Troy Senik, Call Your Office, or, Hey, This Newt Thing's Getting Serious
From Public Policy Polling:
Gingrich takes the lead
Newt Gingrich has taken the lead in PPP's national polling. He's at 28% to 25% for Herman Cain and 18% for Mitt Romney. The rest of the Republican field is increasingly looking like a bunch of also rans: Rick Perry is at 6%, Michele Bachmann and Ron Paul at 5%, Jon Huntsman at 3%, and Gary Johnson and Rick Santorum each at 1%.
In re which, a few questions for Ricochet's own Troy Senik:
1) When a couple of weeks ago you began predicting a Gingrich boomlet, did you expect this? That Newt might actually take the lead?
2) You know the man well. Do you find that you yourself are now moved to support him?
3) I'm starting to suppose that Gingrich could actually win the nomination. My reasoning, basically, is that there's nothing but upside for Gingrich because everybody already knows all the downsides. He divorced two previous wives in ways that nearly everyone agrees proved ugly--and about which he himself now expresses remorse. Either voters forgive him or they don't, but there aren't going to be any surprises there. His personality? Mercurial, prickly, often vain, hard on staff. But again, everybody already knows that about Gingrich. Either voters will decide that his qualities as a leader make it worth putting up with his deficiencies as a human being--and all of us can name some prickly, unpleasant leaders we're nevertheless happy God put on earth, including, for example, George S. Patton--or they won't. But nobody's going to be surprised.
Unlike Rick Perry and Herman Cain, if Newt Gingrich rises, he's unlikely to fall.
Does that reasoning strike you as sound, Troy?