Paul A. Rahe · January 1, 2012 at 11:39pm
RonPaul4

In the Republican Presidential debates, when questions pertinent to economic policy have been put to Ron Paul, I have nearly always thought his answers cogent and well worthy of consideration -- so I have tended to presume that his proposals regarding budgetary policy made some sense. Today, however, I learned otherwise.

In an article on The Weekly Standard website, John McCormack details Paul's proposals regarding entitlements reform, and we learn: he has none. In fact, he is an even fiercer defender of the legacy of the New Deal and the Great Society than Mitt Romney:

All across Iowa this week, Ron Paul, the great libertarian hope, has been promising voters that we'll have plenty of money to protect the crown jewels of the New Deal and the Great Society--Medicare and Social Security--if we simply cut "overseas spending."

“I want to take care of the people who become so dependent on government, even though there would have been a better way to take of them," Paul said at a rally in Des Moines on Wednesday evening. "You take the elderly on Social Security—there was a contract. But we can’t honor that contract if we keep spending this money overseas. So I’m for taking care of those people on Medicaid, Medicare, and anyone on Social Security.”

“Just remember the military budget is different than the defense budget. The military budget is all the weapons the military-industrial complex wants,” Paul said. If we have sound money and a “sensible foreign policy,” he continued, “we don’t have to give up anything. We don’t have to give up our defense.”

“The money we spend overseas should be the easiest money to cut," he explained at a townhall-style meeting earlier Wednesday in Newton. "We’re spending well over a trillion dollars a year—probably about $1.4 trillion to operate all our activities overseas."

Leave aside the obvious fact that if we cut 40% of the military budget and took that sum from the budget for personnel, weapons procurement, and weapons systems development, we would be inviting the Chinese to assert their hegemony in Asia and the Iranians to assert theirs over the Middle East; we would be leaving the Europeans entirely to their own devices (which is never wise); and we would be laying the groundwork for another world war -- one for which we would be almost entirely unprepared. Leave that small matter aside.

There is another problem. As McCormack points out, Paul's numbers do not add up: "The entire annual defense budget, including war spending in Iraq and Afghanistan, is less than $700 billion--not $1.4 trillion as Paul claims. More important, by 2025 Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security, and interest on the debt will consume all federal revenues. In other words, we could eliminate all defense spending and all other federal spending, and we'd still be running a deficit in a little over a decade."

Paul may not be entirely unaware of this problem. He tells us that he wants to have "an adult conversation" about entitlements -- but not right now.

Last week, I laid out the argument for thinking the Congressman from south Texas a scoundrel and a fool, but I underestimated the degree to which he is a fool. In a few days, we will learn what we should think about the Iowans who turn out for the Republican caucuses.

UPDATE: After some reflection, I changed the subtitle from Managerial Progressive to Progressive Utopian. Whatever criticism one may direct at managerial progressives, they are not simply irresponsible. Ron Paul is that -- and much, much worse.

Comments:



Joined
Jul '11
Caleb Taylor

 What a load of bovine scat. Paul has said many times that he would let young people opt out of paying towards entitlements. He plans to end 5 federal departments. Progressive Utopian? Please. Stick to smearing him with cries of racism even though he gets the most support among blacks of the Republican candidates.

The King Prawn
Joined
Dec '10
The King Prawn
Caleb Taylor:  What a load of bovine scat. Paul has said many times that he would let young people opt out of paying towards entitlements. 

And when everyone paying in opts out then what? How does he plan to keep the promises that are so sacrosanct? Oh, that's right, gut the military.

DocJay
Joined
Jul '11
DocJay

I have the feeling that Paul would be stupefied if he actually won and be as lost as the dog that caught the car he'd been chasing down the block for eight years. I do think he would try to cut more than anyone else though. I prefer to think of Paul as an aging semi libertarian with non realistic visions. I also think his devoted followers don't like being dismissed as kooks especially when business as usual brought our country to it's financial knees.


Joined
Jul '11
Caleb Taylor

The King Prawn

Caleb Taylor:  What a load of bovine scat. Paul has said many times that he would let young people opt out of paying towards entitlements. 

