If Ukraine Wins, Who Loses?

 

There’s the obvious answers – Putin, the image of Russian might, the Duginist dream of solidifying Russian control over its insolent children. 

Who else? The Russian Orthodox Church, for declaring this a holy war? Xi, for his association with a loser whose actions renewed Taiwanese determination to stave off an invasion? The countries that have been buying Russian military gear and now have a rep, however justified, for buying junk? US pundits who backed Russia’s invasion? Renewable energy advocates, suddenly on the back foot because nuclear is a better option than Russian gas? US intelligence agencies that failed to figure out how the Russian forces are ancient and hollowed out by corruption?

You could also note who else wins: the West, for one. Superior armaments and tech, better logistics, the products of a more energetic and innovative culture. I suspect there’s a non-insubstantial intersection between those who are comfy with Russian control of Ukraine and those who would be irritated by a Western win, because the West is decadent and subject to rule from our Davos overlords, and ought not to prevail until it is overhauled and remade. 

This is not a thread about whether Ukraine will win, or what victory looks like. Just a question about what shakes out when it is apparent to all that Russia could not prevail. 

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  1. The Reticulator Member
    The Reticulator
    @TheReticulator

    Stina (View Comment):
    It has not been demonstrated we are capable of walking, let alone walking and chewing gum at the same time. Perhaps we should work on walking before we try chewing gum AND walking?

    That would certainly be to the advantage of any sense of self-preservation and self-perpetuation that the chewing gum might have.

    • #1231
  2. HeavyWater Inactive
    HeavyWater
    @HeavyWater

    Stina (View Comment):

    MiMac (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    The Reticulator (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    Corrupt democracy is not democracy.

    To some people it isn’t democracy unless it is socialist.

    To some people it isn’t democracy unless equality of outcomes is enforced by a totalitarian dictatorship.

    I have been saying that we have our own problems we need to address.

    1) we can fix our problems and assist Ukraine- it isn’t an either/or situation.

    2)of course we have corruption- any sizable human enterprise will. But using the Cesar’s wife criteria before helping any nation will only cause more problems- perfect is the enemy of the good.

    3) Our situation is mirrored by that of the late 70s- we are faced by a rival who is vastly expanding their military while we argue over trivial expenses ($40B is a rounding error for our government- last year we spent almost $7T). At that time, many who decried defense waste caused severe problems in our armed forces b/c they used arguments for money saving as a cudgel to drive down defense spending- but were more than willing to increase non defense spending . Of course we need to monitor for mismanagement and corruption- but we also need to increase our military and aide our allies. A well known book from the early 80s- “Why we need more waste, fraud and mismanagement in the Pentagon” by Luttwak pointed out the folly of trying to totally eliminate waste and “cut out the fat” – b/c typically we mostly cut out the muscle.

    4) Russia is a Chinese ally and preventing them from swallowing Ukraine and significantly degrading their military is a worthwhile national security objective. If the present tends continue, it is very unlikely the Russian military will be of much assistance to China for years after this war. Allowing Putin to achieve even a partial success in Ukraine will just mean he will be back in a few years to try to take the rest.

    It has not been demonstrated we are capable of walking, let alone walking and chewing gum at the same time. Perhaps we should work on walking before we try chewing gum AND walking?

    I disagree.  We might not be capable of pole vaulting and cooking a stir fry at the same time, but we are capable of walking and chewing gum at the same time.  

    • #1232
  3. Stina Member
    Stina
    @CM

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    MiMac (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    The Reticulator (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    Corrupt democracy is not democracy.

    To some people it isn’t democracy unless it is socialist.

    To some people it isn’t democracy unless equality of outcomes is enforced by a totalitarian dictatorship.

    I have been saying that we have our own problems we need to address.

    1) we can fix our problems and assist Ukraine- it isn’t an either/or situation.

    2)of course we have corruption- any sizable human enterprise will. But using the Cesar’s wife criteria before helping any nation will only cause more problems- perfect is the enemy of the good.

    3) Our situation is mirrored by that of the late 70s- we are faced by a rival who is vastly expanding their military while we argue over trivial expenses ($40B is a rounding error for our government- last year we spent almost $7T). At that time, many who decried defense waste caused severe problems in our armed forces b/c they used arguments for money saving as a cudgel to drive down defense spending- but were more than willing to increase non defense spending . Of course we need to monitor for mismanagement and corruption- but we also need to increase our military and aide our allies. A well known book from the early 80s- “Why we need more waste, fraud and mismanagement in the Pentagon” by Luttwak pointed out the folly of trying to totally eliminate waste and “cut out the fat” – b/c typically we mostly cut out the muscle.

