A Critique of Stephen Meyer’s ‘Return of the God Hypothesis’

 

I have struggled with writing a review of Stephen Meyer’s book, Return of the God Hypothesis, since I finished it a few weeks ago. Every time I pick it up to reread portions of it I find myself wanting to approach the work from a different perspective. The book is neither a straight popularization of science nor an attempt to frame a clear scientific argument. Rather, it’s a well-crafted work of reporting and speculation at the frothy margins of scientific theory that, combined with a few leaps of logic, is harnessed in support of a foreordained conclusion.

I suspect that the science in this book – and there’s quite a lot of it – will, despite being well-presented by an eloquent and talented author, largely elude most readers. Perhaps more importantly, the context from which the science is drawn will likely be unfamiliar to most readers, who will have little familiarity with physics and cosmology beyond what is presented in this book. If this book were merely a popularization of the science of cosmology, that would be fine: people would gain a feel for the state of the field, for its complexity and nuance, and for the remarkable accomplishments that have been made in recent years. But that’s not what this book is. Rather, it’s an attempt to support a metaphysical argument by portraying science as inadequate both in practice and in principle, and so leave no plausible alternative but the eponymous God Hypothesis. To frame that argument responsibly would require considerably more scope and rigor than this already science-heavy book offers. To do it convincingly, on the other hand, requires much less effort, particularly if the reader is inclined to be generous and knows little of physics.

It has been said of Stephen Hawking’s bestselling book A Brief History of Time that it was purchased by many and read by few. I suspect the same is likely true of Return of the God Hypothesis: for many, it will be a tough read. Yet it is an impressive book, and it has lent a great deal of talk-circuit credibility to its author and his premise. The fact that Mr. Meyer is an eloquent speaker and a clever and charming guest undoubtedly adds to that credibility, and it’s understandable why he and his book have received as much praise as they have. Nonetheless, as I will attempt to explain in this review, I think his arguments are weak and his conclusions unsupported.

The book begins with a review of the relationship faith and science have enjoyed throughout history. Meyer is on solid ground when documenting the history of science, and his recounting of man’s march of discovery is readable, detailed, and entertaining. It isn’t relevant to his argument, but it is well-written and informative.

Then we get to the science. Meyer asserts, based on three “scientific discoveries,” these key ideas underlying his argument:

  1. the universe had a beginning;
  2. from the beginning (or shortly thereafter), various physical constants have had values that are unlikely to have arisen by chance – that the universe appears to be “fine-tuned”; and
  3. the genetic coding in DNA represents a kind of “functional” information that is unlikely to have arisen by chance.

I find Meyer’s defense of each of these claims wanting, but, before I critique them, let me make two brief comments, one about the nature of Meyer’s three claims, and the other about the overall thesis of his book.

Meyer’s core argument is that our universe and the life in it are improbable – so statistically improbable as to defy any explanation other than that God designed and created it. It’s difficult to overstate the importance of this: Meyer’s thesis hinges entirely on that alleged improbability.

We can see the probability argument arising from the second and third claims, that of the universe being improbably fine-tuned, and of genetic material having an improbable amount of structure and function. But the first claim is different. It isn’t a claim about probability, but rather part of a necessary precondition to all of Meyer’s arguments. It is essential to his arguments that the universe be finite. It must have had a single beginning; it must eventually end; and there can only be one of them.

Why? Because in order for his statistical arguments of improbability to carry any weight, it’s necessary that the sample space not include an infinite number of instances. This is true because in an infinite number of universes everything that is statistically possible, however statistically improbable, will still happen – in fact, will happen an infinite number of times. And in an infinite number of those instances, the physical constants will have the seemingly improbable values we observe, the seemingly improbable chemistry will have arisen to bring about life such as us, and we will, as improbable as it may seem, be sitting here discussing his book.

Regarding the thesis of his book, I have a problem but I’m not quite sure how to state it. Science, including the science Meyer attempts to disprove in his book, has set itself upon the task of answering the “how, what, and when” questions: how does the world work, what laws govern it, when did or will various events occur? Meyer offers an answer to a question science doesn’t ask: “who?” Meyer wants to tell us who created the universe. He doesn’t attempt to present or defend an answer for any of the questions science asks and seeks to answer.

This seems important to me because it suggests that, contrary to Meyer’s oft-repeated claims, the God Hypothesis actually has no true explanatory power. Rather, it merely claims to name an actor – and an ill-defined actor at that. I wonder, how is Meyer’s claim stronger than this one:

“Some non-sentient but unknown natural mechanism, of which we are as yet completely and utterly unaware, established the conditions under which our observable universe exists and the life within it flourishes.”

That wildly ambiguous claim would at least be rooted in something that is consistent with our universal and repeated experience (as Meyer might put it), that of physical reality and the laws that govern it.

In any case, the fact that Meyer’s hypothesis doesn’t actually answer the questions science asks, and that it opens up a universe of new questions (where did God come from, how does God do what God does, what does the mathematics of God look like, etc.) in the process of not answering them, should give us reason to pause, at least.


Claim: The Universe Had a Beginning

Meyer is a science historian, and his account of the evolution of scientific theory regarding the origin of our universe is readable, detailed, and interesting. Most of what we think of as modern cosmology is quite modern, much of it less than a hundred years old, and some of it only a few decades old. It’s sobering to realize how much of what we know we figured out in just the last 50 years.

Yes, we’re pretty sure that everything in our universe was contained in a microscopic pinpoint about 14 billion years ago, and that that pinpoint expanded with unimaginable speed – and continues to expand today. That idea comports with our observations, and the theory supporting it seems robust. Meyer’s account of how we reached that understanding makes for good reading.

But no, we aren’t sure that the universe had a beginning. We admit that things – matter, energy, physical laws, the nature of space and time itself – were likely very different when the stuff of a billion trillion stars occupied a volume vastly smaller than a pinhead. (How many stars can dance on the head of a pin? All of them, it seems.) But we don’t know how they were different. Nor do we know what came before, nor what prompted the expansion, nor whether it happened exactly once or infinitely many times, or indeed whether or not it’s happening right now elsewhere in our own universe. We speak informally of the Big Bang as the beginning of our universe, but all we really know with confidence is that it was a moment in an evolving series of physical states. We don’t know what states came before, nor what states will follow our own.

