The Stakes Are Well Done

 

The Claremont Institute recently granted me a Lincoln Fellowship, which offers a week-plus of seminars on American politics and political thought. But first, I have to read some books. A lot of books.

One of the first I picked up was Michael Anton’s The Stakes: America at the Point of No Return (2020). Anton famously dubbed 2016 “The Flight 93 Election,” and in The Stakes, he warned of what would happen if the Democrats took the White House in 2020.

In the chapter titled “If Present Trends Continue…,” Anton made several predictions of a Biden presidency.

At least at first, immigration levels will go dramatically up and there will be no pretense of enforcement. (p. 282)

It would appear in the very near future, basic criminal law will no longer be enforced in large parts of the United States of America. (p. 288)

Forcing you to call a woman a man, or vice versa, is all the more satisfying when those holding the gun to your head know you don’t really believe it. That, at the constant ginning up of new hysterias keeps deplorable off-balance and on the defensive. (pp. 289-290)

Yep. Pretty much nailed it, Mr. Anton.

Published in Literature, Politics
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  1. Henry Castaigne Member
    Henry Castaigne
    @HenryCastaigne

    James Lileks (View Comment):
    The freedom we lost was the freedom to show our faces, and we took it back, one individual at a time, and there’s squat-all they can do about it now. 

    • #31
  2. I Walton Member
    I Walton
    @IWalton

    Percival (View Comment):

    They won’t succeed because their policies don’t work, and can’t be made to work.

    They won’t succeed because men can become pregnant, but can’t have a say in abortion law.

    They won’t succeed because they will be laughed at. They can handle outrage. They can handle dissent. They can’t handle being mocked.

    “Succeed” means being reelected and that depends on the extent of fraud.  We can overcome fraud up to  6, perhaps 10%,  but 15 or 20% is not obvious.  We keep acting as if these people were Truman or Kennedy democrats.  They’re not.   They are fascists and even old school Democrats believe what they’re told about Republicans.  

    • #32
  3. BDB Inactive
    BDB
    @BDB

    Percival (View Comment):

    Michael Minnott (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):

    They won’t succeed because their policies don’t work, and can’t be made to work.

    They won’t succeed because men can become pregnant, but can’t have a say in abortion law.

    They won’t succeed because they will be laughed at. They can handle outrage. They can handle dissent. They can’t handle being mocked.

    I wish I could be as confident as you. With an often Quisling GOP, I’m not so certain.

    They’ll be replaced.

    Heh.  We’re all being replaced.

    • #33
  4. BDB Inactive
    BDB
    @BDB

    Stad (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):
    They won’t succeed because they will be laughed at. They can handle outrage. They can handle dissent. They can’t handle being mocked.

    So true. The left feeds on how outraged they can make us, which is why they propose more and more outrageous things. The one weapon we have is ridicule. We need to point out time and time again that the emperor has no clothes, and using ridicule (or satire, parody, you name it) to do it.

    BTW, we also feed on their outrage. The schadenfreude from the leaked SCOTUS opinion is delicious. I’m just worried the real decision may be watered down . . .

    Yup.  Sessions, Mueller, Barr, Durham… yawn.  Nothing goes anywhere. 

    Benghazi.

    • #34
  5. BDB Inactive
    BDB
    @BDB

    DaveSchmidt (View Comment):

    RufusRJones (View Comment):

    Victor Tango Kilo (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):
    They won’t succeed because their policies don’t work, and can’t be made to work.

    Who needs policies that work when you can rig elections?

    Democrat policies have been failing in American cities for decades, but they are continually returned to power.

    Minneapolis and Minnesota are #1 in almost all of the racial disparity categories. So that means the difference between black and everybody else, not the absolute level. The new one I just heard is housing.

    Obviously, there is enough wealth and progressive power to fix all of this. It never happens, and the Democrats basically never lose any power.

    George Floyd was moved to Minneapolis by a Christian group. Arguably this is the worst place you can send a black person. I wish some sugar daddy would figure out a way to create scholarships to help them move to better areas.

    Was it a “Christian group” or a religious group with historic, but greatly frayed, ties to a Christian tradition? Can you share the name of the group?

    No True Scot, then?  I’m not cleaning your house.