And when everyone paying in opts out then what? How does he plan to keep the promises that are so sacrosanct? Oh, that's right, gut the military. · Jan 1 at 8:30pm

If by "gut the military" you mean stop wasting American money and lives so Islamists can vote for city council, then yes.

The King Prawn
Joined
Dec '10
The King Prawn

Caleb Taylor

The King Prawn

Caleb Taylor:  What a load of bovine scat. Paul has said many times that he would let young people opt out of paying towards entitlements. 

And when everyone paying in opts out then what? How does he plan to keep the promises that are so sacrosanct? Oh, that's right, gut the military. · Jan 1 at 8:30pm

If by "gut the military" you mean stop wasting American money and lives so Islamists can vote for city council, then yes. · Jan 1 at 8:42pm

What I mean is that the government must have priorities in spending, and, as defense is the primary function of government, it should be #1.

James Of England
Joined
Apr '11
James Of England
DocJay: Does that fact that Mitt and Newt seem bought and paid for factor in to Paul's popularity. People smell something rotten in Denmark. You can dissect Paul all you want and come up with some pretty negative and valid reasons to dislike some of his policies, nonetheless he is outside of the gang of crooks from a perception standpoint. Our country is sick of insider crooks. I think a Paul presidency would be problematic to say the least but I'm pretty sure it would be less corrupt than the past three. If conservatives want to beat Obama, they need to prove he is more crooked that whoever runs against him. I am curious if I'm the only one who thinks Obama is a Chicago crook.

Bought and paid for by who, how? If Newt becomes President, I feel confident that he will be guided more by his sense of history, sorry, History, than any feasible bribery. When Speaker, he melted for Clinton, but not GE. Although Mitt's History is less groundshaking, I'm not sure how you'd bribe him, either.

James Of England
Joined
Apr '11
James Of England

Michael Labeit

Paul A. Rahe

Yes, the old Progressives -- and Jackson was quite prominent among them -- were good on foreign policy. That is, alas, past.

TR and Wilson also fall under the taxonomy of "old Progressives". You mean to say that they were "good on foreign policy" as well? · 

They were more excitable than I'd like; this is kind of a quintessential part of the Progressive personality. Still, if someone is going to be passionate about morality, I'd prefer them to be passionately moralistic than passionately amoral, which is what surrendering one's responsibilities as a superpower amounts to.  If America doesn't fight the savage wars of peace, no one will; a tragedy of the commons would operate, as it does with most sanctions now. If America gives up its role as global adult, it would give up a significant portion of its character.

America is a nation conceived in liberty, and dedicated to the proposition that all men are created equal. If America does not flinch at the suffering of the unfree, and accepts that there are people, unable to fend for themselves, who should not be cared for, dedication will have lost its meaning.

DocJay
Joined
Jul '11
DocJay

James of England, in spite of Newt's crony capitalist past I agree that he would rise to the challenge and answer History's call. At the current time he has my vote albeit an unsatisfied one. Mitt would not be crooked but I could see him letting a GOP House and Senate( please , Lord, oh please ) get plenty of lobbyist action as happened in the first few years of the Bush presidency and was rampant in Obama's first years. I think Newt would actually give the political establishment quite a colonic and History is waiting for the person to do that. I really haven't seen many of the extraordinarily learned folks here addressing why Paul has popularity beyond cult like analogies. I think his support belies fundamental flaws with the establishment. By the way, thanks for mentioning Jackson. I had to look him up and more knowledge is always pleasant.

Edited on January 2, 2012 at 6:50am
Crow's Nest
Joined
Mar '11
Crow's Nest

I don’t think anyone seriously believes that Ron Paul supports the entitlement state in theory—in this sense, John McCormick’s piece can be read as a bit of a hatchet job because I think John does know that Ron Paul would never have supported building the system we have.

On another level, though, McCormick has done us a service because he has exposed the fact that, unlike what I have heard often asserted, Ron Paul is no more or less serious about pairing back entitlements than many of the other Republicans running in the race or in Congress--he is where the Paul Ryan wing of the GOP is.

Which is to say: he adopts the very premise (that has been lampooned as RINO) that current senior citizens should be isolated from the very necessary changes to the welfare state coming in the next generation because a social contract was made with them has the force of law. One hastens to observe that there is a moral merit to this argument about the force of law and keeping one’s word, but that it also is not unmixed with practical electoral politics.

