There's a Bright Golden Haze on the Meadow
Paules drew my attention to the new Battleground Poll, which Bruce Walker discusses this morning in the American Thinker:
The latest Battleground Poll, the last before the midterm election, has just been released. It has good news for Republicans. By a margin of 48% to 42%, respondents favor Republican congressional candidates over Democrat congressional candidates. Even better, voters now view the two major parties differently: 50% of respondents view the Republican Party favorably, compared to 41% who view it unfavorably; 50% of respondents now view the Democrat Party unfavorably, compared to 42% who view it favorably. Better still, against a generic Republican candidate, President Obama now loses in 2012 by 48% to 42%.
It still bothers me, a lot, that even now--even now!--New York remains utterly in thrall to the Other Side, while here in California both Jerry Brown and Barbara Boxer appear to be consolidating their leads over Meg Whitman and Carly Fiorina. Between them, those two states account for 15 percent of the population, and--well, all right. I'll delay that discussion for another day.
Today?
Rejoice.
- Comment (16)
- · Quote
- · UnfollowFollow (1)
Comments :
May '10
Re: There's a Bright Golden Haze on the Meadow
Sorry, Peter: It's hard to rejoice at the prospect of living under the 24/7 public employee union party that will be the second Governor Moonbeam administration, or spending six more years being embarrassed by call-me-Senator Barbara Boxer. I fear the only cure for my gloom is to follow the millions of productive citizens who have already fled the Golden State of decline.
May '10
Re: There's a Bright Golden Haze on the Meadow
Rogers and Hammerstein and Robinson?
May '10
Re: There's a Bright Golden Haze on the Meadow
Daniel, let me regale you with stories of life in the Carolinas and Georgia (especially if you run a business you are willing to move...).
Oct '10
Re: There's a Bright Golden Haze on the Meadow
There's a hint of the dew on the lawn
The thought of a "Governor Moonbeam"
Would make me think about moving if I were'nt already gone.
Edited on Oct 26, 2010 at 11:03amSep '10
Re: There's a Bright Golden Haze on the Meadow
As for NY and CA: Do you think a Rubio with a Rubio message could win in either or both of these states? I think yes. In these states I view the problem as no Rubio message and no Rubio candidate. I know nothing about polls and polling, but I sense that people are fed up with Washington and expressing this by voting for the GOP. I do not see any meaningful pro-GOP sentiment. What will be the mood be in 2012? Who knows; but I doubt any poll can give much insight at this point.
Aug '10
Re: There's a Bright Golden Haze on the Meadow
It's tough, I know, this nail biter election; but it's all going according to the time-tested pattern and formula. For example: In early November of 1980, just days before the Carter/Reagan vote, the polls showed Carter pulling even to Reagan, within the margin of error. But from Sunday to Tuesday, it broke big for Reagan. The final tally was 452 to 45 electoral votes.
People lie to pollsters, knowingly or unknowingly, and in significant numbers. When there's rampant discontent and anger, the close contests always break for the challenger and away from the incumbent - according to Rasmussen, Dick Morris, and others. These next few days are huge, and many "undecideds" will decide in our favor.
In California there could be some surprises. In this 1982 video, Jerry Brown admits his "I have a plan for California!" statements - and political promises generally - are all bull manure. Here's the link:
http://www.breitbart.tv/jerry-brown-on-his-first-stint-as-governor-its-all-a-lie-i-didnt-have-a-plan-for-california/
Note: Virginia is a marvelous state to live in!
Edited on Oct 26, 2010 at 10:39amMay '10
Re: There's a Bright Golden Haze on the Meadow
Actually, I'm thinking of finding a nice, business-friendly city in the South where I can make my next career move, setting up and operating a portrait photography studio. (I'm currently in high tech and online product management/marketing, and darn good at it, but if you're over 40 you can forget about finding a job doing that stuff, particularly in Silicon Valley.) I've been thinking about Nashville, because it's a good-sized market and I could probably do some band photography as well, but I'm open to other possibilities.
So regale away!
Jun '10
Re: There's a Bright Golden Haze on the Meadow
Let's see, you have an economy and state budget on life support, and you are on the verge of rehiring Governor Moonbeam, one of the prime architects of the current problem.
There may be a "bright golden haze on the meadow" in the rest of the country, but in California I'd call it fog (a very thick fog).
Re: There's a Bright Golden Haze on the Meadow
Two things to think about. First, Meg Whitman may be doomed; Carly Fiorina is not. You can ignore the LA Times/USC poll. They have grossly oversampled Democrats -- assuming that their turnout this time will make them a larger percentage of the electorate than in 2008. You should look at Rasmussen -- where she is four points behind -- and then consider the enthusiasm gap as measured in the Gallup poll. This race will come down to the wire, and my bet is that Carly wins.