    • #35
  6. BDB Inactive
    BDB
    @BDB

    Percival (View Comment):

    Victor Tango Kilo (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):
    They won’t succeed because their policies don’t work, and can’t be made to work.

    Who needs policies that work when you can rig elections?

    Democrat policies have been failing in American cities for decades, but they are continually returned to power.

    When the number of votes cast regularly exceed the number of voters available to cast those votes, someone is going to notice.

    So far this is not happening.  Propaganda, the Big Lie, cognitive dissonance.

    • #36
  7. BDB Inactive
    BDB
    @BDB

    James Lileks (View Comment):

    DrewInWisconsin, Unapologetic … (View Comment):

    And yet, as we saw in 2020, Americans happily wore their chains, and berated their fellow citizens who refused to put them on.

    Which is to say, they will succeed. They are succeeding. Bit by bit we’re losing our freedoms.

    Or, one could say, we all put on the masks because we were in uncharted territory, unsure of how to combat this thing and be safe, and everyone put on the mask out of caution. Over time, some became attached to masking for reasons that had less to do with evidence and more to do with their new identity as a Good Science-Driven Person Who Cared. The loud anti-maskers were outnumbered by the irritated mass of people eager to get on with it all, and when the vaccines came along, people dropped the masks, and became impatient with attempts to enforce their continued use.

    They did not succeed. I took a plane today, and the passengers were 1% masked, if that. Lots of New Yorkers are still walking around with masks, but they seem faintly ridiculous. The people I saw in the tourist areas were mostly maskless and happy. How could I tell? Because I could see their faces, and they were smiling.

    The Authorities (TM) squandered their trust, and now half the country – a population that used to regard them as serious and reasonable – hear the constant news about variants and surges like the statements of a cult leader whose prediction of the end of the world didn’t come true, and has to issue constant reassuring update that the end is, in fact, nigh.

    The freedom we lost was the freedom to show our faces, and we took it back, one individual at a time, and there’s squat-all they can do about it now.

    “We won’t get fooled again!”

    • #37
  8. DrewInWisconsin, Unapologetic Oaf Member
    DrewInWisconsin, Unapologetic Oaf
    @DrewInWisconsin

    BDB (View Comment):

    James Lileks (View Comment):

    DrewInWisconsin, Unapologetic … (View Comment):

    And yet, as we saw in 2020, Americans happily wore their chains, and berated their fellow citizens who refused to put them on.

    Which is to say, they will succeed. They are succeeding. Bit by bit we’re losing our freedoms.

    Or, one could say, we all put on the masks because we were in uncharted territory, unsure of how to combat this thing and be safe, and everyone put on the mask out of caution. Over time, some became attached to masking for reasons that had less to do with evidence and more to do with their new identity as a Good Science-Driven Person Who Cared. The loud anti-maskers were outnumbered by the irritated mass of people eager to get on with it all, and when the vaccines came along, people dropped the masks, and became impatient with attempts to enforce their continued use.

    They did not succeed. I took a plane today, and the passengers were 1% masked, if that. Lots of New Yorkers are still walking around with masks, but they seem faintly ridiculous. The people I saw in the tourist areas were mostly maskless and happy. How could I tell? Because I could see their faces, and they were smiling.

    The Authorities (TM) squandered their trust, and now half the country – a population that used to regard them as serious and reasonable – hear the constant news about variants and surges like the statements of a cult leader whose prediction of the end of the world didn’t come true, and has to issue constant reassuring update that the end is, in fact, nigh.

    The freedom we lost was the freedom to show our faces, and we took it back, one individual at a time, and there’s squat-all they can do about it now.

    “We won’t get fooled again!”

    “A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky dangerous animals and you know it.”

    • #38
  9. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    RufusRJones (View Comment):

    Stad (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):
    They won’t succeed because they will be laughed at. They can handle outrage. They can handle dissent. They can’t handle being mocked.

    So true. The left feeds on how outraged they can make us, which is why they propose more and more outrageous things. The one weapon we have is ridicule. We need to point out time and time again that the emperor has no clothes, and using ridicule (or satire, parody, you name it) to do it.

