Simple Minded Analysis

 

Anyone and everyone who is attempting to put a single reason forward as to the outcome of the 2022 election results is being simple-minded and intentionally disingenuous. They are willingly playing a fool’s game in a biased attempt to suggest that the results of the entire 2022 election were due to a single person, or a single issue for that matter. This was not a national election in any way.

Surely it was a referendum on Joe Biden and his idiotic policies, but that was a sideshow, not the main event. It is the only factor that kept Republicans in a close race in a rigged game. Politics is local, and surely that was the biggest factor in deciding these election results. Pennsylvania Senate race?! That is all on the voters of PA, more specifically in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh and the other large cities that vote Democrat dutifully without regard to the candidate (see: Frankenstein wins).

As of right now, they are not calling the Senate races in Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, and Nevada. Why is that?! What election does that remind you of? The longer the counting goes on, the higher the probability the Democrat wins. Cheating works.

The very idea of a ‘Red Wave’ in 2022 was, at best, a dream and most likely irrational exuberance. This is a divided nation and the number of extremely close Senate races (49.5 -50.5) illustrates that. The voting decision is not one of logic for those who vote Dem. It is a dutiful reflex born of brainwashing. The typical Democrat voter has been marinated in the ‘party line’ since grade school, and after schooling was over, it was the social media of their peers that did the marinating. If you didn’t vote Democrat, you were an awful human being. Welcome to the new America. The Democrat party is a cult and its peeps have drunk the purple Kool-aid. Deeply.

And besides, the Stoopid Party is divided when it needs to unite if it actually wants to be a competitive party. I’m not convinced that they do, otherwise they wouldn’t shoot themselves in the foot over pettiness. Mitch is at fault as much as President Trump. And if Mitch wins the majority, he does nothing with it, which is why the base of the party want to elect people to replace Mitch. And then Mitch torpedos his own party candidates. Dumb. Unless you don’t want to win. That is not President Trump’s fault. Mitch fought President Trump hard in every primary that he could (why?!). One can only assume that he did this to retain his own powerful position as his party and the people of the country get harmed.

There was no clear ‘national message’ for the Republican candidates due to this war within. I put most of the blame for that at the feet of do-nothing Mitch rather than the former President who saved America from the reign of Hillary Clinton.

Lastly, this was an election decided by turnout and the enthusiasm gap was a problem for the Republican Party. When Fetterman outdid Oz 51 -40 in the enthusiasm contest, you knew that it wasn’t going to be a great night.

It is a joke that by Noon of the day after election day, we still don’t know the winning US House and Senate candidates! Technology is better than that. The only people who don’t want better election tabulation processes are the Democrats who don’t want to give up their ability to cheat!

Hat tip to @vthek  for this conversation theme. https://ricochet.com/1335632/indecision-2022/#comment-6518152

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  1. Victor Tango Kilo Member
    Victor Tango Kilo
    @VtheK

    Thanks for the tip.

    In 2012, the Republican Party famously did a “post-mortem” on their loss. It was conducted by open borders/ pro-Amnesty Bush-Republicans and concluded that the Republican Party lost because they weren’t sufficiently open borders and pro-Amnesty. And recommended that to win in the future, the GOP must become an open borders, pro-Amnesty party.

    If a post-election analysis is just an excuse for one group to claim their particular hobby-horse (“We lost because of Trump!”) it will be worse then useless, it will be counterproductive.

    The Republican Party will never pry suburban wine-moms away from the Democrats. Republicans need to build a coalition without them. Even if it means working with grubby factory workers, truck drivers, and those dreary stay-at-home moms.

    Spoiler: They are going to keep chasing suburban women who watch ‘The View’ for its razor sharp political takes. 

    • #1
  2. Columbo Member
    Columbo
    @Columbo

    Victor Tango Kilo (View Comment):

    Thanks for the tip.

    In 2012, the Republican Party famously did a “post-mortem” on their loss. It was conducted by open borders/ pro-Amnesty Bush-Republicans and concluded that the Republican Party lost because they weren’t sufficiently open borders and pro-Amnesty. And recommended that to win in the future, the GOP must become an open borders, pro-Amnesty party.

    If a post-election analysis is just an excuse for one group to claim their particular hobby-horse (“We lost because of Trump!”) it will be worse then useless, it will be counterproductive.

    The Republican Party will never pry suburban wine-moms away from the Democrats. Republicans need to build a coalition without them. Even if it means working with grubby factory workers, truck drivers, and those dreary stay-at-home moms.

