Peter Robinson · March 8, 2012 at 7:13pm
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"The longer this goes on, the longer Romney's going to have to sound like a conservative.

"Maybe it'll become a habit."

Comments:



Joined
Dec '11
Guruforhire

I am not optomistic.

James Gawron
Joined
Dec '10
James Gawron

Peter,

Rush is RIGHT.  But you knew that.

I am Rush Limbaugh (I was Sparticus the other day).

Regards,

Jim

ultra vires
Joined
Feb '11
ultra vires

If it tries to look like a duck, and it tries to quack like a duck, etc...

Gus Marvinson
Joined
Mar '11
Gus Marvinson

Heh. Love ya Rush.

Joseph Stanko
Joined
Jun '10
Joseph Stanko

The way to win the GOP primary is to sound like a conservative.

The way to win the general is to sound like a moderate.

The longer this goes on, the more all our candidates will drop in the polls vs. Obama, and the worse our chances get in November.

Severely Ltd.
Joined
Oct '10
Severely Ltd.

'Tis a consummation devoutly to be wished.

(This is the level of discourse Rush expects on Ricochet.)

David Williamson
Joined
Mar '11
David Williamson

Well, yes, but I would prefer someone who lives and breathes conservatism and is, like, you know, an actual conservative - of those remaining in the race, that would be Mr Santorum.

Albert Arthur
Joined
Oct '11
Albert Arthur

Mitt has lived and governed as a conservative.

Sean Clough
Joined
Jan '12
Sean Clough

Joseph Stanko: The way to win the GOP primary is to sound like a conservative.

The way to win the general is to sound like a moderate.

The longer this goes on, the more all our candidates will drop in the polls vs. Obama, and the worse our chances get in November. · 36 minutes ago

The play to the base during the primary and run to the middle in the general theory is the conventional wisdom. However, if that was the case, why did Obama win in 2008?
I think the answer doesn't rely too much on  policy stances, but on marketing those policy stances.  A candidate can have conservative policy positions and market them in a way that moderates will vote for them. 
Romney doesn't need to change his policy issues to the right, he needs to market himself better.  

Troy Senik, Ed.

Sean,

I wonder if we can even analyze the 2008 presidential election through that prism. It seems to me that the only people who really focused on the issues that time around were those of us who were part of the irreconcilable right wing. The left was plenty comfortable with what they had and the folks in the middle -- the ones who decide elections -- were so enraptured by the music that they never stopped to listen to the lyrics.

Give Obama this: while he has utterly failed to create a transcendent presidency, he certainly ran a transcendent campaign the first time around. Happily, that option won't be available to him this time.

Sean Clough

The play to the base during the primary and run to the middle in the general theory is the conventional wisdom. However, if that was the case, why did Obama win in 2008?

Joseph Stanko
Joined
Jun '10
Joseph Stanko

Sean Clough

The play to the base during the primary and run to the middle in the general theory is the conventional wisdom. However, if that was the case, why did Obama win in 2008?

Partly because Obama did a better job of pivoting to the middle after his primary than McCain did.  Obama ran as a moderate.

But the other big reason was that Bush's approval ratings were abysmal, the public was sick of the war in Iraq, and the economy had just tanked with the GOP in charge.  2008 was heavily stacked in the Democrat's favor.

Wylee Coyote
Joined
Jul '10
Wylee Coyote

Oh, don't worry.  The second he gets the nomination he will magically transform into a rabid, foam-flecked right-wing zealot who is far too extreme right-wing to be elected.

It's funny how that always seems to happen.

Terry
Joined
Jun '11
Terry

Joseph Stanko

Sean Clough

The play to the base during the primary and run to the middle in the general theory is the conventional wisdom. However, if that was the case, why did Obama win in 2008?

Partly because Obama did a better job of pivoting to the middle after his primary than McCain did.  Obama ran as a moderate.

But the other big reason was that Bush's approval ratings were abysmal, the public was sick of the war in Iraq, and the economy had just tanked with the GOP in charge.  2008 was heavily stacked in the Democrat's favor. · 11 minutes ago

Don't forget that McCain was seen as soft on illegal immigration-- the main reason Bush had lost support with the base.

