This Is Starting to Get Serious

 

As the saying goes: First things fall apart slowly, then all at once. I see more and more discussion about food shortages here on Ricochet. pResident Biden has made mention of it. Tucker has noted the uptick in accidents at food processing plants. California is restricting water for agriculture. Major sources of supply for fertilizer have been disrupted.

Independent journalist Michael Yon keeps banging his drum about PanFamWar (pandemic, famine, war). And the surging migration unchecked through the southern border from all over the world — estimated at 2 million since Biden took power — adds pressure on our food supply as well. In truth, regardless of the estimated “excess deaths” during the pandemic, depopulation did not occur at a rate to pace the decreases in food production capacity. Or so it is being suggested.

If true, what does the future look like? Scott Adams has a theory about “slow moving disasters”: If it is moving slowly enough, then humans do a pretty good job of adapting and/or solving the problem. This is why Adams, while professing to believe in man-enhanced climate change, is unconcerned whether we will create solutions in time to prevent the worse fears of climatistas from coming about. But there are two conditions that must be met: (1) the disaster must be slow moving, and (2) people must be alert to it.

It is not heartening that the default condition for the people in charge now is to manage scarcity rather than freeing up the people to pursue abundance. From energy policy, to monetary policy, to border policy, to foreign relations, to central planning, the Biden Administration and their allies are seemingly doing everything to make the food supply more fragile and less abundant. If undeterred things will get worse before they get better. Is this then a “slow moving disaster”?

If not, how is this going to play out? How much of our infrastructure and basic civilizational elements can operate without well-fed people, or people at all? Can the elite run it all? Are we facing a Soylent Green future?

As I write this I am sitting in a comfortable home in a beautiful place. A lifetime of working and saving have brought me to a very satisfying point where I might have been expected to have a decade or two (G-d willing) of good living, pursuing my interests and diversions, before having a serious discussion with the Grim Reaper or his nastier brother, The Debilitator.  But with these people (I am tempted to say “clowns” but that doesn’t capture their combination of incompetence and malignity) in charge, my expectations are being severely challenged.

Are we all on board that our current course is leading to disaster? There is a lot of building going on in my neck of the woods. Unemployment is about as low as the working capability of my region permits. The boats speeding by on the lake by my house are still fueled, the fish are still there to be caught, the thrill of wind and waves remain. But when will the fuel supplies start to dry up, when will rationing begin and why? Just two years ago this was unimaginable.

Did we learn anything from the pandemic as to what workforce is truly essential to a functioning civilization? Or will food rationing decisions be arbitrary and capricious, with a thriving black market? And, if so, who is to be most advantaged — long time residents of this country or more recent arrivals from societies where barter, bargaining, and food uncertainty is already familiar?

I cannot attribute this quote (or probably more accurately a paraphrase): “The Civil War was fought over whether we were to be known as ‘these United States’ or ‘this United States’.” Similarly we are facing the question of the correct current formulation of the following: “The American Experiment is a triumph of the Enlightenment” or “The American Experiment was a triumph of the Enlightenment.”

Hard times are coming unless we gain an urgency about the hard work necessary to preserve the future we expected.

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  1. Hang On Member
    Hang On
    @HangOn

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Hang On (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    MarciN (View Comment):
    Ricochet’s own Doug Kimball and others here have been talking about the Chinese buying up America. I think that’s the only thing that could destroy us that I see on the horizon. In other words, someone would have to replace us in order to destroy us.

    What, you think China can buy all the land and then evict 300-million-plus people? That’s not serious either.

    Why would they have to evict them when they could starve them by shipping all of the ag goods to China?

    Oh of course, all of those starving people will happily load all the food onto those cargo ships! What was I thinking?

    You’ve obviously never read Mao or know any Chinese history.

    • #61
  2. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    Hang On (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Hang On (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    MarciN (View Comment):
    Ricochet’s own Doug Kimball and others here have been talking about the Chinese buying up America. I think that’s the only thing that could destroy us that I see on the horizon. In other words, someone would have to replace us in order to destroy us.