Crow's Nest
Joined
Mar '11
Crow's Nest

On yet a third level, however, Prof. Rahe is exactly right about Paul being utopian.

Whatever one’s position on the Iraq and Afghan wars, the point is that their cost in dollars—even in addition to the roughly 4% of GDP that we spend on defense—is not what is bankrupting the country.

To paraphrase a point I’ve heard Paul make again and again “we’d have to money to take care of the really important things at home if we weren’t starting all these wars abroad”. The simple truth of the matter is that this assertion is the worst kind of demagoguery. It is as true mathematically as it is politically—which is to say, utterly false. But it plays to a variety of prejudices among a certain voting demographic without seeking to enlarge or refine that perspective.

Crow's Nest
Joined
Mar '11
Crow's Nest

Enlarge and refine. That vaguely reminds me of something. I think it was this eminent progressive’s view of representation and statesmanship:

“the effect of the first difference is, on the one hand, to refine and enlarge the public views by passing them through the medium of a chosen body of citizens, whose wisdom may best discern the true interest of their country and whose patriotism and love of justice will be the least likely to sacrifice it to  a temporal and partial considerations.”

Who was this eminent progressive, you ask, who had such a dour view of the voting public? Who was this grim soul that recognized that voters often had their own interests at heart but often failed to see the common interest, and who argued that public leaders must take seriously the dual role expressed by that traditional Latin term "magistrate"? Who was this oppressor who said that statesman must occasionally weave and harmonize these views by appeals to broader tasks, and therefore recognized in part that voters were not pure oracles of unadulterated wisdom?

James Madison. 

Paul A. Rahe

Michael Labeit

Paul A. Rahe

James Of England:

But, then, I'm a keen supporter of the Henry Jackson Society, and am regularly reminded of the strength and decency of the Cold Warrior Democrat community on those fronts (and less frequently reminded of their awfulness on other fronts).

Yes, the old Progressives -- and Jackson was quite prominent among them -- were good on foreign policy. That is, alas, past.

TR and Wilson also fall under the taxonomy of "old Progressives". You mean to say that they were "good on foreign policy" as well? · Jan 1 at 7:23pm

TR, yes. Wilson, yes and no. Yes, he was right to see the Kaiserreich as a threat. No, he was mad to think that one could fight a war to end all wars.

Paul A. Rahe

Freesmith:

One last thing:

"In a few days, we will learn what we should think about the Iowans who turn out for the Republican caucuses."

On Tuesday the voters of Iowa will tell us what they think about the candidates after a long season of debates, public meetings and advertisements. But for Professor Rahe, this will be not be an election - it will be an event for him to pass judgment on the voters of Iowa.

Now there's a Progressive viewpoint. · Jan 1 at 7:48pm

I will judge the voters of Iowa as I judged those who supported George Wallace back in the 1960s. Ron Paul is a nasty piece of business.

Paul A. Rahe

DocJay: Does that fact that Mitt and Newt seem bought and paid for factor in to Paul's popularity. People smell something rotten in Denmark. You can dissect Paul all you want and come up with some pretty negative and valid reasons to dislike some of his policies, nonetheless he is outside of the gang of crooks from a perception standpoint. Our country is sick of insider crooks. I think a Paul presidency would be problematic to say the least but I'm pretty sure it would be less corrupt than the past three. If conservatives want to beat Obama, they need to prove he is more crooked that whoever runs against him. I am curious if I'm the only one who thinks Obama is a Chicago crook. I am curious if anyone has the guts to try and prove it. · Jan 1 at 8:16pm

Edited on Jan 01 at 08:17 pm

You are largely right. No genuine conservatives of any stature ran this year. Discontent with the administrative entitlements state is at its height -- and there is no one plausible to vote for. Rick Perry might have put a stop to this. Even, perhaps Michele Bachmann.

