There's no official word yet, but Rep. Michele Bachmann has called a 10:00 AM (CST) press conference in Iowa and canceled her South Carolina trip. Gov. Rick Perry says he's returning to Texas to reassess his campaign. Sounds like they're out. As @AriFleischer tweeted, The 6 words Mitt Romney doesn't want 2hear from his opponents: "I today announce I will withdraw..."

Who will their voters go to? How will a Paul-Romney-Huntsman-Gingrich-Santorum race play in New Hampshire? In South Carolina? And beyond? Still seems to me like the large field helps Romney skate to a nomination.

And does the news that Sen. John McCain plans to endorse Romney today sway anyone? In which direction does it sway you?

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Pseudodionysius
Joined
Sep '10
Pseudodionysius

And does the news that Sen. John McCain plans to endorse Romney today sway anyone? In which direction does it sway you?

I muttered something under my breath about the four horsemen of the apocaplypse and then went back to bed.


Joined
Dec '11
Guruforhire

 Makes me less likely to take John McCain seriously in the future.

KC Mulville
Joined
Jan '11
KC Mulville

McCain's endorsement sways, slightly, against Romney. It reinforces the notion that when the going gets tough, our guy will panic, and will abandon whatever conservative principles he was touting pre-crisis.The same could be said for both Romney and McCain.

Franco
Joined
Sep '10
Franco

Romney is pushing me away almost on a daily basis. John McCain's endorsement is no surprise, of course, but which Romney is he endorsing? 

K T Cat
Joined
Sep '10
K T Cat

Sounds like the race is down to four people - Romney, Paul, Santorum and Gingrich.  Mitt has to hope that Newt and Rick split the wins across the South.  He's also going to face some withering fire in the next debate from a fully armed and operational BattleNewt.  That's going to be worth watching right there.  It will be interesting to see how Mitt's subroutines respond to those inputs.

TucsonSean
Joined
Jun '10
TucsonSean

Less likely to support anyone endorsed by McCain.


Joined
Dec '11
Guruforhire
K T Cat: Sounds like the race is down to four people - Romney, Paul, Santorum and Gingrich.  Mitt has to hope that Newt and Rick split the wins across the South.  He's also going to face some withering fire in the next debate from a fully armed and operational BattleNewt.  That's going to be worth watching right there.  It will be interesting to see how Mitt's subroutines respond to those inputs. · Jan 4 at 6:18am

Probably break down and cry like he almost did with Bret Baier.

Mel Foil
Joined
Jun '10
etoiledunord

It sounds like Gingrich's new goal, as his star falls, is taking Romney down with him. If that lets Santorum concentrate on the positive, then Santorum might be on his way to victory. We'll also see if Romney can run as well against three opponents, rather than six. Does Mitt have a ceiling of support? It's going to be interesting.

DrewInWisconsin
Joined
Aug '11
DrewInWisconsin
K T Cat:  He's also going to face some withering fire in the next debate from a fully armed and operational BattleNewt. 

I see what you did there.

DrewInWisconsin
Joined
Aug '11
DrewInWisconsin
etoiledunord: Does Mitt have a ceiling of support?

After campaigning for four years straight he can't get above 25%, so I think your question is answered with a strong positive.

Duane Oyen
Joined
May '10
Duane Oyen

Lots of wishful thinking here.  

1) Anyone who seriously believes that Santorum is a national candidate needs to go back and polish Bachmann's toenails.  I'd bet that Karen Santorum isn't so deluded.

2) Yes, Gingrich will try to play nuke for a while, one more clear and convincing piece of evidence of his juvenile narcissism.  After he recognizes that it gives him no traction (he is the only person alive who seriously believes that it could), he will suddenly stop, realize that he is destroying his chances to be invited anywhere in Republican circles again, and he will then claim that he never played nuke.  Which is exactly what Mark Steyn was trying to explain to all the ABR's during the Newt Boomlet.

Pilli
Joined
May '11
Pilli

Why would McCain's endorsement mean anything?  He is making this endorsement to call attention to himself not to help anyone.