Meyer is, in my opinion, too casual in his use of the word “beginning.” In Chapter 6: The Curvature of Space and the Beginning of the Universe, he quotes Stephen Hawking and G.F.R. Ellis as writing (in The Large Scale Structure of the Universe) that the general theory of relativity implies “that there is a singularity in the past that constitutes, in some sense, a beginning of the universe.” (emphasis mine)

What did Hawking et al mean by “in some sense?” I don’t know, and Meyer doesn’t pursue it. But it’s hard to conclude that a beginning “in some sense” is the same as, simply, “a beginning.” And in fact, later Meyer quotes Ellis as observing that some cosmologists now see, in Meyer’s words, “singularity theorems as an interesting piece of pure mathematics, but not as proofs of the beginning of our actual universe.” (again, emphasis mine)

In the same chapter, Meyer quotes Paul Davies, in reference to conditions in the very early universe, as saying: “If we follow this prediction to its extreme….” But must we follow mathematical predictions to their extremes? In particular, when it is widely acknowledged that we don’t know which of our physical laws pertain in the extraordinary conditions in the very early universe, how much stock should we place in predictions followed to that extreme?

It is worth remembering how little we understand of the conditions immediately prior to the expansion of the singularity – assuming there was a singularity. We don’t even know if the view conventionally held, that we can know nothing of the universe prior to the expansion of that initial singularity, is actually correct. We thought it was, but then the late Stephen Hawking made the case that black holes might evaporate through quantum processes, and Roger Penrose theorized that we might find echoes of that evaporation in the cosmic background – echoes of black holes that existed before the singularity itself. We now think that, just a couple of years ago, we may have identified one of these so-called “Hawking points,” these shadows of long-gone black holes of a prior universe, in the cosmic microwave background.

If we did – and it’s still too early to be sure – then the idea that the universe began with the Big Bang will have to be reworked a bit. Indeed, the entire idea of there being only a single universe would be effectively discredited.

Speaking of Roger Penrose, I find the omission of his Conformal Cyclic Cosmology theory odd. Meyer cites Penrose dozens of times in his book, but I’ve found only two references to Penrose’s own recent (2010) theory of how the universe might recur endlessly, both in the footnotes and neither actually engaging the theory. Meyer spends time critiquing less mainstream theories, including that of Max Tegmark whose theory, as Meyer describes it, claims that “every possible mathematical structure imaginable has a physical expression in some possible universe” or, quoting Tegmark now, “All structures that exist mathematically exist also physically.” This seems to me to be a peculiar prioritization on Meyer’s part, and makes me wonder if he is being perhaps too selective in the theories he chooses to present to his readers.

I believe Meyer does his readers a disservice by not accurately portraying the range of multiple-universe theories currently proposed, given that rejecting all of them is critical to his thesis. Meyer requires that there not be an infinite number of universes, either one following another throughout eternity or any number existing simultaneously in parallel. This is perhaps the strongest challenge to his argument from improbability, and it deserves to be treated with more rigor.


Claim: The Universe is Fine-Tuned for Life

Meyer’s second claim is, I think, his strongest, and its defense constitutes the largest portion of his book.

There is a widely held belief that our universe is a very improbable place, and that if any one of a few physical constants differed from its current value by an almost unimaginably small amount, the result would be a universe that could not contain us as observers. Some argue that such apparent precision is unlikely to occur naturally, and so is evidence of intelligence: that these constants were “fine-tuned” to be precisely what is necessary to allow the universe to develop as it has.

This is the core argument Meyer makes, and it can be compelling: accounts of extraordinarily improbable-seeming things can be powerfully persuasive.

But it’s worth considering what is implied by the claim Meyer is making. First, it requires that it be meaningful to speak of “different values for a physical constant,” and it isn’t immediately obvious that that’s the case. After all, we don’t know why physical constants have the values they do, and we don’t know how the various constants might be related to each other through some aspect of physical reality of which we’re still unaware.

Consider Einstein’s theories of special and general relativity. Until barely a hundred years ago we didn’t know that space, time, mass, and energy were mathematically related. We didn’t know that these aspects of the physical world were intertwined in mathematically determined and measurable ways, and that a value in one domain couldn’t be “changed” without influencing the other domains as well.

Now we think we know that most of the handful of (what we think are) fundamental forces and particles are mathematically conjoined, not truly independent of each other. It is no longer safe to assume that any of these things is truly independent of the others. And, just as it is nonsensical to speak of, say, the value of pi changing in relation to the circumference and diameter of a circle – because it is inherently linked to and constrained by both of those things – it may be nonsensical to speak of any given physical constant changing as well.

In particular, to the extent that the apparent fine-tuning of constants related to gravitational attraction is prominent in these examples – and it is – we should be particularly careful, as our best quantum theories still struggle to incorporate gravity, and especially under the exotic conditions of the early universe.

Perhaps there’s some meaning to the idea of certain physical constants “having different values.” It’s certainly essential to Meyer’s claim of so-called “fine tuning.” It is also certainly debatable, and debated.

But, for the sake of discussion, let’s assume for a moment that it’s meaningful to discuss the possibility of physical constants having different values than they do. Meyer’s contention is that, in most of these configurations, intelligent life could not form in the universe that unfolded from these different preconditions.

That strikes me as a very bold claim. To make it, one has to believe both of the following: first, that we can accurately predict the nature of a universe that follows laws other than the laws that govern our own universe; and, secondly, that we have a reasonable understanding of the range of conditions under which intelligent life might arise, and the nature of that life, in universes both like and unlike our own.

It’s worth noting that there is a great deal we still don’t know about the only universe of which we’re aware, the one we can actually observe. And it’s worth noting that we really don’t understand the mechanisms of intelligence, nor the mechanisms by which life emerged, nor whether there is life anywhere else in our universe including on those planets and satellites within reach of our own small blue orb.

