The Ricochet Midterm Pool
Get in on this! The winner gets...something. Not sure what, yet. An Amazon gift card, an appearance on the podcast...something cool.
Here's how we'll do it:
You correctly pick the number of House and Senate GOP gains, as of 11PM Pacific Time, November 3rd. That's the day after, and there will probably still be some recounts going on -- there's gonna be some shenanigans at the polls -- but we've got to pick a time and stick to it.
Tell us:
1. The number of GOP House net pickups;
2. The number of GOP Senate net pickups.
3. Tiebreaker #1: The number of GOP governor pickups.
4. Tiebreaker #2: Steele or Dingell?
5. Tiebreaker #3: Boxer or Fiorina?
6. Tiebreaker #4: The percentage spread between O'Donnell and Coons in Delaware. Not who wins, just the spread!
For background, check out Larry Sabato's thoughtful, measured predictions here. He says House +55, Senate +8, Governors +8-9. (Of course, in the Ricochet pool, there's no "8-9" -- you've got to pick a number....)
We'll call "Last Bets" sometime on Sunday. You can revise and change and argue it out until then. Whatever your last bet is, that's the one we'll count. So, like Chicago politics, bet early and often.
Graphic courtesy of E.J. Hill
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Comments:
Jul '10
Re: The Ricochet Midterm Pool
1. The number of GOP House net pickups 60
2. The number of GOP Senate net pickups 9
3. Tiebreaker #1: The number of GOP governor pickups. 8
4. Tiebreaker #2: Steele or Dingell? Dingell
5. Tiebreaker #3: Boxer or Fiorina? Boxer
6. Tiebreaker #4: The percentage spread between O'Donnell and Coons in Delaware. Not who wins, just the spread! The number is 3
Jun '10
Re: The Ricochet Midterm Pool
1. House 105
2. Senate 9
3. Governors 8
4. Steele
5. Pending/unresolved
6. 3%
Edited on October 28, 2010 at 7:09pmMay '10
Re: The Ricochet Midterm Pool
1. The number of GOP House net pickups 63
2. The number of GOP Senate net pickups 8
3. Tiebreaker #1: The number of GOP governor pickups. 7
4. Tiebreaker #2: Steele or Dingell? Steele
5. Tiebreaker #3: Boxer or Fiorina? Boxer
6. Tiebreaker #4: The percentage spread between O'Donnell and Coons in Delaware. The number is 3.6
Jun '10
Re: The Ricochet Midterm Pool
~Paules: 1. House 105
2. Senate 9
3. Governors 8
4. Steele
5. Pending/unresolved
6. 3% · Oct 28 at 10:06am
Edited on Oct 28 at 10:09 am
That's question 6 @ 3%, not 6.3%
Jul '10
Re: The Ricochet Midterm Pool
1. House + 63
2. Senate pickup will be 6.
3. Plus 7 Governors.
4. Dingell
5. Boxer
6. Coons over O'Donnell by 14
Edited on October 28, 2010 at 7:15pmJul '10
Re: The Ricochet Midterm Pool
Off-topic, but....I see Alan Grayson has raised over $5 million.
What sort of human being contributes money to Grayson?
Shudder.
Re: The Ricochet Midterm Pool
1. House +69
2. Senate +7
3. + 8 governors
4. Steele
5. Boxer
6. 9
Jun '10
Re: The Ricochet Midterm Pool
House: 56 seats
Senate: 8 seats
Governors: 8 seats
Steele/Dingell: Steele. Not a squeaker. Maybe not a comfortable margin, but at least 2-3 percentage points.
Boxer/Fiorina: To my deep, shuddering disappointment, Boxer.
O'Donnell/Coons: 8 point spread.
Sep '10
Re: The Ricochet Midterm Pool
House:78 seats
Senate: 8 seats
Governors: 9 seats
Steele
Boxer
Coons by 8%
Edited on October 28, 2010 at 9:14pmJul '10
Re: The Ricochet Midterm Pool
1) 57
2) 10
3) 9
4) Steele
5) Fiorina
6) 5%
May '10
Re: The Ricochet Midterm Pool
Tell us:
1. The number of GOP House net pickups: 91!
2. The number of GOP Senate net pickups: 11
3. Tiebreaker #1: The number of GOP governor pickups: 9
4. Tiebreaker #2: Steele or Dingell: Steel
5. Tiebreaker #3: Boxer or Fiorina: Fiorina
6. O'Donnell!
Sep '10
Re: The Ricochet Midterm Pool
1. The number of GOP House net pickups: 57
2. The number of GOP Senate net pickups: 8
3. Tiebreaker #1: The number of GOP governor pickups: 8
4. Tiebreaker #2: Steele or Dingell? Steele
5. Tiebreaker #3: Boxer or Fiorina? Boxer
6. Tiebreaker #4: The percentage spread between O'Donnell and Coons: 4.5%
Re: The Ricochet Midterm Pool
Thank you, EJ, for the graphic!
Jun '10
Re: The Ricochet Midterm Pool
1. GOP House net pickups 66
2. The number of GOP Senate net pickups 8
3. Tiebreaker #1: The number of GOP governor pickups. 9
4. Tiebreaker #2: Steele or Dingell? Steele
5. Tiebreaker #3: Boxer or Fiorina? Boxer
6. Tiebreaker #4: The percentage spread between O'Donnell and Coons in Delaware. Not who wins, just the spread! The number is 6
Jun '10
Re: The Ricochet Midterm Pool
Kenneth: Off-topic, but....I see Alan Grayson has raised over $5 million.
What sort of human being contributes money to Grayson?
Shudder. · Oct 28 at 10:17am
Answer: Two groups: Members of the Marquis de Sade Society and the United States Clown Association
Sep '10
Re: The Ricochet Midterm Pool
Kenneth: Off-topic, but....I see Alan Grayson has raised over $5 million.
What sort of human being contributes money to Grayson?
Shudder. · Oct 28 at 10:17am
Anybody who doesn't know that Grayson is the 6th richest member of the House with $31 million in personal funds...
Sep '10
Re: The Ricochet Midterm Pool
1. House: +58
2. Senate: +9 (after significant shenanigans)
3. Governors: +11
4. Steele
5. Fiorina
6. 2%
But I think the important question is: who did we get to model for the diving pool graphic? Frodo? Bilbo Baggins?
Those feet are almost as bad as mine.
Jun '10
Re: The Ricochet Midterm Pool
1. 58
2. 7
3. 8
4.Steele
5.Boxer
6. 2
Re: The Ricochet Midterm Pool
1. The number of GOP House net pickups; +60
2. The number of GOP Senate net pickups. +6
3. Tiebreaker #1: The number of GOP governor pickups. +8
4. Tiebreaker #2: Steele or Dingell? Dingell (I'm a pessimist)
5. Tiebreaker #3: Boxer or Fiorina? Boxer (see above)
6. Tiebreaker #4: The percentage spread between O'Donnell and Coons: 12%
Aug '10
Re: The Ricochet Midterm Pool
1. House: 73
2.Senate: 10
3.Governors: 9
4.Steele
5.Fiorina
6. 5%