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LOC: Ukraine War 6-Month Update
Everyone’s favorite panel returns to discuss the latest developments in Ukraine and answer your questions!
What I most like about our panel is that we have a diverse point of view and argue from different perspectives so you don’t get the usual all pro-Ukraine/West perspective of the mainstream media or the pro-Russian perspective of the independent media.
So watch what we think is happening. And add your own thoughts below.
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Published in General
Good watch, I learned a lot.
As one of the participants, I can hardly be thought of as unbiased vis-a-vis recommending it’s promotion to the Main Feed…
That being said, please “like” this post, and help us get it elevated to public access. Thanks!
We are disarming our own military to arm theirs.
Good discussion, guys. Thanks.
If I followed you correctly, your general views are:
(1) Mark (@seawriter) thinks that the Russians are overextended, and the Ukrainians have a good chance of pushing them back with a counteroffensive.
(2) Clark (@postmodernhoplite) thinks that the war is at a stalemate, with the Russians continuing to make very small gains. The most likely outcome is a continued stalemate, and the more likely departure from this would be a Russian advance, with little chance of a significant Ukrainian counteroffensive.
(3) Dave (@torywarwriter) thinks that the most likely outcome is a Russian breakout, as the recent fighting has worn down the Ukrainian defenses. The locations of the breakout would be both Donbas and Mykolaiv, with the latter involving a Russian advance to Odessa.
I appreciate the answers to my questions. My impression is that the three of you think that the Russians are more interested in taking Odessa than I thought, though there is disagreement about the likelihood of Russian success in such an offensive.
I haven’t seen much of this in the independent media. Most of the perspectives I see on the uncensored media is as wary of Russia as it is of Washington D.C.
Extremely good discussion. Enjoyed it greatly.
On the 90,000 dead Ukrainians (I think the 90,000 figure is low), I think it is well known within the leadership. How do they keep it under wraps? The government controls the press. Ukrainians are highly displaced and family contacts may be greatly broken down.
Yeah and as I said earlier, its good we have such divergent views cause I cant think of anywhere else your going to get this kind of range of opinion.
Ive heard from as low 50000 from the leaked Ukrainian document to 200000 dead from some of the more aggressive types.
I am tempted to go with the 90000, we can only look at the recent coverage of Covid to see how easy it is to suppress information.
My sources cited are as follows plus a few more.
The Duran, foreign policy realists
https://www.youtube.com/c/TheDuran
Alex Martynov, former Soviet era naval commander, now living in USA
https://www.youtube.com/user/smoothieX12
Defense Politics Asia, for the daily grind of the war,
https://www.youtube.com/c/DefensePoliticsAsia
Douglas Macgregor, former advisor to Trump
https://www.youtube.com/c/ColonelDouglasMacgregor
Larry Johnsons blog, former CIA officer,
https://sonar21.com/
The Dreizen report, former Army officer, dont buy his stuff on Covid personally,
https://thedreizinreport.com/2022/08/20/i-think-im-going-to-die/
Moon of Alabama, more european centric blog
https://www.moonofalabama.org/
I follow all of those as well. Dreizin is more or less bored with the war and has moved on to predicting a very deadly strain of covid by spring next year. His biggest insight to the war is that Putin has been trying to retire and he doesn’t think the candidates for succession are up to doing something like Ukraine. I think that was from sidebar with Viva Barnes.
Robert Barnes’ of Viva Barnes has made good predictions and has tips on how to figure out what is going on with Ukrainian propaganda based on what prosecutors and defense lawyers do. He has a channel on Locals.com.
Last night he and David Frei had a guest interview with a Canadian who did his doctorate on Alexander Dugin.
I figured as much.
Those links are more for Clarks benefit, who you can see writing things down in the show.
I have no idea who is right. It reminds me of something I think Douglas Adams once said. “There is a myth that you can research a subject and understand it quickly. When it comes to global warming, there is such you don’t know that binging a bunch of youtube videos isn’t going to help you. You can’t even ask the right questions. “
It does not matter if you ask the right questions. Nobody will give you any answers other than those that further their goals. I doubt climate change has much to do with actual climate. Has more to do with making money and taking money for a product they will never have to produce.
Probably because as with most issues relating to history (and especially Eastern European history) it’s going to take a few decades to sort out what actually happened and what it all means.
Dennis Miller mentioned this about the Iraq war that he supported. “It will take decades to figure out if this is really good or bad.” Everything is impossibly hard in the short-term.
So I wrote a post about how awesome this podcast is. Fair warning, it’s mostly about how garbage all the other reporting is but I wish to promote quality and demote dysfunction wherever I find it.
So I really need you guys to come to my post and explain the nature of nuclear plants. I really want to do better the MSM but I realize that I am incredibly ignorant.
So please go this post.
Thank you for answering my question. And nice to put faces to you all.