    What, you think China can buy all the land and then evict 300-million-plus people? That’s not serious either.

    Why would they have to evict them when they could starve them by shipping all of the ag goods to China?

    Oh of course, all of those starving people will happily load all the food onto those cargo ships! What was I thinking?

    You’ve obviously never read Mao or know any Chinese history.

    Maybe the Chinese would load food onto ships while starving, but I’m not so sure that Americans would.

    Also, that ignores the possibility/likelihood of taking back the property by Eminent Domain before it even comes to the point of skeletal California Libs putting all their food onto ships taking it elsewhere.

    • #62
  3. MarciN Member
    MarciN
    @MarciN

    kedavis (View Comment):

    MarciN (View Comment):
    Ricochet’s own Doug Kimball and others here have been talking about the Chinese buying up America. I think that’s the only thing that could destroy us that I see on the horizon. In other words, someone would have to replace us in order to destroy us.

    What, you think China can buy all the land and then evict 300-million-plus people? That’s not serious either.

    I worded that poorly. What I’m concerned about is the Chinese ownership of American businesses and farmland. :-) 

    • #63
  4. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    MarciN (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    MarciN (View Comment):
    Ricochet’s own Doug Kimball and others here have been talking about the Chinese buying up America. I think that’s the only thing that could destroy us that I see on the horizon. In other words, someone would have to replace us in order to destroy us.

    What, you think China can buy all the land and then evict 300-million-plus people? That’s not serious either.

    I worded that poorly. What I’m concerned about is the Chinese ownership of American businesses and farmland. :-)

    You think China can buy farmland and take it to China so that Americans starve?

    • #64
  5. MarciN Member
    MarciN
    @MarciN

    kedavis (View Comment):

    MarciN (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    MarciN (View Comment):
    Ricochet’s own Doug Kimball and others here have been talking about the Chinese buying up America. I think that’s the only thing that could destroy us that I see on the horizon. In other words, someone would have to replace us in order to destroy us.

    What, you think China can buy all the land and then evict 300-million-plus people? That’s not serious either.

    I worded that poorly. What I’m concerned about is the Chinese ownership of American businesses and farmland. :-)

    You think China can buy farmland and take it to China so that Americans starve?

    The possibilities are unfortunately endless. 

    • #65
  6. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    MarciN (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    MarciN (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    MarciN (View Comment):
    Ricochet’s own Doug Kimball and others here have been talking about the Chinese buying up America. I think that’s the only thing that could destroy us that I see on the horizon. In other words, someone would have to replace us in order to destroy us.

    What, you think China can buy all the land and then evict 300-million-plus people? That’s not serious either.

    I worded that poorly. What I’m concerned about is the Chinese ownership of American businesses and farmland. :-)

    You think China can buy farmland and take it to China so that Americans starve?

    The possibilities are unfortunately endless.

    Well, Joe Biden might believe it’s possible, but that’s Joe Biden.

    There could also be a twist, which Joe Biden would never see in a million years.  China could buy all this stuff at a premium price, like Japan did a few decades ago.  And then their economy craters, like Japan’s did a few decades ago, and they have to sell it back to us at a huge discount.

    • #66
  7. Hang On Member
    Hang On
    @HangOn

    kedavis (View Comment):

    MarciN (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    MarciN (View Comment):
    Ricochet’s own Doug Kimball and others here have been talking about the Chinese buying up America. I think that’s the only thing that could destroy us that I see on the horizon. In other words, someone would have to replace us in order to destroy us.

    What, you think China can buy all the land and then evict 300-million-plus people? That’s not serious either.

    I worded that poorly. What I’m concerned about is the Chinese ownership of American businesses and farmland. :-)

    You think China can buy farmland and take it to China so that Americans starve?

    Obviously not. All they have to do is buy enough Americans to operate the US as a Chinese colony, as they have done in Africa. It would be bloody, but it could definitely be done. Gun control will be step 2. Get a bunch of school massacres in one year and watch.