On the state level, however, you are doomed, as are the folks in New York. But that is good news. Neither state can muddle through; both must have an electoral revolution; and the prerequisite for that is one-party rule so that those truly responsible for the mess are treated as such in the next cycle.
Jul '10
Re: There's a Bright Golden Haze on the Meadow
Paul A. Rahe
They have grossly oversampled Democrats -- assuming that their turnout this time will make them a larger percentage of the electorate than in 2008.
Apart from the oversampling issue, in this election cycle, is there a bigger than usual reluctance on the part of non-Democratic voting individuals to participate in polls? If so, that would, presumably, work in the favour of GOP but is that indeed a big deal?
Peter Robinson: Today?
Rejoice. ·
I can't. Reading stories, on Drudge and other sites, like "I went to vote and Harry Reid's name was already checked," "North Carolina: I voted Republican and machine checked Democrat," makes me very, very nervous. Or am I just paranoid?
Edited on Oct 26, 2010 at 12:07pmAug '10
Re: There's a Bright Golden Haze on the Meadow
I certainly feel your pain, Peter. The great state of Minnesota may be on the verge of electing Mark Dayton as it's next governor. Dayton is every bit as flaky as Brown and probably even more Marxist. He wants to soak the rich - which he defines as anyone making over $100k - and is completely owned by the education racket.
In the last cycle we elected a senator every bit as embarrassing as Boxer - Al Frankin. The only reason we aren't bankrupt like CA is because we have had the luxury of a Republican governor the past 8 years who has vetoed every tax and spending increase in sight.
So there you go; Minnesota - the California of the Midwest!
May '10
Re: There's a Bright Golden Haze on the Meadow
My friend & I were discussing this last night. We are both from blue states that still have pulses, New Jersey & Pennsylvania respectively and can't imagine how it would feel to be in New York, California, Maryland or Minnesota. And Vermont. If there was ever a year to take out Patrick Leahy, this would have been it and he would be among my top 10 of the most deserving. What are we to make of these states? I'm not sure that different candidates would've have mattered. What does this mean down the line for these states?
Jul '10
Re: There's a Bright Golden Haze on the Meadow
Regarding New York...don't forget, the state elected George Pataki and the city elected Michael Bloomberg three times each. Cuomo had the full backing of the Democratic machine on his side, and there wasn't really a serious Republican in the field. Lazio would not likely have faired better than Paladino has, though one has to assume after 2000 he'd be a little less gaffe-prone. I'm convinced that the more time people spend with Andrew Cuomo, the more they remember how much they dislike him. Four years from now, the right Republican could easily come as close as Meg Whitman is coming in California. I'm not sure yet who exactly that person might be...but I believe they're out there somewhere. Maybe it's even Bloomberg, though I think his sights are set a little higher and a little sooner.
Aug '10
Re: There's a Bright Golden Haze on the Meadow
One of the problems we have in Minnesota is we keep having these liberal Republicans run as independents and they tend to bleed off votes from the Republican nominee. This time around it's a guy named Tom Horner who's polling around 13-15%, most of that support coming at the expense of Tom Emmer the real Republican. Horner's got the endorsement of several RINOs including former governor Arnie Carlson, who's in the RINO Hall of Fame incidentally.
It's all very maddening to us conservative suburbanites...
May '10
Re: There's a Bright Golden Haze on the Meadow
Daniel Frank Actually, I'm thinking of finding a nice, business-friendly city in the South where I can make my next career move, setting up and operating a portrait photography studio. (I'm currently in high tech and online product management/marketing, and darn good at it, but if you're over 40 you can forget about finding a job doing that stuff, particularly in Silicon Valley.) I've been thinking about Nashville, because it's a good-sized market and I could probably do some band photography as well, but I'm open to other possibilities.
So regale away! · Oct 26 at 11:08am
I can't argue with Nashville. You may also want to consider Raleigh - strong educational options and a thriving tech sector. Charlotte has a favorable housing market now for buyers. A photographer can also do much worse than Charleston, SC, although SC's tax "structure" can be tough at times.
Jul '10
Re: There's a Bright Golden Haze on the Meadow
I'm sorry, but, does anyone tell pollsters the truth?
The tortured slants on the questions, the dishonest presentations of the answers, the naked agendas wrapped in bogus flaming holocaust cloaks of objectivity. At a convention this year there was a panelist from the media who expressed shock and outrage when an audience member casually mentioned lying to a pollster. Apparently it is our civic duty to provide only honest answers to these virtuous pulse takers of our great democracy.
From the audience, I asked for a show of hands from those that have no compunctions about lying to pollsters and, under the whithering glare of the fourth estate, about a third raised their hands. She quickly changed the topic to the safe ground of AGW.
It was a Heinlein panel where the audience knew far more than the panelists on Heinlein, and the panelists hijacked the topic every which way after some initial humiliations.
Personally, I think the pollsters get off easy. Revenuers are another matter.