Romney's Back Up In Florida
According to Rasmussen Reports:
Mitt Romney has jumped back ahead in the fevered Florida Republican Primary race with his support back to where it was before Newt Gingrich’s big win Saturday in South Carolina.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Florida Republican Primary Voters, taken Wednesday night, shows Romney with 39% support to Gingrich’s 31%. Former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum earns 12%, and Texas Congressman Ron Paul runs last with nine percent (9%). Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.
If Romney wins Florida, that would make it much less likely that we see a late entrant. Meanwhile, Politico says it's the Tea Party vs. the Cocktail Party down in Florida:
Exit poll data and unmistakable anecdotal evidence from their events reflects an unfolding campaign in which Romney does best with voters that are a lot like him — wealthy, well-educated and lukewarm about the populist tea party movement. Gingrich is appealing most to Republicans who earn under six figures, make up the core of the middle-class and are worried about their economic prospects and furious at the establishment.
Five days to go before voting, which if this primary season has taught us anything, is an eternity. Anything can happen.
- Comment (36)
- · Quote
- · UnfollowFollow (1)
- Pages:
- 1
- 2
- Pages:
- 1
- 2
Comments :
Nov '11
Re: Romney's Back Up In Florida
The debate will be a nail-biter.
Dec '10
Re: Romney's Back Up In Florida
Yep. And just when I was getting tired of the debates....
Jan '11
Re: Romney's Back Up In Florida
If Newt doesn't dominate this debate, I think Romney wins Florida easily. At this point, though, I think the media is interested in supporting Gingrich and spinning everything his way in order to keep this thing drawn out. So even if Newt doesn't dominate, my guess is that the media gives him a lot of positive buzz.
Jun '10
Re: Romney's Back Up In Florida
In addition to Rasmussen (39-31), Insider Advantage has Romney up 40 to 32.
On electability, Quinnipiac shows Romney and Obama in a dead heat (45-45) in a head-to-head contest in Florida, while Obama leads Gingrich 50-39. Suffolk shows Romney ahead of Obama by five points (47-42) in Florida, while Gingrish loses by nine in a head-to-head (49-40). (h/t Real Clear Politics)
Can someone explain again how Newt is more electable? Oh, that's right, he'll destroy Obama in the debate. Pretty thin reed upon which to bet the nation's future.
But those are the polls today--they could be completely different tomorrow. The debate looms large.
Edited on Jan 26 at 7:57amDec '10
Re: Romney's Back Up In Florida
I don't think those supporting Gingrich do so exclusively because of electibility. I'd hazard a guess they're praying the polling is wrong on that count. What they desire is a drastic change of course rather than a "steady as she goes" mentality when the helm is relieved next year.
Jun '10
Re: Romney's Back Up In Florida
Mollie Hemingway, Ed.:
If Romney wins Florida, that would make it much less likely that we see a late entrant. Meanwhile, Politico says it's the Tea Party vs. the Cocktail Party down in Florida:
The Politico narrative makes no sense. If that were the case, wouldn't the poll numbers be completely reversed? Are there really that many wealthy, well-educated voters and so few Republicans with under six-figure incomes? The data and the theory seem at odds. This appears to be the punditry grossly oversimplying a highly complex electorate in order to force-fit it into a bi-polar world.
Edited on Jan 26 at 8:17amMay '10
Re: Romney's Back Up In Florida
I love that phrase "six-figure income" as there is no difference in the lifestyle or outlook between the guy who makes $100,001 per year and the guy who made $999,998.
Aug '10
Re: Romney's Back Up In Florida
The problem Newt has is that he presents such a target rich environment that the negative ads practically write themselves. Keep this in mind when considering the general election and Obama's $1 Billion in attack ads.
I really hope that Romney shows some fire tonight and has a good debate performance - Newt's only shot is winning this debate decisively. I've skipped the last few debates but will watch tonight (alas, recorded so I won't be on the live chat).
Jun '10
Re: Romney's Back Up In Florida
Or between the one who makes $100,001 and the other who makes $99,999?
Dec '10
Re: Romney's Back Up In Florida
The same could be said for Romney's riches and Santorum's sanctimony. Any candidate we put up against Obama will get the hose turned on him. The question is which will get knocked over by it and which might actually make headway against the onslaught?
Jun '10
Re: Romney's Back Up In Florida
It (a Romney presidency) might be the birth of a dynasty. Careful what you wish for.
Mitt Romney on 60 Minutes with Mike Wallace - Five Brothers (May 2007)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qHUSQwZ6gWo
Dec '10
Re: Romney's Back Up In Florida
TR, I don't think any of Newt's supporters believe he would win the general election if it were held today. But, between now and November, Republicans have to persuade the squishy moderate voters that Obama has put us on a steeply declining trajectory and only conservatism can alter the course. Newt's supporters have much more confidence in Newt's abilities of rhetorical persuasion than Romney's. The debates are evidence of that, not evidence of Newt's current electability. One thing's for sure. Conditions will change.
