Paging Peter Robinson, Or, Come Join Us Out On the Limb
Troy Senik, Ed. ·
November 2, 2012 at 10:27pm
Okay, Peter, you've heard my case and Ben Domenech's for a substantial Romney victory. Now, what if I told you that Michael Barone thinks Ben and I are both wrong ... because we're selling Romney short? Just out from The Oracle himself over at the Washington Examiner:
Bottom line: Romney 315, Obama 223. That sounds high for Romney. But he could drop Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election. Fundamentals.
Come on out, Peter. We're pretty sure this branch can support all of us.
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Comments:
Apr '11
Re: Paging Peter Robinson, Or, Come Join Us Out On the Limb
Is Dr. Rahe already out there with you guys? He's been so scarce of late.
Jul '10
Re: Paging Peter Robinson, Or, Come Join Us Out On the Limb
Professor Rahe is on top of the tree.
Nov '11
Re: Paging Peter Robinson, Or, Come Join Us Out On the Limb
Wow. Pennsylvania. Be still my foolish heart.
Jun '10
Re: Paging Peter Robinson, Or, Come Join Us Out On the Limb
Fortunately, the entire Ricochet business model does not appear to be dependent on the structural integrity of that particular branch.
Apr '12
Re: Paging Peter Robinson, Or, Come Join Us Out On the Limb
When my son's Economics high school teacher (Canadian Liberal which is American Leftie) tells me that it is a battle over who thinks debt of $16T is fine and who thinks debt will sink the American economy, the mainstream people are getting the message. I was stunned he would test out if I would vote Romney.
So Tweetie bird is not sawing the branch.
Ironically, the storm may also make people more cynical about the message of wonderful big government helping us all.
Oct '10
Re: Paging Peter Robinson, Or, Come Join Us Out On the Limb
I'm reasonably confident of a Romney victory, but every time I start believing that it will be *that* big, I just can't bring myself to complete the thought.
It is a nice thought, though.
Oct '11
Re: Paging Peter Robinson, Or, Come Join Us Out On the Limb
I've been predicting a win since early summer. I texted "bloodbath" to my sisters when Ryan joined the ticket. Come on out on the limb ... There's room for lots more.
Sep '10
Re: Paging Peter Robinson, Or, Come Join Us Out On the Limb
This.
Is.
Sparta.
300+ or bust.
Oct '10
Re: Paging Peter Robinson, Or, Come Join Us Out On the Limb
Ahh, you nattering nabomas of negativity. Romney 325.
Mar '12
Re: Paging Peter Robinson, Or, Come Join Us Out On the Limb
If Michael Barone AND Jay Cost think Romney will win, maybe I should wander over to intrade.
Jul '10
Re: Paging Peter Robinson, Or, Come Join Us Out On the Limb
I have hope.
But (<---- that there is for Lileks)
I could not fathom in 2008 how the country could possibly elect a fly weight like Barack Obama. I mean, I know McCain was the alternative, but, c'mon! The man had (and *has*) accomplished nothing other than getting himself elected in specious ways.... And has proven to be even smaller than one could believe - too small by half for a big job. So I know something of inconsiderable disappointment.
I am on the limb. I'll stay on the limb. But I can also hear some cracking and creaking behind us....
Re: Paging Peter Robinson, Or, Come Join Us Out On the Limb
All I have to offer is near-wordless hope that the amazing Michael Barone--the man who literally wrote (and regularly updates) the book on every congressional district in America--is on his game.
Fingers crossed so hard that they are getting numb.
May '10
Re: Paging Peter Robinson, Or, Come Join Us Out On the Limb
The biggest campaign rally of the weekend is likely to be speaking from the pulpits of a huge number of churches and cathedrals. I have a feeling that this will end being a big deal in the post-mortems.
I wonder if Sebeliobama had confidence in the mandates because evangelicals would never vote for a Mormon?
I asked my 95 year old and very conservative mom about that, and she said "Vote for Obama over Romney because he's a Mormon? Are you kidding?" She wasn't waiting for the Billy Graham endorsement.
May '12
Re: Paging Peter Robinson, Or, Come Join Us Out On the Limb
315 sound high. Romney will get between 281-291. I said it first. That is, if we all turn out to vote. I don't know if any of you have taken a drive by the early voting stations yet, but they are packed (unfortunately, I live in Sheila Jackson Lee's district, so that can't be good news). So don't worry about it, just vote.
May '10
Re: Paging Peter Robinson, Or, Come Join Us Out On the Limb
315-223 was my prediction too, this morning under Flagg's post. (Flagg predicts same.)
It's great to hear that someone famous for deep experience and level-headedness came up with the same number.
May '10
Re: Paging Peter Robinson, Or, Come Join Us Out On the Limb
The Obama minions were out in full force on my university campus today. I went from one building to another, about a 5 minutes walk, and was hit up by 5 different people at different points on the way trying to get me to go vote for Obama. They were handing out directions and offering to help guide students to the early voting locations on campus. I don't know how successful they were, but it didn't boost my optimism much seeing the scale of their machine in action.
May '12
Re: Paging Peter Robinson, Or, Come Join Us Out On the Limb
What state?
Kofola
The Obama minions were out in full force on my university campus today. I went from one building to another, about a 5 minutes walk, and was hit up by 5 different people at different points on the way trying to get me to go vote for Obama. They were handing out directions and offering to help guide students to the early voting locations on campus. I don't know how successful they were, but it didn't boost my optimism much seeing the scale of their machine in action. ยท 17 minutes ago
May '12
Re: Paging Peter Robinson, Or, Come Join Us Out On the Limb
I know what you mean Kofola. Fortunately I haven't seen any of that at my university (otoh, we don't even have a College Republican group, which is pretty astounding for a uni. in Houston). Its not as if these kids will actually vote, because if they're anything like me, they would have forgotten to send in their voter registration card till this week. The more they put effort into recruiting college kids, the more they waste their efforts.
Jul '10
Re: Paging Peter Robinson, Or, Come Join Us Out On the Limb
Michael Barone thinks Romney will get 315?
315? Sounds great... Michael has forgotten more about campaigns than I'll ever know... but 315?
Are you sure it wasn't Ray Barone, Troy?
May '12
Re: Paging Peter Robinson, Or, Come Join Us Out On the Limb