    4) Russia is a Chinese ally and preventing them from swallowing Ukraine and significantly degrading their military is a worthwhile national security objective. If the present tends continue, it is very unlikely the Russian military will be of much assistance to China for years after this war. Allowing Putin to achieve even a partial success in Ukraine will just mean he will be back in a few years to try to take the rest.

    It has not been demonstrated we are capable of walking, let alone walking and chewing gum at the same time. Perhaps we should work on walking before we try chewing gum AND walking?

    I disagree. We might not be capable of pole vaulting and cooking a stir fry at the same time, but we are capable of walking and chewing gum at the same time.

    Like I said, it has not been demonstrated. It has been asserted, but not demonstrated.

    • #1233
  4. HeavyWater Inactive
    HeavyWater
    @HeavyWater

    Stina (View Comment):

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    MiMac (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    The Reticulator (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    Corrupt democracy is not democracy.

    To some people it isn’t democracy unless it is socialist.

    To some people it isn’t democracy unless equality of outcomes is enforced by a totalitarian dictatorship.

    I have been saying that we have our own problems we need to address.

    1) we can fix our problems and assist Ukraine- it isn’t an either/or situation.

    2)of course we have corruption- any sizable human enterprise will. But using the Cesar’s wife criteria before helping any nation will only cause more problems- perfect is the enemy of the good.

    3) Our situation is mirrored by that of the late 70s- we are faced by a rival who is vastly expanding their military while we argue over trivial expenses ($40B is a rounding error for our government- last year we spent almost $7T). At that time, many who decried defense waste caused severe problems in our armed forces b/c they used arguments for money saving as a cudgel to drive down defense spending- but were more than willing to increase non defense spending . Of course we need to monitor for mismanagement and corruption- but we also need to increase our military and aide our allies. A well known book from the early 80s- “Why we need more waste, fraud and mismanagement in the Pentagon” by Luttwak pointed out the folly of trying to totally eliminate waste and “cut out the fat” – b/c typically we mostly cut out the muscle.

    4) Russia is a Chinese ally and preventing them from swallowing Ukraine and significantly degrading their military is a worthwhile national security objective. If the present tends continue, it is very unlikely the Russian military will be of much assistance to China for years after this war. Allowing Putin to achieve even a partial success in Ukraine will just mean he will be back in a few years to try to take the rest.

    It has not been demonstrated we are capable of walking, let alone walking and chewing gum at the same time. Perhaps we should work on walking before we try chewing gum AND walking?

    I disagree. We might not be capable of pole vaulting and cooking a stir fry at the same time, but we are capable of walking and chewing gum at the same time.

    Like I said, it has not been demonstrated. It has been asserted, but not demonstrated.

    You use a metaphor like chewing gum and walking and then you ask for your metaphor to be demonstrated.  That’s nonsensical.  

    • #1234
  5. Stina Member
    Stina
    @CM

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    MiMac (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    The Reticulator (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    Corrupt democracy is not democracy.

    To some people it isn’t democracy unless it is socialist.

    To some people it isn’t democracy unless equality of outcomes is enforced by a totalitarian dictatorship.

    I have been saying that we have our own problems we need to address.

    1) we can fix our problems and assist Ukraine- it isn’t an either/or situation.

    2)of course we have corruption- any sizable human enterprise will. But using the Cesar’s wife criteria before helping any nation will only cause more problems- perfect is the enemy of the good.

    3) Our situation is mirrored by that of the late 70s- we are faced by a rival who is vastly expanding their military while we argue over trivial expenses ($40B is a rounding error for our government- last year we spent almost $7T). At that time, many who decried defense waste caused severe problems in our armed forces b/c they used arguments for money saving as a cudgel to drive down defense spending- but were more than willing to increase non defense spending . Of course we need to monitor for mismanagement and corruption- but we also need to increase our military and aide our allies. A well known book from the early 80s- “Why we need more waste, fraud and mismanagement in the Pentagon” by Luttwak pointed out the folly of trying to totally eliminate waste and “cut out the fat” – b/c typically we mostly cut out the muscle.

    4) Russia is a Chinese ally and preventing them from swallowing Ukraine and significantly degrading their military is a worthwhile national security objective. If the present tends continue, it is very unlikely the Russian military will be of much assistance to China for years after this war. Allowing Putin to achieve even a partial success in Ukraine will just mean he will be back in a few years to try to take the rest.

    It has not been demonstrated we are capable of walking, let alone walking and chewing gum at the same time. Perhaps we should work on walking before we try chewing gum AND walking?

