Possible Ron Paul Upsets in Alaska and North Dakota?
Texas Congressman Ron Paul has won zero states this go-round in the Republican nomination process, but has placed 2nd in four: Maine, Minnesota, New Hampshire, and Washington. Robert C. O'Brien, writing at The Daily Caller, suggests that Alaska and North Dakota might be Paul's chance to finally win one or two outright.
This could be good for the GOP for two reasons:
1. Paul has a solid base of support, somewhere between 5-10%, with late-comers adding another 5% or so. He can peak around 20% under certain conditions. Paul's numbers over time are remarkably similar to Newt Gingrich's standing, aside from the former speaker's brief surge in November and December. As Chris Cillizza has argued, we ignore Paul at our peril.
2. Mitt Romney and Ron Paul represent two distinct views of both Republican conservatism and governance. We see this at multiple levels: taxes, regulation, foreign intervention, and so on. This is an important conversation for the party to have, and it is a conversation that the base has been having amongst itself for several years.
What do you all think? Should we be rooting for Ron Paul up north on Super Tuesday? Would a couple solid wins by him be healthy for the party?