Ricochet Poll -- October 18
Ricochet Editor's Desk ·
October 18, 2012 at 6:46pm
In response to member requests, we'll leave this one up longer before revealing final results.
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Comments:
May '12
Re: Ricochet Poll -- October 18
I'll take what I can get.
Jun '12
Re: Ricochet Poll -- October 18
Despite Cattle King's assurances that Obama will win, I would put money on Romney.
Jun '10
Re: Ricochet Poll -- October 18
My only worry is that the Democrats will do much better at getting out their voters--all 120% of them.
Dec '11
Re: Ricochet Poll -- October 18
What is the definition of "substantial"? Electoral? Popular?
May '10
Re: Ricochet Poll -- October 18
Starting to see momentum which was missing. Debates real game changer. Think Benghazi is mistake O can't recover from. Mitt has buried him on economy and jobless crap coming to light. Substantial win for Mitt.
Nov '11
Re: Ricochet Poll -- October 18
Can we add an Unsure option?
Aug '12
Re: Ricochet Poll -- October 18
I said what I would bet on, but I didn't say how much!
May '10
Re: Ricochet Poll -- October 18
I guess I'm in what they call the "Rob Long 9%".
Sep '12
Re: Ricochet Poll -- October 18
I think Romney is going to take the popular vote by a substantial, but smaller than Obama in 2008 margin, (something like around 52%). I think his electoral college victory will be much more substantial, breaking 300 EC votes.
May '12
Re: Ricochet Poll -- October 18
What confuses me is Intrade. Every time I think Romney is picking up momentum I hopefully click over to the Intrade site--where I'm instantly drenched in cold water.
This morning O's winning odds still hovered above 60%. All those people voting with their own money suggests that my confidence may just be a product of living in a conservative bubble.
Can anyone explain the Intrade paradox?
Jun '12
Re: Ricochet Poll -- October 18
Tim Fikse: What confuses me is Intrade. Every time I think Romney is picking up momentum I hopefully click over to the Intrade site--where I'm instantly drenched in cold water.
This morning O's winning odds still hovered above 60%. All those people voting with their own money suggests that my confidence may just be a product of living in a conservative bubble.
Can anyone explain the Intrade paradox? · 3 minutes ago
Simple.
Intrade is a completely self-selected "poll," therefore it is inherently unreliable, because there is absolutely no attempt to achieve a sample that is representative of the nation as a whole.
I put Intrade in the same category as fortune cookie fortunes.
Mar '11
Re: Ricochet Poll -- October 18
I kind of wish I were a betting man because this site (not Intrade), if I understand how it works, takes bets on the election and has Obama favored quite a bit.
Edited on October 19, 2012 at 12:24amAug '10
Re: Ricochet Poll -- October 18
As I recall it, Intrade didn't do too well predicting what nine people would decide on Obamacare.
Jun '10
Re: Ricochet Poll -- October 18
Susquehanna poll just released data showing Romney up 4 in Pennsylvania! It's going to be a tsunami, folks.
Jun '12
Re: Ricochet Poll -- October 18
Woohoo!
Link me ASAP, bro. I wanna blog that one.
Oct '10
Re: Ricochet Poll -- October 18
Not to go all Paul Rahe on y'all but late last year I called a radio talk show in Boston (Jay Severin, FYI) to tell him, essentially, that whoever the GOP nominee turns out to be will get at least 325 EC votes. I figured, as bad as Obambi was, there was NO one who voted for McCain who'll vote for Obambi this year but millions who voted for Obambi who won't vote for him this year. Granted, bad predictions are everywhere, and mine may turn out to be one as well. But back then common sense told me so, and today it's looking more and more likely every day.
May '12
Re: Ricochet Poll -- October 18
Some wishful thinking in this poll.
Jul '10
Re: Ricochet Poll -- October 18
On those betting sites, Soros and his minions are manipulating those markets. Don't let them affect You.
I believe it was Trace Urdan Who posted or commented 'round Here about that.