Paul A. Rahe
DocJay: I have the feeling that Paul would be stupefied if he actually won and be as lost as the dog that caught the car he'd been chasing down the block for eight years. I do think he would try to cut more than anyone else though. I prefer to think of Paul as an aging semi libertarian with non realistic visions. I also think his devoted followers don't like being dismissed as kooks especially when business as usual brought our country to it's financial knees. · Jan 1 at 8:40pm

It is, alas, much uglier than that. He built his base by appealing to resentment against African-Americans, Jews, and the homoerotically inclined. He may not be a bit himself, but he lives off of and nourishes the bigotry of others. His isolationism is perfectly consistent with his xenophobia.

Paul A. Rahe

James Of England

Michael Labeit

Paul A. Rahe

Y

TR and Wilson also fall under the taxonomy of "old Progressives". You mean to say that they were "good on foreign policy" as well? · 

They were more excitable than I'd like; this is kind of a quintessential part of the Progressive personality. Still, if someone is going to be passionate about morality, I'd prefer them to be passionately moralistic than passionately amoral, which is what surrendering one's responsibilities as a superpower amounts to.  If America doesn't fight the savage wars of peace, no one will; a tragedy of the commons would operate, as it does with most sanctions now. If America gives up its role as global adult, it would give up a significant portion of its character.

America is a nation conceived in liberty, and dedicated to the proposition that all men are created equal. If America does not flinch at the suffering of the unfree, and accepts that there are people, unable to fend for themselves, who should not be cared for, dedication will have lost its meaning. · Jan 1 at 9:42pm

Yes, indeed, and both Romney and Gingrich are good in this department.

Paul A. Rahe

Crow's Nest: On yet a third level, however, Prof. Rahe is exactly right about Paul being utopian.

Whatever one’s position on the Iraq and Afghan wars, the point is that their cost in dollars—even in addition to the roughly 4% of GDP that we spend on defense—is not what is bankrupting the country.

To paraphrase a point I’ve heard Paul make again and again “we’d have to money to take care of the really important things at home if we weren’t starting all these wars abroad”. The simple truth of the matter is that this assertion is the worst kind of demagoguery. It is as true mathematically as it is politically—which is to say, utterly false. But it plays to a variety of prejudices among a certain voting demographic without seeking to enlarge or refine that perspective. · Jan 2 at 12:45am

Nicely put.

Paul A. Rahe

Crow's Nest: . . . vaguely reminds me of something. I think it was this eminent progressive’s view of representation and statesmanship:

“the effect of the first difference is, on the one hand, to refine and enlarge the public views by passing them through the medium of a chosen body of citizens, whose wisdom may best discern the true interest of their country and whose patriotism and love of justice will be the least likely to sacrifice it to  a temporal and partial considerations.”

Who was this eminent progressive, you ask, who had such a dour view of the voting public? Who was this grim soul that recognized that voters often had their own interests at heart but often failed to see the common interest, and who argued that public leaders must take seriously the dual role expressed by that traditional Latin term "magistrate"? Who was this oppressor who said that statesman must occasionally weave and harmonize these views by appeals to broader tasks, and therefore recognized in part that voters were not pure oracles of unadulterated wisdom?

James Madison.  · Jan 2 at 12:47am

Madison was no Progressive. He believed that it was the people's representatives who should rule.

Crow's Nest
Joined
Mar '11
Crow's Nest

Madison was no Progressive. He believed that it was the people's representatives who should rule.

One of the disadvantages of the internet is that on occasion the tone that indicates very clear sarcasm is lost, despite one's efforts at snark.

Madison was surely no Progressive--their views on nature, history, man, and the state are utterly in opposition to his. 

The reason for this post was the charge, issued earlier by another poster, that you had adopted progressive views because of the implications of your statement re: Iowans and the caucus. I was attempting to suggest that this wasn't a progressive view.

Madison's view on representation is no doubt that the people's representatives should rule, but his view is very much opposed to the anti-federalist perspective that suggested that proportional representation by class and interest was the only proper answer to the question. Madison didn't think a plumber should represent a plumber and a baker should represent a baker. He surely agreed with Jefferson and Adams about the most efficient election of the best men to office by the free will of their fellow citizens acting. 

Todd
Joined
Oct '10
Todd

The McCormick piece is a hatchet job. Paul wants to end all entitlements.  His reform is to allow younger people to opt out of the system. 


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