Given how new and incomplete our own knowledge is of the universe we inhabit and the rules that govern it, we should be skeptical that we’re capable of anticipating the infinite range of alternative universes that might arise through the modification of various physical constants. Certainly, we have not invested thousands of cosmologist-years in studying these hypothetical alternatives.

Similarly, given that we have exactly one example of life from which to generalize in a universe likely containing literally trillions of planets, it seems prudent to hesitate before speaking with authority regarding which possible universes can and can’t support life.


Claim: The Genetic Code is Evidence of an Intelligent Designer

Put simply, Meyer’s argument here is based on the observation that the genetic code – the encoding of information in the DNA of living things – represents a particular kind of “functional” information storage mechanism that is unlikely to have arisen through purely natural processes. I find this the most unsatisfying of Meyer’s claims.

Meyer argues in his book and in his numerous public appearances that, in our consistent and repeated experience, every instance of such functional information storage is the result of a guiding intelligence. It follows, he argues, that the storage of functional information in DNA must also be the product of a guiding intelligence.

This seems to be such an obviously poor and illogical argument that I find myself wondering if I am missing something profound. But let’s break it down.

  1. We are aware of numerous examples of the encoding of “functional” information in a structured form, from computer programs to grammars to all sorts of artificial symbolic schemes.
  2. Our experience with all of these is that they are the product of intelligence. Specifically, they are the product of human intelligence.
  3. It is, therefore, our uniform and repeated experience that such encoding is the product of intelligence.
  4. But we are also aware of the encoding of “functional” information in a structured form in the DNA that is found in each of our cells. It follows, therefore, that this information too must be the product of intelligence, since it is our universal and repeated experience that all such information is the product of intelligence.

But wait. That is – at best – a circular argument. If we include DNA in our initial inventory of “functional” information, then it’s no longer our uniform and repeated experience that such information is the product of intelligence. Rather, it’s our uniform and repeated experience that man-made encoding of information is man-made. That says nothing about not-man-made encoding of information.

(On the other hand, it does seem to me that Meyer would be more consistent if he argued that, since every instance of encoded information of which we’re aware is actually man-made, DNA must also be man-made. But that would be an even more absurd argument.)

Instances of functional information storage in DNA both predate and outnumber every form which we can trace to an intelligent source – that is, every form which was created by man. Our actual experience is that every cell in every organism contains a vast amount of structured, functional information for which we can identify no creating intelligence. There is no basis, therefore, for his oft-repeated claim that, in our consistent experience, such storage is an artifact of intelligence, and the fact that he continues to repeat the claim strikes me as peculiar.

Note that this is subtly different from a probability argument. The argument is that it is the consistency of our experience regarding the origin of artificially encoded information that compels us to accept an intelligent origin of apparently naturally occurring encoded information.

The error seems too obvious to be overlooked, too often emphasized by Meyer to be accidental, and, frankly, too flagrant to be wholly innocent. Again, perhaps I am misunderstanding his argument in some way which will be immediately evident when it’s explained to me.


God of the Gaps?

Meyer doesn’t like this phrase, and I can understand why. We humans have a long tradition of invoking deities to fill the gaps in our understanding of the material universe. We have probably done it since our earliest moments of awareness – indeed, the utility of having that comforting and ready answer might, one can easily believe, be why we are inclined to believe in the supernatural.

Meyer has written a book that could have been written at any time during our long quest for understanding. The details would change, the sophistication would vary, but the product would be similar: a man standing on the edge of the unknown surveys the wisest men around him and concludes that, since they have no wholly satisfactory answers, one or another god is the most plausible explanation.

Though Meyer objects to the phrase and argues that he is not engaging in an argument from ignorance, here is how he describes, in Chapter 20, the argument he is making:

Premise One: Despite a thorough search, no materialistic causes have been discovered with the power to produce large amounts of specified information required to produce the first cell.

Premise Two: Intelligent causes have demonstrated the power to produce large amounts of specified information.

Premise Three: Intelligent design constitutes the best, most causally adequate explanation for the origin of the specified information in the cell.

Take a look at that Premise One: “Despite a thorough search….”

What does “thorough” mean, in this context? How does “Despite a thorough search” differ from “Thus far?” What aspect of knowledge does Meyer believe we have exhausted, in our thorough but failed search?

There will always be things we haven’t yet figured out. There will always be a precipice, beyond which is something mysterious and seemingly impenetrable. And there will always be those who stand on the edge and give up on the process and think, I guess God did it.

Of course, they could be right. But they don’t have a very good track record, and I think both science and religion suffer when people engage in this kind of end-run around the humble scientific method, or try to co-opt it to make a theological point. (Similarly, science suffers when scientists try to impugn God with their science. But that’s the mirror image of what’s going on here, and a topic for another day.)


The universe is unimaginably vast, at least 90 billion light-years across and perhaps orders of magnitude larger. It contains perhaps trillions of galaxies, each containing hundreds of billions of stars. It is old, several times older than our own sun, and is full of mysteries.

A hundred years ago our best and brightest argued over whether our galaxy was the only one, and whether the universe was older than we now know our own planet to be. We knew a lot – and, it turns out, we knew almost nothing.

Our best understanding, currently represented by quantum field theory, is bizarre and wildly unintuitive – and yet has wonderful predictive power and astounding mathematical rigor: in some ways, it is the most comprehensive and successful scientific theory ever devised.

It’s too early to throw in the towel.

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  1. Arahant Member
    Arahant
    @Arahant

    Stina (View Comment):
    I might agree that Meyer’s arguments aren’t great. But that doesn’t mean Christians don’t require a means to defend themselves against atheist scientists.

    Alright. The first step is to call out atheists about their religion. Atheism declares definitively that there is no God. That requires a leap of faith. There is no way to disprove the existence of an incorporeal being. Therefore, atheism is just as much a religion as any other. Pointing this out seems to rile up atheists, since they try to claim they have no religion.