    • #67
  8. CarolJoy, Not So Easy To Kill Coolidge
    CarolJoy, Not So Easy To Kill
    @CarolJoy

    Unsk (View Comment):

    There are several questions to this post..

    First: Is this purposeful destruction or just incompetence?

    Bathos: “It is noteworthy that the entire ruling class in the western world is entirely incompetent. They were trained to divvy up the wealth expected to continue to be automatically created by the economic order established by their parents. “

    I would argue several points:

    1. Any Leftist is by default incompetent because they persistently choose societal and economic paths that have been proven in very well documented ways for over the last 100 years not to work.
    2. I think the Leftist is callously choosing paths that are the only ones allowed within the Woke Narrative. That is to say that almost all “competent” approaches are verboten to the woke as being part of The Patriarchy or some such “evil”, and therefore cannot be considered. The Woke Leftist self-censors himself or herself so as to not consider what we would call competent approaches.
    3. All that said, it is still difficult to not look at the actions of Woke Ruling Class as not being a well considered plan to totally upset the world’s economic systems to purposely devastate the middle and lower classes to make them much more pliant for a total totalitarian takeover like the “Great Reset” because they are in such dire shape. In other words, the Woke Ruling Classes are very competent in destroying key institutions in our society .
      1. Drew”The Biden administration knows what they need to do to fix this. They won’t do it. On purpose. And they’re very clear about their reasons.” Yep.

    Henry:

    “There is an enormous amount of resilience in the market, and we remain an extraordinarily rich country. A billion people survive on a tiny fraction of what we take for granted.

    There’s a difference between famine and a limited selection at your favorite grocery store. There’s a difference even between famine and some staples being out of stock for extended periods. Yes, it could get much worse. Americans could find themselves losing weight because of food shortages. But we’re an awfully long way from that.”

    Henry is of course right to a point, but will we be swept away right by that tipping point into the abyss of utter destruction by the tsunami of really bad stuff going on and that to come? Really hard to guess or assess, but that there is fairly good idea among those much more knowledgeable than I that much of the world will be absolutely devastated by the consequence of the Left’s and the Biden Crime Family ‘ inexcusable bad actions.

    • #68
  9. CarolJoy, Not So Easy To Kill Coolidge
    CarolJoy, Not So Easy To Kill
    @CarolJoy

    DonG (CAGW is a Hoax) (View Comment):

    Capt. Spaulding (View Comment):

    We have arranged our society for a slow descent. Some of the frogs are feeling the water beginning to heat up. I blame the boomer generation, of which I am a member.

    Slowly, then all at once.

    What better to cause famine that flame a war between two of the largest food exporters in the world? That combined with the eco-commies killing the oil supply.

    The eco-commies just saw – and celebrated – the victory of a 15 buck an hour minimum wage. Unfortunately, they had not insisted that the US economy that this wage hike descended upon should remain in a steady state.

    So now you have parts of our workforce that will be making 3 or 4 dollars an hour more. Those who were getting food stamps or some help paying the incredibly expensive ObamaCare premiums will now not only be making enough  to  pay taxes, they will lose the bennies they recently had.

    Meanwhile, that 15 bucks will buy 33% less gas than the 11 dollar an hour worker could purchase back in early 2020.  A pound of hamburger has gone from $ 3.45 a lb to 6.40 a lb just over the past eight months.

    No one has said, or will ever say, that any of the eco-commies understand math, logic or the workings of the bottom portion  of the economy that most Americans deal with. Hopefully they can live off their feelings of vast superiority over the “common working class” individual, because they sure won’t be living off of a full plate.

    • #69
  10. CarolJoy, Not So Easy To Kill Coolidge
    CarolJoy, Not So Easy To Kill
    @CarolJoy

    As far as the coming food shortages, I suspect that 90% of Americans will believe Fauci or his replacement when he tells the public “No one needs more than 450 calories a day.” And then when we starve to death, that same “health official” will state “These people died of long c-o-v-i-d — a condition that would not have come into existence if 100% of Americans had agreed to roll up their sleeves.” !!!

    • #70
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