...are actually encouraging. From the latest pollster memo:
A quick update: tight CA Governor's race is moving toward Meg Whitman.
As of last night, in two separate tracking polls conducted over the last 72 hours, the race is now tied in one poll and Meg leads by +1 in the other. Among early voters who say they have already cast their ballots, Meg Whitman is leading by 3 points.
Field is a good poll. But it was taken from 10/14 to 10/25 and missed this movement. GOP intensity, seen in early vote returns, is very high.
This is a tight race and while the public polls are down, most were taken a week or more ago. CA trend looking more and more like rest of US, despite blue state status. Brown has been stuck for months around 45%, looks like undecided voters are now moving toward Meg.
These polls also showing Meg's favorable rating rising every night, while Jerry Brown's unfavorable rating now at highest we have ever measured. Meg also leading with older voter and voters projected as most likely to vote.
Both polls reflect a Democratic party advantage of 6-8 points. The 2006 election day exits showed 6 point spread. We believe it might even be closer this year.
Make of this what you will. I'm encouraged by three big metrics: 1) Jerry Brown can't get his numbers above 46%; 2) Whitman's numbers keep growing; and 3) Whitman's up +3% with early voters.
So, it could happen.