    • #61
  2. Saint Augustine Member
    Saint Augustine
    @SaintAugustine

    Henry Racette (View Comment):
    Regarding that “theory,” “hypothesis,” “conclusion” discussion: call it what you will, one of the rules of science is that nothing is ever final.

    Yes. No one disputed this.

    Someone apparently got confused because I referred to conclusions drawn from premises and thought I meant “conclusions” in a different sense of the term.

    That’s how the process works, and what separates it from being a faith-based system in which an idea is declared immune to challenge. The problem with introducing unfalsifiable ideas into a scientific discussion is that it short-circuits the process of science, since the unfalsifiable idea is inherently privileged over all other ideas.

    And, again, I have enormous respect for the Karl Popper line that scientific views must be falsifiable. I don’t know myself how to disprove G-d’s existence, so this sort of thing can make a fine objection to Meyer.

    The worst I can day about the objection is that it might happen to be wrong. Popper’s philosophy of science is not the only one, and it might not be the right one.

    • #62
  3. Django Member
    Django
    @Django

    Henry Racette (View Comment):

    Django (View Comment):

    Doctor Robert (View Comment):

    Religion (God) and Science are distinct modes of human thought. Science tells us how things happen; Religion tells us why. Saint Augustine, Arahant and Henry would be much calmer this morning to realize this.

    That being said, sometimes Science asks us to believe more outlandish things than does Religion. I’m a Christian. I don’t believe, rather I know that Christ walked across the Sea of Galilee during a storm and led Simon Peter, one of his disciples, out of a foundering boat onto the water in order to demonstrate the importance of faith.

    I find that knowledge many orders of magnitude more believable than the claim of cosmologists that all of creation once existed in a mass the size of a pin head (or a baseball, or a plum, or what have you). All of creation? All of the stars and galaxies and molecules and atoms and plants and birds and rocks and things–in a mass the size of a pin head? Have you seen how BIG all of this stuff is? Can you imagine the conditions, the necessary forces, to put that all in a mass the size of a pin head?

    Give me a break. The God Hypothesis is more believable than Science.

    PBS Space Time with Dr. Matt O’Dowd discusses this point. He says that no one today believes that. He also points out that at the earliest time in the existence of the Universe, atoms and molecules didn’t exist. I won’t try to convey his concepts, in part because I’m not sure I grasped them well enough to do so. I’ll just say the series is well worth watching.

    Django, I’m sure Dr. R was speaking poetically. No, no one believes that the universe as it is today was condensed into a microscopic dot. However, there’s considerable reason to believe that all of the matter and energy in the universe today was, at one time about 14 billions years ago, squeezed into that little dot. Of course, at that density there were no particles we’d recognize, just a slush of unimaginably high temperature and pressure.

    You misunderstand. That was not my point, anyway.  Rather than argue, check out O’Dowd’s video. He will explain that the ideas of everything being condensed into a microscopic dot came from imagining the rewinding of the observed cosmic expansion. He will discuss the CMB and then explain that when your calculations yield infinities, you might want to reassess your theories. Finally, he will discuss how general relativity breaks down and the quantum theories take over at the “beginning”. 

    • #63
  4. Steven Seward Member
    Steven Seward
    @StevenSeward

    I tend to wallow in the “agnostic” camp on the existence of God.  It is my “theory” (since we’re talking about theories)  that the human lack of an ability to tolerate uncertainty pushes most people into one of the strong believer camps, either for or against God.  All I can tell is that there is something more to  this universe than the purely physical or deterministic things that we see.  There are too many absurd contradictions that don’t make sense, but we have gotten so used to them that we don’t notice anymore.

    For instance why is life so extraordinarily complex at the biological, chemistry, and atomic levels, while all  other matter is ridiculously simple by comparison?  The gap  between the two is not even close.  There is nothing in-between.

    Also, we have no clue as to why consciousness exists.  Not even a good guess as far as I know.  We don’t even know how it works other than the fact that it can be turned on and off with brain function, but we’re not even sure of that because the only way to detect if it’s even there is if someone tells us about it.

    The best argument I’ve heard against the pure physical universe is the mathematical probability of life happening by pure chance.  This doesn’t automatically mean that “God” is the explanation, but there must be something more than just the physical stuff that we’re familiar with.  (don’t shoot me for ending a sentence with a preposition.  I know.)  I am not competent  to explain it in my own words, but here is a fascinating and entertaining discourse by a professor and nanotechnologist named James Tour.

    • #64
  5. Arahant Member
    Arahant
    @Arahant

    Steven Seward (View Comment):
    I tend to wallow in the “agnostic” camp on the existence of God.  It is my “theory” (since we’re talking about theories)  that the human lack of an ability to tolerate uncertainty pushes most people into one of the strong believer camps, either for or against God.

    Agnosticism, unlike Atheism, is not a religion. It’s a simple shrug at the mysteries of life. It neither affirms nor denies. It’s also honest, unlike atheism.

    • #65
  6. Stina Member
    Stina
    @CM

    Steven Seward (View Comment):
    don’t shoot me for ending a sentence with a preposition.  I know.

    Not shooting, but when I was prepping for the school board meeting, my mother said most sentences can be written without “that”. When I reworked my sentences, I was left with far fewer hanging prepositions.

    • #66
  7. Steven Seward Member
    Steven Seward
    @StevenSeward

    Arahant (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):
    I might agree that Meyer’s arguments aren’t great. But that doesn’t mean Christians don’t require a means to defend themselves against atheist scientists.

    Alright. The first step is to call out atheists about their religion. Atheism declares definitively that there is no God. That requires a leap of faith. There is no way to disprove the existence of an incorporeal being. Therefore, atheism is just as much a religion as any other. Pointing this out seems to rile up atheists, since they try to claim they have no religion.

    I’m gonna contend with you on a technicality, but not in spirit.  Technically Atheism is not a religion in the sense that religion normally requires belief in a supernatural controlling being (though not always, as in Shintoism).  And it usually revolves around devotional and ritual observances.  So I  see how they can get annoyed with the term “religion.”.