Fricosis Guy
Joined
Jun '11
Fricosis Guy

Four points:

  1. Romney ignored Iowa from 2008 to 2012, then swept in at the last minute and won.  Nice bit of risk-taking.
  2. MittBot2008 didn't have such cojones.  Apparently MittBot2012 doesn't have the MilquetoastMitt Module enabled.
  3. BattleNewt may be fully armed and operational, but he still relies too much on his WhingeWeapon.
  4. I hate the McCain endorsement, for I fear MittBot2012 will catch the "Don'tAttackObama" virus from him.
Paul A. Rahe

McCain's endorsement means only one thing -- that Romney will get his vote when the time comes for Arizona to make its choice.

I am not inclined to think that Santorum has legs. But, then, I never expected him to surge in Iowa either. He is the latest Not-Romney, and, with Bachmann and Perry out, he will get a shot. I would not be surprised if he were to take South Carolina.

The real question is whether he can put together a proper campaign. He did Iowa on a shoestring -- which is possible. Now everything accelerates, and he will have trouble keeping up.

raycon
Joined
Oct '10
raycon

Feh!

Franco
Joined
Sep '10
Franco

Romney is taking precisely the wrong approach against Obama. First, contrary to his proclamations, Romney is attacking Obama personally. He is saying that Obama is incompetent and "in over his head". This is white-boy Mitt's way of being "nice" and I suppose he believes it won't be construed as racism. Here we have Obama, a graduate of Columbia and Harvard, by all accounts intelligent, yet he is somehow in "over his head". And the charge is coming from a one-term Governor born into privilege, who has failed repeatedly to win nominations or elections.

It isn't that Obama is incompetent. It's where Obama wants to take this country. He has already succeeded in putting in place poisonous legislation it will take decades to undo. If that isn't the main issue - if this distinction isn't made by our nominee Obama will win again.  

Since Romney avoids ideology and vision and just rattles off his resume and more platitudes while trying to be inoffensive and likable, he is exactly the worst candidate to go against Obama. 

Douglas
Joined
Mar '11
Douglas

With the exception of a couple of western states, Paul's done. Iowa was his one shot and he blew it. The big question now is where does the Not-Romney money go? With Perry out, that question is huge. It's going to go either to Gingrich or Santorum. No question Santorum has the mojo right now, and as long as Santorum and/or Gingrich haven't dropped out, Romney has no shot at primaries below the Mason-Dixon line with the exception of two states... VA and FL. And even in Florida, it'll be tough for Romney to win. If all that money flows to Santorum, watch out. He'd do well in the South, where a solid socialcon message is essential to winning.

K T Cat
Joined
Sep '10
K T Cat
Paul A. Rahe: ... The real question is whether he (Santorum) can put together a proper campaign. He did Iowa on a shoestring -- which is possible. Now everything accelerates, and he will have trouble keeping up. · Jan 4 at 7:32am

What does "real campaign" even mean any more?  Does the Internet dilute the need for a retail campaign to the point where you can do reasonably well without it?  In my circles, the Internet plus some opinion-maker friends makes the difference.  That is, when we hang out and talk politics, it's the folks who have done their homework and have a strong position that win the day in the discussion and retail campaigning is a distant third or fourth.

Frozen Chosen
Joined
Aug '10
Frozen Chosen

For one thing Michelle Bachmann doesn't have any voters left so when she drops out it won't matter.  Perry has a few supporters but not enough to make up for a lack of organization on Santorum's part.

The Mccain endorsement was a done deal in 2008 when Mitt dropped out and threw his support to Mccain.  I don't think it moves the needle either way, except maybe in AZ.  What will surprise the ABRs is when Bachmann endorses Romney, whose PAC gave her big bucks for her 2010 race.  She may have her eye on a cabinet post as well.

From 2008-2010 Romney was raising millions of dollars for GOP congressional candidates, which is why he is getting so many endorsements and will continue to do so.  This ain't some ivory tower we're talking about - it's politics and the game has been played by the same rules for a long time.

Newt's angry badger routine will wear thin real soon.  Even in politics, no one likes a whiner!

Edited on Jan 4 at 8:10am
Give Me Liberty
Joined
Mar '11
Give Me Liberty

I could imagine Mitt getting wind of McCain's possible endorsement and calling him to ask him not to help. 


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