Reality Check: Obama's 'Brutal' Numbers
Peter Wehner at Contentions asks not for whom the bell tolls:
According to Public Policy Polling (PPP), President Obama’s approval ratings in the key states of Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania are “brutal.”
How brutal?
In Florida, Obama’s approval-disapproval numbers are 39 percent v. 55 percent, with independents registering a 52 disapprove v. 36 percent approve rating.
In Pennsylvania Obama’s approval is 40 percent, while 55 percent of voters disapprove of him. Independents line up against the president by a 63/32 margin.
And in Ohio, Obama’s approval is 42 percent with 54 percent of voters disapproving of him — while the split among independents is 58/33.
These findings should be combined with Jennifer’s posting on the latest analysis by The Cook Report and the story she linked to in Politico, in which a Democratic pollster working on several key races said, “The reality is that [the House majority] is probably gone” and that that his data shows the Democrats’ problems are only getting worse (”It’s spreading,” the pollster said.)
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Jul '10
Re: Reality Check: Obama's 'Brutal' Numbers
Looks more and more like Obama will be a one-termer and then become a Citizen of the World, perhaps UN secretary-general. From that lofty eminence he will continue as before, a lodestar of the left who denigrates America and finds virtues others do not see in Islam and central authority. At least then we won't have to look at him every day on TV when he's not taking a vacation break at some luxury resort.
Jul '10
Re: Reality Check: Obama's 'Brutal' Numbers
I guess I'm just a "This glass is completely freaking empty" sort of guy, but numbers like this don't make me all delirious and cheery.
In a sane country, Obama should be polling down there with nose cancer or rabid wolverines.
Jun '10
Re: Reality Check: Obama's 'Brutal' Numbers
Kenneth: I guess I'm just a "This glass is completely freaking empty" sort of guy, but numbers like this don't make me all delirious and cheery.
In a sane country, Obama should be polling down there with nose cancer or rabid wolverines. · Aug 27 at 6:02p
I agree, Kenneth, it's a major bummer. There just haven't been many polls where President Obama is under 40%. Despite his brutal numbers, he can still claim a higher approval rating at 43% than Reagan(42%) or Clinton(39%) at the same point in his presidency according to the Gallup Presidential Job Approval Center.
In other news, check out these basketballs sporting a print of the President! I first saw these at the local Sears, and I was majorly bummed. What kind of weird little kid still thinks he's cool?
Edited on Aug 27, 2010 at 7:26pmMay '10
Re: Reality Check: Obama's 'Brutal' Numbers
Kenneth: I guess I'm just a "This glass is completely freaking empty" sort of guy, but numbers like this don't make me all delirious and cheery.
In a sane country, Obama should be polling down there with nose cancer or rabid wolverines. · Aug 27 at 6:02pm
Keep in mind that the seemingly immutable African American block skews all Obama's polls. Essentially, he starts with a 10% approval before polling even begins. This is a baseline that Bush, say, never had. Of that portion of the electorate which is actually volatile, Obama's in deep-crater land. And this fact does matter for congressional races, since the African American population tends to be concentrated in districts which are not up for grabs anyway. So take away 5-8%, at least, when trying to assess Obama's approval in areas outside Detroit, East Cleveland, and the like.
Cheer up, Kenneth. The good guys are going to roll in November--60 seats, at least. Then they'll screw it up.
Edited on Aug 27, 2010 at 10:28pmJul '10
Re: Reality Check: Obama's 'Brutal' Numbers
Scott Reusser
Keep in mind that the seemingly immutable African American block skews all Obama's polls. Essentially, he starts with a 10% approval before polling even begins. This is a baseline that Bush, say, never had. Of that portion of the electorate which is actually volatile, Obama's in deep-crater land. And this fact does matter for congressional races, since the African American population tends to be concentrated in districts which are not up for grabs anyway. So take away 5-8%, at least, when trying to assess Obama's approval in areas outside Detroit, East Cleveland, and the like.
Cheer up, Kenneth. The good guys are going to roll in November--60 seats, at least. Then they'll screw it up. · Aug 27 at 10:23pm
Edited on Aug 27 at 10:28 pm
I know all that. It's just that when I'm driving down the freeway knowing that 42% of the people around me are crazy as bat guano, it makes me uneasy.
Re: Reality Check: Obama's 'Brutal' Numbers
Scott Reusser
Kenneth: I guess I'm just a "This glass is completely freaking empty" sort of guy, but numbers like this don't make me all delirious and cheery.
In a sane country, Obama should be polling down there with nose cancer or rabid wolverines. · Aug 27 at 6:02pm
Keep in mind that the seemingly immutable African American block skews all Obama's polls. Essentially, he starts with a 10% approval before polling even begins. This is a baseline that Bush, say, never had. Of that portion of the electorate which is actually volatile, Obama's in deep-crater land. And this fact does matter for congressional races, since the African American population tends to be concentrated in districts which are not up for grabs anyway. So take away 5-8%, at least, when trying to assess Obama's approval in areas outside Detroit, East Cleveland, and the like.
Cheer up, Kenneth. The good guys are going to roll in November--60 seats, at least. Then they'll screw it up.
Well, wait a minute. Obviously Obama's AfAm support is incredibly strong. But did Bush really lack a baseline of 10% support? I'm not so sure.
Jul '10
Re: Reality Check: Obama's 'Brutal' Numbers
Well, wait a minute. Obviously Obama's AfAm support is incredibly strong. But did Bush really lack a baseline of 10% support? I'm not so sure.
My guess is that Bush's baseline support was evangelicals, which I estimate to be 2%.
Every conservative I know never believed the guy was anything but his father's son.
May '10
Re: Reality Check: Obama's 'Brutal' Numbers
James, if you're still out there: What segment of society representing at least 12% of the electorate would have granted him a >90% approval rating even in his darkest hour? Truly, I can't think of any. Even evangelicals would have been hard-pressed to rise above 50-60%.