    I disagree. We might not be capable of pole vaulting and cooking a stir fry at the same time, but we are capable of walking and chewing gum at the same time.

    Like I said, it has not been demonstrated. It has been asserted, but not demonstrated.

    You use a metaphor like chewing gum and walking and then you ask for your metaphor to be demonstrated. That’s nonsensical.

    None of you know what time it is.

    WE ARE NOT DEFENDING OUR BORDER. But we just spent $40B to defend someone else’s. And the argument is “we can do both!”

    Ok. Defend our border and I’ll support our defending Ukraine’s. But our border first.

    • #1235
  6. Steven Seward Member
    Steven Seward
    @StevenSeward

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    It has not been demonstrated we are capable of walking, let alone walking and chewing gum at the same time. Perhaps we should work on walking before we try chewing gum AND walking?

    I disagree. We might not be capable of pole vaulting and cooking a stir fry at the same time, but we are capable of walking and chewing gum at the same time.

    Like I said, it has not been demonstrated. It has been asserted, but not demonstrated.

    You use a metaphor like chewing gum and walking and then you ask for your metaphor to be demonstrated. That’s nonsensical.

    I don’t think the metaphor was really important.  She’s just down on the United States and wants to denigrate its valuation.

     

    • #1236
  7. Stina Member
    Stina
    @CM

    I don’t think the metaphor was really important.  She’s just down on the United States and wants to denigrate its valuation.

    I live here. My family lives here. My family has been here for generations. I do not have family in other countries. I do not have anywhere else to go. My life is here.

    So on WHAT grounds do you slander me with grossly false accusations?

    • #1237
  8. HeavyWater Inactive
    HeavyWater
    @HeavyWater

    Stina (View Comment):

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    MiMac (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    The Reticulator (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    Corrupt democracy is not democracy.

    To some people it isn’t democracy unless it is socialist.

    To some people it isn’t democracy unless equality of outcomes is enforced by a totalitarian dictatorship.

    I have been saying that we have our own problems we need to address.

    1) we can fix our problems and assist Ukraine- it isn’t an either/or situation.

    2)of course we have corruption- any sizable human enterprise will. But using the Cesar’s wife criteria before helping any nation will only cause more problems- perfect is the enemy of the good.

    3) Our situation is mirrored by that of the late 70s- we are faced by a rival who is vastly expanding their military while we argue over trivial expenses ($40B is a rounding error for our government- last year we spent almost $7T). At that time, many who decried defense waste caused severe problems in our armed forces b/c they used arguments for money saving as a cudgel to drive down defense spending- but were more than willing to increase non defense spending . Of course we need to monitor for mismanagement and corruption- but we also need to increase our military and aide our allies. A well known book from the early 80s- “Why we need more waste, fraud and mismanagement in the Pentagon” by Luttwak pointed out the folly of trying to totally eliminate waste and “cut out the fat” – b/c typically we mostly cut out the muscle.

    4) Russia is a Chinese ally and preventing them from swallowing Ukraine and significantly degrading their military is a worthwhile national security objective. If the present tends continue, it is very unlikely the Russian military will be of much assistance to China for years after this war. Allowing Putin to achieve even a partial success in Ukraine will just mean he will be back in a few years to try to take the rest.

    It has not been demonstrated we are capable of walking, let alone walking and chewing gum at the same time. Perhaps we should work on walking before we try chewing gum AND walking?

    I disagree. We might not be capable of pole vaulting and cooking a stir fry at the same time, but we are capable of walking and chewing gum at the same time.

    Like I said, it has not been demonstrated. It has been asserted, but not demonstrated.

    You use a metaphor like chewing gum and walking and then you ask for your metaphor to be demonstrated. That’s nonsensical.

    None of you know what time it is.

    WE ARE NOT DEFENDING OUR BORDER. But we just spent $40B to defend someone else’s. And the argument is “we can do both!”

    Ok. Defend our border and I’ll support our defending Ukraine’s. But our border first.

    Ted Cruz was correct to support the 40 billion dollar aid package for Ukraine.  Ted Cruz is also correct to support protecting our border.  

    Unfortunately, Biden only got one of those two policies correct.  

    • #1238
  9. HeavyWater Inactive
    HeavyWater
    @HeavyWater

    Moderator Note:

    Way out of line, unless you have proof Stina murdered someone

    Stina (View Comment):

    I don’t think the metaphor was really important. She’s just down on the United States and wants to denigrate its valuation.

    I live here. My family lives here. My family has been here for generations. I do not have family in other countries. I do not have anywhere else to go. My life is here.

