Don’t Believe the Polls

 

Year after year, election after election, we study the election polls with bated breath, hoping to glean optimism and reassurance from the results, even months ahead of time. And this year, with critical midterms in our sights, we hope that the Republicans will not only take the House but win a majority in the Senate.

The problem is that almost all of the pollsters are bought out by the Leftist media to support its agenda, so that we are not only discouraged by their results before the elections, but are brainwashed into believing that the future is dismal.

But there is good news of a sort: the pollsters are lying to us. And the more they are called out on their treachery, the better off Republicans will be.

I found this article helpful in trying to figure out how it was possible that pollsters in the mainstream media could practice such deceit:

Why would almost every American pollster whore out their credibility by deliberately rigging polls while knowing they will be exposed as cheats on Election Day?

To normal people, this makes no sense. Our credibility means something to us. The very idea of releasing a fake poll that will be proven fake as soon as the votes are counted is so outside our value system, it creates a blind spot. We simply cannot conceive of anyone doing such a thing because we cannot conceive of ourselves doing such a thing.

The article listed several motivations for misrepresenting poll results. First, if Democrats appear to be leading the polls, their donors will contribute enthusiastically. In contrast, if Republicans are trailing, donors are more likely to be stingy. Next, nobody wants to be an outcast among his fellow pollsters:

Nobody wants to be an outlier. Nobody wants to be standing naked and alone. What’s more, nobody wants to be attacked by a corporate media that shames and ridicules pollsters who report their results accurately.

If you are a pollster, you have two choices… You can report your results honestly, in which case — in an effort to teach you a lesson and make an example of you, the media will either ignore or ridicule you, or you can rig your polls to the media’s liking and enjoy the feeling of acceptance, along with the financial and publicity benefits.

As a result of distorted polls, Republican voters can be discouraged about turning out at the polls, especially if the gap between the parties is large. Conversely, Democrats will plan to vote since they can increase their chance of victory by doing so.

Do these results tell us that no pollster can be trusted? Although he’s a little rough around the edges, Richard Baris, the People’s Pundit, is not afraid to speak out against the illegitimate pollsters and has been banished by that community. I encourage you to listen to at least the first five minutes of this video from a Hillsdale College presentation:

Baris also speaks highly of Trafalgar, who has consistently been accurate in its poll results.

The pollsters have become so fearless that they admit they aren’t using legitimate techniques:

The big difference between today and two years ago is that pollsters will now admit that their results are systemically biased against conservatives.  For example, in an article published in Vox, pollster David Shor said:

For three cycles in a row, there’s been this consistent pattern of pollsters overestimating Democratic support in some states and underestimating support in other states.  It happened in 2018.  It happened in 2020.  And the reason that’s happening is because the way that [pollsters] are doing polling right now just doesn’t work.

*     *     *     *

In spite of the temptation to try to predict the future, we all have to ask ourselves whether we should follow the polls or not. If we study them, can we take them with a grain of salt, understanding that until a week or two before an election they are unreliable? This is the reality we face:

Most major pollsters are associated with one or more media outlets. Partisan news organizations are selling prophesy, not forecasts. Propaganda is probably the polite description of much that passes for political news in the last decade.

If we are honest, however, we must admit that the American left has hit a trifecta in the 2020 propaganda wars. Liberals dominate a single, if not monolithic, narrative pushed by the press, broadcast networks, and social platforms across the internet.

Can enough ordinary voters see through the hype, smog, and distortions to make a pragmatic choice that preserves what’s left of the best of America?

Can we insist on the truth for ourselves?

 

Published in Elections
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There are 33 comments.

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  1. Susan Quinn Contributor
    Susan Quinn
    @SusanQuinn

    E. Kent Golding (View Comment):

    Ignore the polls. Ignore that your vote really doesn’t matter ( who counts the votes matters ). Vote for the lesser evil just so you know you did one thing that you could do. If there is more that you can do than voting, do it.

    Sounds like good advice, Kent.

    • #31
  2. The Reticulator Member
    The Reticulator
    @TheReticulator

    It’s time for my annual public service message:

    Be sure to lie to pollsters. It’s your civic duty. 

    • #32
  3. Stad Coolidge
    Stad
    @Stad

    Three reasons not to trust polls:

    1994

    2010

    2016

    • #33
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