Moments after finding the gloomy analysis in the New York Times about which I posted below, I came across this, which suggests we have reason to remain cheerful after all. Writing yesterday, Isaac T. Wood, who has been analyzing House races for Larry Sabato's "Crystal Ball":

As Election Day nears, more of the House election picture comes into focus. While our overall view of the level of Republican gains remains unchanged at +47 seats, we are changing the ratings of many key races as the list of endangered seats, and their relative degrees of vulnerability, becomes clear.

This week we are changing the ratings of 21 House races, all in the direction of the GOP, including 10 seats formerly listed as Toss-Ups that are now leaning into the Republican column.

It may not be time to put them on ice just yet, but make sure you have a bottle or two of champagne on hand.

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Joined
Sep '10
liberal jim

I realize I have a bad case of cynicalitis, but since the stories about increased drone attacks started appearing, I have begun to think that we will have an Oct. surprise. OB has been killed. This will be the only thing that might result in a dramatic shift in the expected outcome

mesquito
Joined
May '10
mesquito

I'm hoping the GOP has a very good national ad campaign ready to roll for the final weeks. I mean, how many people are getting shocking news about their health insurance this month?

Kenneth
Joined
Jul '10
Kenneth

You know, we keep talking as though a GOP majority in the House is a phenomenon in a vacuum.

Do we really expect the Left to simply lie down in submission? Hah!

One by-election does not a Revolution make.


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