Reading Putin: July 2021 Foreshadows February 2022

 

On July 12, 2021, the Kremlin published an article with Putin as the official author. This was a Moscow-centric telling of the history of Russia and Ukraine. It denied, by omission, the Holodomor and the ethnic cleansing of the Crimean Tartars, because Stalin had been rehabilitated as a great patriotic leader by Putin. On February 21, 2022, when Putin went before the Russian and international public with his effective declaration of war against Ukraine, readers of the official English translation found a message consistent with last summer’s supposed historical account. We were all warned, before the execrable Biden regime execution of the Afghan exit.

Putin issued his justification paper last summer in the context of internal moves to whitewash Moscow’s Soviet era depredations and the Democrats, emplaced and empowered by the social media billionaires, unilaterally crushing American oil and gas dominance. The Democrats, empowered by evil Alphabet (Google/YouTube) and Zuckerberg’s stealing of the 2020 election, made the world much more dependent on Russia and other bad actors, pouring petrodollars into a struggling economy, enabling the financing of military adventurism. Now they say we must pay for the effects of their lab-coat leftist regime by massive increases in the cost of fuel and every item delivered by truck.

President Trump had Putin tightly contained, unlike Bush the Younger (who lost the country of Georgia’s independence), Obama (who green-lighted the initial covert invasion of Ukraine), and now the Biden regime. President Trump contained Putin by making NATO members take ownership of their treaty obligations, by praising Polish independence in Poland while recalling the wrongs done by both Germany and Russia, by being much more decisive militarily, by effective financial threats to stop Nord Stream 2, and by driving down energy costs and flooding the world market with American oil and gas capacity. The current regime undid all of this in the first months of 2021, signaling Putin that he could go back to reestablishing the pre-1991 borders of Greater Russia.

In case you start nodding about Moscow’s claims to have some right to “protect” or speak for all ethnic Russians, understand that was exactly the claim advanced by Hitler, pretending that Austria, parts of Poland, and Czechoslovakia were in need of his solicitude. Indeed, as Kiev was an early Rus cultural and political center, so Austria was an ancient center of Germanic culture and politics.

As a side note, Tsar Putin must have in the back of his mind the unfortunate parallels Emperor Xi might invoke, citing Putin’s own telling of history and subsequent actions to justify a similar telling of the history of what is now the eastern end of the Russian Federation. Xi has at least as good a claim to take back “Vladivostok” as “Hai Shen Wai.” Just as Putin blames Lenin, Khrushchev, and Gorbachev, so Xi can blame Hu Jintao for his 2005 agreement on the territory ceded in the 19th Century treaties now styled “unequal” by the Chinese. Oh, and the collapse of Russian birthrates and the surplus of Chinese men has led to economic migration back into the territory once within Chinese borders.

Here are the direct links to the 2021 article and Putin’s recent justification for invading Ukraine:

  1. Article by Vladimir Putin “On the Historical Unity of Russians and Ukrainians
  2. Address by the President of the Russian Federation

I earlier extensively quoted important earlier statements by Putin, whitewashing Stalin’s crimes against humanity and his role in starting World War II as an aggressor. Those two posts, also linked to the official Kremlin transcripts, are worth your attention, if you had not previously read them. Putin’s February 2021 speech is consistent with these earlier positions, as he has been building a case for Greater Russia, a revived Russian empire, while insisting Russia has always been in the right and must not be criticized.

  1. The Time When Life Changed: 25 December 1991
  2. Fragments on Ukraine
Published in Foreign Policy
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  1. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    Old Bathos (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    No Caesar (View Comment):

    The world reminds me of 1913 right now, The Proud Tower. The old order had no idea it was on the precipice and it sleepwalked into its destruction. It seems to me that we are seeing that replay as farce, but with equally deadly results. It will not be WW1 in trenches, but it will usher in the war styles of the next epoch. Our wars against radical Jihadists will look more like the Boer War, ie. basically of the past, with hints of the future styles of warfare.

