Peter Robinson · August 7, 2012 at 7:21pm
Pdential jobs

(With a tip of the hat to Fred Booth.)

Comments:


Spin
Joined
Nov '10
Ken Owsley

Bring back Slick Willy!

Tom Lindholtz
Joined
May '10
Tom Lindholtz

That is a great graphic. I used to do that sort of thing for a living. That is well done.

Mel Foil
Joined
Jun '10
Mel Foil
Ken Owsley: Bring back Slick Willy!

But, Bill Clinton without Speaker Gingrich doesn't work. You need the pair.

Steve Manacek

You know, you could look at this and conclude that it just doesn't matter all that much who the President is, at least from a macroeconomic perspective.  Of the four biggest job-creating administrations, two were D and two were R.  Of the five administrations with the highest unemployment rates, three have been R and two have been D.  Three of the four lowest unemployment rates belong to Reagan (the most conservative) and Truman and Johnson (the most domestically liberal).

My own view is that there are lots and lots and lots of other reasons to send Barry O off to an early and lucrative retirement, but that the economy as a whole is going to prosper, or not, as a result of changes in productivity, technology, international competitiveness, European stability, and so on -- and a lot less as a result of who calls 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue home.

Charles Allen
Joined
May '10
Charles Allen

Cool graph.  One other number that should be on there is the overall percentage of the workforce that each increase was.

It would stand to reason that Reagan's 16.7 million increase was a greater percentage  increase of the workforce than Clinton's, as the total U.S. population was smaller 20 year's earlier.

That makes Obama's "contribution" even smaller...

Liberty Dude
Joined
Apr '12
Liberty Dude

Presidents can only affect to what degree job creation is inhibitted.  Their only choice is whether they stand in the way, or choose not to. 

Bill Clinton presided over an economic revolution equivalent to the widespread adoption of the automobile, or the railroad.  We should not credit him for choosing NOT to stand in it's way.  He certainly didn't cause it.

"The negation of a negative is not a reward, the withdrawl of your armed hoodlums is not an incentive, the offer not to murder me is not a value."

- John Galt

Edited on August 7, 2012 at 8:31pm

Joined
May '12
Erik B

Guess that's why he needed to edit those presidential biographies, he'd be overlooked otherwise.

Rick Bateman
Joined
May '11
Rick Bateman

That's one of the original posts on Political Math:

http://politicalmathblog.com/?p=1819

He also has a great YouTube channel, you may remember some of the early vids going a bit viral.

Brian Clendinen
Joined
Mar '11
Brian Clendinen

I posted this on Friday in the member feed.It is a good piece of propaganda, that is about it.

James Of England: It's a tool for selling bibles, not for converting the heathen, but I agree that it looks like a pretty good bible selling tool. · Aug 3 at 10:24am
Edited on August 7, 2012 at 8:59pm
tabula rasa
Joined
Jun '10
tabula rasa

Steve Manacek: You know, you could look at this and conclude that it just doesn't matter all that much who the President is, at least from a macroeconomic perspective. . . .

My own view is that there are lots and lots and lots of other reasons to send Barry O off to an early and lucrative retirement, but that the economy as a whole is going to prosper, or not, as a result of changes in productivity, technology, international competitiveness, European stability, and so on -- and a lot less as a result of who calls 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue home. 

I agree with the thrust of Steve's point--there is a lot out of a president's control.  Nonetheless, even though it isn't definitive, it does tell us a lot about the Obama presidency.  No one in recent history has even approached the negative economics of the last four years.  At some point, you can only conclude that the president is not doing the job.

I also agree that this is only one of many reasons to retire Mr. Obama.

Edited on August 7, 2012 at 9:06pm
BrentB67
Joined
May '12
BrentB67

Obama is liable to use this as a graphic about why he needs four more years to catch up.

James Of England
Joined
Apr '11
James Of England

Mel Foil

Ken Owsley: Bring back Slick Willy!

But, Bill Clinton without Speaker Gingrich doesn't work. You need the pair. · 1 hour ago

The Clinton cut spending far more severely in his first Congress than in his last three (along with raising taxes). I'd be happy to have liberal or conservative Clinton in office; the Gerry Ford scenario (where Biden has to step down, a Bill clone takes his place, then Obama steps down) would do an awful lot of good for the country.

barbara lydick
Joined
Jul '10
barbara lydick

tabula rasa

 

I agree with the thrust of Steve's point--there is a lot out of a president's control.  

This hasn't stopped Mr. O up to now, and given  a shot at another 4 years he just might have that 'impediment' sewn up...

Michael Labeit
Joined
May '10
Michael Labeit

Steve Manacek: You know, you could look at this and conclude that it just doesn't matter all that much who the President is, at least from a macroeconomic perspective.  Of the four biggest job-creating administrations, two were D and two were R.  Of the five administrations with the highest unemployment rates, three have been R and two have been D.  Three of the four lowest unemployment rates belong to Reagan (the most conservative) and Truman and Johnson (the most domestically liberal).

My own view is that there are lots and lots and lots of other reasons to send Barry O off to an early and lucrative retirement, but that the economy as a whole is going to prosper, or not, as a result of changes in productivity, technology, international competitiveness, European stability, and so on -- and a lot less as a result of who calls 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue home. 

I agree entirely. Correlation isn't causation. Unfortunately, the average voter assumes the former is or implies the latter when it comes to economic affairs. Hence, the greatest danger is an ignorant electorate.

Chris Campion
Joined
Jul '11
Chris Campion

Raising taxes, increasing spending, and expanding gov't are all Barry's legacy.  He can own his proud job growth numbers, with pride.  He's seemingly doing all he can to make unemployment go up, job creation go down, and spending increase.

I think I have that about right.  At least most of the other presidents were trying to go in another direction, with better results for Americans as a whole. 

Barry doesn't want that.  Barry wants a milquetoastian middle for everyone, with all-seeing, all-knowing community organizers telling each of us how we must live, each according to our needs. 

I'm still wondering why there aren't more ads featuring Barry cozying up to Reagan, then graphics demonstrating the differing fiscal and tax policies, and the results.  These things sell themselves.

cm2006
Joined
Feb '12
cm2006

I too started to focus on the D's and the R's that's not the true picture. Don't forget:

1) Reagan brought us out of the high misery index that was Carter

2) Clinton (needed Gingrich good point above) was a new Democrat

2) Kennedy cut taxes

4) Excessive regulation and lawsuits curb economic activity

5) Obama is definitely Carter, not Clinton, not JFK or LBJ

Edited on August 8, 2012 at 6:46am
cm2006
Joined
Feb '12
cm2006

Chris Campion: 

I'm still wondering why there aren't more ads featuring Barry cozying up to Reagan, then graphics demonstrating the differing fiscal and tax policies, and the results.  These things sell themselves. · 3 hours ago

That is a great idea, maybe have audio "I knew Ronald Reagan, and you're no Reagan."

Tommy De Seno

Anyone know how the "job gains" figure is arrived at in the graph?


Joined
Feb '11
david foster
Tommy De Seno: Anyone know how the "job gains" figure is arrived at in the graph? · 2 hours ago

I have the same question---also: Are the gains normalized for length of term? You can't reasonably compare a 4-year term with an 8-year term.


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