    However, I totally agree that the absolute belief that there is “no God” is just as unproven as the belief “in God.”  And many atheists will defend their belief (non-belief?) with religious fervor (despite that pesky philosophy about science never proving anything final).

    • #67
  8. Arahant Member
    Arahant
    @Arahant

    Steven Seward (View Comment):
    So I  see how they can get annoyed with the term “religion.”.

    Admittedly, getting them annoyed is at least half the fun of it.

    • #68
  9. Steven Seward Member
    Steven Seward
    @StevenSeward

    Arahant (View Comment):

    Steven Seward (View Comment):
    So I see how they can get annoyed with the term “religion.”.

    Admittedly, getting them annoyed is at least half the fun of it.

    If you get to Heaven, they are gonna give you a couple demerits for that one!

    • #69
  10. Henry Racette Member
    Henry Racette
    @HenryRacette

    Steven Seward (View Comment):

    Arahant (View Comment):

    There are no scientific “conclusions.” There are only hypotheses. If a hypothesis seems to fit reality, it becomes a theory. “Theory” means “this is the best understanding we have at the moment pending further study and data.” Theory does not mean fact, and theory is not conclusive.

    It seems to me that this should be the ideal, but I wonder how many scientists actually follow this philosophy. I know some Global Warming (ahem…..Climate Change) scientists and advocates who are pretty sure that they’ve figured out things with absolute certainty.

    Steven, it has occurred to me that Scientific Theology (to coin a term) and Climate Change have in common a tendency to explain everything they observe as evidence of the correctness of their claims. They’re a sort of universal cause. So more (or less) rain is proof of climate change; hotter (or colder) weather is proof of climate change; hurricanes (or no hurricanes) are proof of climate change; etc.

    Something similar goes on when Scientific Theology people make the rather extravagant claim that the universe is just what one would expect if a God of the Judeo-Christian model had created it. That sounds nice, but it doesn’t begin to make sense. It is, however, irrefutable, so long as God remains loosely defined and wholly unconstrained.

    Django (View Comment):
    You misunderstand. That was not my point, anyway.

    Ah. My apologies. I am not heavily invested in the idea that all matter was condensed to a pinpoint. It might have been far larger. Or not; I don’t know and I’m happy to let the physicists hash it out, if they can. Or perhaps Penrose is closer to the mark and there never was/never will be a spatial singularity per se, but rather an infinite progression of spatially finite universes. Whatever the case, the cosmic background and truly large-scale structures (galactic filaments and voids) strongly suggests a time of rapid expansion from a (relatively) small size into something much larger — though still far smaller than what we see today.

    Steven Seward (View Comment):
    I tend to wallow in the “agnostic” camp on the existence of God.

    As do I. I am not an atheist because I am not a man of faith.

     

     

    • #70
  11. Arahant Member
    Arahant
    @Arahant

    Steven Seward (View Comment):

    Arahant (View Comment):

    Steven Seward (View Comment):
    So I see how they can get annoyed with the term “religion.”.

    Admittedly, getting them annoyed is at least half the fun of it.

    If you get to Heaven, they are gonna give you a couple demerits for that one!

    It won’t be the only thing. 😈

    • #71
  12. Henry Castaigne Member
    Henry Castaigne
    @HenryCastaigne

    Stina (View Comment):
    I don’t think that’s a fair characterization. Christianity and Science were doing just fine until a new generation of scientists decided our knowledge exceeded the need for a God. How much of Meyer is a poor example of apologetics, which is a defense of faith, not a proselytizing or debate function, but to edify the believer?

    That’s unfair. Christianity and Science where doing just fine until Darwin pointed out that Genesis was inaccurate. Christianity, (including Catholicism) has not fully adapted to the expansion of human knowledge. At least Meyer and Jordan Peterson are grappling with the serious philosophical implications of basic biology rather than denying mountains of evidence. 

    • #72
  13. BDB Inactive
    BDB
    @BDB

    Steven Seward (View Comment):

    Arahant (View Comment):

    Steven Seward (View Comment):
    So I see how they can get annoyed with the term “religion.”.

    Admittedly, getting them annoyed is at least half the fun of it.

    If you get to Heaven, they are gonna give you a couple demerits for that one!

    We were once so close to Heaven
    Peter came out and gave us medals
    Declaring us
    The Nicest of the Damned

    • #73
  14. Henry Racette Member
    Henry Racette
    @HenryRacette

    Henry Castaigne (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):
    I don’t think that’s a fair characterization. Christianity and Science were doing just fine until a new generation of scientists decided our knowledge exceeded the need for a God. How much of Meyer is a poor example of apologetics, which is a defense of faith, not a proselytizing or debate function, but to edify the believer?

    That’s unfair. Christianity and Science where doing just fine until Darwin pointed out that Genesis was inaccurate. Christianity, (including Catholicism) has not fully adapted to the expansion of human knowledge. At least Meyer and Jordan Peterson are grappling with the serious philosophical implications of basic biology rather than denying mountains of evidence.

    Or here’s another way to put it:

    “Science,” by which I mean the growing naturalistic understanding of the universe, has always been in opposition to religion.

    Think of it this way. Long ago, man knew almost nothing of the natural world. He observed a few things, noticed recurring phenomena, learned from painful mistakes and adapted his behavior accordingly. But any question he couldn’t answer through immediate observation of simple cause and effect he probably attributed to some metaphysical entity. The seasons changed because the spirits controlled them, the sun moved because a god commanded it, lightning flashed because some spirit was angry, etc.

    That’s all sensible enough. There’s an obvious survival value in trying to understand things that are changing around us. We’re “programmed” for pattern recognition, and do it naturally (and often erroneously). Superstition persists today in countless trivial forms, and that’s often little more than noting a past confluence of events and developing an association, real or imagined, that changes our behavior.

    Anyway, while there may be a survival value in noticing patterns, there’s undoubtedly a greater survival value in understanding and perhaps controlling events. As man learned to understand and control aspects of his environment, he came to understand that he, and not some spirit, controlled some parts of the natural world. That nudged the spirits into the less well understood fringes.

