Will Chris Christie Run? Two Little-Noticed Pieces of News
Earlier this week I noted a strange blip in the betting markets: Whereas a week ago they suggested that the probability that Christie would run is 8%, on Monday that probability jumped to 35%. In the meantime Christie has issued more denials that he will run for president.
Unsurprisingly, the probability has dropped in response. But it's only dropped to about 13%. Despite the new denials, the probability is about one and a half times larger than it was a week ago. How come?
One answer may come from this article in nj.com (a web site for a consortium of New Jersey newspapers). It notes that a group of Christie supporters, as part of a $1.5 million campaign, have produced a polished television ad touting Christie's achievements in New Jersey. If the purpose of the ad is to help Christie's reelection bid for N.J. governor, this is a little strange. Christie's term does not end until 2013.
Another piece of news came from the appearance below at Rider University. (Hat tip: Richard Lederer of Lederer and Associates of Long Beach, Ca.)
Pay special attention to the part between 38:40 and 41:00. Christie suggests that the reason people are asking him to run is not because of his looks. Instead, he suggests, it's the solutions he offers to solve our country's problems. He suggests that none of the the current candidates, are proposing those solutions--at least not yet. And he seems to emphasize the word "yet." One could perhaps infer that he'd consider running if the candidates continue not to propose the solutions that he favors.
- Comment (11)
- · Quote
- · UnfollowFollow (0)
Comments :
Re: Will Chris Christie Run? Two Little-Noticed Pieces of News
Mitch Daniels has explained in a straightforward fashion that his family doesn't want him to runso he won't. Door closed.
Paul Ryan told me here at the Hoover Institution yesterday that his children are 6, 8 and nine, and that "I don't want to wake up one morning in some hotel in Manchester, New Hampshire crying into my pillow because I haven't seen my children in two weeks." Door closed.
Chris Christie? I looked at the section to which you directed us, Tim. What I believe I saw--and, I confess, what I very much hope I saw--was a door that has been left intentionally ajar.
Edited on Sep 28, 2011 at 7:49pmDec '10
Re: Will Chris Christie Run? Two Little-Noticed Pieces of News
Isn't that the same door Sarah Palin left open? She's said that she would only run if no "common-sense conservative" stepped forward to fight for the solutions she favors.
Mar '11
Re: Will Chris Christie Run? Two Little-Noticed Pieces of News
Toying with the possibility may tantalize Governor Christie unless he is a fool far greater than he appears; he is too savvy to follow ego and jump into a doomed campaign. The battering Governor Perry is receiving should be instructive, the Governor of New Jersey should be well aware he has a truckload of positions that exposed to a presidential campaign would doom him with primary voters and deservedly so.
Yet... who knows? Competition is the true crucible, we shall see.
Apr '11
Re: Will Chris Christie Run? Two Little-Noticed Pieces of News
Sarah Palin couldn't beat either Romney or Perry the more she has to actually put forth her own ideas the less appealing she becomes. It is easier to be a pundit than a candidate and a candidate than an elected politician. She quit being a politician after a year and a half. She makes a good cheer leader, she should just stay there.
Frankly I think if Governor Christie is just half of what he appears to be he will roll over every objection that is thrown at him. What we need from a candidate is not some one to tell us the things we like to hear or one that agrees with us on everything. We need a candidate that can govern. Hell I'd take a democrat that I know can govern over what we have now in office and over the people that a running on the republican side.
When the ship is sinking you want the captain that can get you to shore not the one that knows the bible by heart.
IF he runs I will actually feel like donating money to a candidate for once.
RUN! RUN! RUN! Christie RUN!
Mar '11
Re: Will Chris Christie Run? Two Little-Noticed Pieces of News
Which part of no don't you understand?
Jun '11
Re: Will Chris Christie Run? Two Little-Noticed Pieces of News
Paul Ryan told me here at the Hoover Institution yesterday that his children are 6, 8 and nine, and that "I don't want to wake up one morning in some hotel in Manchester, New Hampshire crying into my pillow because I haven't seen my children in two weeks." Door closed. I like Paul Ryan as much as a good conservative is supposed to, but I don't get this crying thing. All responsible men have to do hard things in their lives from time to time. It's not as if running for president is going to combat. Then he really wouldn't see his kids. This pillow crying deal really makes me wonder about the guy.
Sep '10
Re: Will Chris Christie Run? Two Little-Noticed Pieces of News
I may be reading too much into the comparative body language, but it sure looks to me like Christie is thinking of running.
Oct '10
Re: Will Chris Christie Run? Two Little-Noticed Pieces of News
I have nothing but respect for the gentleman from Wisconsin. However, after reading this, I can think of nothing except the men and women who serve overseas with families back here state-side. And the poignant quote from a serviceman from the /UncK with Junger along the lines of "You don't have the luxury of being tired." Ryan himself has said the country his children will inherit will not be the one he received and so we don't have the luxury of time to wait for leadership, we needed it yesterday.
May '10
Re: Will Chris Christie Run? Two Little-Noticed Pieces of News
When I saw Palin interviewed on Greta the other day, I stopped hoping she'd run. Her off the cuff speaking is just far, far too weak.
Mark Levin fan that I am, I had dreaded a Christie run. He seemed too much the squishy establishment type. But his appearance at the Reagan library changed my mind. He may well be our best hope of a consensus candidate. He's far more instinctively conservative than Romney. He comes across as more serious, substantive and capable than Perry or Bachmann. And he's great off the cuff. Human, natural, funny, unafraid.
A Christie/Cain ticket might be just what we need to save the day.
Edited on Sep 29, 2011 at 8:56amMay '10
Re: Will Chris Christie Run? Two Little-Noticed Pieces of News
For all his vaunted tough-guy image, Christie's warmth and humanity came through loud and clear the other night. Besides his self-deprecating humor, how often did he say, with total believability, "In my heart..."? (Can we even imagine Ron Paul discussing what's in his heart--like it's normal and okay?)
I liked it a lot.
May '10
Re: Will Chris Christie Run? Two Little-Noticed Pieces of News
Does anybody doubt, if Christie were our nominee, that he would smother Obama in the general? It wouldn't even be fair.
Beyond his charisma, his executive bearing, his willingness to tackle the singular issue of our day--just putting New Jersey into the toss-up column would put the Obama campaign book in the shredder.