James Of England
Joined
Apr '11
James Of England

Joseph Stanko

Sean Clough

The play to the base during the primary and run to the middle in the general theory is the conventional wisdom. However, if that was the case, why did Obama win in 2008?

Partly because Obama did a better job of pivoting to the middle after his primary than McCain did.  Obama ran as a moderate.

But the other big reason was that Bush's approval ratings were abysmal, the public was sick of the war in Iraq, and the economy had just tanked with the GOP in charge.  2008 was heavily stacked in the Democrat's favor. · 5 minutes ago

Even in the primaries, on the single major difference between him and Hillary, as described by him and Hillary, he was on the right. Ironically, Obamacare is Hillary's campaign promise, not Obama's. Obama promised to double exports, and to halve the deficit. If Obama had done that, we'd be having to this election pretty much entirely on social issues and scandals. I think a lot of Biden's "clean, articulate" schtick was about his being non-Jesse-Jackson-scary, too. Sharpton's protestation that he washes every day highlighted the meaning.

James Of England
Joined
Apr '11
James Of England

Joseph Stanko: The way to win the GOP primary is to sound like a conservative.

The way to win the general is to sound like a moderate.

The longer this goes on, the more all our candidates will drop in the polls vs. Obama, and the worse our chances get in November. · 1 hour ago

Don't worry too much about Mitt sounding different. His tax reform aside, there's been very new in the last year. Every now and again he has a good speech, or talks to a friendly Tea Party audience and people think they've moved him to do it, but this is a perpetually recurring phenomenon that will last into November. The problem with the primary is having millions of dollars spent on calling him a liar, but happily we've no swing states being poisoned until May. The only harm Santorum can do until then is depress fundraising and cost money. It won't do much good, but it'll give a lot of the conservative commentariat some good times ("if Mitt can't even win Mississippi, he's done for!"), and a chance to work their way through their  anger and disappointment.

Aaron Miller
Joined
May '10
Aaron Miller

I'm wary of any attempts to learn from the 2008 election. Obama was a unique phenomenon then — the first black President. We can debate whether or not that will be a major factor this time around, but it's obvious his skin color and dissatisfaction with President Bush played much stronger roles in that election than the campaigns of either McCain or Obama.

As for Romney, who cares if he is pressured to defend conservative principles he might or might not actually believe? He talks like a manager at a board meeting. Just give voters pillows and bid them good night.

raycon and lindacon
Joined
Oct '10
raycon

Sounding like a conservative is a nice idea, but never forget that a conservative is one who remembers. 

We remember what has worked in the past, therefor we seek to conserve it.

We remember what has not worked in the past, therefor we seek to oppose it.

Most importantly, we remember what politicians have done, and we do not let emotional approval of words get in the way.

Nice that Willard is talking more like a conservative, but to walk like a duck and quack like a duck is a kindergarteners playground game.

He is either a duck, that is a conservative, or he is playing a game.  And past performance is all we have to go on.

Santorum is less than ideal, but he is, at least, a duck.

Joseph Stanko
Joined
Jun '10
Joseph Stanko

I think we sometimes tend to forget that the Democrats are the majority party in this country.  They have more voters, and they raise more money.  For Republicans to win even 50% of Presidential elections is a major achievement, yet they are 7-4 in recent years.


Joined
Apr '11
wmartin
Joseph Stanko: I think we sometimes tend to forget that the Democrats are the majority party in this country.  They have more voters, and they raise more money.  For Republicans to win even 50% of Presidential elections is a major achievement, yet they are 7-4 in recent years. · 1 hour ago

But have lost the popular vote in four of the last five.

The New Clear Option
Joined
Apr '11
The New Clear Option

What Aaron touches on is actually still in play. It wasn't just Obama's race & Bush fatigue; it was, similarly to now, a very weak, moderate/center-left GOP candidate, with a bone thrown to the base (Sarah) & Obama's marketing machine & branding.

That last part about marketing and branding, coupled with the fact that many who voted for Obama did in fact vote on race, or his candidacy being a chance for folks to be history makers, makes it a truly uphill battle for practically any opponent. Many Obama voters couldn't care less about policy at all.

The GOP, for its part, is practically oblivious, insisting on repeating 2008. In other words, there's still plenty to glean from 2008, not that there's much to be done about the situation at this point.


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