    There’s nothing anti-religious in that. It’s merely people trying to live longer and better. But it has the same effect: religion plays a diminishing role in the day-to-day lives of primitive people as they learn to control their environment.

    Think about Maslow’s hierarchy of needs, with basic survival at the bottom and more abstract things higher up. Early on, religion was very practical: people prayed to the gods so that the rivers would rise, the rains would fall, the crops would grow. Later, when they became able to predict the seasons and control irrigation, gods weren’t called upon for those roles. As mankind became richer, religion began to play a role higher up the hierarchy of needs, providing moral guidance and purpose, things that our growing mastery of the natural world made it possible for us to focus on and value.

    Today many see religion as answering the deep questions, the “important” questions: why are we here, what is our purpose, what things are right and what things are wrong? Those are things secure and comfortable people can ponder as they seek meaning beyond simple survival.

    I don’t know what role religion will play in the future. I wouldn’t be surprised if the questions we ask religion to answer are questions that really have no answers. If so, that may leave religion an important aspect of our lives for a very long time. Or perhaps it’s wired into us at some level, and will always be with us.

    Or, of course, perhaps one or another religion is correct, and God won’t let us forget it. I don’t know.

    But I do think the conflict between “science” and religion is age-old, perfectly natural, and not a sign of anything bad or mistaken.

    • #74
  15. Henry Castaigne Member
    Henry Castaigne
    @HenryCastaigne

    Henry Racette (View Comment):
    But I do think the conflict between “science” and religion is age-old, perfectly natural, and not a sign of anything bad or mistaken.

    No one can accuse of thinking small deep Henry. But I think you confuse the superstitious part of religion with the spiritual parts of religion. Religions explain the universe and the seasons but they also provide meaning to people on a personal basis. Immediately after people have enough food to eat, they think about justice and virtue and beauty. The Greeks for example, were one step above living in caves but they were obsessed with what virtue was.

    In terms of meaning, science doesn’t really cut it. I hope that religion will embrace scientific discoveries and focus on the issue of meaning. Why shouldn’t Christians read a book about evolutionary psychology along with the gospels. 

    • #75
  16. J Climacus Member
    J Climacus
    @JClimacus

    Henry Racette (View Comment):

    But I do think the conflict between “science” and religion is age-old, perfectly natural, and not a sign of anything bad or mistaken.

    It is at least an irony, then, that the founders of modern science were all highly religious individuals. Newton, for example, spent far more time on his religious speculations than he ever did on science. Galileo, Newton, Kepler, Pascal etc. all thought of themselves as decoding the Book of Nature written by the same God that wrote the Book of Revelation (i.e. the Bible).  In fact, scientists were nearly just about uniformly religious up until the mid-nineteenth century, including Maxwell.

    Then they gradually began to become secular, to the point that it is now dogma that any whiff of religion is somehow fatal to science. I wonder if that change was because, for the early scientists, the idea that their new methods might unlock the secrets of the universe was based on their belief that a rational Creator was behind the universe, whereas today the fact that the methods of modern science “work” is just an obvious thing “everyone knows” and is of no special significance. Familiarity with science has bred contempt for the Reason science works in the first place.

    • #76
  17. J Climacus Member
    J Climacus
    @JClimacus

    Henry Racette (View Comment):

    Henry Castaigne (View Comment):

    Stina (View Comment):
    I don’t think that’s a fair characterization. Christianity and Science were doing just fine until a new generation of scientists decided our knowledge exceeded the need for a God. How much of Meyer is a poor example of apologetics, which is a defense of faith, not a proselytizing or debate function, but to edify the believer?

    That’s unfair. Christianity and Science where doing just fine until Darwin pointed out that Genesis was inaccurate. Christianity, (including Catholicism) has not fully adapted to the expansion of human knowledge. At least Meyer and Jordan Peterson are grappling with the serious philosophical implications of basic biology rather than denying mountains of evidence.

    Or here’s another way to put it:

    “Science,” by which I mean the growing naturalistic understanding of the universe, has always been in opposition to religion.

    Think of it this way. Long ago, man knew almost nothing of the natural world. He observed a few things, noticed recurring phenomena, learned from painful mistakes and adapted his behavior accordingly. But any question he couldn’t answer through immediate observation of simple cause and effect he probably attributed to some metaphysical entity. The seasons changed because the spirits controlled them, the sun moved because a god commanded it, lightning flashed because some spirit was angry, etc.

    This was a very popular understanding of the history of religion, originating in the 19th century, but isn’t held in much esteem these days by historians of religion. For one thing, a quick read of the religious texts of major religions like the Old Testament or the Koran shows they don’t introduce God as the explanation for ordinary natural phenomena. Sure, God “created the heavens and the earth” but that isn’t introduced as a means to satisfy scientific curiosity, but to establish the foundation of the moral relationship between God and man. The thousands of pages after that in the Bible are about that moral relationship, not lightning or the moon.

     

    • #77
  18. Steven Seward Member
    Steven Seward
    @StevenSeward

    J Climacus (View Comment):

    Henry Racette (View Comment):

    But I do think the conflict between “science” and religion is age-old, perfectly natural, and not a sign of anything bad or mistaken.

    It is at least an irony, then, that the founders of modern science were all highly religious individuals. Newton, for example, spent far more time on his religious speculations than he ever did on science. Galileo, Newton, Kepler, Pascal etc. all thought of themselves as decoding the Book of Nature written by the same God that wrote the Book of Revelation (i.e. the Bible). In fact, scientists were nearly just about uniformly religious up until the mid-nineteenth century, including Maxwell.

    Then they gradually began to become secular, to the point that it is now dogma that any whiff of religion is somehow fatal to science. I wonder if that change was because, for the early scientists, the idea that their new methods might unlock the secrets of the universe was based on their belief that a rational Creator was behind the universe, whereas today the fact that the methods of modern science “work” is just an obvious thing “everyone knows” and is of no special significance. Familiarity with science has bred contempt for the Reason science works in the first place.