    Insult redacted

     

    • #1239
  10. Stina Member
    Stina
    @CM

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    I don’t think the metaphor was really important. She’s just down on the United States and wants to denigrate its valuation.

    I live here. My family lives here. My family has been here for generations. I do not have family in other countries. I do not have anywhere else to go. My life is here.

    You could move to Russia. Aren’t Putin’s values and your values pretty much the same?

     

    This is an boorish thing to say. But the mods agree with you and Seward so you are likely to get away with it.

    I’m done with both of you. You and your policies are destroying this country.

    • #1240
  11. The Reticulator Member
    The Reticulator
    @TheReticulator

    Stina (View Comment):

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    MiMac (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    The Reticulator (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    Corrupt democracy is not democracy.

    To some people it isn’t democracy unless it is socialist.

    To some people it isn’t democracy unless equality of outcomes is enforced by a totalitarian dictatorship.

    I have been saying that we have our own problems we need to address.

    1) we can fix our problems and assist Ukraine- it isn’t an either/or situation.

    2)of course we have corruption- any sizable human enterprise will. But using the Cesar’s wife criteria before helping any nation will only cause more problems- perfect is the enemy of the good.

    3) Our situation is mirrored by that of the late 70s- we are faced by a rival who is vastly expanding their military while we argue over trivial expenses ($40B is a rounding error for our government- last year we spent almost $7T). At that time, many who decried defense waste caused severe problems in our armed forces b/c they used arguments for money saving as a cudgel to drive down defense spending- but were more than willing to increase non defense spending . Of course we need to monitor for mismanagement and corruption- but we also need to increase our military and aide our allies. A well known book from the early 80s- “Why we need more waste, fraud and mismanagement in the Pentagon” by Luttwak pointed out the folly of trying to totally eliminate waste and “cut out the fat” – b/c typically we mostly cut out the muscle.

    4) Russia is a Chinese ally and preventing them from swallowing Ukraine and significantly degrading their military is a worthwhile national security objective. If the present tends continue, it is very unlikely the Russian military will be of much assistance to China for years after this war. Allowing Putin to achieve even a partial success in Ukraine will just mean he will be back in a few years to try to take the rest.

    It has not been demonstrated we are capable of walking, let alone walking and chewing gum at the same time. Perhaps we should work on walking before we try chewing gum AND walking?

    I disagree. We might not be capable of pole vaulting and cooking a stir fry at the same time, but we are capable of walking and chewing gum at the same time.

    Like I said, it has not been demonstrated. It has been asserted, but not demonstrated.

    It has not been demonstrated that we have the ability to deal with just one problem at a time on a schedule of our choosing.  If you can use any influence you have with Herr Putin to get him to halt his invasion and pull back until we deal with our problems at home, that would demonstrate that we do have such ability.  

    • #1241
  12. Raxxalan Member
    Raxxalan
    @Raxxalan

    Steven Seward (View Comment):

    Zafar (View Comment):

    Steven Seward (View Comment):

    Zafar (View Comment):

    Dated but interesting:

    https://www.businessinsider.com/heres-what-life-in-iraq-was-like-under-saddam-hussein-2014-7?amp

    This guy’s story is very interesting and maybe he was better off individually during Saddam’s reign.

    Also he’s Sunni. I imagine opinions vary by Sunni/Shia/Kurd/Christian sect/Yazidis as well as by individual.

    However, my 1st cousin went into Iraq on the first day of the War in 2003 with the 101st Airborne Division, and did three tours of duty over the next ten years, one of them in Mosul. I used to talk to him over the phone in Iraq and the most surprising thing he told me is that the Iraqi people just love Americans and especially George Bush, for liberating them. This is in direct contradiction to what the news media were trying to tell us 24/7. My cousin said Iraqis did not like the British nor Tony Blair because of historical reasons (Britain occupied and administered Iraq after world War I).

    That is certainly surprising. Do you think, given the insurgencies, that some Iraqis at least didn’t feel that way? I’m not discounting your cousin’s experiences at all – but just saying that people who come up and speak to American soldiers (in English?) without asking for something are a self selecting sample that may not be typical?

    Yes, certainly not all Iraqis felt that way, The Insurgency proves it. But I think that is what happens when any dictatorship is overthrown. There are many people who were invested in the dictatorship ruling class, not just the dictator himself. Germany had an insurgency going against American troops during the occupation after world War II. I think they even had a name for the insurgents, “Wolf Hounds” or something like that. No country is monolithic in their allegiances or beliefs of individuals. From what I hear there are still supporters in Russia of Joseph Stalin, the 3rd greatest mass murderer in history (of his own people). When he died in the 1950’s there were many people genuinely crying over his demise.