    BTW, we also feed on their outrage. The schadenfreude from the leaked SCOTUS opinion is delicious. I’m just worried the real decision may be watered down . . .

    I agree with all of this, particularly the highlighted part. That is the way it is.

     

    • #39
  10. Gary Robbins Member
    Gary Robbins
    @GaryRobbins

    Jon,  

    I will be looking forward to hear your report.

    Gary

    • #40
  11. RushBabe49 Thatcher
    RushBabe49
    @RushBabe49

    RufusRJones (View Comment):

    Victor Tango Kilo (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):
    They won’t succeed because their policies don’t work, and can’t be made to work.

    Who needs policies that work when you can rig elections?

    Democrat policies have been failing in American cities for decades, but they are continually returned to power.

    Minneapolis and Minnesota are #1 in almost all of the racial disparity categories. So that means the difference between black and everybody else, not the absolute level. The new one I just heard is housing.

    Obviously, there is enough wealth and progressive power to fix all of this. It never happens, and the Democrats basically never lose any power.

    George Floyd was moved to Minneapolis by a Christian group. Arguably this is the worst place you can send a black person. I wish some sugar daddy would figure out a way to create scholarships to help them move to better areas.

    Unfortunately, it’s been done, and it failed miserably.  Those who were moved into “better areas” brought their dysfunctional culture with them.  That would be drugs, gangs, single-motherhood, crime, etc.  The culture must change first.

    • #41
  12. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    RushBabe49 (View Comment):

    RufusRJones (View Comment):

    Victor Tango Kilo (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):
    They won’t succeed because their policies don’t work, and can’t be made to work.

    Who needs policies that work when you can rig elections?

    Democrat policies have been failing in American cities for decades, but they are continually returned to power.

    Minneapolis and Minnesota are #1 in almost all of the racial disparity categories. So that means the difference between black and everybody else, not the absolute level. The new one I just heard is housing.

    Obviously, there is enough wealth and progressive power to fix all of this. It never happens, and the Democrats basically never lose any power.

    George Floyd was moved to Minneapolis by a Christian group. Arguably this is the worst place you can send a black person. I wish some sugar daddy would figure out a way to create scholarships to help them move to better areas.

    Unfortunately, it’s been done, and it failed miserably. Those who were moved into “better areas” brought their dysfunctional culture with them. That would be drugs, gangs, single-motherhood, crime, etc. The culture must change first.

    Yes, it’s also what I’ve noted from living in Phoenix for years.  People would “flee the gangs” in the People’s Republic of California, and the first thing they – and/or their kids – would do in Arizona, is join or start a gang.  It’s what they knew.

    • #42
  13. BDB Inactive
    BDB
    @BDB

    Percival (View Comment):
    They won’t succeed because their policies don’t work, and can’t be made to work.

    Like the thermostatic choke on a Series III XJ6.

    • #43
  14. Percival Thatcher
    Percival
    @Percival

    BDB (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):
    They won’t succeed because their policies don’t work, and can’t be made to work.

    Like the thermostatic choke on a Series III XJ6.

    Just because your hyper-complicated Jag won’t start is no reason to get all wee-wee’d up.

    • #44
  15. BDB Inactive
    BDB
    @BDB

    Percival (View Comment):

    BDB (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):
    They won’t succeed because their policies don’t work, and can’t be made to work.

    Like the thermostatic choke on a Series III XJ6.

    Just because your hyper-complicated Jag won’t start is no reason to get all wee-wee’d up.

    I recall this line from my grubby Haynes manual:

    “The thermostatic choke on the series III does not work and cannot be made to work.”

    The first part is knowledge.  The second part is wisdom.

    • #45
  16. Henry Castaigne Member
    Henry Castaigne
    @HenryCastaigne

    RushBabe49 (View Comment):

    Those who were moved into “better areas” brought their dysfunctional culture with them.  That would be drugs, gangs, single-motherhood, crime, etc.  The culture must change first.

    I’m thinking of Somalis or Afghanis when you mention that. Thankfully, I notice that many African-Christian immigrants seem to leave most of their nonsense behind in Africa and start working in America like a dogged capitalist. 