    Spoiler: They are going to keep chasing suburban women who watch ‘The View’ for its razor sharp political takes.

    And they totally ignored the Dobbs decision and abortion. That added a yuge impact on democrat enthusiasm and turnout, but that is no reason to surrender our position on life.

    • #2
  3. RightAngles Member
    RightAngles
    @RightAngles

    Columbo (View Comment):

    And they totally ignored the Dobbs decision and abortion. That added a yuge impact on democrat enthusiasm and turnout, but that is no reason to surrender our position on life.

    Whoever had the bright idea of doing this just before the midterms is not our friend. NOT a vote-getter.

    • #3
  4. CarolJoy, Not So Easy To Kill Coolidge
    CarolJoy, Not So Easy To Kill
    @CarolJoy

    Victor Tango Kilo (View Comment):

    Thanks for the tip.

    In 2012, the Republican Party famously did a “post-mortem” on their loss. It was conducted by open borders/ pro-Amnesty Bush-Republicans and concluded that the Republican Party lost because they weren’t sufficiently open borders and pro-Amnesty. And recommended that to win in the future, the GOP must become an open borders, pro-Amnesty party.

    If a post-election analysis is just an excuse for one group to claim their particular hobby-horse (“We lost because of Trump!”) it will be worse then useless, it will be counterproductive.

    The Republican Party will never pry suburban wine-moms away from the Democrats. Republicans need to build a coalition without them. Even if it means working with grubby factory workers, truck drivers, and those dreary stay-at-home moms.

    Spoiler: They are going to keep chasing suburban women who watch ‘The View’ for its razor sharp political takes.

    Very well stated.

    Another factor was that in 2012, the year you reference,  Ron Paul had so many followers. So then  the way the Republican Party was organized, it was easy to allow the PTB inside the Party from letting him achieve victories in state caucuses.

    This had to piss off a lot of people.

    I had changed my affiliation from Dem to Republican to vote for Ron Paul in the primaries here in Calif.

    I changed it back to Independent when I realized the R’s were as slick and  sick-o as the Dems.

     

    • #4
  5. GPentelie Coolidge
    GPentelie
    @GPentelie

    RightAngles (View Comment):

    Columbo (View Comment):

    And they totally ignored the Dobbs decision and abortion. That added a yuge impact on democrat enthusiasm and turnout, but that is no reason to surrender our position on life.

    Whoever had the bright idea of doing this just before the midterms is not our friend. NOT a vote-getter.

    The timing of the decision was not planned for “just before the midterms”. The case had been wending its way through appeals and circuit courts since 2018, finally landed in the SCOTUS’s lap two months into its 2021/22 session, and the ruling was announced just before the session ended in late June of this year.

    • #5
  6. Bob Thompson Member
    Bob Thompson
    @BobThompson

    Columbo: That is all on the voters of PA, more specifically in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh and the other large cities that vote Democrat dutifully without regard to the candidate (see: Frankenstein wins).

    It seems the Democrat Party is almost totally in this mode today. In the Senate, supposedly our deliberative body designed to avoid this, only Manchin and Sinema strayed at all last term and Republicans are pushing the same thing in the other direction. Will we see both parties get smaller in terms of those who claim party membership and an increase in those voters claiming to be Independent? Or do we get a different result?

    • #6
  7. Bob Thompson Member
    Bob Thompson
    @BobThompson

    Columbo: Politics is local

    I know this should be true. That is why I don’t like college students voting in places that are not where they live. I’m not a big fan of the voting age at 18 either.

    Just think, for example, in a place like Athens, Georgia, home to my ancestors and many relatives today, how it is blue when without the votings by students at UGA it would probably be red. I’m sure all those students get a good dose of blue indoctrination in an election year. 

    • #7
  8. DrewInWisconsin, Oik Member
    DrewInWisconsin, Oik
    @DrewInWisconsin

    Mitch is at fault as much as President Trump. And if Mitch wins the majority, he does nothing with it, which is why the base of the party want to elect people to replace Mitch. And then Mitch torpedoes his own party candidates. Dumb. Unless you don’t want to win. That is not President Trump’s fault. Mitch fought President Trump hard in every primary that he could (why?!). One can only assume that he did this to retain his own powerful position as his party and the people of the country get harmed.

    There was no clear ‘national message’ for the Republican candidates due to this war within. I put most of the blame for that at the feet of do-nothing Mitch rather than the former President who saved America from the reign of Hillary Clinton.

    This is the red meat of your post.

    Mitch needs to go.

    • #8
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