     

    The post world war 2 resistance to the allies were called the werewolves.

    • #1242
  13. Raxxalan Member
    Raxxalan
    @Raxxalan

    Stina (View Comment):

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    MiMac (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    The Reticulator (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    Corrupt democracy is not democracy.

    To some people it isn’t democracy unless it is socialist.

    To some people it isn’t democracy unless equality of outcomes is enforced by a totalitarian dictatorship.

    I have been saying that we have our own problems we need to address.

    1) we can fix our problems and assist Ukraine- it isn’t an either/or situation.

    2)of course we have corruption- any sizable human enterprise will. But using the Cesar’s wife criteria before helping any nation will only cause more problems- perfect is the enemy of the good.

    3) Our situation is mirrored by that of the late 70s- we are faced by a rival who is vastly expanding their military while we argue over trivial expenses ($40B is a rounding error for our government- last year we spent almost $7T). At that time, many who decried defense waste caused severe problems in our armed forces b/c they used arguments for money saving as a cudgel to drive down defense spending- but were more than willing to increase non defense spending . Of course we need to monitor for mismanagement and corruption- but we also need to increase our military and aide our allies. A well known book from the early 80s- “Why we need more waste, fraud and mismanagement in the Pentagon” by Luttwak pointed out the folly of trying to totally eliminate waste and “cut out the fat” – b/c typically we mostly cut out the muscle.

    4) Russia is a Chinese ally and preventing them from swallowing Ukraine and significantly degrading their military is a worthwhile national security objective. If the present tends continue, it is very unlikely the Russian military will be of much assistance to China for years after this war. Allowing Putin to achieve even a partial success in Ukraine will just mean he will be back in a few years to try to take the rest.

    It has not been demonstrated we are capable of walking, let alone walking and chewing gum at the same time. Perhaps we should work on walking before we try chewing gum AND walking?

    I disagree. We might not be capable of pole vaulting and cooking a stir fry at the same time, but we are capable of walking and chewing gum at the same time.

    Like I said, it has not been demonstrated. It has been asserted, but not demonstrated.

    You use a metaphor like chewing gum and walking and then you ask for your metaphor to be demonstrated. That’s nonsensical.

    None of you know what time it is.

    WE ARE NOT DEFENDING OUR BORDER. But we just spent $40B to defend someone else’s. And the argument is “we can do both!”

    Ok. Defend our border and I’ll support our defending Ukraine’s. But our border first.

    We are choosing not to defend our border, that isn’t a resource problem it is a problem of will.  Ultimately we are probably better at defending someone else’s border because it isn’t controversial.   Generally speaking I think we are better off if the current administration doesn’t try to do anything inside the US. 

    • #1243
  14. Raxxalan Member
    Raxxalan
    @Raxxalan

    The Reticulator (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    MiMac (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    The Reticulator (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    Corrupt democracy is not democracy.

    To some people it isn’t democracy unless it is socialist.

    To some people it isn’t democracy unless equality of outcomes is enforced by a totalitarian dictatorship.

    I have been saying that we have our own problems we need to address.

    1) we can fix our problems and assist Ukraine- it isn’t an either/or situation.

    2)of course we have corruption- any sizable human enterprise will. But using the Cesar’s wife criteria before helping any nation will only cause more problems- perfect is the enemy of the good.

    3) Our situation is mirrored by that of the late 70s- we are faced by a rival who is vastly expanding their military while we argue over trivial expenses ($40B is a rounding error for our government- last year we spent almost $7T). At that time, many who decried defense waste caused severe problems in our armed forces b/c they used arguments for money saving as a cudgel to drive down defense spending- but were more than willing to increase non defense spending . Of course we need to monitor for mismanagement and corruption- but we also need to increase our military and aide our allies. A well known book from the early 80s- “Why we need more waste, fraud and mismanagement in the Pentagon” by Luttwak pointed out the folly of trying to totally eliminate waste and “cut out the fat” – b/c typically we mostly cut out the muscle.

    4) Russia is a Chinese ally and preventing them from swallowing Ukraine and significantly degrading their military is a worthwhile national security objective. If the present tends continue, it is very unlikely the Russian military will be of much assistance to China for years after this war. Allowing Putin to achieve even a partial success in Ukraine will just mean he will be back in a few years to try to take the rest.

    It has not been demonstrated we are capable of walking, let alone walking and chewing gum at the same time. Perhaps we should work on walking before we try chewing gum AND walking?