    The ruling classes and institutions of the West are religious fanatics and simpering fools who have chosen not to bend. So they will be broken. They have blindly insisted their angry earth goddess demands sacrifices of all manner, and are going to follow through with that. It is more likely than not that the next 5 years will be very chaotic and destructive. What will come on the other side of this period is not knowable, but there is a real risk it will be fascistic in nature, cementing in the brutish instincts inherited from our largely pagan ruling class. They have forgotten the foundations on which the successful institutions of the West stood. We will all reap the whirlwind.

    Having said all that, I think there is also a distinct possibility for a bright future. However, we must march through the maelstrom to get there first.

    Which, as I sometimes point out, is how we get to Star Trek. :-)

    Hopefully, the current crisis does not get us to Star Trek.

    The Federation of Planets is the EU on steroids. It is an Al Gore wet dream. The Prime Directive in the hands of some 8th generation Ruth Bader Ginsburg would effectively outlaw public religious expression. The cops under some future Trudeaus would not leave their phasers on stun. The Tea Party would be shipped to an outer planet in the delta quadrant, a planet stocked with denebian slime devils…

    Which alternative would you prefer?  Planet Of The Apes?  :-)

    • #31
  2. Clifford A. Brown Member
    Clifford A. Brown
    @CliffordBrown

    Rodin (View Comment):

    Ontheleftcoast (View Comment):

    The most effective step countries like the U.S. can take in response does not require sanctions, let alone military action. It’s simply to remove artificial constraints on energy production, especially on relatively clean natural gas. That means removing roadblocks to fracking, pipelines and LNG export facilities that could supply Europe.

    It also means reversing our decades-long suppression of nuclear power.

    Yes, this is why the leadership of Biden is so pernicious — he can’t or won’t take the most reasonable action. Nuclear power is making a comeback with Gen 4 reactors.

    Yes. Confirmed by the conspicuous absence, of any declaration of authorizing Keystone and opening all public lands for oil and gas exploration, in Biden’s weak announcement today. The lab-coat left means to use this crisis, of their creation, to make us feel even more pain so we submit to the Green New Deal as the only alternative left.

    • #32
  3. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    Clifford A. Brown (View Comment):

    Rodin (View Comment):

    Ontheleftcoast (View Comment):

    The most effective step countries like the U.S. can take in response does not require sanctions, let alone military action. It’s simply to remove artificial constraints on energy production, especially on relatively clean natural gas. That means removing roadblocks to fracking, pipelines and LNG export facilities that could supply Europe.

    It also means reversing our decades-long suppression of nuclear power.

    Yes, this is why the leadership of Biden is so pernicious — he can’t or won’t take the most reasonable action. Nuclear power is making a comeback with Gen 4 reactors.

    Yes. Confirmed by the conspicuous absence, of any declaration of authorizing Keystone and opening all public lands for oil and gas exploration, in Biden’s weak announcement today. The lab-coat left means to use this crisis, of their creation, to make us feel even more pain so we submit to the Green New Deal as the only alternative left.

    I wouldn’t be surprised if, at some point, Biden reverses the EOs he did on Day One to cause so much trouble, and then claims that it was his idea to start with.  Anyone who points out that he caused the problems originally, will be a “lying, dog-faced pony soldier.”

    • #33
  4. Clifford A. Brown Member
    Clifford A. Brown
    @CliffordBrown

    Old Bathos (View Comment):

    cdor (View Comment):
    Why would they risk an invasion of Ukraine to gain a tiny bit more land and a few more people under their control? It is apparent that Putin doesn’t consider this invasion a risk. He has looked at the players, Biden, Merkel, and Macron, and sees a serious lack of fortitude. It is very dangerous for leaders to project weakness in dealing with foreign countries.

    Putin believes that Russia is entitled to rule everywhere it once ruled and that it is an affront to be denied that expansion. Osama Bin Laden believed it was a sacrilege that Spain is not still under Muslim rule. The Chinese really believe they are the Middle Kingdom and should dominate Asia. Alabama alumni believe they are entitled to football dominance. We discount motives that seem irrational or disproportionate at our peril.

    Exactly so. We especially fail at our peril when we fail to notice increase capabilities, across all instruments of national power, in the hands of Russia, China, and Islamists. What do we think the British Empire did? What do we see in the Great Game between the mostly maritime British and mostly land power Russian empires? What did China do over the past thousand years when it could?  

