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Projection: Youngkin Defeats McAuliffe in Virginia Governor’s Race (w/ Updates)
Original post (8:37 pm ET): Decision Desk, which has offered the most reliable early calls in the past several election cycles, projects that Republican Glenn Youngkin has defeated Democrat Terry McAuliffe in Virginia’s gubernatorial election. Dave Wasserman, elections guru for the Cook Political Report called the race for Youngkin a few minutes earlier. Henry Olson of the Ethics and Public Policy Center has also called the race. Media organizations are likely to follow soon.
They made the call with 47 percent of the vote in and Youngkin carrying a remarkable 10 percentage point lead. Joe Biden won the commonwealth one year ago by 10 percentage points.
GOP candidates Winsome Sears (Lt. Gov.) and Jason Miyares (A.G.) have earned numbers similar to Youngkin, so both are expected to win.
Update (10:37 p.m. ET): Two full hours after all the leading election gurus called the race, the legacy media still refuses to admit Youngkin won.
Update (10:47 p.m. ET): The Democrats have lost control of Virginia’s House of Delegates.
Update (12:34 a.m. ET): It’s over. Youngkin won.
Published in General
This ain’t over yet. At 1156, CNN gives Youngkin a margin of 93,000 votes. That is not an large number of ballots for the Dem machine to take out of storage. The GOP should be all over the mail in ballot process.
Heck, they only need ONE truck-load for 93,000!
As I commented above, the leads in Virginia would likely shrink, and possibly within the margin of cheating.
The governor and lieutenant governor races shrank from 10 point to 2 point leads before midnight on Election Evening. The AG race is well within the margin of cheating. It ain’t over until the last box of fraudulent mail-in votes is counted.
VIRGINIAGovernor – General93.13 % Precincts Reporting | 96% expected voteNov. 02, 2021 11:44 pm
Lieutenant Governor – General94.5 % PrecinctsNov. 02, 2021 11:44 pm
Attorney General – General94.12 % PrecinctsNov. 02, 2021 11:44 pm
I think (50/50, push to me) the Democrat incumbent, AG Herring, will “win.” Democrats only need to “find” about 50,000 mail-in votes between now and noon on November 5, including the blatantly illegal ones mailed out without required verification of the voter’s identity.
Indeed, at this point on Election Night, Virginia reported more than 100,000 more absentee ballots “requested” than already counted as returned. So, the Democrats have 100,000 ballots with which to sweep the top three offices.
We will be assured, of course, that this is totally legit, that there is nothing more than another set of furrowed brow statements and tut-tuts over the “appearance” of cheating.
It ain’t over until the Democrats dump their last batch of “absentee,” “mail-in” ballots.
They haven’t even BEGUN to find boxes of ballots in car trunks!
Down to 5,000 vote lead just after midnight. Not even close to over.
88.72 % Precincts Reporting | 77% expected voteNov. 03, 2021 12:17 am
Lots of room for overnight vote dump. Murphy likely wins. No guarantee, but we have seen this movie repeatedly and the RepubliCAN’Ts own the problem of federal election integrity.
There are 100,000 “mail-in” ballots outstanding. Plenty of room left for the Democrats to steal the election, since the leads are all down to way inside the margin of cheating.
Apparently, Live Chat lives: https://ricochet.com/live-chat/
Some enterprising member found the link. Some of us have been on there for a while.
Go to the state’s official website. There are about 100,000 mail-in ballots more than have been counted as “returned.” So, that is the pad the Democrats have to steal the election. We know for a fact they flagrantly violated state election law, mailing out ballots without required voter identity verification. The Federalist published that story.
Half an hour after my last post, CNN gives Youngkin a margin of 86,000 with 95% of the vote counted. That, if true, leaves 166,000 “votes” uncounted. These are gonna go 3:1 to McAuliffe, giving him a narrow margin of victory.
Sorry, guys and gals. Scary McAuliffe has been re-elected.
How I hope I am wrong.
Is Decision Desk HQ a reputable site for election results? I want to know before I sign up for a free account.
What other sites are good for updated and accurate results?
Fox just called Virginia for Youngkin
But VA will keep finding votes until at least the 5th.
To be clear, the Democrats have 88,000 absentee ballots left to play with, according to the official Virginia election website. Number requested – number counted as returned = 88,000.
Plus, they have whatever pad they get from the last 153 precincts to report. It is not so crude as boxes in trunks. It is boxes of fraudulent filled out absentee ballots.
No guarantee. They may not succeed. AND. We are within the literal margin of cheating on all but the governor race.
I think if they find boxes of ballots in car trunks etc, with no chain of custody, they’ll go to court and the judges won’t dismiss THEIR cases as “moot.”
In NJ, the Republican is up to 20,000 lead, but there is 20% of the “expected vote” left to fix the result.
NEW JERSEYGovernor – General94.79 % Precincts Reporting | 80% expected voteNov. 03, 2021 12:48 am
Missing a few zeros after the “2”
< sarcasm off >
< cynicism always on >
You just cannot take good news gracefully. It’s a free country, but I am not interested in your response.
Then there’s 10% for the big guy.
No blowout. The lead is about 72,000 votes this morning. I’m not going to be surprised if Democrats “find” 80,000 votes over the next two days. Put the corks back in the champagne bottles.
It probably went unnoticed by most, but there was another encouraging number from the Virginia election last night: the number of House of Delegates races contested by Republican candidates. While the Democrats chose to leave several districts unchallenged, Republican candidates took the field in all but one.
What does that mean? It means that people are interested and active. Some of those campaigns didn’t have a prayer, and that’s fine, showing up is important. Why? Well, in New Jersey it looks like the President of the Senate was defeated by a political novice. Similarly, here I’ve seen a first-time campaigner (in a primary, no less) take down a near 30-year incumbent in a “safe” district, and that incumbent was also the Senate President.
It’s important to be there and show interest not just in showing up, but doing something. Youngkin did not just show up on an (somewhat) anti-incumbent/anti-Biden, let-the-dissatisfaction-carry-you campaign, he (eventually) found an agenda. McAuliffe didn’t, by the way, until maybe the last few days.
Washington, Inc. still hasn’t figured that out. Articulate plans, take responsibility, make pledges…those things send the consultants to the fainting couches, and yet we see it play out in Florida to nationwide acclaim.
It’s important for a party to be there, and more important to commit. We’ll see if our congressional candidates decipher the “code.”
Prediction wrong. Mcauliffe has conceded. Marc Elias back in the field working on staving off a red tide in 2022.
McAuliffe lost, but 48% of Virginia voters supported him. I can only speculate why.
These are guesses, possibly poor ones because I don’t really know the state and have never seen age/race/gender/geo/job data from it.
Is it all of the above? Am I missing something? Which groups are the largest?
It’s been a long time since I took a deep dive into demographic data, so any info will help. Pie charts welcome.
I prefer apple pie charts. With lattice tops.
As has been pointed out by others in the past, “conceding” has no legal import. They still keep counting until the cutoff.
Which, as I understand it, is tomorrow. But certification not until the 15th. Yes, we await these dates with bated breath, but the concession doesn’t help McAuliffe’s case to reverse the election. Highly improbable at this point.
Concession doesn’t help OR hurt. It’s basically meaningless.
Al Gore called W to un-concede. W was dumbfounded. Gore reportedly said ‘Well you don’t have to get snippy about it!”
“I take it back!”
”Can’t”
”Can so”
”Not, I’m tellin’ dad”
Gore didn’t need to un-concede. If the Florida counting had gone his way, he would have won even though he conceded.