    I disagree. We might not be capable of pole vaulting and cooking a stir fry at the same time, but we are capable of walking and chewing gum at the same time.

    Like I said, it has not been demonstrated. It has been asserted, but not demonstrated.

    It has not been demonstrated that we have the ability to deal with just one problem at a time on a schedule of our choosing. If you can use any influence you have with Herr Putin to get him to halt his invasion and pull back until we deal with our problems at home, that would demonstrate that we do have such ability.

    It hasn’t been proven that this administration is capable of dealing with any problem at all.  Even this isn’t dealing with a problem it is just throwing tons of money at it.

    • #1244
  15. Raxxalan Member
    Raxxalan
    @Raxxalan

    Steven Seward (View Comment):

    Raxxalan (View Comment):

    Steven Seward (View Comment):

    Raxxalan (View Comment):

    I could see a Middle East democracy getting into a war with Israel fairly easily.

    Which Middle East democracy are you talking about? I think there are only two. Israel and Iraq.

    Also how do you score Lebanon? Gaza? or the PA?

    I forgot about Lebanon, but those other two are definitely not. Not even close.

    Gaza had what by most observations was a fair election and elected Hamas.  The PA hasn’t had an election in a while because a fair election would elect Hamas.  I think that it is fair to say neither is currently a democracy.  I think it may be unfair to say they aren’t even close.  They aren’t the kind of democracies I would favor, and they may follow the classic formulation 1 man, 1 vote, 1 time, but they aren’t autocratic or weren’t originally. 

    • #1245
  16. Raxxalan Member
    Raxxalan
    @Raxxalan

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    Raxxalan (View Comment):

     

    My broader point was a truly democratic Turkey or Egypt could easily get to a point where they felt it necessary to go to war with a democratic Israel. Thus undermining the whole democracies don’t go to war with each other narrative.

    If the argument is that democracies never go to war with each other, I think you are correct. If the argument is that democracies rarely go to war with each other, then the argument seems to have validity.

    I also think that if a democracy is very young, as in the case when the Muslim Brotherhood won the election in Egypt in 2012, the chances of a democracy going to war with another democracy is much higher than would be the case where a country has been democratic for over a generation.

    A slightly different topic:

    Even though many Americans now view the Iraq war as a mistake, the democracy that the United States help set up in Iraq following the US led invasion of that country has not, so far, engaged in anything like the Iran vs Iraq war or the Iraq war against Kuwait.

     

    I have read that as an exception to the general maxim that democracies don’t go to war with each other.   I am not sure I buy it completely, never the less it does sound plausible.

    • #1246
  17. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    Raxxalan (View Comment):

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    Raxxalan (View Comment):

     

    My broader point was a truly democratic Turkey or Egypt could easily get to a point where they felt it necessary to go to war with a democratic Israel. Thus undermining the whole democracies don’t go to war with each other narrative.

    If the argument is that democracies never go to war with each other, I think you are correct. If the argument is that democracies rarely go to war with each other, then the argument seems to have validity.

    I also think that if a democracy is very young, as in the case when the Muslim Brotherhood won the election in Egypt in 2012, the chances of a democracy going to war with another democracy is much higher than would be the case where a country has been democratic for over a generation.

    A slightly different topic:

    Even though many Americans now view the Iraq war as a mistake, the democracy that the United States help set up in Iraq following the US led invasion of that country has not, so far, engaged in anything like the Iran vs Iraq war or the Iraq war against Kuwait.

     

    I have read that as an exception to the general maxim that democracies don’t go to war with each other. I am not sure I buy it completely, never the less it does sound plausible.

    I think the point of that expression is not that democracies never have “disagreements” but that they have other ways of settling them.

    • #1247
  18. Steven Seward Member
    Steven Seward
    @StevenSeward

    Stina (View Comment):

    I don’t think the metaphor was really important. She’s just down on the United States and wants to denigrate its valuation.

    I live here. My family lives here. My family has been here for generations. I do not have family in other countries. I do not have anywhere else to go. My life is here.

    So on WHAT grounds do you slander me with grossly false accusations?

    You disparage the United States pretty much every time you mention it.  I don’t recall you ever saying a good thing about our country.  If not the case, please fill me.in.  That’s why I asked you if you’ve crossed over to the “woke” side a few weeks ago when you commented that  Putin is justified in his actions because the United States has been no better with its actions around the world.  I thought it was only the lefties that disparage our own country in that way.

    • #1248
  19. Raxxalan Member
    Raxxalan
    @Raxxalan

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Raxxalan (View Comment):

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    Raxxalan (View Comment):

     

    My broader point was a truly democratic Turkey or Egypt could easily get to a point where they felt it necessary to go to war with a democratic Israel. Thus undermining the whole democracies don’t go to war with each other narrative.