    • #34
  5. Old Bathos Member
    Old Bathos
    @OldBathos

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Old Bathos (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    No Caesar (View Comment):

    The world reminds me of 1913 right now, The Proud Tower. The old order had no idea it was on the precipice and it sleepwalked into its destruction. It seems to me that we are seeing that replay as farce, but with equally deadly results. It will not be WW1 in trenches, but it will usher in the war styles of the next epoch. Our wars against radical Jihadists will look more like the Boer War, ie. basically of the past, with hints of the future styles of warfare.

    The ruling classes and institutions of the West are religious fanatics and simpering fools who have chosen not to bend. So they will be broken. They have blindly insisted their angry earth goddess demands sacrifices of all manner, and are going to follow through with that. It is more likely than not that the next 5 years will be very chaotic and destructive. What will come on the other side of this period is not knowable, but there is a real risk it will be fascistic in nature, cementing in the brutish instincts inherited from our largely pagan ruling class. They have forgotten the foundations on which the successful institutions of the West stood. We will all reap the whirlwind.

    Having said all that, I think there is also a distinct possibility for a bright future. However, we must march through the maelstrom to get there first.

    Which, as I sometimes point out, is how we get to Star Trek. :-)

    Hopefully, the current crisis does not get us to Star Trek.

    The Federation of Planets is the EU on steroids. It is an Al Gore wet dream. The Prime Directive in the hands of some 8th generation Ruth Bader Ginsburg would effectively outlaw public religious expression. The cops under some future Trudeaus would not leave their phasers on stun. The Tea Party would be shipped to an outer planet in the delta quadrant, a planet stocked with denebian slime devils…

    Which alternative would you prefer? Planet Of The Apes? :-)

    Planet Limbaugh in the Milton Friedman cluster…

    • #35
  6. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    Old Bathos (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Old Bathos (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    No Caesar (View Comment):

    The world reminds me of 1913 right now, The Proud Tower. The old order had no idea it was on the precipice and it sleepwalked into its destruction. It seems to me that we are seeing that replay as farce, but with equally deadly results. It will not be WW1 in trenches, but it will usher in the war styles of the next epoch. Our wars against radical Jihadists will look more like the Boer War, ie. basically of the past, with hints of the future styles of warfare.

    The ruling classes and institutions of the West are religious fanatics and simpering fools who have chosen not to bend. So they will be broken. They have blindly insisted their angry earth goddess demands sacrifices of all manner, and are going to follow through with that. It is more likely than not that the next 5 years will be very chaotic and destructive. What will come on the other side of this period is not knowable, but there is a real risk it will be fascistic in nature, cementing in the brutish instincts inherited from our largely pagan ruling class. They have forgotten the foundations on which the successful institutions of the West stood. We will all reap the whirlwind.

    Having said all that, I think there is also a distinct possibility for a bright future. However, we must march through the maelstrom to get there first.

    Which, as I sometimes point out, is how we get to Star Trek. :-)

    Hopefully, the current crisis does not get us to Star Trek.

    The Federation of Planets is the EU on steroids. It is an Al Gore wet dream. The Prime Directive in the hands of some 8th generation Ruth Bader Ginsburg would effectively outlaw public religious expression. The cops under some future Trudeaus would not leave their phasers on stun. The Tea Party would be shipped to an outer planet in the delta quadrant, a planet stocked with denebian slime devils…

    Which alternative would you prefer? Planet Of The Apes? :-)

    Planet Limbaugh in the Milton Friedman cluster…

    We’d have to get there first, and that might require Star Trek.

    • #36
  7. Clifford A. Brown Member
    Clifford A. Brown
    @CliffordBrown

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Clifford A. Brown (View Comment):

    Rodin (View Comment):

    Ontheleftcoast (View Comment):

    The most effective step countries like the U.S. can take in response does not require sanctions, let alone military action. It’s simply to remove artificial constraints on energy production, especially on relatively clean natural gas. That means removing roadblocks to fracking, pipelines and LNG export facilities that could supply Europe.

    It also means reversing our decades-long suppression of nuclear power.