Barfly said in another thread, a Gingrich v Obama election will be a "clear-choice election." Some of us are afraid to find out just how far gone the country is. I'm one of them, but I'm almost ready to have the bandage ripped off.
BTW, I heard the media host of tonight's debate is going to discourage audience participation, which favors Romney, of course, and makes it likely to be another snooze-fest.
Re: Romney's Back Up In Florida
tabula rasa
Mollie Hemingway, Ed.:
If Romney wins Florida, that would make it much less likely that we see a late entrant. Meanwhile, Politico says it's the Tea Party vs. the Cocktail Party down in Florida:
The Politico narrative makes no sense. If that were the case, wouldn't the poll numbers be completely reversed? Are there really that many wealthy, well-educated voters and so few Republicans with under six-figure incomes? The data and the theory seem at odds. This appears to be the punditry grossly oversimplying a highly complex electorate in order to force-fit it into a bi-polar world.
You keep hearing from reporters that Gingrich's crowds have the numbers and enthusiasm, which also doesn't jive with the polling ...
Aug '11
Re: Romney's Back Up In Florida
Western Chauvinist:
BTW, I heard the media host of tonight's debate is going to discourage audience participation, which favors Romney, of course, and makes it likely to be another snooze-fest.
The propeller on my tin-foil hat is spinning wildly, and I'm convinced that CNN will do this on purpose, because they know that Mitt will be easier to beat. Hopefully there will be enough rebels in the audience.
Jun '10
Re: Romney's Back Up In Florida
etoiledunord: It (a Romney presidency) might be the birth of a dynasty. Careful what you wish for.
Mitt Romney on 60 Minutes with Mike Wallace - Five Brothers (May 2007)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qHUSQwZ6gWo · 14 minutes ago
I choose to thank Mitt for providing some productive workers who can help keep Medicare and Social Security afloat.
As Mark Steyn said about Europe: “The design flaw of the radically secularist [Europe] is that it depends on a religious-society birth rate.” Our birth rate is barely at replacement levels and appears to be trending downward. So let's not dismiss those who are throwing new workers into the breach.
Aug '10
Re: Romney's Back Up In Florida
The King Prawn
Yep. And just when I was getting tired of the debates....
Are you kidding?! I LIVE FOR THE DEBATES.
Well, actually, I live for the debate-night live chat.
The live chat represents more human interaction than I get in a normal month.
Edited on Jan 26 at 8:56amJun '10
Re: Romney's Back Up In Florida
Mollie Hemingway, Ed.
The Politico narrative makes no sense. If that were the case, wouldn't the poll numbers be completely reversed? Are there really that many wealthy, well-educated voters and so few Republicans with under six-figure incomes? The data and the theory seem at odds. This appears to be the punditry grossly oversimplying a highly complex electorate in order to force-fit it into a bi-polar world.
You keep hearing from reporters that Gingrich's crowds have the numbers and enthusiasm, which also doesn't jive with the polling ... · 9 minutes ago
So which do you believe: the polls or something else?
Re: Romney's Back Up In Florida
tabula rasa
Mollie Hemingway, Ed.
The Politico narrative makes no sense. If that were the case, wouldn't the poll numbers be completely reversed? Are there really that many wealthy, well-educated voters and so few Republicans with under six-figure incomes? The data and the theory seem at odds. This appears to be the punditry grossly oversimplying a highly complex electorate in order to force-fit it into a bi-polar world.
You keep hearing from reporters that Gingrich's crowds have the numbers and enthusiasm, which also doesn't jive with the polling ... · 9 minutes ago
So which do you believe: the polls or something else? · 6 minutes ago
Actually, I believe the polls. Particularly Rasmussen. I also think that a significant percentage of voters cast their ballots before Gingrich became a real consideration.
Aug '11
Re: Romney's Back Up In Florida
tabula rasa
Mollie Hemingway, Ed.
You keep hearing from reporters that Gingrich's crowds have the numbers and enthusiasm, which also doesn't jive with the polling ... · 9 minutes ago
So which do you believe: the polls or something else? · 4 minutes ago
I believe that things are so volatile that even daily polls are behind the curve. We need hour-by-hour changes.
Aug '11
Re: Romney's Back Up In Florida
Misthiocracy
The King Prawn
Yep. And just when I was getting tired of the debates....
Are you kidding?! I LIVE FOR THE DEBATES.
Well, actually, I live for the debate-night live chat.
The live chat represents more human interaction than I get in a normal month.
I'm addicted to the live chats. Should I seek absolution?