    If the argument is that democracies never go to war with each other, I think you are correct. If the argument is that democracies rarely go to war with each other, then the argument seems to have validity.

    I also think that if a democracy is very young, as in the case when the Muslim Brotherhood won the election in Egypt in 2012, the chances of a democracy going to war with another democracy is much higher than would be the case where a country has been democratic for over a generation.

    A slightly different topic:

    Even though many Americans now view the Iraq war as a mistake, the democracy that the United States help set up in Iraq following the US led invasion of that country has not, so far, engaged in anything like the Iran vs Iraq war or the Iraq war against Kuwait.

     

    I have read that as an exception to the general maxim that democracies don’t go to war with each other. I am not sure I buy it completely, never the less it does sound plausible.

    I think the point of that expression is not that democracies never have “disagreements” but that they have other ways of settling them.

    True but that may be a characteristic of the countries that are democracies in the later half of the twentieth and first quarter of the twenty-first century than a feature of democracy as a type of government.  That is more my contention, or to put it differently the US, UK and Australia are unlikely to go to war because they are the US, UK, and Australia and not because they share a broadly democratic tradition.   Where as Turkey and Israel are much more likely to go to war even if both are broadly speaking democracies, because they are Turkey and Israel. 

    • #1249
  20. MiMac Thatcher
    MiMac
    @MiMac

    Stina (View Comment):

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    I don’t think the metaphor was really important. She’s just down on the United States and wants to denigrate its valuation.

    I live here. My family lives here. My family has been here for generations. I do not have family in other countries. I do not have anywhere else to go. My life is here.

    You could move to Russia. Aren’t Putin’s values and your values pretty much the same?

    This is an boorish thing to say. But the mods agree with you and Seward so you are likely to get away with it.

    I’m done with both of you. You and your policies are destroying this country.

    Why do you object to his post- it isn’t out of bounds since you have clearly stated you see no difference between the US and Putin’s Russia:

    • #1250
  21. Zafar Member
    Zafar
    @Zafar

    Steven Seward (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    I don’t think the metaphor was really important. She’s just down on the United States and wants to denigrate its valuation.

    I live here. My family lives here. My family has been here for generations. I do not have family in other countries. I do not have anywhere else to go. My life is here.

    So on WHAT grounds do you slander me with grossly false accusations?

    You disparage the United States pretty much every time you mention it. I don’t recall you ever saying a good thing about our country. If not the case, please fill me.in. That’s why I asked you if you’ve crossed over to the “woke” side a few weeks ago when you commented that Putin is justified in his actions because the United States has been no better with its actions around the world. I thought it was only the lefties that disparage our own country in that way.

    Think King Lear and reconsider what you ask.

    • #1251
  22. Steven Seward Member
    Steven Seward
    @StevenSeward

    Zafar (View Comment):

    Steven Seward (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    I don’t think the metaphor was really important. She’s just down on the United States and wants to denigrate its valuation.

    I live here. My family lives here. My family has been here for generations. I do not have family in other countries. I do not have anywhere else to go. My life is here.

    So on WHAT grounds do you slander me with grossly false accusations?

    You disparage the United States pretty much every time you mention it. I don’t recall you ever saying a good thing about our country. If not the case, please fill me.in. That’s why I asked you if you’ve crossed over to the “woke” side a few weeks ago when you commented that Putin is justified in his actions because the United States has been no better with its actions around the world. I thought it was only the lefties that disparage our own country in that way.

    Think King Lear and reconsider what you ask.

    Don’t know much about Shakespeare.  My wife dragged me to Macbeth once.  I fell asleep, even though there’s a character in the play named Seward.

    • #1252
  23. Cassandro Coolidge
    Cassandro
    @Flicker

    Stina (View Comment):

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    MiMac (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    The Reticulator (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):

    Corrupt democracy is not democracy.

    To some people it isn’t democracy unless it is socialist.

    To some people it isn’t democracy unless equality of outcomes is enforced by a totalitarian dictatorship.

    I have been saying that we have our own problems we need to address.

    1) we can fix our problems and assist Ukraine- it isn’t an either/or situation.

    2)of course we have corruption- any sizable human enterprise will. But using the Cesar’s wife criteria before helping any nation will only cause more problems- perfect is the enemy of the good.