    Yes, this is why the leadership of Biden is so pernicious — he can’t or won’t take the most reasonable action. Nuclear power is making a comeback with Gen 4 reactors.

    Yes. Confirmed by the conspicuous absence, of any declaration of authorizing Keystone and opening all public lands for oil and gas exploration, in Biden’s weak announcement today. The lab-coat left means to use this crisis, of their creation, to make us feel even more pain so we submit to the Green New Deal as the only alternative left.

    I wouldn’t be surprised if, at some point, Biden reverses the EOs he did on Day One to cause so much trouble, and then claims that it was his idea to start with. Anyone who points out that he caused the problems originally, will be a “lying, dog-faced pony soldier.”

    Would that he could, but I fear that the pain we will all feel is seen as a feature, not a bug, in the campaign to drive us into the Green New Deal and permanent lab-coat leftist rule.

    • #37
  8. Jerry Giordano (Arizona Patriot) Member
    Jerry Giordano (Arizona Patriot)
    @ArizonaPatriot

    Clifford, I do agree with the point you made in the OP, echoed in some of the comments, about the negative effect of Biden’s energy policy on this entire situation.

    I don’t know enough to determine the proportion of the energy price increase attributable to this decision.  Energy prices are up quite a bit, and this enriched Russia.  I strongly agree that this was a very bad move by President Biden.

    I initially wrote “a foolish President,” but I’m not sure whether Biden is a fool in this regard, in this sense.  He’s beholden to the radical Left, and the environmentalists in particular.  I suspect that he changed energy policy to satisfy this constituency.  It was bad for the country, but may have been more “spineless” than “foolish.”

    • #38
  9. Jerry Giordano (Arizona Patriot) Member
    Jerry Giordano (Arizona Patriot)
    @ArizonaPatriot

    She (View Comment):

    Jerry Giordano (Arizona Patrio… (View Comment):

    One more point. About that “ethnic cleansing of the Crimean Tartars.”

    I really think that you should think these things through. If you start objecting to conquest and deportation of people, you create a little problem. Because that’s exactly how we got our country, and exactly what we did to a lot of the Indians.

    I think it’s very unwise to adopt a modern, self-righteous moral stance that will necessarily undermine your claim to ownership of your own country, and mine.

    And, by the way, require you to condemn the President whose face is on the $20 bills in your wallet.

    I think it’s perfectly reasonable to look back on the course of history and acknowledge both its sins and its accomplishments (and that–sometimes–the two of those things are intertwined, are one and the same, and are over and done with) without succumbing to a “modern self-righteous moral stance,” with what seems to be an implied unsavory connotation.

    Just as I think it’s OK to suggest that today, in the third decade of the twenty-first century, one bloodthirsty tyrant, or even a devout religious crusader (pick any religion for this thought exercise) probably shouldn’t be invading and overcoming another sovereign nation, or claiming that another sovereign nation belongs to him. Justifying and excusing such actions, and the resultant, often brutal and unconscionable fallout, on the grounds that “mommy and daddy have always done it this way,” is the very definition of lacking nuance.

    “We must remember history so that we can rationalize our repetition of its mistakes and some of its darkest moments” seems like an odd guidepost (and a perversion of Santayana) by which to live one’s life. Although it does, in large part, seem to be the lifeblood of the Democrat party, whose selective recollection of events they’d like to keep on the boil continues to divide this country, as with “racism then, racism now, racism forever.”

    Jerry Giordano (Arizona Patrio… (View Comment):
    I think that these situations are much more complicated than you seem to think.

    Right back at ‘cha. Please stop accusing those who disagree with you of being too lazy or dumb to follow what’s going on. We appreciate your history lessons, flawed though some may find them, but we could do without the condescension.

    EDITED: To correct a math mistake. Ah, me.

    I accept your criticism about my tone.  I’ll try to do better.

    • #39
  10. The Reticulator Member
    The Reticulator
    @TheReticulator

    Jerry Giordano (Arizona Patrio… (View Comment):
    And, by the way, require you to condemn the President whose face is on the $20 bills in your wallet.

    And the people who elected him. Consider it done.  I condemn them, and also admire and thank them. 

    • #40
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