    I have an Uncle who is a research scientist and professor at a University, who  has completely rejected the idea of a supernatural  being in favor of pure rationalism.  However, it is almost comical how unrational and uninformed he is in other areas of life. 

    Before the 2016 election he sent me and my conservative brother each an identical letter outlining to us what a disaster a 2nd Donald Trump presidential term would bring.  It was filled with all sorts  of non-sequiturs and primitive rationales, and of course showed a complete lack of knowledge of current events.  Along with the letter came a short book written by another college professor that was warning about how  Trump  would  destroy the nation and democracy, blah, blah, blah….  I read it. It was probably even less rational and less informed than my Uncle’s letter.  It was written on the  level of  about a 14 year-old.

    I sent him a tactful, but extremely long e-mail refuting his and the book’s absurd assertions, peppered with strong references, and thanked him warmly for thinking about us nephews.

    • #78
  19. BDB Inactive
    BDB
    @BDB

    Steven Seward (View Comment):
    I sent him a tactful, but extremely long e-mail refuting his and the book’s absurd assertions, peppered with strong references, and thanked him warmly for thinking about us nephews.

    Nicely done!

    • #79
  20. Penfold Member
    Penfold
    @Penfold

    I listened to his book via Audible.  I liked it.  It’s got a good beat and you can dance to it.

    • #80
  21. Arahant Member
    Arahant
    @Arahant

    Penfold (View Comment):

    I listened to his book via Audible. I liked it. It’s got a good beat and you can dance to it.

    The Audible sounds better than the text, then.

    • #81
  22. Henry Castaigne Member
    Henry Castaigne
    @HenryCastaigne

    Steven Seward (View Comment):
    Along with the letter came a short book written by another college professor that was warning about how  Trump  would  destroy the nation and democracy, blah, blah, blah….

    Humans need taboos or they go insane. We can’t be purely rational unless we genetically engineer ourselves to become like Vulcans over centuries. 

    • #82
  23. Henry Racette Member
    Henry Racette
    @HenryRacette

    J Climacus (View Comment):
    This was a very popular understanding of the history of religion, originating in the 19th century, but isn’t held in much esteem these days by historians of religion.

    I think we should probably distinguish between religion as we normally think of it today, as something formalized and denominated, and the more primal superstitious tendencies inherent in human beings. I was describing what I suspect is the evolution of the partitioning of sensibilities between observed materialistic explanations and presumed supernatural explanations.

    While I think “science” (the effort to find useable materialistic explanations for events) works against religion, I think that conflict is an unintentional consequence of the filling in of ignorance that science achieves. On the other hand, I think religion pushes back against science in an effort to preserve traditional forms. That is, science advances because it confers material survival value, and religion resists because it provides social cohesion and various social advantages (which might also confer survival value, I suppose).

    By the time we’re talking about “religious texts,” I think we’re far along this process. I was describing something more innate, less embedded in culture and politics.

    And, of course, I’m just speculating. I don’t know anything about prehistoric religion.

    J Climacus (View Comment):

    Familiarity with science has bred contempt for the Reason science works in the first place.

    Or, equally plausibly (I would argue), science continues to work, with or without religion — even if it might have required faith in a rational creator to lend scientific reasoning its initial legitimacy. Perhaps we needed theology to jumpstart rational materialism.

    That isn’t to say that we will thrive without religion. I don’t think we will. But I’m not at all sure that science won’t function well without religious belief.

    Much of the hostility expressed by some scientists toward people of faith is, I think, something other than a clash of science and religion. I think it’s more similar to the hostility expressed by many on the left toward people who own guns, drive big trucks, live in Missouri, etc. Intellectual snobbery is a pretty common human failing.

    • #83
  24. Henry Castaigne Member
    Henry Castaigne
    @HenryCastaigne

    Henry Racette (View Comment):
    I think it’s more similar to the hostility expressed by many on the left toward people who own guns, drive big trucks, live in Missouri, etc. Intellectual snobbery is a pretty common human failing.

    We need an outgroup to hate. 

    • #84
  25. Stina Member
    Stina
    @CM

    Henry Racette (View Comment):
    I think we should probably distinguish between religion as we normally think of it today, as something formalized and denominated, and the more primal superstitious tendencies inherent in human beings. I was describing what I suspect is the evolution of the partitioning of sensibilities between observed materialistic explanations and presumed supernatural explanations.

    You are conflating Christianity with pagan religions, and Judaism/Christianity originate in the differentiation between itself and the pagans. We do not worship our God the way the other nations do.

    That J is right in this that The God of Abraham is the originator of all things without trying to explain how different phenomena exist or work. This isn’t a Greek myth on the origins of spiders.

    But here we are back to the rationalist saying why religion is wrong from a scientific perspective. So… were we trying to disprove my point?

    HC,

    The only scientific THEORY that exists that i think outright contradicts Genesis is specie evolution. Something we’ve gone around about with the “agnostics” multiple times.

    • #85
  26. Bill Berg Coolidge
    Bill Berg
    @Bill Berg

    @stephan

    Henry Racette (View Comment):

    Steven Seward (View Comment):

    Arahant (View Comment):

    There are no scientific “conclusions.” There are only hypotheses. If a hypothesis seems to fit reality, it becomes a theory. “Theory” means “this is the best understanding we have at the moment pending further study and data.” Theory does not mean fact, and theory is not conclusive.

    It seems to me that this should be the ideal, but I wonder how many scientists actually follow this philosophy. I know some Global Warming (ahem…..Climate Change) scientists and advocates who are pretty sure that they’ve figured out things with absolute certainty.

    Steven, it has occurred to me that Scientific Theology (to coin a term) and Climate Change have in common a tendency to explain everything they observe as evidence of the correctness of their claims. They’re a sort of universal cause. So more (or less) rain is proof of climate change; hotter (or colder) weather is proof of climate change; hurricanes (or no hurricanes) are proof of climate change; etc.