    3) Our situation is mirrored by that of the late 70s- we are faced by a rival who is vastly expanding their military while we argue over trivial expenses ($40B is a rounding error for our government- last year we spent almost $7T). At that time, many who decried defense waste caused severe problems in our armed forces b/c they used arguments for money saving as a cudgel to drive down defense spending- but were more than willing to increase non defense spending . Of course we need to monitor for mismanagement and corruption- but we also need to increase our military and aide our allies. A well known book from the early 80s- “Why we need more waste, fraud and mismanagement in the Pentagon” by Luttwak pointed out the folly of trying to totally eliminate waste and “cut out the fat” – b/c typically we mostly cut out the muscle.

    4) Russia is a Chinese ally and preventing them from swallowing Ukraine and significantly degrading their military is a worthwhile national security objective. If the present tends continue, it is very unlikely the Russian military will be of much assistance to China for years after this war. Allowing Putin to achieve even a partial success in Ukraine will just mean he will be back in a few years to try to take the rest.

    It has not been demonstrated we are capable of walking, let alone walking and chewing gum at the same time. Perhaps we should work on walking before we try chewing gum AND walking?

    I disagree. We might not be capable of pole vaulting and cooking a stir fry at the same time, but we are capable of walking and chewing gum at the same time.

    Like I said, it has not been demonstrated. It has been asserted, but not demonstrated.

    It’s not a matter of can, it’s a matter will.  The decision-making concludes that spending 40 billion dollars of rescuing Ukraine is so small no one will ever miss it.  But spending 48 billion to bail out small businesses that were crippled by government dictates is so small it is pointless.

    It’s got nothing to do with ability, but priorities.

    • #1253
  24. Cassandro Coolidge
    Cassandro
    @Flicker

    Raxxalan (View Comment):

    We are choosing not to defend our border, that isn’t a resource problem it is a problem of will.  Ultimately we are probably better at defending someone else’s border because it isn’t controversial.   Generally speaking I think we are better off if the current administration doesn’t try to do anything inside the US. 

    I don’t think it’s a matter of being controversial so much as defending our own border is counter-productive to the ruling party’s goals.

    • #1254
  25. Raxxalan Member
    Raxxalan
    @Raxxalan

    Cassandro (View Comment):

    Raxxalan (View Comment):

    We are choosing not to defend our border, that isn’t a resource problem it is a problem of will. Ultimately we are probably better at defending someone else’s border because it isn’t controversial. Generally speaking I think we are better off if the current administration doesn’t try to do anything inside the US.

    I don’t think it’s a matter of being controversial so much as defending our own border is counter-productive to the ruling party’s goals.

    You are likely right about this. So the actual statement better written by you lights would be this formulation.  Ultimately we are better at defending someone else’s border because the ruling party thinks it is good.   Don’t have any problem with that reinterpretation.

    • #1255
  26. DaveSchmidt Coolidge
    DaveSchmidt
    @DaveSchmidt

    For your consideration: 

    “There is no such thing as conversation.  It is an illusion.  There are intersecting monologues, that is all.” 

    Rebecca West, The Harsh Voice (1935)

    • #1256
  27. Cassandro Coolidge
    Cassandro
    @Flicker

    DaveSchmidt (View Comment):

    For your consideration:

    “There is no such thing as conversation. It is an illusion. There are intersecting monologues, that is all.”

    Rebecca West, The Harsh Voice (1935)

    Is a question part of a conversation or just a monologue?

    • #1257
  28. Steven Seward Member
    Steven Seward
    @StevenSeward

    DaveSchmidt (View Comment):

    For your consideration:

    “There is no such thing as conversation. It is an illusion. There are intersecting monologues, that is all.”

    Rebecca West, The Harsh Voice (1935)

    Must have been spoken by a person who never listened to anybody else.  I’ve known some of them.

    • #1258
  29. Zafar Member
    Zafar
    @Zafar

    Cassandro (View Comment):

    DaveSchmidt (View Comment):

    For your consideration:

    “There is no such thing as conversation. It is an illusion. There are intersecting monologues, that is all.”

    Rebecca West, The Harsh Voice (1935)

    Is a question part of a conversation or just a monologue?

    If it’s a device to showcase one’s own answer….

    • #1259
  30. Cassandro Coolidge
    Cassandro
    @Flicker

    Zafar (View Comment):

    Cassandro (View Comment):

    DaveSchmidt (View Comment):

    For your consideration:

    “There is no such thing as conversation. It is an illusion. There are intersecting monologues, that is all.”

    Rebecca West, The Harsh Voice (1935)

    Is a question part of a conversation or just a monologue?

    If it’s a device to showcase one’s own answer….

    That’s awfully cynical, isn’t it?

    • #1260
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