeh our next Attorney General, and Tom Horne our next Superintendent of Public Instruction.
Where GOP candidates lag by a lot (4% or more), I doubt they can make up the gap. That’s why Blake Masters is, very sadly, out of contention, as is Mark Finchem, the Republican nominee for Secretary of State. Both were declared defeated minutes after the latest numbers dropped Friday night and while I was writing this post.
For the record, an estimated 394,521 ballots are yet to be counted. Again, these are expected to favor GOP candidates, especially the 274,885 from Maricopa County.
Published in Elections
Is this what Jon’s posts are like? I don’t know how I Followed it but it surely is bizarre for a main page post. And informative of what goes on outside the member feed.
Added: Oh, I got here through a link from a group.
“I believe those things. All ten of them have been proven by clear and convincing evidence, and some of them have been proven in my eyes beyond a reasonable doubt, in that a reasonable doubt is a doubt based upon reason, and not fantasy. If those beliefs mean that we can no longer be friends, then I will be sad about that and I will miss you. I will think well of you and wish you well in life.”
***
WOW! 1,352 words for a Dear John letter on the main feed. This is a Ricochet I have been neglecting!
No, it’s not. :)
No one should feel the need to take down a post for any reason–especially on the main page, for as @Flicker said, it is
OK, maybe just start a new post for the updated vote statistics.
Noisy off-topic thread under the OP, but this here sub-thread is of interest to me, as it should be to the curious. Why didn’t the Leg *do* something?
From what I recall there were several attempts at passing some election reforms post 2020. Perhaps @jon can correct my likely errors, but I think that several legislative attempts were made, but either failed to pass or were vetoed (I might have that veto thing wrong).
The AZ GOP only had a 2 seat advantage in both houses of the AZ Legislature, so it was not hard to torpedo any bills, which I believe happened by two or three down votes. Perhaps quorum came into play as well. One of the bills was voted down by a rep – was it Ugunte-sargon something? – who didn’t think the bill went far enough. I get that, but sometimes half a loaf is better yadda-yadda. There also might have been a special session that was requested but not called for?
Anyway, that is a great question and only one I tangentially recall some information on.
Oh yeah – I believe there has been R growth in both of these houses as a result of this election? And the AZ Freedom Caucus has grown? More questions that I think @jon or @arizonapatriot might have much more solid info on.
Hey @flicker, could you please edit your comment #63 to reflect that these are Gary’s words, not mine? Thanks.
Yeah. I was wondering about that too. Curious.
I think excessively long, repetitive, comments may reasonably be construed as prima facie evidence of highjacking.
Opinion/Suggestion: I think the 500 word limit is good for everyone equally. If a member requires more than 500 words to express himself — in the comments section of a post originated by a member other them himself — perhaps then the rule should be that the wordy commenting dude if, after exhausting his 500 word limit, still has more to say — he must do so by beginning his own post with the remainder of this thoughts/words.
Thanks for the perfect example of why your advice leads to nothing other than huge losses. You want to win with 104,000 votes.
The 104,000 votes is a veto, that’s all. You have our votes, unless you engage in crazy talk.
Stealing again?
A quick post script to my Comment #52.
A wise man suggested to me right after the 2020 election that I respect that strong Trump supporters were hurting and suggested that they would come around.
He was both right and wrong. He was right that I needed to be more humble and less arrogant. But I think that my silence and the silence of other Republicans gave license to the crazy element of Trump supporters to spin fantastic theories about how the election was stolen.
In football, if you have a lead, you need to keep the pressure on. Stay on offense. Don’t take your foot off of the neck of the other team, and let them get back into the game.
Trump lost in 2020. That is the truth. And I will keep speaking the truth, albeit with more humility and respect for the feelings of others.
Done.
A lawyer, I forget whom, just wrote four 500-word comments in response to Gary. They were worth reading. Only time I’ve seen that done.
Mucho appreciado!
See if you can come up with the name, PM me.
Surprisingly not. There was at least one that was 4000.
You speak French!
It’s a green light for pothead EVERYONE. Why would – and how could – parents be excluded?
Now that the light is off Florida and on Arizona, maybe they will. Although not if they get a Dimocrat governor.
To be clear, it’s not that they haven’t finished counting all 394,521 ballots that were cast. They haven’t yet finished counting an ADDITIONAL 394,521 ballot after the over TWO MILLION ballots that HAVE BEEN counted.
Or maybe people realize that Kimberly Yee’s position isn’t all that important, compared to governor?
A Dimocrat governor from the Demonrat Party.
Probably not, since there are other employees who actually do the inspecting.
What was this one, a few THOUSAND words, Trumpery Trumpity Trumperoo?
I suppose this is where I bring up SSM?
That 500 word limit is an invitation to good writing.
One problem comes from the 500-word limit applying to also what you’re replying to, not just your own part.
If one is too lazy/entitled to bother editing what one’s responding to down to the relevant bits….anyway, I think editing is part of good writing and is, in fact, a basic courtesy in this context.
How did this get to be the topic? This is why I encourage @Jon to start a new post for the Arizona vote results.