How Legal Risk-Avoidance Makes Experts Look Stupid

 

Today it was supposed to snow. As I write this, we are several hours into “It should have started snowing already” based on Accuweather, the National Weather Service, and all the other “experts.” Forget climate predictions: we are talking about predicting a few hours into the future. It was 2-4″, now 1-2″ and though it is 40 degrees outside my office, they tell me we will still “surely” get an inch of snow.

Stuff and nonsense, of course. And we all know it. Just as with Covid modeling (“WE ARE ALL GOING TO DIE!!!”), the best tools in the world are no good if you cover your legal posterior by always publicizing the worst case scenarios “just in case.”

Our legal system, risk-avoidance idiocy and media desperation for the attention of the public has made it impossible to believe any doom-and-gloom scenario that is being offered. Which magically turns so-called experts into boys who cry wolf. We know how that story ended.

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  1. Hans Gruber Pfizer President Inactive
    Hans Gruber Pfizer President
    @Pseudodionysius

    Looks like you’ve had a little too much to think. Be afraid!

    • #1
  2. iWe Coolidge
    iWe
    @iWe

    Followup. All precipitation has now ended (my gauge shows 0.52″, so a decent rainfall). It is 36 degrees outside. That is the end of that snowstorm.

    • #2
  3. Hans Gruber Pfizer President Inactive
    Hans Gruber Pfizer President
    @Pseudodionysius

    iWe (View Comment):

    Followup. All precipitation has now ended (my gauge shows 0.52″, so a decent rainfall). It is 36 degrees outside. That is the end of that snowstorm.

    Remember: If your local newscasters gin up the Storm Porn, their ratings will go up.

    • #3
  4. C. U. Douglas Thatcher
    C. U. Douglas
    @CUDouglas

    I still follow local Oregon news. In the same day they had a report that COVID was winding down thanks to to Omicron, and then another article warning that according to scientific models, deaths would be way up this year thanks to Omicron. The latter of course completely ignores that it was the supposedly accurate and terrible dire predictive model from the Imperial College that got us into this mess in the first place.

    • #4
  5. Jimmy Carter Member
    Jimmy Carter
    @JimmyCarter

    Murder hornets!

    • #5
  6. Jim McConnell Member
    Jim McConnell
    @JimMcConnell

    Since Covid, each time I see a reference to an “expert,” an image of Dr. Anthony Fauci pops into my mind, and I discount that reference. Experts too frequently become enamored of their status as experts, and step outside their area of knowledge to become broad policy advisors.

    • #6
  7. MarciN Member
    MarciN
    @MarciN

    Jimmy Carter (View Comment):

    Murder hornets!

    My favorite covid-era meme:

    • #7
  8. Matthew Singer Member
    Matthew Singer
    @MatthewSinger

    iWe (View Comment):

    Followup. All precipitation has now ended (my gauge shows 0.52″, so a decent rainfall). It is 36 degrees outside. That is the end of that snowstorm.

    Not really much as rain.  1″ of rain is approx 1′ of snow

    • #8
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