    Something similar goes on when Scientific Theology people make the rather extravagant claim that the universe is just what one would expect if a God of the Judeo-Christian model had created it. That sounds nice, but it doesn’t begin to make sense. It is, however, irrefutable, so long as God remains loosely defined and wholly unconstrained.

    Django (View Comment):
    You misunderstand. That was not my point, anyway.

    Ah. My apologies. I am not heavily invested in the idea that all matter was condensed to a pinpoint. It might have been far larger. Or not; I don’t know and I’m happy to let the physicists hash it out, if they can. Or perhaps Penrose is closer to the mark and there never was/never will be a spatial singularity per se, but rather an infinite progression of spatially finite universes. Whatever the case, the cosmic background and truly large-scale structures (galactic filaments and voids) strongly suggests a time of rapid expansion from a (relatively) small size into something much larger — though still far smaller than what we see today.

    Steven Seward (View Comment):
    I tend to wallow in the “agnostic” camp on the existence of God.

    As do I. I am not an atheist because I am not a man of faith.

     

    @stevenseward “As do I. I am not an atheist because I am not a man of faith” 

    I’ve found my peace with others by realizing that we are all “people of faith” … it is just part of our human condition finding “ourselves” (as Descartes showed we can’t even “prove” exist) apparently in a universe which we also are FAR from understanding. I see that as being as close to “irrefutable” as we poor humans can get, and a major help in being tolerant of nearly any worldview. https://beingbeliefbehavior.blogspot.com/2021/02/moral-believing-animals-pass-2.html

     

    • #86
  27. Henry Racette Member
    Henry Racette
    @HenryRacette

    Incidentally, though this is irrelevant to anything I’ve argued here, I want to mention it because I don’t want people to think that I’m hostile to either faith or science.

    I like religion. I’m agnostic simply because I have seen no persuasive evidence and have had no personal revelatory experience, and so don’t feel that I have a reason to believe in the supernatural. I know people who claim to have had personal revelatory experiences and, while I may be skeptical that they correctly interpret their experience, I nonetheless am completely sympathetic to the faith they feel. Similarly, I know a great many people who don’t seem to be bound by the evidentiary standards that constrain me, and who are happily firm in their beliefs.

    Believers and agnostics are fine with me, as long as they’re generally pleasant. Even atheists, if they haven’t thought of it too much, are  okay — again, if they aren’t jerks about it. The one group I find most annoying are the scientific atheists, the ones who should know better than to mix the natural and the supernatural but who do it anyway. They seem both hypocritical and bullying to me.

    I’ve often heard people say “I’m spiritual, but not religious.” I’m a bit the opposite, religious but not spiritual. That is, I like religion, think it’s broadly speaking good for us, and would like it to remain popular in our culture. That’s especially, perhaps uniquely, true of the Judeo-Christian traditions; I don’t care for Islam, because I think it’s culturally inferior to our western religious traditions.

    Anyway.

    • #87
  28. J Climacus Member
    J Climacus
    @JClimacus

    I agree with the overall critique of this post, and think that the attempt to prove the existence of God through science is conceptually mistaken. It puts the cart before the horse and so will be vulnerable to the sorts of criticisms Henry puts forward.

    Where I differ with Henry is that I think the existence of God can be established through philosophy, but the way isn’t by conceding that the world might be just what it is (i.e. one where rational creatures like us can come to a scientific knowledge of the universe) if God didn’t exist. That’s essentially what the “God hypothesis” does, and treats God as contingent on the empirical structure of nature, rather than as the necessary foundation for being and nature itself.

    It’s rather like trying to prove the existence of scientists through science. As soon as “science” is posited, scientists are posited, since science is an activity of scientists. To the extent the existence of scientists is in doubt, science itself is in doubt. Science establishes the existence of scientists, but not as a contingent consequence of scientific deduction, but as a necessary precondition of science.

    Or it’s like trying to prove the existence of Francis Ford Coppola from the particulars of the film The Godfather. I imagine a book “The Director’s Hypothesis”, that argues that The Godfather must have had a director and producer because too many elements in the film come together so well, that they couldn’t be by chance. We would scratch our heads and think that misses the point: The film wouldn’t exist at all without a director and producer. The particulars of the film have nothing to do with it, and thinking that way misunderstands the relationship between the director and the film.

    Same with God. We can either reason from the metaphysical structure of reality to God, or we can’t. If we can’t, no proof of God is possible in principle. A scientific argument from contingent facts of the universe will never get you there.

    • #88
  29. Keith Lowery Coolidge
    Keith Lowery
    @keithlowery

    Because in order for his statistical arguments of improbability to carry any weight, it’s necessary that the sample space not include an infinite number of instances. This is true because in an infinite number of universes everything that is statistically possible, however statistically improbable, will still happen – in fact, will happen an infinite number of times.

    @henryracette

    This is a really nicely done review. It was a huge effort I’m sure. Thanks for taking the time. I have Meyer’s book and I have started but never finished it because it is actually more than I really want to read on the topic.

    I agree with you that probability is central to his argument and conclusions. What I’m trying to figure out is what you yourself believe in writing the statement quoted above. Are you taking it as axiomatic that there are infinite universes and therefore his argument from probability is moot? As I’m sure you know, the assertion that there are, or have been, infinite universes is not, actually, a scientific statement but a conjecture that cannot be tested. So is this something you believe to be so significant that it truly blunts Meyer’s argument from probability? Or are you merely stating this in an effort to touch base with all the available possibilities? I think Meyer’s argument fits very well with what can actually be known about the universe we actually inhabit. I also think it’s possible to imagine any number of alternative universes where Meyer’s argument doesn’t work. But such imaginings are not, I’m afraid, responsive to Meyer’s argument.  I’m sincerely just wondering what you intend here, and how you would weigh the above quotation as contributing to your overall point of view.

    • #89
  30. BDB Inactive
    BDB
    @BDB

    As the infinity or singularity of universes can be neither proven nor disproven, it should neither be used as support nor as refutation.
    This is where Meyer errs in that regard.

    • #90
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