    • #46
  17. RufusRJones Member
    RufusRJones
    @RufusRJones

    Henry Castaigne (View Comment):

    RushBabe49 (View Comment):

    Those who were moved into “better areas” brought their dysfunctional culture with them. That would be drugs, gangs, single-motherhood, crime, etc. The culture must change first.

    I’m thinking of Somalis or Afghanis when you mention that. Thankfully, I notice that many African-Christian immigrants seem to leave most of their nonsense behind in Africa and start working in America like a dogged capitalist.

    We have 100,000 Somalis in Minnesota and they can’t stay out of the news. 25,000 Ethiopians and they are perfect citizens. Ethiopia has a mixed Christian and Islamic culture and they all get along. The countries are right next to each other and you can’t tell these guys apart by looking at them.

     I forget all of the background, but Nigerians tend to be more productive and really good citizens.

    Supposedly, it’s illegal to adjust immigration rates for this type of thing. 

    • #47
  18. RufusRJones Member
    RufusRJones
    @RufusRJones

    Also, nobody is a refugee unless they are under one way religious or political persecution. If your country is a you know what, or you want to move here for economic reasons you have to go through regular immigration channels.

     

    • #48
  19. No Caesar Thatcher
    No Caesar
    @NoCaesar

    Doctor Robert (View Comment):

    Nathanael Ferguson (View Comment):

    I’m not sure the deplorables are still on the defensive, or that we will be for much longer at any rate. The results this November at federal, state, and local levels, should clear the matter up for us in any case.

    We’re gonna get slaughtered. The fraud will make 2020 pale by comparison.

    While I don’t think it’s helpful to be fatalistic, it is useful to be paranoid about our enemies (and they are enemies, not opponents; one can live with an opponent, one cannot live with an enemy).  Respect their capabilities.  They are ruthless, clever, and extremely facile with words and emotions, but they are not impervious.  They are not giants.  They are corrupted, twisted human beings.  I.e. grossly imperfect and especially subject to the greatest risk factor: hubris.  The enemy wants you demoralized.  Don’t give the enemy what he wants.

    Having said all that, we have to play offense and defense.  Lately our offensive game has gotten pretty strong.  However, defense has deteriorated markedly.  This is partly because defense is always fighting the last war.

    The social media companies have been spending a lot of time perfecting their algorithms, experimenting with how best to manipulate people.  They’ve gotten very good.  That capability provided some serious margin in 2020.   They will do it again, only it will be different.  This is the Left’s only offensive tool remaining.  And it is powerful.  

    Our defensive strategy needs to have this central to it.  Not the tactics the Left used last time, but a counter their strategy- psycho/social manipulation by algorithms, because their tactics will be different.

    Mockery/humor are one defensive tactic, but not enough to be the only one.  

    • #49
  20. Jon Gabriel, Ed. Contributor
    Jon Gabriel, Ed.
    @jon

    Gary Robbins (View Comment):

    What were the other books on the reading list?

    I was shipped a huge box of 33 books. Need to read 9 in total, parts of 9 others, and the rest are supplemental. A lot of Jaffa, Kesler, and even Ricochet buddy John Yoo!

    • #50
  21. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    Nice way to start a good library, if you didn’t already have one.

    • #51
  22. Gazpacho Grande' Coolidge
    Gazpacho Grande'
    @ChrisCampion

    Jon Gabriel, Ed. (View Comment):

    Gary Robbins (View Comment):

    What were the other books on the reading list?

    I was shipped a huge box of 33 books. Need to read 9 in total, parts of 9 others, and the rest are supplemental. A lot of Jaffa, Kesler, and even Ricochet buddy John Yoo!

    I thought John was a probationary buddy.

    • #52
  23. RufusRJones Member
    RufusRJones
    @RufusRJones

     

     

     

     

     

    • #53
  24. Red Herring Coolidge
    Red Herring
    @EHerring

    So you all mean they can’t win because their utopia is fantasy, then you are correct. If you mean they can’t win, will stop trying, and things will return to normal, you are wrong. They have grown a divide in this country that might not ever fade away. Their hatred will live on and be passed on. We can’t unhear what they have said and unsee what we have read. I just saw this last night, a comment from a Dem trying to win one of our House seats in SC. This is the nice one. I won’t share the really vile one another Dem posted.

    • #54
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